Developing the capacity to assess the impact of foresight

Foresight

Volumn 14, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 56-68

  Johnston, Ron ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Evaluation; Foresight; Framework; Impact; Investments; Uncertainty management

Indexed keywords

EID: 84857615486     PISSN: 14636689     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1108/14636681211210369     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. Cagnin, C. and Johnston, R. (2011), "The influence of future-oriented technology analysis: addressing the Cassandra challenge", Futures, accepted for publication.
2. Calof, J. and Smith, J. (2008), "Critical success factors for government-led foresight", paper presented at Future-Oriented Technology Analysis International Conference, Seville, October, available at: http://forera.jrc.ec.europa.eu/fta_2008/prog_day1.html.
3. Calof, J. and Smith, J. (2010), "Critical success factors for government-led foresight" in Science and Public Policy, Vol. 37, 1, February, pp. 31-40.
4. Cozzens, S.E. (1997), "The knowledge pool: measurement challenges in evaluating fundamental research programs" in Evaluation and Program Planning, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 77-89.
5. Da Costa, O., Warnke, P., Cagnin, C. and Scapolo, F. (2008), "The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process" in Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, Vol. 20, 3, May, pp. 369-87.
6. ESRC (2009), "Taking stock: a summary of ESRC's work to evaluate the impact of research on policy and practice", February, available at: www.esrc.ac.uk/impacts-and-findings/impact-assessment/developing-impact-evaluation.aspx.
7. Georghiou, L. (2001), "Third generation foresight - integrating the socio-economic dimension", Proceedings of the International Conference on Technology Foresight. The Approach to and Potential for New Technology Foresight, NISTEP Research Material No. 77, March.
8. Georghiou, L. and Keenan, M. (2008), "Evaluation and impact of foresight" Georghiou, L., Cassingena Harper, J., Keenan, M., Miles, I. and Popper, R. (Eds.), The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practices, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.
9. Haegeman, K., Harper, J. and Johnston, R. (2010), "Introduction: impacts and implications of future-oriented technology analysis for policy and decision-making" in Science and Public Policy, Vol. 37, 1, February, p. 6.
10. Havas, A., Schartinger, D. and Weber, M. (2010), "The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making: recent experiences and future perspectives" in Research Evaluation, Vol. 19, 2, June, pp. 91-104.
11. Johnston, R. (2005), Evaluation and Diffusion of Irrigation Futures, available at: www.aciic.org.au/index.pl?page=101.
12. Johnston, R. (2007), "Future critical and key industrial technologies as driving forces for economic development and competitiveness", paper presented at UNIDO Technology Foresight Summit, Budapest.
13. Johnston, R. (2010), "The impact of foresight: towards an assessment schema", paper presented at the second meeting of the International Foresight Professional Network, OECD, Paris, 1 March.
14. Ladikas, M. and Decker, M. (2004), "Assessing the impact of future-oriented technology assessment", paper presented at EU-US Seminar: New Technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, Seville 13-14 May.
15. Schartinger, D. and Weber, M. (2007), "Experiences and practices of technology foresight in the European region", paper presented at UNIDO Expert Group Meeting, Vienna, May.
16. Yoda, T. (2011), "Perceptions of domain experts on impact of foresight on policy making: the case of Japan" in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 78, pp. 431-47.
17. Yuan, B., Hsieh, C.-H. and Chang, C.-C. (2010), "National technology foresight research: a literature review from 1984 to 2005" in International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, Vol. 6, Nos 1-3, pp. 5-35.
18. Johnston, R. (2010), "Methods and tools for breaking mindsets", paper presented at Foresight International Seminar: From Theory to Practice, CGEE, Brasilia, 16-17 December.