메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 68, 2012, Pages 456-469

Methods to infer transmission risk factors in complex outbreak data

Author keywords

Epidemiology; Expectation maximization; Infection disease; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Mathematical modelling; Statistics

Indexed keywords

BIOTECHNOLOGY; EPIDEMIOLOGY; STATISTICS;

EID: 84856897179     PISSN: 17425689     EISSN: 17425662     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0379     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (26)
  • 3
    • 0033479072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical studies of infectious disease incidence
    • doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00177
    • Becker, N. G. & Britton, T. 1999 Statistical studies of infectious disease incidence. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 61, 287-307. (doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00177)
    • (1999) J. R. Stat. Soc. B , vol.61 , pp. 287-307
    • Becker, N.G.1    Britton, T.2
  • 4
    • 0036847164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods
    • doi:10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00109-8
    • O'Neill, P. D. 2002 A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Math. Biosci. 180, 103-114. (doi:10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00109-8)
    • (2002) Math. Biosci. , vol.180 , pp. 103-114
    • O'Neill, P.D.1
  • 5
    • 0034354606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyses of infectious disease data from household outbreaks by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods
    • doi:10.1111/1467-9876.00210
    • O'Neill, P. D., Balding, D. J., Becker, N. G., Eerola, M. & Mollison, D. 2000 Analyses of infectious disease data from household outbreaks by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. J. R. Stat. Soc. C 49, 517-542. (doi:10.1111/1467- 9876.00210)
    • (2000) J. R. Stat. Soc. C , vol.49 , pp. 517-542
    • O'Neill, P.D.1    Balding, D.J.2    Becker, N.G.3    Eerola, M.4    Mollison, D.5
  • 6
    • 0033473456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics
    • doi:10.1111/1467-985X.00125
    • O'Neill, P. D. & Roberts, G. O. 1999 Bayesian inference for partially observed stochastic epidemics. J. R. Stat. Soc. A 162, 121-129. (doi:10.1111/1467-985X.00125)
    • (1999) J. R. Stat. Soc. A , vol.162 , pp. 121-129
    • O'Neill, P.D.1    Roberts, G.O.2
  • 7
    • 79952600976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza
    • doi:10.1073/pnas.1008895108
    • Cauchemez, S. et al. 2011 Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 108, 2825-2830. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1008895108)
    • (2011) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.108 , pp. 2825-2830
    • Cauchemez, S.1
  • 8
    • 7944235308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Bayesian MCMC approach to study transmission of influenza: Application to household longitudinal data
    • doi:10.1002/ sim.1912
    • Cauchemez, S., Carrat, F., Viboud, C., Valleron, A. J. & Boelle, P. Y. 2004 A Bayesian MCMC approach to study transmission of influenza: application to household longitudinal data. Stat. Med. 23, 3469-3487. (doi:10.1002/ sim.1912)
    • (2004) Stat. Med. , vol.23 , pp. 3469-3487
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Carrat, F.2    Viboud, C.3    Valleron, A.J.4    Boelle, P.Y.5
  • 9
    • 33748878361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating heterogeneity in pneumococcal transmission: A Bayesian-MCMC approach applied to a follow-up of schools
    • doi:10.1198/016214506000000230
    • Cauchemez, S., Temime, L., Guillemot, D., Varon, E., Valleron, A.-J., Thomas, G. & Boëlle, P.-Y. 2006 Investigating heterogeneity in pneumococcal transmission: a Bayesian-MCMC approach applied to a follow-up of schools. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 101, 946-958. (doi:10.1198/016214506000000230)
    • (2006) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.101 , pp. 946-958
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Temime, L.2    Guillemot, D.3    Varon, E.4    Valleron, A.-J.5    Thomas, G.6    Boëlle, P.-Y.7
  • 10
    • 70049109406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal variability and social heterogeneity in disease transmission: The case of SARS in Hong Kong
    • doi:10. 1371/journal.pcbi.1000471
    • Cori, A., Boelle, P. Y., Thomas, G., Leung, G. M. & Valleron, A. J. 2009 Temporal variability and social heterogeneity in disease transmission: the case of SARS in Hong Kong. Plos Comput. Biol. 5, e1000471. (doi:10. 1371/journal.pcbi.1000471)
    • (2009) Plos Comput. Biol. , vol.5
    • Cori, A.1    Boelle, P.Y.2    Thomas, G.3    Leung, G.M.4    Valleron, A.J.5
  • 11
    • 6944223150 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical inference and model selection for the 1861 Hagelloch measles epidemic
    • doi:10.1093/biostatis tics/5.2.249
    • Neal, P. J. & Roberts, G. O. 2004 Statistical inference and model selection for the 1861 Hagelloch measles epidemic. Biostatistics 5, 249-261. (doi:10.1093/biostatis tics/5.2.249)
