Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments

Journal of Climate

Volumn 25, Issue 9, 2012, Pages 3261-3281

  De Noblet Ducoudré, Nathalie ^a   Boisier, Juan Pablo ^a   Pitman, Andy ^b   Bonan, G B ^c   Brovkin, V ^d   Cruz, Faye ^b,i   Delire, C ^e   Gayler, V ^d   Van Den Hurk, B J J M ^f   Lawrence, P J ^c   Van Der Molen, M K ^f   Muller C ^g   Reick, C H ^d   Strengers, B J ^h   Voldoire, A ^e  

^a LABORATOIRE DES SCIENCES DU CLIMAT ET DE L ENVIRONNEMENT   (France)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

^c NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^d MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY   (Germany)

^e Groupe d'Étude de l'Atmosphère Météorologique   (France)

^f ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

^g POTSDAM INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH   (Germany)

^h PBL NETHERLANDS ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AGENCY   (Netherlands)

ⁱ ATENEO DE MANILA UNIVERSITY   (Philippines)

Author keywords

Atmosphere land interaction; Biosphere atmosphere interaction; Climate change; Climate models; Land surface model; Surface fluxes

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERE-LAND INTERACTION; AVAILABLE ENERGY; BIOSPHERE-ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION; EURASIA; INDIVIDUAL MODELS; LAND SURFACE MODELS; LAND-COVER CHANGE; SEA ICE EXTENT; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST); SENSIBLE HEAT FLUX; SPECIFIC TIME; SURFACE CLIMATE; SURFACE FLUX; TURBULENT FLUX;

CLIMATE MODELS; GREENHOUSE GASES; LAND USE; SEA ICE; SURFACE MEASUREMENT;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

BIOSPHERE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; GREENHOUSE GAS; LAND COVER; LAND SURFACE; LAND USE CHANGE; LATENT HEAT FLUX; SEA ICE; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SENSIBLE HEAT FLUX; SURFACE FLUX;

EURASIA; NORTH AMERICA;

