Nonlinear time-series approaches in characterizing mood stability and mood instability in bipolar disorder

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Volumn 279, Issue 1730, 2012, Pages 916-924

  Bonsall, M B ^a   Wallace Hadrill, S M A ^a   Geddes, J R ^a   Goodwin, G M ^a   Holmes, E A ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Autoregressive approaches; Bipolar disorder; Cognitive neuroscience; Mood variability; Nonlinear time series analysis

Indexed keywords

COGNITION; MENTAL HEALTH; MORBIDITY; NEUROLOGY; NONLINEARITY; PSYCHOLOGY; PUBLIC HEALTH; SYMPTOM; TIME SERIES;

EID: 84856291584     PISSN: 09628452     EISSN: 14712970     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2011.1246     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. American Psychiatric Association. 2000 Diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders: text revision, 4th edn. Washington, DC: American Psychiatric Association.
2. Merikangas, K. R. et al., 2011 Prevalence and correlates of bipolar spectrum disorder in the world mental health survey initiative. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 68, 241-251. (doi:10.1001/archgenpsychiatry.2011.12)
3. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. 2006 Bipolar disorder: the management of bipolar disorder in adults, children and adolescents, in primary and secondary care, London: National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence.
4. Hawton, K., Sutton, L., Haw, C., Sinclair, J. & Harriss, L. 2005 Suicide and attempted suicide in bipolar disorder: a systematic review of risk factors. J. Clin. Psychiatry, 66, 693-704. (doi:10.4088/JCP.v66n0604)
5. MacQueen, G. M., Marriott, M., Begin, H., Robb, J., Joffe, R. T. & Young, L. T. 2003 Subsyndromal symptoms assessed in longitudinal, prospective follow-up of a cohort of patients with bipolar disorder. Bipolar Disord., 5, 349-355. (doi:10.1034/j.1399-5618.2003.00048.x)
6. Henry, C., Van den Bulke, D., Bellivier, F., Roy, I., Swendsen, J., M'Baïlara, K., Siever, L. & Leboyer, M. 2008 Affective lability and affect intensity as core dimensions of bipolar disorders during euthymic period. Psychiatry Res., 159, 1-6. (doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2005.11.016)
7. Brotman, M. A. et al., 2006 Prevalence, clinical correlates, and longitudinal course of severe mood dysregulation in children. Biol. Psychiatry, 60, 991-997. (doi:10.1016/j. biopsych.2006.08.042)
8. Goodwin, G.M. 2003 Evidence-based guidelines for treating bipolar disorder: recommendations from the British Association for Psychopharmacology. J. Psychopharmacol., 17, 149-173. (doi:10.1177/0269881103017002003)
9. Maj, M., Pirozzi, R., Magliano, L. & Bartoli, L. 1998 Long-term outcome of lithium prophylaxis in bipolar disorder: a 5-year prospective study of 402 patients at a lithium clinic. Am. J. Psychiatry, 155, 30-35.
10. Geddes, J. R., Burgess, S., Hawton, K., Jamison, K. & Goodwin, G. M. 2004 Long-term lithium therapy for bipolar disorder: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials. Am. J. Psychiatry, 161, 217-222. (doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.161.2.217)
11. Goodwin, G. M., Bowden, C. L., Calabrese, J. R., Heinz, G., Kasper, S., White, R., Greene, P. & Leadbetter, R. 2004 A pooled analysis of 2 placebo-controlled 18-month trials of lamotrigine and lithium maintenance in bipolar I disorder. J. Clin. Psychiatry, 65, 432-441. (doi:10.4088/JCP.v65n0321)
12. Miklowitz, D. J., George, E. L., Richards, J. A., Simoneau, T. L. & Suddath, R. 2003 A randomized study of family-focused psychoeducation and pharmacotherapy in the outpatient management of bipolar disorder. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 60, 904-912. (doi:10. 1001/archpsyc.60.9.904)
13. Miklowitz, D. J. et al., 2007 Psychosocial treatments for bipolar depression: a 1-year randomized trial from the Systematic Treatment Enhancement Program. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 64, 419-426. (doi:10.1001/archpsyc.64.4.419)
14. Frank, E. et al., 2005 Two-year outcomes for interpersonal and social rhythm therapy in individuals with bipolar I disorder. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 62, 996-1004. (doi:10.1001/archpsyc.62.9.996)
