Modeling the hydroclimatology of the midwestern United States. Part 2: Future climate

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 38, Issue 3-4, 2012, Pages 595-611

  Winter, Jonathan M ^a,b   Eltahir, Elfatih A B ^a  

^a MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^b NASA GODDARD INSTITUTE FOR SPACE STUDIES   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Hydrology; Midwestern United States; Regional climate modeling; Soil moisture

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC CONVECTION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; HYDROLOGY; LONGWAVE RADIATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SOIL MOISTURE;

MIDWEST; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84856251552     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1183-1     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Arakawa A, Schubert WH (1974) Interaction of a cumulus cloud ensemble with large-scale environment, Part 1. J Atmos Sci 31: 674-701.
2. Dickinson R, Henderson-Sellers A, Kennedy P (1993) Biosphere atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) version 1E as coupled to the NCAR community climate model. Technical Note TN-387+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research.
3. Diffenbaugh NS, Ashfaq M (2010) Intensification of hot extremes in the united states. Geophys Res Lett 37: L15+701.
4. Foley JA, Prentice IC, Ramankutty N, Levis S, Pollard D, Sitch S, Haxeltine A (1996) An integrated biosphere model of land surface processes, terrestrial carbon balance, and vegetation dynamics. Global Biogeochem Cycles 10: 603-628.
5. Fritsch JM, Chappell CF (1980) Numerical prediction of convectively driven mesoscale pressure systems part I: convective parameterizations. J Atmos Sci 37: 1722-1733.
6. Grell GA, Dudhia J, Stauffer D (1994) A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5). Technical Note TN-398+IA, National Center for Atmospheric Research.
7. Harrison P, Bruinsma J, de Haen H, Alexandratos N, Schmidhuber J, Bödeker G, Ottaviani MG (2002) World agriculture: Towards 2015/2030. Online, http://www. fao. org/documents/.
8. Karl TR, Melillo JM, Peterson TC (eds) (2009) Global climate change impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
9. Liang XZ, Pan J, Zhu J, Kunkel KE, Wang JXL, Dai A (2006) Regional climate model downscaling of the U. S. summer climate and future change. J Geophys Res 111: D10, 108.
10. Manabe S, Wetherald RT (2002) Simulation of hydrologic changes associated with global warming. J Geophys Res 107: 4379.
11. 2 concentration. Clim Change 3: 347-386.
12. 2 quadrupling experiment. Clim Change 64: 59-76.
13. Meehl GA, Washington WM (1988) A comparison of soil-moisture sensitivity in two global climate models. J Atmos Sci 45: 1476-1492.
14. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenhann J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grübler A, Jung TY, Kram T, La Rovere EL, Michaelis L, Mori S, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Price L, Raihi K, Roehrl A, Rogner HH, Sankovski A, Schlesinger M, Shukla P, Smith S, Swart R, van Rooijen S, Victor N, Dadi Z (2000) IPCC special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
15. Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X, Elguindi N, Solmon F, Gao X, Rauscher SA, Francisco R, Zakey A, Winter J, Ashfaq M, Syed FS, Bell JL, Diffenbaugh NS, Karmacharya J, Konaré A, Martinez D, Da Rocha RP, Sloan LC, Steiner AL (2007) Regional climate modeling for the developing world: the ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 88: 1395-1409.
16. Ramankutty N (1999) Estimating historical changes in land cover: North American croplands from 1850 to 1992. Global Ecol Biogeogr 8: 381-396.
17. Randall DA, Wood RA, Bony S, Colman R, Fichefet T, Fyfe J, Kattsov V, Pitman A, Shukla J, Srinivasan J, Stouffer RJ, Sumi A, Taylor KE (2007) Climate models and their evaluation. In: Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
18. Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Yang XB, Epstein PR, Chivian E (2001) Climate change and extreme weather events: implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global Change Human Health 2: 90-104.
19. Schär C, Frei C, Lüthi D, Davies H (1996) Surrogate climate-change scenarios for regional climate models. Geophys Res Lett 23: 669-672.
20. Seneviratne SI, Pal JS, Eltahir EAB, Schär C (2002) Summer dryness in a warmer climate: a process study with a regional climate model. Clim Dyn 20: 69-85.
21. USGS (1996) Global 30-Arc Second elevation dataset (GTOPO30). Online, http://edc. usgs. gov/products/elevation/gtopo30/gtopo30. html.
22. Wang G (2005) Agricultural drought in a future climate: results from 15 global climate models participating the the 4th assessment. Clim Dyn 25: 739-753.
23. Winter JM, Pal JS, Eltahir EAB (2009) Coupling of integrated biosphere simulator to regional climate model version 3. J Clim 22: 2743-2757.
24. Wuebbles DJ, Hayhoe K (2004) Climate chance projections for the United States midwest. Mitig Adapt Strat Global Change 9: 335-363.