    • (2004) Biostatistics , vol.5 , pp. 249-261
    • Neal, P.J.1    Roberts, G.O.2
  • 13
    • 0035807295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • doi:10.1038/35097116
    • Ferguson, N. M., Donnelly, C. A. & Anderson, R. M. 2001 Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413, 542-548. (doi:10.1038/35097116)
    • (2001) Nature , vol.413 , pp. 542-548
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 14
    • 0035955427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: Stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape
    • doi:10.1126/science.1065973
    • Keeling, M. J. et al. 2001 Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Science 294, 813-817. (doi:10.1126/science.1065973)
    • (2001) Science , vol.294 , pp. 813-817
    • Keeling, M.J.1
  • 15
    • 12444260277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of public health interventions
    • doi:10.1126/science.1086478
    • Riley, S. et al. 2003 Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science 300, 1961-1966. (doi:10.1126/science.1086478)
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 1961-1966
    • Riley, S.1
  • 16
    • 33748775204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating in real time the efficacy of measures to control emerging communicable diseases
    • doi:10.1093/aje/kwj274
    • Cauchemez, S., Boelle, P. Y., Thomas, G. & Valleron, A. J. 2006 Estimating in real time the efficacy of measures to control emerging communicable diseases. Am. J. Epidemiol. 164, 591-597. (doi:10.1093/aje/kwj274)
    • (2006) Am. J. Epidemiol. , vol.164 , pp. 591-597
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Boelle, P.Y.2    Thomas, G.3    Valleron, A.J.4
  • 18
    • 4544318829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures
    • doi:10.1093/aje/kwh255
    • Wallinga, J. & Teunis, P. 2004 Different epidemic curves for severe acute respiratory syndrome reveal similar impacts of control measures. Am. J. Epidemiol. 160, 509-516. (doi:10.1093/aje/kwh255)
    • (2004) Am. J. Epidemiol. , vol.160 , pp. 509-516
    • Wallinga, J.1    Teunis, P.2
  • 19
    • 77951637863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • doi:10.1371/journal.pone. 0000502
    • Chis-Ster, I. & Ferguson, N. M. 2007 Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. PLoS ONE 2, e502. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone. 0000502)
    • (2007) PLoS ONE , vol.2
    • Chis-Ster, I.1    Ferguson, N.M.2
  • 20
    • 0002629270 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm
    • with discussion
    • Dempster, A. P., Laird, N. M. & Rubin, D. B. 1977 Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm (with discussion). J. R. Stat. Soc. B 39, 1-38.
    • (1977) J. R. Stat. Soc. B , vol.39 , pp. 1-38
    • Dempster, A.P.1    Laird, N.M.2    Rubin, D.B.3
  • 21
    • 0000251971 scopus 로고
    • Maximum-likelihood-estimation via the ECM algorithm-a general framework
    • doi:10.1093/biomet/80.2.267
    • Meng, X. L. & Rubin, D. B. 1993 Maximum-likelihood-estimation via the ECM algorithm-a general framework. Biometrika 80, 267-278. (doi:10.1093/biomet/ 80.2.267)
    • (1993) Biometrika , vol.80 , pp. 267-278
    • Meng, X.L.1    Rubin, D.B.2
  • 22
    • 42049099048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data
    • doi:10.1038/nature06732
    • Cauchemez, S., Valleron, A. J., Boelle, P. Y., Flahault, A. & Ferguson,N.M. 2008 Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data. Nature 452, 750-754. (doi:10.1038/nature06732)
    • (2008) Nature , vol.452 , pp. 750-754
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Valleron, A.J.2    Boelle, P.Y.3    Flahault, A.4    Ferguson, N.M.5
  • 23
    • 63149132207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: The example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
    • doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2008.09.001
    • Chis Ster, I., Singh, B. K. & Ferguson, N. M. 2009 Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: the example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Epidemics 1, 21-34. (doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2008. 09.001)
    • (2009) Epidemics , vol.1 , pp. 21-34
    • Chis Ster, I.1    Singh, B.K.2    Ferguson, N.M.3
  • 25
    • 77952949093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The early transmission dynamics of H1N1pdm influenza in the United Kingdom
    • Version 19. 16 November 2009 [revised 2010 June 13]:PMC2780827
    • Ghani, A. et al. 2009 The early transmission dynamics of H1N1pdm influenza in the United Kingdom. Version 19. PLoS Currents: Influenza, 16 November 2009 [revised 2010 June 13]:PMC2780827.
    • (2009) PLoS Currents: Influenza
    • Ghani, A.1
  • 26
    • 12444346408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome
    • doi:10.1126/science.1086616
    • Lipsitch, M. et al. 2003 Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 300, 1966-1970. (doi:10.1126/science. 1086616)
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 1966-1970
    • Lipsitch, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.