15. Frank, E., Swartz, H. A. & Kupfer, D. J. 2000 Interpersonal and social rhythm therapy: managing the chaos of bipolar disorder. Biol. Psychiatry, 48, 593-604. (doi:10. 1016/S0006-3223(00)00969-0)
16. Colom, F. et al., 2003 A randomized trial on the efficacy of group psychoeducation in the prophylaxis of recurrences in bipolar patients whose disease is in remission. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 60, 402-407. (doi:10.1001/arch psyc.60.4.402)
17. Lam, D. H., Hayward, P., Watkins, E. R., Wright, K. & Sham, P. 2005 Relapse prevention in patients with bipolar disorder: cognitive therapy outcome after 2 years. Am. J. Psychiatry, 162, 324-329. (doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.162.2.324)
18. Scott, J., Paykel, E. S., Morriss, R., Kinderman, P., Johnson, T., Abbott, R. & Hayhurst, H. 2006 Cognitive-behavioural therapy for severe and recurrent bipolar disorders: randomised controlled trial. Br. J. Psychiatry, 188, 313-320. (doi:10.1192/bjp.188.4.313)
19. Craighead, W. E., Miklowitz, D. J., Frank, E. & Vajk, F. C. 2002 Psychosocial treatments for bipolar disorder. In A guide to treatments that work, (eds P. E. Nathan & J. M. Gorman), 2nd edn. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.
20. Miklowitz, D. J. 2008 Adjunctive psychotherapy for bipolar disorder: state of the evidence. Am. J. Psychiatry, 165, 1408-1419. (doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2008. 08040488)
21. Holmes, E. A., Geddes, J. R., Colom, F. & Goodwin, G. M. 2008 Mental imagery as an emotional amplifier: application to bipolar disorder. Behav. Res. Ther., 46, 1251-1258. (doi:10.1016/j.brat.2008.09.005)
22. Kessing, L. V., Andersen, P. K., Mortensen, P. B. & Bolwig, T. G. 1998 Recurrence in affective disorder. I. Case register study. Br. J. Psychiatry, 172, 23-28. (doi:10.1192/bjp.172.1.23)
23. Kessing, L. V., Hansen, M. G. & Andersen, P. K. 2004 Course of illness in depressive and bipolar disorders: naturalistic study, 1994-1999. Br. J. Psychiatry, 185, 372-377. (doi:10.1192/bjp.185.5.372)
24. Akiskal, H. S., Maser, J. D., Zeller, P. J., Endicott, J., Coryell, W., Keller, M., Warshaw, M., Clayton, P. & Goodwin, F. 1995 Switching from 'unipolar' to bipolar II. An 11-year prospective study of clinical and temperamental predictors in 559 patients. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 52, 114-123.
25. Johnson, S. L. 2005 Life events in bipolar disorder: towards more specific models. Clin. Psychol. Rev., 25, 1008-1027. (doi:10.1016/j.cpr.2005.06.004)
26. Scott, J. & Colom, F. 2008 Gaps and limitations of psychological interventions for bipolar disorders. Psychother. Psychosom., 22, 4-11. (doi:10.1159/000110054)
27. Harvey, A. G. 2008 Sleep and circadian rhythms in bipolar disorder: seeking synchrony, harmony, and regulation. Am. J. Psychiatry, 165, 820-829. (doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2008.08010098)
28. Bopp, M. J., Miklowitz, D. J., Goodwin, G. M., Rendell, J. M. & Geddes, J. R. 2010 The longitudinal course of bipolar disorder as revealed through weekly text messaging: a feasibility study. Bipolar Disord., 12, 327-334. (doi:10.1111/j.1399-5618.2010.00807.x)
29. Geddes, J. R. 2008 Let your thumbs do the talking. Case study: Oxford University Department of Psychiatry, Oxford: Oxfordshire and Buckinghamshire Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust (26 September 2008). See http://www.institute.nhs.uk/images/documents/ NHS%20Live/NHS%20LIVE%20Case%20Studies%20 Let%20your%20thumbs%20do%20the%20talking.pdf.
30. Malik, A., Goodwin, G. M. & Holmes, E. A. In press. Contemporary approaches to frequent mood monitoring in bipolar disorder. J. Exp. Psychopathol.
31. Gottschalk, A., Bauer, M. S. & Whybrow, P. C. 1995 Evidence of chaotic mood variation in bipolar disorder. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 52, 947-959.
32. Glenn, T., Whybrow, P. C., Rasgon, N., Grof, P., Alda, M., Baethge, C. & Bauer, M. 2006 Approximate entropy of self-reported mood prior to episodes in bipolar disorder. Bipolar Disord., 8, 424-429. (doi:10.1111/j. 1399-5618.2006.00373.x)
33. Ebner-Priemer, U. W., Eid, M., Kleindeinst, N., Stabenow, S. & Trull, T. J. 2009 Analytic strategies for understanding affective (in)stability and other dynamic processes in psychopathology. J. Abnorm. Psychol., 118, 195-202. (doi:10.1037/a0014868)
