Improved coastal precipitation forecasts with direct assimilation of GOES-11/12 imager radiances

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 139, Issue 12, 2011, Pages 3711-3729

  Zou, Xiaolei ^a   Qin, Zhengkun ^a,b   Weng, Fuzhong ^c  

^a FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b NANJING UNIVERSITY OF INFORMATION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (China)

^c OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS   (United States)

Author keywords

Data assimilation; Diagnostics; Forecast verification; Hindcasts; Numerical weather prediction forecasting; Satellite observations

Indexed keywords

ANALYSIS SYSTEM; COASTAL PRECIPITATION; COASTAL STORM; COMMUNITY RADIATIVE TRANSFER MODELS; CONVECTIVE INITIATION; CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION; DATA ASSIMILATION; DATA ASSIMILATION TECHNIQUES; EAST COAST; GEOSTATIONARY OPERATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL SATELLITES; GULF OF MEXICO; HINDCASTS; MIDLATITUDES; MODEL DESCRIPTION; NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTIONS; NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO; NOWCASTING; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; PRECIPITATION FORECAST; QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST; SATELLITE DATA; SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS; SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS; STATISTICAL INTERPOLATION; TEMPORAL RESOLUTION; TIME WINDOWS; USER COMMUNITIES; WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODELS;

DATA PROCESSING; GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITES; PLASMA DIAGNOSTICS; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); RADIATIVE TRANSFER; SATELLITE IMAGERY; WATER VAPOR;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

