메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 39, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 2247-2255

A novel dynamic progress forecasting approach for construction projects

Author keywords

Construction project; Forecast; Grey dynamic prediction model; Modified residual model; Polynomial

Indexed keywords

CONSTRUCTION PHASE; CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS; DURING CONSTRUCTION; DYNAMIC PREDICTION; FORECAST; FORECASTING METHODS; GREY DYNAMIC PREDICTION MODEL; MEAN ABSOLUTE PERCENTAGE ERROR; MODIFIED MODEL; NOVEL CONSTRUCTION; PREDICTION ACCURACY; PREDICTION MODEL; RESIDUAL MODEL; SIGMOID CURVES; STANDARD DEVIATION;

EID: 80255131242     PISSN: 09574174     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.07.093     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (37)
  • 2
    • 0040464928 scopus 로고
    • Project management control using real-time budgeting and forecasting models
    • J. Berny, and R. Howes Project management control using real-time budgeting and forecasting models Construction Papers 2 1 1982 19 40
    • (1982) Construction Papers , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-40
    • Berny, J.1    Howes, R.2
  • 3
    • 30644462480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A novel multiple linear regression model for forecasting S-curves
    • DOI 10.1108/09699980610646511
    • K. Blyth, and A. Kaka A novel multiple linear regression model for forecasting S-curves Eng. Constr. and Archi. Mgmt. 13 1 2006 82 95 (Pubitemid 43089137)
    • (2006) Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 82-95
    • Blyth, K.1    Kaka, A.2
  • 4
    • 34249013592 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An artificial grey-Garch model for transmission of return volatility in NASDAQ
    • T.C. Chang, K.L. Wen, and F.Y. Hsu An artificial grey-Garch model for transmission of return volatility in NASDAQ Journal of Grey System 7 1 2004 28 37
    • (2004) Journal of Grey System , vol.7 , Issue.1 , pp. 28-37
    • Chang, T.C.1    Wen, K.L.2    Hsu, F.Y.3
  • 5
    • 80255128409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Composite forecasting: Combining forecasts for improved accuracy
    • SUMMER
    • W. Charles, and J. Chase Composite forecasting: Combining forecasts for improved accuracy J. of Busni. For. Summer 2000 19 22
    • (2000) J. of Busni. For. , pp. 19-22
    • Charles, W.1    Chase, J.2
  • 7
    • 34248996058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A grey mathematical model for earthquake forecasting
    • K.H. Cheng, and W.C. Chang A grey mathematical model for earthquake forecasting Journal of Grey System 4 2 2001 131 149
    • (2001) Journal of Grey System , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 131-149
    • Cheng, K.H.1    Chang, W.C.2
  • 8
    • 45249128876 scopus 로고
    • Combining forecasting: A review and annotated bibliography
    • R.T. Clemen Combining forecasting: A review and annotated bibliography Journal of Forecasting 5 1989 559 583
    • (1989) Journal of Forecasting , vol.5 , pp. 559-583
    • Clemen, R.T.1
  • 9
    • 50849151631 scopus 로고
    • Control problem of grey system
    • J.L. Deng Control problem of grey system Systems and Control Letter 1 5 1982 288 294
    • (1982) Systems and Control Letter , vol.1 , Issue.5 , pp. 288-294
    • Deng, J.L.1
  • 10
    • 0001829246 scopus 로고
    • Introduction to grey system theory
    • J.L. Deng Introduction to grey system theory Journal of Grey System 1 1989 1 24
    • (1989) Journal of Grey System , vol.1 , pp. 1-24
    • Deng, J.L.1
  • 12
    • 0002847043 scopus 로고
    • The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods (with discussion)
    • R. Fildes The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods (with discussion) Journal of Forecasting 8 1992 81 111
    • (1992) Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 81-111
    • Fildes, R.1
  • 13
    • 24644470260 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The accuracy of extrapolative forecasting methods: Additional empirical evidence
    • R. Fildes, M. Hibon, S. Makridakis, and N. Meade The accuracy of extrapolative forecasting methods: additional empirical evidence Journal of Forecasting 14 1998 229 358
    • (1998) Journal of Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 229-358
    • Fildes, R.1    Hibon, M.2    Makridakis, S.3    Meade, N.4
  • 16
    • 0038661673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Applying the grey prediction model to the globe integrated circle industry
    • L.C. Hsu Applying the grey prediction model to the globe integrated circle industry Technological Forecasting and Social Change 70 2003 563 574
    • (2003) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.70 , pp. 563-574
    • Hsu, L.C.1
  • 17
    • 80255141317 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting manpower supply and demand of healthcare professional in Taiwan using the grey theory
    • Taiwan
    • Hsu, P. F.; & Hsu, M. G. (2005). Forecasting manpower supply and demand of healthcare professional in Taiwan using the grey theory. In Proceedings of the 10th national conference of grey theory & application, Taiwan (pp. 149-156).
    • (2005) Proceedings of the 10th National Conference of Grey Theory & Application , pp. 149-156
    • Hsu, P.F.1    Hsu, M.G.2
  • 19