34. Tong, H. 1990 Non-linear time series., Oxford: Clarendon Press.
35. Holmes, E. A., Deeprose, C., Fairburn, C. G., Wallace-Hadrill, S. M. A., Bonsall, M. B., Geddes, J. R. & Goodwin, G. M. 2011 Mood stability versus mood instability in bipolar disorder: a possible role for emotional mental imagery. Behav. Res. Ther, (doi:10. 1016/j.brat.2011.06.008)
36. Judd, L. L., Schettler, P. J., Akiskal, H. S., Maser, J., Coryell, W., Solomon, D., Endicott, J. & Keller, M. 2003 Long-term symptomatic status of bipolar I versus bipolar II disorders. Int. J. Neuropsychopharmacol., 6, 127-137. (doi:10.1017/S1461145703003341)
37. Kupka, R. W. et al., 2007 Three times more days depressed than manic or hypomanic in both bipolar I and bipolar II disorder. Bipolar Disord., 9, 531-535. (doi:10.1111/j.1399-5618.2007.00467.x)
38. Rush, J. et al., 2003 The 16-item quick inventory of depressive symptomatology (QIDS), clinician rating (QIDS-C), and self-report (QIDS-SR): a psychometric evaluation in patients with chronic major depression. Biol. Psychiatry, 54, 573-583. (doi:10.1016/S0006-3223(02)01866-8)
39. Altman, E. G., Hedeker, D., Peterson, J. L. & Davis, J. M. 1997 The Altman self-rating mania scale. Biol. Psychiatry, 42, 948-955. (doi:10.1016/S0006-3223(96) 00548-3)
40. Spielberger, C. D., Gorsuch, R. L., Lushene, R., Vagg, P. R. & Jacobs, G. A. 1983 Manual for state-trait anxiety inventory, Palo Alto, CA: Consulting Psychologists Press.
41. R Development Core Team. 2011 R: a language and environment for statistical computing, Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing.
42. Bernstein, I. H., Rush, A. J., Carmody, T. J., Woo, A. & Trivedi, M. H. 2007 Clinical versus self-report versions of the quick inventory of depressive symptomatology in a public sector sample. J. Psychiatry Res., 41, 239-246. (doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2006.04.001)
43. Rush, A. J. et al., 2006 An evaluation of the quick inventory of depressive symptomatology and the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression: a sequenced treatment alternatives to relieve depression trial report. Biol. Psychiatry, 59, 493-501. (doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2005.08.022)
44. Hamilton, J. D. 1994 Time series analysis, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
45. Akaike, H. 1974 A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans. Automatic Control, 19, 716-723. (doi:10.1109/TAC.1974.1100705)
46. Burnham, K. P. & Anderson, D. 2002 Model selection and multi-model inference, London: Springer.
47. Glass, L. & Mackey, M. C. 1988 From clocks to chaos: the rhythms of life, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
48. Benedetti, F., Barbini, B., Campori, E., Colombo, C. & Smeraldi, E. 1998 Patterns of mood variation during antidepressant treatment. J. Affect. Disord., 49, 133-139. (doi:10.1016/S0165-0327(98)00013-5)
49. Yeragani, V. K., Pohl, R., Mallavarapu, M. & Balon, R. 2003 Approximate entropy of symptoms of mood: an effective technique to quantify regularity of mood. Bipolar Disord., 5, 279-286. (doi:10.1034/j.1399-5618.2003.00012.x)
50. Wehr, T. A., Sack, D., Rosenthal, N., Duncan, W. & Gillin, J. C. 1983 Circadian rhythm disturbances in manic-depressive illness. Federation Proc., 42, 2809-2814.
51. Wehr, T. A., Turner, E. H., Shimada, J. M., Lowe, C. H., Barker, C. & Leibenluft, E. 1998 Treatment of a rapidly cycling bipolar patient by using extended bed rest and darkness to stabilize the timing and duration of sleep. Biol. Psychiatry, 43, 822-828. (doi:10.1016/S0006-3223(97)00542-8)
52. Eastwood, M. R., Whitton, J. L., Kramer, P. M. & Peter, A. M. 1985 Infradian rhythms: a comparison of affective disorders and normal persons. Arch. Gen. Psychiatry, 42, 295-299.
53. Bauer, M., Glenn, T., Alda, M., Grof, P., Sagduyu, K., Bauer, R., Lewitzka, U. & Whybrow, P. C. 2011 Comparison of pre-episode and pre-remission states using mood ratings from patients with bipolar disorder. Pharmacopsychiatry, 44, S49-S53. (doi:10.1055/s-0031-1273765)
54. Provenzale, A., Smith, L. A., Vio, R. & Murante, G. 1992 Distinguishing between low-dimensional dynamics and randomness in measured time series. Physica D, 58, 31-49. (doi:10.1016/0167-2789(92)90100-2)
55. Smith, R. L. 1992 Estimating dimension in noisy chaotic time series. J. R. Stat. Soc. B, 54, 329-351.