EID: 84857696220     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Abramowitz, G., 2005: Towards a benchmark for land surface models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L22702, doi:10.1029/2005GL024419.
2. Abramowitz, G., R. Leuning, M. Clark, and A. Pitman, 2008: Evaluating the performance of land surface models. J. Climate, 21, 5468-5481.
3. Arneth, A., and Coauthors, 2010: Terrestrial biogeochemical feedbacks in the climate system. Nat. Geosci., 3, 525-532, doi:10.1038/ngeo905.
4. Arora, V. K., and Coauthors, 2011: Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L05805, doi:10.1029/2010GL046270.
5. Betts, A. K., J. H. Ball, A. C. M. Beljaars, M. J. Miller, and P. A. Viterbo, 1996: The land surface-atmosphere interaction: A review based on observational and global modeling perspectives. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 7209-7225.
6. Bonan, G. B., 1997: Effects of land use on the climate of the United States. Climatic Change, 37, 449-486.
7. Bonan, G. B., 2008: Forests and climate change: Forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests. Science, 320, 1444-1449, doi:10.1126/science.1155121.
8. Bondeau, A., and Coauthors, 2007: Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance. Global Change Biol., 13, 679-706.
9. Collins, W. D., and Coauthors, 2006: The Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3). J. Climate, 19, 2122-2143.
10. Davin, E. L., and N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, 2010: Climatic impact of global-scale deforestation: Radiative versus nonradiative processes. J. Climate, 23, 97-112.
11. Davin, E. L., N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, and P. Friedlingstein, 2007: Impact of land cover change on surface climate: Relevance of the radiative forcing concept. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L13702, doi:10.1029/2007GL029678.
12. DeFries, R. S., and Coauthors, 1995: Mapping the land surface for global atmosphere-biosphere models: Toward continuous distributions of vegetation's functional properties. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 20 867-20 882.
13. Denman, K. L., and Coauthors, 2007: Couplings between changes in the climate system and biogeochemistry. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. D. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 499-588.
14. Deo, R. C., J. I. Syktus, C. A. McAlpine, P. J. Lawrence, H. A. McGowan, and S. R. Phinn, 2009: Impact of historical land cover change on daily indices of climate extremes including droughts in eastern Australia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L08705, doi:10.1029/2009GL037666.
15. Fall, S., D. Niyogi, A. Gluhovsky, R. A. Pielke Sr., E. Kalnay, and G. Rochon, 2010a: Impacts of land use land cover on temperature trends over the continental United States: Assessment using the North American Regional Reanalysis. Int. J. Climatol., 30, 1980-1993.
16. Findell, K. L., E. Shevliakova, P. C. D. Milly, and R. J. Stouffer, 2007: Modeled impact of anthropogenic land cover change on climate. J. Climate, 20, 3621-3634.
17. Findell, K. L., A. J. Pitman, M. H. England, and P. Pegion, 2009: Regional and global impacts of land cover change and sea surface temperature anomalies. J. Climate, 22, 3248-3269.
18. Forster, P. M., and Coauthors, 2007: Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 129-234.
19. Gallo, K. P., T. W. Owen, D. R. Easterling, and P. F. Jamason, 1999: Temperature trends of the U.S. Historical Climatology Network based on satellite designated land use/land cover. J. Climate, 12, 1344-1348.
20. Gedney, N., and P. J. Valdes, 2000: The effect of Amazonian deforestation on the Northern Hemisphere circulation and climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 12 753-12 758.
21. Gerten, D., S. Schaphoff, and W. Lucht, 2007: Potential future changes in water limitations of the terrestrial biosphere. Climatic Change, 80, 277-299, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9104-8.
22. Hale, R. C., K. P. Gallo, T. W. Owen, and T. R. Loveland, 2006: Land use/land cover change effects on temperature trends at U.S. Climate Normals stations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L11703, doi:10.1029/2006GL026358.
23. Henderson-Sellers, A., R. E. Dickinson, T. B. Durbidge, P. J. Kennedy, K. McGuffie, and A. J. Pitman, 1993: Tropical deforestation: Modeling local- to regional-scale climate change. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 7289-7315.
24. Hurtt, G. C., S. Frolking, M. G. Fearon, B. Moore III, E. Shevliakova, S. Malyshev, S. W. Pacala, and R. A. Houghton, 2006: The underpinnings of land-use history: Three centuries of global gridded land-use transitions, wood harvest activity, and resulting secondary lands. Global Change Biol., 12, 1208-1229.
25. Hurtt, G. C., and Coauthors, 2011: Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500-2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands. Climatic Change, 109, 117-161, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2.
26. Kaplan, J. O., K. M. Krumhardt, E. C. Ellis, W. F. Ruddiman, C. Lemmen, and K. Klein Goldewijk, 2011: Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change. Holocene, 21, 775-791, doi:10.1177/0959683610386983.
27. Klein Goldewijk, K., 2001: Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: The HYDE database. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15, 417-433.
28. Klein Goldewijk, K., A. Beusen, G. van Drecht, and M. de Vos, 2011: The HYDE 3.1 spatially explicit database of human-induced global landuse change over the past 12,000 years. Global Ecol. Biogeogr., 20, 73-86, doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00587.x.
29. Krinner, G., and Coauthors, 2005: A dynamical global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 19, GB1015, doi:10.1029/2003GB002199.
30. Lawrence, P. J., and T. N. Chase, 2010: Investigating the climate impacts of global land cover change in the Community Climate System Model. Int. J. Climatol., 30, 2066-2087.
31. Lobell, D. B., and C. Bonfils, 2008: The effect of irrigation on regional temperatures: A spatial and temporal analysis of trends in California, 1934-2002. J. Climate, 21, 2064-2071.
32. Loveland, T. R., B. C. Reed, J. F. Brown, D. O. Ohlen, Z. Zhu, L. Yang, and J. W.Merchant, 2000: Development of a global land cover characteristics database and IGBP DISCover from 1 km AVHRR data. Int. J. Remote Sens., 21, 1303-1330.
33. Mahmood, R., K. G. Hubbard, R. D. Leeper, and S. A. Foster, 2008: Increase in near-surface atmospheric moisture content due to land use changes: Evidence from the observed dewpoint temperature data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1554-1561.
