Vulnerability of the Swiss electric power transmission grid against natural hazards

Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering

Volumn , Issue , 2011, Pages 1407-1414

  Raschke, Mathias ^a   Bilis, Evangelos ^a   Kröger, Wolfgang ^a  

^a ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPLEX NETWORKS; EARTHQUAKES; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION; HAZARDS; INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; STORMS;

ELECTRIC POWER INFRASTRUCTURE; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION GRIDS; GEOGRAPHICAL AREA; LARGE EARTHQUAKES; NATURAL PHENOMENA; NORMAL OPERATIONS; POWER TRANSMISSION GRIDS; TRANSMISSION GRIDS;

ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS;

EID: 84856740585     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1201/b11332-211     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (41)

1. Anagnos, T., Kostrom, D. 2000. Electrical substation equipment damage data base for updating fragility estimates. In: Proceedings of the 12 World Conference of Earthquake Engineering, Auckland, New Zealand 2000.
2. Bilis, V., Raschke, M., Kröger, W. 2010. Seismic Response of the Swiss Transmission Grid. Conference Proceedings ESREL2001, 5-9 September, Rhodes, Greece.
3. Chang, L., Wu, Z., Elnashai, A.S., Spencer, B.F. 2008. Performance and reliability of electrical power grids under cascading failures. In: Proceedings of the 14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), October 12-17, 2008, Beijing, China.
4. Coles, S.G. 1993. Regional modelling of extreme storms via Max-Stable Processes. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B 55: 797-816.
5. Della-Marta, P.M., Mathis, H., Frei, C., Liniger, M.A., Kleinn, J. 2009. The return period of wind storms over Europe. Int. J. Climatol. 29: 437-459.
6. Dueñas-Osorio, L.A. 2005. Interdependent Response of Networked Systems to Natural Hazards and Intentional Disruption. Dissertation, School of Civil Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology.
7. Dueñas-Osorio, L., Srivishnu, M.V. 2009. Cascading failures in complex infrastructure systems. Structural Safety 31: 157-167.
8. Fäh, D., Giardini, D., Bay, F., Bernardi, F., Braunmiller, J., Deichmann, N., Furrere, M., Gantner, L., Gisler, M., Isenegger, D., Jimenez, M.J., Kästli, P., Koglin, R., Masciadri, V., Rutz, M., Scheidegger, M., Schibler, R., Schorlemmer, D., Schwarz-Zanetti, G., Steimen, S., Sellami, S., Wiemer, S. and Wössner, J. (2003), Earthquake Catalogue of Switzerland (ECOS), http://histserver.ethz.ch/download/ECOS.pdf.
9. Giardini, D. Wiemer, S. Fäh, D. and Deichmann, N. 2004. Seismic hazard assessment of Switzerland, 2004. Swiss Seismological Service (SED), http://www.earth-quake.ethz.ch/research/Swiss-Hazard/Swiss-Hazard/downloads/ Hazard-report-2004.pdf
10. Grünthal, G. (Ed. 1998). European Macroseismic Scale 1998 (EMS-98). ESC Working Group «Macroseismic Scales»; GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam. http://www.gfz-potsdam.de/pb5/pb53/projekt/ems/index.html.
11. Hüsler, J. Reiss, R.D. 1989. Maxima of normal random vectors: between independence and complete dependence, Statist. Probab. Lett. 7: 283-286.
12. Interkantonaler Rückversicherungsverband (IRV) 2009. Schadenstatistiken-Elementarschäden 1999-2008. http://www.kgvonline.ch/ downloads.asp?pid=1&p=20(download05.01.2010.
13. Jungo, P., Goyette, S., Beniston, M. 2002. Daily wind gust speed probabilities over Switzerland according to three types of synaptic circulation. Int. J. Climatol. 22: 485-499.
14. Kabluchko, Z. 2009. Spectral representations of sum- and max-stable processes. Extremes 12:401-424.
15. Kabluchko, Z., Schlather, M., de Haan, L. 2009. Stationary max-stable fields associated to negative definite functions. The Annals of Probability 37: 2042-2065.
16. Keintzel, E. (2005). Über den Weg zur neuen deutschen Erd-bebennorm DIN 4149: 2005-04 (German). Bautechnik 82: 475-485.
17. Kendall, M.G., Gibbons, J.D. 1990. Rank Correlation Methods (5th edition). Arnold: London.
18. Kröger, W. 2008. Critical Infrastructures at Risk: A Need for a New Conceptual Approach and Extended Analytical Tools. In Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Elsevier, Vol. 93, No. 12, 12/08.
