메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 205-222

Quantifying likely cetacean range shifts in response to global climatic change: Implications for conservation strategies in a changing world

Author keywords

Cetaceans; Conservation; Ecological niche model; Global climate change; Range changes; Water temperature

Indexed keywords

CETACEAN; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; GLOBAL CLIMATE; NUMERICAL MODEL; SPECIES CONSERVATION; WATER TEMPERATURE;

EID: 83055180056     PISSN: 18635407     EISSN: 16134796     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/esr00376     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (29)

References (54)
  • 2
    • 0032546016 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming
    • Davis AJ, Jenkinson LS, Lawron JH, Shorrocks B, Wood S (1998) Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature 391: 783-786
    • (1998) Nature , vol.391 , pp. 783-786
    • Davis, A.J.1    Jenkinson, L.S.2    Lawron, J.H.3    Shorrocks, B.4    Wood, S.5
  • 3
    • 0033749212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Classification and regression trees: a powerful yet simple technique for ecological data analysis
    • De'ath G, Fabricius KE (2000) Classification and regression trees: a powerful yet simple technique for ecological data analysis. Ecology 81: 3178-3192
    • (2000) Ecology , vol.81 , pp. 3178-3192
    • De'ath, G.1    Fabricius, K.E.2
  • 4
    • 83055166328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • DEFRA. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, London
    • DEFRA (2009) UK small cetacean bycatch response strategy. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, London
    • (2009) UK small cetacean bycatch response strategy
  • 5
    • 0042200580 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and nature reserves: examining the potential impacts, with examples from Great Britain
    • Dockerty T, Lovett A, Watkinson A (2003) Climate change and nature reserves: examining the potential impacts, with examples from Great Britain. Glob Environ Change 13: 125-135
    • (2003) Glob Environ Change , vol.13 , pp. 125-135
    • Dockerty, T.1    Lovett, A.2    Watkinson, A.3
  • 6
    • 0000404405 scopus 로고
    • Common dolphin, white-bellied porpoise Delphinus delphis Linnaeus, 1758
    • Ridgway SH, Harrison R (eds). Academic Press, San Diego, CA
    • Evans WE (1994) Common dolphin, white-bellied porpoise Delphinus delphis Linnaeus, 1758. In: Ridgway SH, Harrison R (eds) Handbook of marine mammals, Vol 5. Academic Press, San Diego, CA
    • (1994) Handbook of marine mammals , vol.5
    • Evans, W.E.1
  • 7
    • 83055166330 scopus 로고
    • Report on Cetacea stranded on the British coast from 1948 and 1947. No. 13
    • Fraser FC (1974) Report on Cetacea stranded on the British coast from 1948 and 1947. No. 13. British Museum, Natural History, London
    • (1974)
    • Fraser, F.C.1
  • 8
    • 0034610199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology
    • Guisan A, Zimmermann NE (2000) Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Model 135: 147-186
    • (2000) Ecol Model , vol.135 , pp. 147-186
    • Guisan, A.1    Zimmermann, N.E.2
  • 9
    • 0036881695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate changeintegrated conservation strategies
    • Hannah L, Midgley GF, Millar D (2002) Climate changeintegrated conservation strategies. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 11: 485-495
    • (2002) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.11 , pp. 485-495
    • Hannah, L.1    Midgley, G.F.2    Millar, D.3
  • 11
    • 33845270432 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions
    • Hijmans R, Graham CH (2006) The ability of climate envelope models to predict the effect of climate change on species distributions. Glob Change Biol 12: 2272-2281
    • (2006) Glob Change Biol , vol.12 , pp. 2272-2281
    • Hijmans, R.1    Graham, C.H.2
  • 13
    • 0004116492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summary for policymakers
    • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z and others (eds). IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007) Summary for policymakers. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z and others (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 18
    • (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis , pp. 18
  • 14
    • 83055193247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • IWC. Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission (IWC), SC/61/Rep 4, Siena
    • IWC (2009) Draft report of the workshop on cetaceans and climate change. Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission (IWC), SC/61/Rep 4, Siena
    • (2009) Draft report of the workshop on cetaceans and climate change
  • 15
    • 64549112592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution of common dolphins (Delphinus spp) in the western Atlantic Ocean: a critical re-examination