    • 0242536408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Study of computer game forecasting in Taiwan market application of grey prediction model
    • C.Y. Kung, C.J. Kung, and S.Y. Tsai Study of computer game forecasting in Taiwan market application of grey prediction model Journal of Business and Strategy 3 2 2003 1 19
    • (2003) Journal of Business and Strategy , vol.3 , Issue.2 , pp. 1-19
    • Kung, C.Y.1    Kung, C.J.2    Tsai, S.Y.3
  • 20
    • 0344463113 scopus 로고
    • Modeling standard cost commitment curves for contractors' cash flow forecasting
    • A.P. Kaka, and A.D.F. Price Modeling standard cost commitment curves for contractors' cash flow forecasting Construction Management and Economics, ASCE 11 1993 271 283
    • (1993) Construction Management and Economics, ASCE , vol.11 , pp. 271-283
    • Kaka, A.P.1    Price, A.D.F.2
  • 21
    • 84992957330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The development of a benchmark model that uses historical data for monitoring the progress of current construction projects Engineering
    • A.P. Kaka The development of a benchmark model that uses historical data for monitoring the progress of current construction projects Engineering Construction and Architectural Management 6/3 1999 256 266
    • (1999) Construction and Architectural Management , vol.63 , pp. 256-266
    • Kaka, A.P.1
  • 23
    • 0035079166 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the carbonation damage to concrete bridges using a grey forecasting model combined with a statistical method
    • M.T. Liang, G.F. Zhao, C.W. Chang, and C.H. Liang Evaluating the carbonation damage to concrete bridges using a grey forecasting model combined with a statistical method Journal of the Chinese Institute of Engineering 24 1 2001 85 94
    • (2001) Journal of the Chinese Institute of Engineering , vol.24 , Issue.1 , pp. 85-94
    • Liang, M.T.1    Zhao, G.F.2    Chang, C.W.3    Liang, C.H.4
  • 24
    • 34248337116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of GM(1,1)-Markov chain combined model to China's automobile industry
    • DOI 10.1504/IJISE.2007.012466
    • G.D. Li, D. Yamaguchi, and M. Nagai Application of GM (1, 1)-Markov chain combined model to China's automobile industry Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering 2 3 2007 327 347 (Pubitemid 46739158)
    • (2007) International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering , vol.2 , Issue.3 , pp. 327-347
    • Li, G.-D.1    Yamaguchi, D.2    Nagai, M.3
  • 26
    • 34249707329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Novel high-precision grey forecasting model
    • Y.H. Lin, and P.C. Lee Novel high-precision grey forecasting model Automation in Construction 16 2007 771 777
    • (2007) Automation in Construction , vol.16 , pp. 771-777
    • Lin, Y.H.1    Lee, P.C.2
  • 32
    • 0039503923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A method for forecasting owner monthly construction project expenditure flow
    • PII S0169207097000423
    • M. Skitmore A method for forecasting owner monthly construction project expenditure flow Journal of Forecasting 14 1998 17 34 (Pubitemid 128340469)
    • (1998) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.14 , Issue.1 , pp. 17-34
    • Skitmore, M.1
  • 33
    • 0004551332 scopus 로고
    • A single alternative formula for Department of Health and Social Security S-Curves
    • S.N. Tuker A single alternative formula for Department of Health and Social Security S-Curves Construction Management and Economics, ASCE 6 1988 13 23
    • (1988) Construction Management and Economics, ASCE , vol.6 , pp. 13-23
    • Tuker, S.N.1
  • 34
    • 70249131094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The optimization of background value in GM (1, 1) model
    • Z.X. Wang, Y.G. Dang, S.F. Liu, and J. Zhou The optimization of background value in GM (1, 1) model Journal of Grey System 10 2 2007 69 74
    • (2007) Journal of Grey System , vol.10 , Issue.2 , pp. 69-74
    • Wang, Z.X.1    Dang, Y.G.2    Liu, S.F.3    Zhou, J.4
  • 35
    • 0036568674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrating supply chain and critical chain concepts in engineer-procure-construct (EPC) projects
    • DOI 10.1016/S0263-7863(01)00021-7, PII S0263786301000217
    • K.T. Yeo, and J.H. Ning Integrating supply chain and critical chain concepts in engineer-procure-construct (EPC) projects Journal of Project Management, ASCE 20 2002 253 262 (Pubitemid 34276405)
    • (2002) International Journal of Project Management , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 253-262
    • Yeo, K.T.1    Ning, J.H.2
  • 36
    • 0001468967 scopus 로고
    • Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods
    • J.T. Yokum, and J.S. Armstrong Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods Journal of Forecasting, ASCE 11 1995 591 597
    • (1995) Journal of Forecasting, ASCE , vol.11 , pp. 591-597
    • Yokum, J.T.1    Armstrong, J.S.2
  • 37
    • 0011306109 scopus 로고
    • A study of grey forecasting and its control analysis of grain yield
    • B.X. Zhang, and J.J. Lou A study of grey forecasting and its control analysis of grain yield System Engineering 1 1 1985 91 98
    • (1985) System Engineering , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 91-98
    • Zhang, B.X.1    Lou, J.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.