COASTAL ZONE; DATA ASSIMILATION; GOES; HINDCASTING; NUMERICAL MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RADIATIVE TRANSFER; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SPATIAL RESOLUTION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 84855778124     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-10-05040.1     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Andersson, E., J. Pailleux, J.-N. Thépaut, J. R. Eyre, A. P. McNally, G. A. Kelly, and P. Courtier, 1994: Use of cloudcleared radiances in three/four-dimensional variational data assimilation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 120, 627-653.
2. Brill, K., and F. Mesinger, 2009: Applying a general analytic method for assessing bias sensitivity to bias-adjusted threat and equitable threat scores. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1748-1754.
3. Derber, J. C., and W.-S. Wu, 1998: The use of TOVS cloud-cleared radiances in the NCEP SSI analysis system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2287-2299.
4. Eyre, J. R., G. Kelly, A. P. McNally, E. Andersson, and A. Persson, 1993: Assimilation of TOVS radiance information through one-dimensional variational analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 1427-1463.
5. Goerss, J. S., C. S. Velden, and J. D. Hawkins, 1998: The impact of multispectral GOES-8 wind information on Atlantic tropical cyclone forecasts in 1995. Part II: NOGAPS forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1219-1227.
6. Han, Y., F. Weng, Q. Liu, and P. van Delst, 2007: A fast radiative transfer model for SSMIS upper atmosphere sounding channels. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11121, doi:10.1029/2006JD008208.
7. Hong, S. Y., and J. Dudhia, 2003: Testing of a new non-local boundary layer vertical diffusion scheme in numerical weather prediction applications. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20.3. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/72744.pdf.].
8. Hong, S. Y., and J.-O. J. Lim, 2006: The WRF single-moment 6-class microphysics scheme (WSM6). J. Kor. Meteor. Soc., 42, 129-151.
9. Junker, N.W., J.E.Hoke, B. E. Sullivan, K. F. Brill,andF. J.Hughes, 1992: Seasonal and geographic variations in quantitative precipitation prediction by NMC's nested-grid model and medium- range forecast model. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 410-429.
10. Kain, J. S., 2004: The Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization: An update. J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 170-181.
11. Kain, J. S.,. and J. M. Fritsch, 1990: A one-dimensional entraining/detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2784-2802.
12. Kain, J. S.,. and J. M. Fritsch, 1993: Convective parameterization for mesoscale models: The Kain-Fritsch scheme. The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models, Meteor. Monogr., No. 46, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 165-170.
13. Köpken, C., G. Kelly, and J.-N. Thépaut, 2004: Assimilation of Meteosat radiance data within the 4D-Var system at ECMWF: Assimilation experiments and forecast impact. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 2277-2292.
14. McMillin, L., and H. Fleming, 1976: Atmospheric transmittance model of an absorbing gas: A computationally fast and accurate model for absorbing gases with constant mixing ratios in inhomogeneous atmospheres. Appl. Opt., 15, 358-363.
15. Nieman, S. J., J. Schmetz, and W. P. Menzel, 1993:Acomparison of several techniques to assign heights to cloud tracers. J. Appl. Meteor., 32, 1559-1568.
16. NOAA/NESDIS, 2010: The GOES-14 Science Test: Imager and sounder radiance and product validations. NOAA Tech. Rep. NESDIS 131, 120 pp.
17. Purser, R. J., W.-S. Wu, D. F. Parrish, and N. M. Roberts, 2003a: Numerical aspects of the application of recursive filters to variational statistical analysis. Part I: Spatially homogeneous and isotropic Gaussian covariances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1524-1535.
18. Purser, R. J., W.-S. Wu, D. F. Parrish, and N. M. Roberts, 2003b: Numerical aspects of the application of recursive filters to variational statistical analysis. Part II: Spatially inhomogeneous and anisotropic general covariances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1536-1548.
19. Rao, P. A., C. S. Velden, and S. A. Braun, 2002: The vertical error characteristics of GOES-derived winds: Description and experiments with numerical weather prediction. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 253-271.
20. Saunders, R. W., M. Matricardi, and P. Brunel, 1999: An improved fast radiative transfer model for assimilation of satellite radiance observations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 1407-1425.
21. Saunders, R., Coauthors, 2007: A comparison of radiative transfer models for simulating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) radiance. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D01S90, doi:10.1029/2006JD007088.
22. Soden, B. J., C. S. Velden, and R. E. Tuleya, 2001: The impact of satellite winds on experimental GFDL hurricane model forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 835-852.
23. Stengel, M., P. Undén, M. Lindskog, P. Dahlgren, N. Gustafsson, and R. Bennartz, 2009: Assimilation of SEVIRI infrared radiances with HIRLAM 4D-Var. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 2100-2109.
24. Su, X., J. Derber, J. Jung, Y. Tahara, D. Keyser, and R. Treadon, 2003: The usage of GOES imager clear-sky radiance in the NCEP global data assimilation system. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Satellite Meteorological and Oceanography, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.20. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/56361.pdf.].
25. Szyndel, M. D. E., J.-N. Thépaut, and G. Kelly, 2005: Evaluation of potential benefit of SEVIRI water vapour radiance data from Meteosat-8 into global numerical weather prediction analyses. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 6, 105-111.
26. Tomassini, M., G. Kelly, and R. Saunders, 1999: Use and impact of satellite atmospheric motion winds on ECMWF analyses and forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 971-986.
27. Velden, C. S., 1996: Winds derived from geostationary satellite moisture channel observations: Applications and impact on numerical weather prediction.Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 60, 37-46.
28. Velden, C. S., C. M. Hayden, S. J. Nieman, W. P. Menzel, S. Wazong, and J. S. Goerss, 1997: Upper-tropospheric winds derived from geostationary satellite water vapor observations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 173-195.
29. Velden, C. S., T. L. Olander, and S. Wazong, 1998: The impact of multispectral GOES-8 wind information on Atlantic tropical cyclone track forecasts in 1995. Part I: Dataset methodology, description, and case analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1202-1218.
30. Weng, F., 2007: Advances in radiative transfer modeling in support of satellite data assimilation. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 3799-3807.
31. Wu, W.-S., R. J. Purser, and D. F. Parrish, 2002: Three-dimensional variational analysis with spatially inhomogeneous covariances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2905-2916.
32. Zou, X., and Y.-H. Kuo, 1996: Rainfall assimilation through an optimal control of initial and boundary conditions in a limitedarea mesoscale model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2859-2882.