Age as a determinant for dissemination of seasonal and pandemic influenza: An open cohort study of influenza outbreaks in Östergötland county, Sweden

PLoS ONE

Volumn 7, Issue 2, 2012, Pages

  Timpka, Toomas ^a,b   Eriksson, Olle ^b   Spreco, Armin ^b   Gursky, Elin A ^c   Strömgren, Magnus ^d   Holm, Einar ^d   Ekberg, Joakim ^a,b   Dahlström, Örjan ^a,b   Valter, Lars ^a,b   Eriksson, Henrik ^b  

^a Ostergotland County Council   (Sweden)

^b LINKÖPING UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^c ANSER   (United States)

^d UMEÅ UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DETERMINATION; AGED; ARTICLE; BIOSTATISTICS; CHILD; COHORT ANALYSIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; DEMOGRAPHY; DISEASE ASSOCIATION; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD; EPIDEMIC; GROUPS BY AGE; HUMAN; INFANT; INFECTION RISK; INFLUENZA VIRUS A H3N2; LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MICROBIOLOGY; NONHUMAN; OPEN STUDY; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA; POPULATION RESEARCH; POST HOC ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEASONAL INFLUENZA; SWEDEN; VIRUS STRAIN; FEMALE; INFLUENZA; MALE; NEWBORN; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; PRESCHOOL CHILD; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEASON;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; COHORT STUDIES; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FEMALE; HUMANS; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MALE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SEASONS; SWEDEN;