    • Jefferson TA, Fertl D, Bolaños-Jiménenz J, Zerbini AN (2009) Distribution of common dolphins (Delphinus spp.) in the western Atlantic Ocean: a critical re-examination. Mar Biol 156: 1109-1124
    • (2009) Mar Biol , vol.156 , pp. 1109-1124
    • Jefferson, T.A.1    Fertl, D.2    Bolaños-Jiménenz, J.3    Zerbini, A.N.4
  • 16
    • 0038656472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios
    • Johns TC, Gregory JM, Ingram WJ, Johnson CE and others (2003) Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios. Clim Dyn 20: 583-612
    • (2003) Clim Dyn , vol.20 , pp. 583-612
    • Johns, T.C.1    Gregory, J.M.2    Ingram, W.J.3    Johnson, C.E.4
  • 19
    • 33749498068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Habitat, environment and niche: What are we modelling?
    • Kearney M (2006) Habitat, environment and niche: What are we modelling? Oikos 115: 186-191
    • (2006) Oikos , vol.115 , pp. 186-191
    • Kearney, M.1
  • 20
    • 62149086187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species ranges
    • Kearney M, Porter W (2009) Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species ranges. Ecol Lett 12: 334-350
    • (2009) Ecol Lett , vol.12 , pp. 334-350
    • Kearney, M.1    Porter, W.2
  • 21
    • 67349244273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distribution, encounter rates, and habitat characteristics of toothed cetaceans in the Bay of Biscay and adjacent waters from platform-of-opportunity data
    • Kiszka J, Macleod K, Van Canneyt O, Walker D, Ridoux V (2007) Distribution, encounter rates, and habitat characteristics of toothed cetaceans in the Bay of Biscay and adjacent waters from platform-of-opportunity data. ICES J Mar Sci 64: 1033-1043
    • (2007) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.64 , pp. 1033-1043
    • Kiszka, J.1    Macleod, K.2    Van Canneyt, O.3    Walker, D.4    Ridoux, V.5
  • 24
    • 35448938102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals
    • Levinsky I, Skov F, Svenning JC, Rahbek C (2007) Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals. Biodivers Conserv 16: 3803-3816
    • (2007) Biodivers Conserv , vol.16 , pp. 3803-3816
    • Levinsky, I.1    Skov, F.2    Svenning, J.C.3    Rahbek, C.4
  • 25
    • 68149168718 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climate change, range changes and potential implications for the conservation of marine cetaceans: a review and synthesis
    • MacLeod CD (2009) Global climate change, range changes and potential implications for the conservation of marine cetaceans: a review and synthesis. Endang Species Res 7: 125-136
    • (2009) Endang Species Res , vol.7 , pp. 125-136
    • MacLeod, C.D.1
  • 26
    • 44649178812 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographic and temporal variations in strandings of beaked whales (Ziphiidae) on the coasts of the UK and Republic of Ireland from 1800-2002
    • MacLeod CD, Pierce GJ, Santos MB (2004) Geographic and temporal variations in strandings of beaked whales (Ziphiidae) on the coasts of the UK and Republic of Ireland from 1800-2002. J Cetacean Res Manag 6: 1-8
    • (2004) J Cetacean Res Manag , vol.6 , pp. 1-8
    • MacLeod, C.D.1    Pierce, G.J.2    Santos, M.B.3
  • 29
    • 14344266159 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Odontocete stranding patterns in the main Hawaiian Islands (1937-2002): How do they compare with live animal surveys?
    • Maldini D, Mazzuca L, Atkinson S (2005) Odontocete stranding patterns in the main Hawaiian Islands (1937-2002): How do they compare with live animal surveys? Pac Sci 59: 55-67
    • (2005) Pac Sci , vol.59 , pp. 55-67
    • Maldini, D.1    Mazzuca, L.2    Atkinson, S.3
  • 30
    • 33749265774 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and biodiversity: some considerations in forecasting shifts in species' potential distributions
    • Martínez-Meyer E (2005) Climate change and biodiversity: some considerations in forecasting shifts in species' potential distributions. Biodiv Inform 2: 42-55
    • (2005) Biodiv Inform , vol.2 , pp. 42-55
    • Martínez-Meyer, E.1
  • 33
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 34
    • 0141856572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimatic envelope models useful?
    • Pearson RG, Dawson TP (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: Are bioclimatic envelope models useful? Glob Ecol Biogeogr 12: 361-371
    • (2003) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.12 , pp. 361-371
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.P.2
  • 35
    • 0022385895 scopus 로고
    • The greenhouse effect and nature reserves
    • Peters RL, Darling JDS (1985) The greenhouse effect and nature reserves. Bioscience 35: 707-717
    • (1985) Bioscience , vol.35 , pp. 707-717
    • Peters, R.L.1    Darling, J.D.S.2
  • 36
    • 80054909441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The high fidelity of the cetacean stranding record: insights into measuring diversity by inte -grating taphonomy and macroecology