19. Lee, Y.J., Graf, W.P. 2008. Development of earthquake scenarios for use in earthquake risk analysis for lifeline systems. In proceedings of the 14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), October 12-17, 2008, Beijing, China.
20. Lindsay, B. 1988. Composite likelihood methods. Statistical Inference from Stochastic Processes. American Mathematical Society, Providence.
21. Munich-Re 2001. Winterstürme in Europa III(German, winter storms in Europe). MunichRe: Munich.
22. Oikawa, T., Fukushima, S., Takase, H., Uchiyama, T., Mu-ramatsu, K. 2001. Seismic reliability Evaluation of Electri-cal Power Transmission Systems and its effect on core damage frequency. Conference transactions of Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology 16 (SMiRT 16) Washington, DC August 12-17, 2001, paper 1569.
23. Raschke, M. 2006. Monetary earthquake risk-discussion of the modelling, the comparability and factors of influence. Proceeding of the First European Conference on Earth-quake Engineering and Seismology (1st ECEES), ID455.
24. Raschke, M. 2010. A model for the failure probability of components of electrical substations under seismic load. In proceedings of ICASP11, Switzerland, Zurich (submitted).
25. Reed, D., Preuss, J., Park, J. 2006. The influence of context on lifeline behavior: Local policies under wind storm and earthquake scenarios. Nat Hazards 39:289-307.
26. Rüttner, E. (1995). Earthquake Hazard Evaluation for Switzerland. Geophysique, No 29, Swiss Seismological Service (SED).
27. Schiesser, H.-H., Waldvogel, A., Willemse, S. 1997. Klimatologie der Stürme und Sturmsysteme anhand von Radar- und Schadendaten (German, climatology of storms and storm systems based on radar and damage data). Work report, vdf: Zürich.
28. Schlather, M. (2002). Models for stationary max-stable random fields. Extremes, 5(1):33-44.
29. Shen, B., Koval, D., Shen, S. 1999. Modelling Extreme-Weather-Related Transmission Line Outages. Proceedings of the 1999 IEEE Canadian Conference on Electrical and Computer Engineering. Edmonton, Alberta, Canada May 9-12, 1999.
30. Shinozuka, M. Dong, X., Chen, T.C., Jin, X. 2007. Seismic performance of electric transmission network under component failures. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 36: 227-244.
31. Smith, R.L. 1990. Max-stable process and spatial extremes. Unpublished manuscript (http://www.stat.unc.edu/postscript/rs/spatex.pdf).
32. Schwarz, G.E. 1978. Estimating the dimension of a model. Annals of Statistics 6: 461-464.
33. Schwierz, C., Köllner-Heck, P., Mutter, E.Z., Bresch, N., Vidale, P.-L., Wild, M., Schär, C. 2010. Modelling European winter wind storm losses in current and future climate. Climatic Change 101:485-514.
34. Stephens, M.A. 1986. Tests based on EDFstatistics. In: D'Agostino, R.B., Stephens, M.A: (ed.) Goodness-of-fit-techniques (Statistics: a Series of Textbooks and Monographs, Vol. 68), Marcel Dekker: Basel.
35. Tenhaus, P., Campbell, K. (2003). Seismic hazard analysis. Chapter 8 in: Chen, W.-F., Scawthorn, C. (Ed. 2003). Earthquake engineering handbook. CRC Press.
36. Vanzi, I. 1996. Seismic reliability of electric power networks: methodology and application. Structural Safety 18: 311-327.
37. Verband der Netzbetreiber (VDN) 2006. VDN-Verfügbarkeitsstatistik- Berichtsjahr 2005. (German, Avybility statistic-report period 2005). www.vdn-berlin.de.
38. Verband der Netzbetreiber (VDN) 2007. VDN-Verfügbarkeitsstatistik- Berichtsjahr 2006. (German, Avybility statistic-report period 2006). www.vdn-berlin.de.
39. Verband Schweizer Elektrizitätsunternehmen (VSE) 2007. Statistik 2006 über die Verfügbarkeit der Elektrizitätsversorgung der Schweiz (German, Statistic 2006 about the availability of power supply in Switzerland).
40. Walz, B. 2001. Simulation von Sturmschäden anhand historischer Windfelder im nordwestlichen und zentralen Europa-Ableitung eines Risiko-Indexes (German, Simulation of storm damage based on historical wind fields in northwestern and central Europe-derivation of a risk index). diploma at the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich.
41. Winkler, J., Dueñas-Osorio, L., Stein, R., Subramanian, D. 2010. Performance assessment of topologically diverse power system subjected to hurricane events. Reliability Engineering and System Safety 95: 323-336.