EID: 84857544223     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0031746     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Viboud C, Bjørnstad ON, Smith DL, Simonsen L, Miller MA, et al. (2006) Synchrony, waves, and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza. Science 312 (5772): 447-451.
2. Monto AS, Davenport FM, Napier JA, Francis T Jr, (1969) Effect of vaccination of a school-age population upon the course of an A2-Hong Kong influenza epidemic. Bull World Health Organ 41 (3): 537-542.
3. Wallinga J, Teunis P, Kretzschmar M, (2006) Using data on social contacts to estimate age-specific transmission parameters for respiratory-spread infectious agents. Am J Epidemiol 164 (10): 936-944.
4. Glass LM, Glass RJ, (2008) Social contact networks for the spread of pandemic influenza in children and teenagers [electronic article]. BMC Public Health 2008;8: 61.
5. Glezen WP, Keitel WA, Taber LH, Piedra PA, Clover RD, et al. (1991) Age distribution of patients with medically-attended illnesses caused by sequential variants of influenza A/H1N1: comparison to age-specific infection rates, 1978-1989. Am J Epidemiol 133 (3): 296-304.
6. Brownstein JS, Kleinman KP, Mandl KD, (2005) Identifying pediatric age groups for influenza vaccination using a real-time regional surveillance system. Am J Epidemiol 162 (7): 686-693.
7. Schanzer D, Vachon J, Pelletier L, (2011) Age-specific differences in influenza Aepidemic curves: do children drive the spread of influenza epidemics? Am J Epidemiol 174 (1): 109-17.
8. Sebastian R, Skowronski DM, Chong M, Dhaliwal J, Brownstein JS, (2008) Age-related trends in the timeliness and prediction of medical visits, hospitalizations and deaths due to pneumonia and influenza, British Columbia, Canada, 1998-2004. Vaccine 26 (10): 1397-1403.
9. Schanzer DL, Langley JM, Dummer T, Aziz S, (2011) The Geographic Synchrony of Seasonal Influenza: A Waves across Canada and the United States. PLoS ONE 6 (6): e21471 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021471.
10. Miller WC, (2010) Infectious disease (in) epidemiology. Epidemiology 21 (5): 593-4.
11. Timpka T, Eriksson H, Gursky EA, Strömgren M, Holm E, et al. (2011) Requirements and design of the PROSPER protocol for implementation of information infrastructures supporting pandemic response: a Nominal Group study. PLoS One Mar 28;6 (3): e17941.
12. Cohen J, (1988) Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences (2nd ed.) New Jersey Lawrence Erlbaum.
13. von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP, STROBE Initiative (2007) The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. Bull World Health Organ Nov;85 (11): 867-72.
14. Fleming DM, Elliot AJ, (2008) Lessons from 40 years' surveillance of influenza in England and Wales. Epidemiol Infect 136: 866-875.
15. Karageorgopoulos DE, Vouloumanou EK, Korbila IP, Kapaskelis A, Falagas ME, (2011) Age distribution of cases of 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza in comparison with seasonal influenza. PLoS One 6 (7): e21690.
16. Tu W, Mao H, Zheng J, Liu Y, Chiu SS, et al. (2010) Cytotoxic T lymphocytes established by seasonal human influenza cross-react against 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza virus. J Virol Jul;84 (13): 6527-35.
17. Rambaut A, Pybus OG, Nelson MI, Viboud C, Taubenberger JK, et al. (2008) The genomic and epidemiological dynamics of human influenza A virus. Nature 453 (7195): 615-9.
18. Basta NE, Chao DL, Halloran ME, Matrajt L, Longini IM Jr, (2009) Strategies for pandemic and seasonal influenza vaccination of schoolchildren in the United States. Am J Epidemiol 170 (6): 679-686.
19. Cauchemez S, Ferguson NM, Wachtel C, Tegnell A, Saour G, (2009) Closure of schools during an influenza pandemic. Lancet Infect Dis 9 (8): 473-481.
20. Cowling BJ, Lau EHY, Lam CLH, Cheng CKY, Kovar J, et al. (2008) Effects of school closures, 2008 winter influenza season, Hong Kong. Emerg Infect Dis 14 (10): 1660-1662.
21. Opatowski L, Fraser C, Griffin J, de Silva E, Van Kerkhove MD, et al. (2011) Transmission Characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Pandemic: Comparison of 8 Southern Hemisphere Countries. PLoS Pathog 7 (9): e1002225 doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1002225.
22. Monto AS, Koopman JS, Longini IM Jr, (1985) Tecumseh study of illness. XIII. Influenza infection and disease, 1976-1981. Am J Epidemiol 121 (6): 811-822.
23. Charland KM, Brownstein JS, Verma A, Brien S, Buckeridge DL, (2011) Socio-Economic Disparities in the Burden of Seasonal Influenza: The Effect of Social and Material Deprivation on Rates of Influenza Infection. PLoS ONE 6 (2): e17207 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0017207.
24. Milne GJ, Kelso JK, Kelly HA, Huband ST, McVernon J, (2008) A Small Community Model for the Transmission of Infectious Diseases: Comparison of School Closure as an Intervention in Individual-Based Models of an Influenza Pandemic. PLoS ONE 3 (12): e4005 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0004005.
25. Timpka T, Eriksson H, Gursky EA, Nyce JM, Morin M, et al. (2009) Population-based simulations of influenza pandemics: validity and significance for public health policy. Bull World Health Organ 87 (4): 305-11.
26. Timpka T, Eriksson H, Strömgren M, Eriksson O, Ekberg J, et al. (2010) A neighborhood susceptibility index for planning of local physical interventions in response to pandemic influenza outbreaks. AMIA Annu Symp Proc 13;2010: 792-6.
27. Halder N, Kelso JK, Milne GJ, (2011) Cost-Effective Strategies for Mitigating a Future Influenza Pandemic with H1N1 2009 Characteristics. PLoS ONE 6 (7): e22087 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0022087.
28. Reed C, Angulo FJ, Swerdlow DL, Lipsitch M, Meltzer MI, et al. (2009) Estimates of the prevalence of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, United States, April-July 2009. Emerg Infect Dis 15: 2004-2007.
29. Baguelin M, Hoschler K, Stanford E, Waight P, Hardelid P, et al. (2011) Age-specific incidence of A/H1N1 2009 influenza infection in England from sequential antibody prevalence data using likelihood-based estimation. PLoS ONE 23;6 (2): e17074.
30. Wu JT, Ho A, Ma ESK, Lee CK, Chu DKW, et al. (2011) Estimating Infection Attack Rates and Severity in Real Time during an Influenza Pandemic: Analysis of Serial Cross-Sectional Serologic Surveillance Data. PLoS Med 8 (10): e1001103 doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001103.