Extreme precipitation in Europe: Statistical threshold selection based on climatological criteria

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 107, Issue 3-4, 2012, Pages 479-489

  Anagnostopoulou, Christina ^a   Tolika, Konstantia ^a  

^a ARISTOTLE UNIVERSITY OF THESSALONIKI   (Greece)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; CYCLOGENESIS; CYCLONE; PARAMETERIZATION; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; RAINGAUGE; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; THRESHOLD;

EUROPE;

EID: 84856547354     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-011-0487-8     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Alexander LV, Zhang X, Peterson TC et al (2006) Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J Geophys Res 111(d5): D05109.
2. Alpert P, Neeman BU, Shay-El Y (1990a) Climatological analysis of Mediterranean cyclones using ECMWF data. Tellus 42A: 65-77.
3. Alpert P, Neeman BU, Shay-El Y (1990b) Intervariability of cyclone tracks in the Mediterranean. J Climate 3: 1474-1478.
4. Beguería S (2005) Uncertainties in partial duration series modelling of extremes related to the choice of the threshold value. J Hydrology 303: 215-230.
5. Beniston M, Stephenson DB, Christensen OB, Ferro CAT, Frei C, Halnaes GK, Holt T, Julhä K, Koffi B, Palutikof J, Schöll R, Semmler T, Woth K (2007) Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections. Clim Change 81: 71-95.
6. Coles SG (2001) An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values. Springer, New York.
7. Coles St, Tawn J (1996) A Bayesian analysis of extreme rainfall data. Appl Stat 45: 463-478.
8. Coles St, Pericchi LR, Sisson S (2003) A fully probabilistic approach to extreme rainfall modelling. J Hydrol 273: 35-50.
9. Cunnane C (1979) A note on the Poisson assumption in partial duration series models. Water Resour Res 15: 489-494.
10. Deidda R, Puliga M (2006) Sensitivity of goodness-of-fit statistics to rainfall data rounding off. Physics Chem Earth 31: 1240-1251.
11. Easterling DR, Evans JL, Groisman PYa, Karl TR, Kunkel KE, Ambenje P (2000) Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: a brief review. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 81(3): 417-425.
12. Frich P, Alexander LV, Della-Marta P, Gleason B, Haylock M, Tank AMGK, Peterson T (2002) Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim Res 19: 193-212.
13. IPCC (2007) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate change 2007. Working Group I: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, p. 996.
14. Irvine KN, Waylen PR (1986) Partial series analysis of high flows in Canadian rivers. Can Water Resour J 11(20): 83-91.
15. Klein Tank AMG, Können GP (2003) Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe, 1946-99. J Clim 16: 3665-3680.
16. Klein Tank AMG et al (2002) Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. Int J Climatol 22: 1441-1453.
17. Kotz S, Nadarajah S (1999) Extreme values distribution, theory and applications. Imperial College Press, London.
18. Kyselý J (2009) Trends in heavy precipitation in the Czech Republic over 1961-2005. Int J Climatol 29: 1745-1758.
19. Lang M, Ouarde TBMJ, Bobée B (1999) Towards operational guidelines for over-threshold modelling. J Hydrology 225: 103-117.
20. Li Y, Cai W, Campbell EP (2005) Statistical modelling of extreme rainfall in southwest western Australia. J Climate 18(6): 852-863.
21. 2 climate scenarios. Clim Res 22: 147-159.
22. Maheras P, (1983) Climatologie de la mer Egée et de ses marges continentales. Doctorat de été Université de Lille, France.
23. Maheras P, Flocas AH, Patrikas I, Chr A (2001) A 40 year objective climatology of surface cyclones in the Mediterranean region: spatial and temporal distribution. Int J Climatol 21: 109-130.
24. McNeil A, Saladin T (1997) The peaks over threshold method for estimating high quantiles of loss distributions. http://citeseer. ist. psu. edu/old/404832. html. Accessed May 2010.
25. Ribatet M (2007) A user's guide to the POT package. http://cranr-project. org/web/packages/POT/vignettes/POT. pdf. Accessed Jan 2011.
26. Rodrigo FS (2009) Changes in the probability of extreme daily precipitation observed from 1951 to 2002 in the Iberian Peninsula. Int J Climatol 30: 1512-1525. doi: 101002/joc1987.
27. Schmidli J, Frei C (2005) Trends of heavy precipitation and wet and dry spells in Switzerland during the 20th century. Int J Climatol 25: 753-771.
28. Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of the model simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Change 79: 185-211.
29. Trigo I, Davies T, Bigg G (1999) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region. J Climate 12: 1685-1696.
30. Waylen PR, Woo MK (1983) Stochastic analysis of high flows in some central British Columbia rivers. Can J Civil Engng 10(2): 639-648.
31. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic, New York.
32. Zolina O, Kapala A, Simmer C, Gulev SK (2004) Analysis of extreme precipitation over Europe from different reanalyses: a comparative assessment. Global & Planet Change 44: 129-161.