34. Marti, O., and Coauthors, 2010: Key features of the IPSL ocean atmosphere model and its sensitivity to atmospheric resolution. Climate Dyn., 34, 1-26, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0640-6.
35. Masson, V., J.-L. Champeaux, F. Chauvin, C. Meriguet, and R. Lacaze, 2003:A global database of land surface parameters at 1-km resolution in meteorological and climate models. J. Climate, 16, 1261-1282.
36. McCarthy, M. P., M. J. Best, and R. A. Betts, 2010: Climate change in cities due to global warming and urban effects. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L09705, doi:10.1029/2010GL042845.
37. McGregor, J. L., and M. R. Dix, 2008: An updated description of the Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model. High Resolution Numerical Modelling of the Atmosphere and Ocean, K. Hamilton and W. Ohfuchi, Eds., Springer, 51-76.
38. Oleson, K. W., G. B. Bonan, S. Levis, and M. Vertenstein, 2004: Effects of land use change on North American climate: Impact of surface datasets and model biogeophysics. Climate Dyn., 23, 117-132.
39. Oleson, K. W., and Coauthors, 2008: Improvements to the Community Land Model and their impact on the hydrological cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 113, G01021, doi:10.1029/2007JG000563.
40. Pielke, R. A., Sr., G. Marland, R. A. Betts, T. N. Chase, J. L. Eastman, J.O. Niles, D. D. S. Niyogi, and S. W. Running, 2002: The influence of land-use change and landscape dynamics on the climate system: Relevance to climate-change policy beyond the radiative effect of greenhouse gases. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, A360, 1705-1719.
41. Pitman, A. J., 2003: The evolution of, and revolution in, land surface schemes designed for climate models. Int. J. Climatol., 23, 479-510.
42. Pitman, A. J., and Coauthors, 2009: Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L14814, doi:10.1029/2009GL039076.
43. Pongratz, J., C. H. Reick, T. Raddatz, and M. Claussen, 2008: A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and land cover for the last millennium. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 22, GB3018, doi:10.1029/2007GB003153.
44. Raddatz, T. J., and Coauthors, 2007: Will the tropical land biosphere dominate the climate-carbon cycle feedback during the twenty-first century? Climate Dyn., 29, 565-574, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0247-8.
45. Ramankutty, N., and J. A. Foley, 1999: Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 13, 997-1027.
46. Roeckner, E., and Coauthors, 2006: Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution in the ECHAM5 atmosphere model. J. Climate, 19, 3771-3791.
47. Salas-Mélia, D., and Coauthors, cited 2005: Description and validation of the CNRM-CM3 global coupled climate model. [Available online at http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/scenario2004/paper_cm3.pdf.]
48. Santanello, J. A., C. D. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, C. Alonge, and W.-K. Tao, 2009: A modeling and observational framework for diagnosing local land-atmosphere coupling on diurnal time scales. J. Hydrometeor., 10, 577-599.
49. Sellers, P. J., J. A. Berry, G. J. Collatz, C.B. Field, and F.G.Hall, 1992: Canopy reflectance, photosynthesis, and transpiration. III. A reanalysis using improved leaf models and a new canopy integration scheme. Remote Sens. Environ., 42, 187-216.
50. Seneviratne, S. I., T. Corti, E. L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E. B. Jaeger, I. Lehner, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling, 2010: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth Sci. Rev., 99, 125-161.
51. Stott, P. A., N. P. Gillett, G. C. Hegerl, D. J. Karoly, D. A. Stone, X. Zhang, and F. Zwiers, 2010: Detection and attribution of climate change: A regional perspective. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev.: Climate Change, 1, 192-211, doi:10.1002/wcc.34.
52. Strengers, B. J., and Coauthors, 2010: Assessing 20th century climate-vegetation feedbacks of land-use change and natural vegetation dynamics in a fully coupled vegetation-climate model. Int. J. Climatol., 30, 2055-2065, doi:10.1002/joc.2132.
53. Teuling, A. J., and Coauthors, 2010: Contrasting response of European forest and grassland energy exchange to heatwaves. Nat. Geosci., 3, 722-727, doi:10.1038/ngeo950.
54. Van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., P. Viterbo, A. C. M. Beljaars, and A. K. Betts, 2000: Offline validation of the ERA40 surface scheme. ECMWF Tech. Memo. 295, 42 pp. [Available online at http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/tm295.pdf.]
55. Van der Molen, M. K., B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, and W. Hazeleger, 2011: A dampened land use change climate response towards the tropics. Climate Dyn., 37, 2035-2043, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1018-0.
56. Voldoire, A., 2006: Quantifying the impact of future land-use changes against increases in GHG concentrations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L04701, doi:10.1029/2005GL024354.
57. Wang, Y. P., D. Baldocchi, R. Leuning, E. Falge, and T. Vesala, 2007: Estimating parameters in a land-surface model by applying nonlinear inversion to eddy covariance flux measurements from eight FLUXNET sites. Global Change Biol., 13, 652-670, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01225.x.
58. Werth, D., and R. Avissar, 2002: The local and global effects of Amazon deforestation. J.Geophys. Res., 107, 8087, doi:10.1029/2001JD000717.
59. Wetherald, R. T., and S. Manabe, 2002: Simulation of hydrologic changes associated with global warming. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4379, doi:10.1029/2001JD001195.
60. Williams, M., 2003: Deforesting the Earth: From Prehistory to Global Crisis. University of Chicago Press, 689 pp.
61. Zhang, H., A. Henderson-Sellers, and K. McGuffie, 1996: Impacts of tropical deforestation. Part I: Process analysis of local climatic change. J. Climate, 9, 1497-1517.
62. Zhao, M., and A. J. Pitman, 2002: The impact of land cover change and increasing carbon dioxide on the extreme and frequency of maximum temperature and convective precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1078, doi:10.1029/2001GL013476.
63. Zhou, L., R. E. Dickinson, Y. Tian, J. Fang, Q. Li, R. K. Kaufman, C. J. Tucker, and R. B. Myneni, 2004: Evidence for a significant urbanization effect on climate in China. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 101, 9540-9544.