    • Pyenson ND (2011) The high fidelity of the cetacean stranding record: insights into measuring diversity by inte -grating taphonomy and macroecology. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 278:3608-3616
    • (2011) Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci , vol.278 , pp. 3608-3616
    • Pyenson, N.D.1
  • 37
    • 19444376850 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying priority areas for bioclimatic representation under climate change: a case study for Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa
    • Pyke CR, Andelman SJ, Midgley G (2005) Identifying priority areas for bioclimatic representation under climate change: a case study for Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa. Biol Conserv 125: 1-9
    • (2005) Biol Conserv , vol.125 , pp. 1-9
    • Pyke, C.R.1    Andelman, S.J.2    Midgley, G.3
  • 43
    • 77952295381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and a poleward shift in the distribution of the Pacific whitesided dolphin in the northeastern Pacific
    • Salvadeo CJ, Lluch-Belda D, Gómez-Gallardo A, Urbán-Ramírez J, MacLeod CD (2010) Climate change and a poleward shift in the distribution of the Pacific whitesided dolphin in the northeastern Pacific. Endang Species Res 11: 13-19
    • (2010) Endang Species Res , vol.11 , pp. 13-19
    • Salvadeo, C.J.1    Lluch-Belda, D.2    Gómez-Gallardo, A.3    Urbán-Ramírez, J.4    MacLeod, C.D.5
  • 44
    • 0000678781 scopus 로고
    • Stranded whale records for the entire British coastline, 1967-1966
    • Sheldrick MC (1989) Stranded whale records for the entire British coastline, 1967-1966. Invest Cetacea 22: 298-329
    • (1989) Invest Cetacea , vol.22 , pp. 298-329
    • Sheldrick, M.C.1
  • 45
    • 33847643237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impacts of climate change on marine mammals: early signs of significant problems
    • Simmonds MP, Isaac SJ (2007) The impacts of climate change on marine mammals: early signs of significant problems. Oryx 41: 19-26
    • (2007) Oryx , vol.41 , pp. 19-26
    • Simmonds, M.P.1    Isaac, S.J.2
  • 46
    • 63849265530 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting future shifts in species diversity
    • Svenning JC, Kerr J, Rahbek C (2009) Predicting future shifts in species diversity. Ecography 32: 3-4
    • (2009) Ecography , vol.32 , pp. 3-4
    • Svenning, J.C.1    Kerr, J.2    Rahbek, C.3
  • 47
    • 0038580557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Protected areas and climate change: a case study of the cacti in the Tehuacán-Cuicatlán biosphere reserve, México
    • Téllez-Valdés O, Dávila-Aranda P (2003) Protected areas and climate change: a case study of the cacti in the Tehuacán-Cuicatlán biosphere reserve, México. Conserv Biol 17: 846-853
    • (2003) Conserv Biol , vol.17 , pp. 846-853
    • Téllez-Valdés, O.1    Dávila-Aranda, P.2
  • 48
    • 77953150619 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate, climate change and range boundaries
    • Thomas CD (2010) Climate, climate change and range boundaries. Divers Distrib 16: 488-495
    • (2010) Divers Distrib , vol.16 , pp. 488-495
    • Thomas, C.D.1
  • 50
    • 83055197273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UNEP/CMS. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)/Secretariat of the Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS), Bonn
    • UNEP/CMS (2006) Migratory species and climate change: impacts of a changing environment on wild animals. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)/Secretariat of the Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS), Bonn
    • (2006) Migratory species and climate change: impacts of a changing environment on wild animals
  • 51
    • 0037187586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological responses to recent climate change
    • Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A and others (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395
    • (2002) Nature , vol.416 , pp. 389-395
    • Walther, G.R.1    Post, E.2    Convey, P.3    Menzel, A.4
  • 52
    • 0034977259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cetaceans of the Atlantic Frontier, north and west of Scotland
    • Weir CA, Pollock C, Cronin C, Taylor S (2001) Cetaceans of the Atlantic Frontier, north and west of Scotland. Cont Shelf Res 21: 1047-1071
    • (2001) Cont Shelf Res , vol.21 , pp. 1047-1071
    • Weir, C.A.1    Pollock, C.2    Cronin, C.3    Taylor, S.4
  • 53
    • 69749090999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fine-scale habitat selection by white-beaked and common dolphins in the Minch (Scotland, UK): evidence for interspecific competition or coexistence?
    • Weir CA, MacLeod CD, Calderan SV (2009) Fine-scale habitat selection by white-beaked and common dolphins in the Minch (Scotland, UK): evidence for interspecific competition or coexistence? J Mar Biol Assoc UK 89: 951-960
    • (2009) J Mar Biol Assoc UK , vol.89 , pp. 951-960
    • Weir, C.A.1    MacLeod, C.D.2    Calderan, S.V.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.