Modeling long-term soil carbon dynamics and sequestration potential in semi-arid agro-ecosystems

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Volumn 151, Issue 12, 2011, Pages 1529-1544

  Luo, Zhongkui ^a   Wang, Enli ^a   Sun, Osbert J ^b   Smith, Chris J ^a   Probert, Mervyn E ^a  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

^b BEIJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

Agricultural management; APSIM; Carbon sequestration; Climate; Simulation; Soil nitrogen stress; Soil water stress

Indexed keywords

ABOVEGROUND BIOMASS; AGRICULTURAL ECOSYSTEM; AGRICULTURAL PRACTICE; AGRICULTURAL SOIL; AIR TEMPERATURE; ALFALFA; ASSESSMENT METHOD; BIOACCUMULATION; CARBON SEQUESTRATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CULTIVATION; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; ENVIRONMENTAL STRESS; FERTILIZER APPLICATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; SEMIARID REGION; SOIL CARBON; SOIL NITROGEN; SOIL WATER;

AUSTRALIA;

MEDICAGO SATIVA; TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 80054915744     PISSN: 01681923     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.06.011     Document Type: Article

References (82)

1. Allison S.D. Brown ground: a soil sarbon analogue for the green world hypothesis?. Am. Nat. 2006, 167:619-627.
2. Anderson J.M. The effects of climate change on decomposition processes in grassland and coniferous forests. Ecol. Appl. 1991, 1:326-347.
3. Angers D.A., Eriksen-Hamel N.S. Full-inversion tillage and organic carbon distribution in soil profiles: a meta-analysis. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 2008, 72:1370-1374.
4. Asseng S., Foster I., Turner N.C. The impact of temperature variability on wheat yields. Glob. Change Biol. 2011, 17:997-1012.
5. Baker J.M., Ochsner T.E., Venterea R.T., Griffis T.J. Tillage and soil carbon sequestration - what do we really know?. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2007, 118:1-5.
6. Chan K.Y., Heenan D.P., So H.B. Sequestration of carbon and changes in soil quality under conservation tillage on light-textured soils in Australia: a review. Aust. J. Exp. Agric. 2003, 43:325-334.
7. Coppens F., Garnier P., Findeling A., Merckx R., Recous S. Decomposition of mulched versus incorporated crop residues: modelling with PASTIS clarifies interactions between residue quality and location. Soil Biol. Biochem. 2007, 39:2339-2350.
8. Cornelissen J.H.C., van Bodegom P.M., Aerts R., Callaghan T.V., van Logtestijn R.S.P., Alatalo J., Chapin F.S., Gerdol R., Gudmundsson J., Gwynn-Jones D., Hartley A.E., Hik D.S., Hofgaard A., Jónsdóttir I.S., Karlsson S., Klein J.A., Laundre J., Magnusson B., Michelsen A., Molau U., Onipchenko V.G., Quested H.M., Sandvik S.M., Schmidt I.K., Shaver G.R., Solheim B., Soudzilovskaia N.A., Stenström A., Tolvanen A., Totland Ø., Wada N., Welker J.M., Zhao X., Team M.O.L. Global negative vegetation feedback to climate warming responses of leaf litter decomposition rates in cold biomes. Ecol. Lett. 2007, 10:619-627.
9. Cowie B.A., Thornton C.M., Radford B.J. The Brigalow Catchment Study: I. Overview of a 40-year study of the effects of land clearing in the brigalow bioregion of Australia. Aust. J. Soil Res. 2007, 45:479-495.
10. Dalal R.C., Strong W.M., Weston E.J., Cooper J.E., Lehane K.J., King A.J., Chicken C.J. Sustaining productivity of a Vertisol at Warra, Queensland, with fertilisers, no-tillage, or legumes. 1. Organic matter status. Aust. J. Exp. Agric. 1995, 35:903-913.
11. Dalal R.C., Weston E.J., Strong W.M., Lehane K.J., Cooper J.E., Wildermuth G.B., King A.J., Holmes C.J. Sustaining productivity of a Vertosol at Warra, Queensland, with fertilisers, no-tillage or legumes. 7. Yield, nitrogen and disease-break benefits from lucerne in a two-year lucerne-wheat rotation. Aust. J. Exp. Agric. 2004, 44:607-616.
12. Dang C.K., Schindler M., Chauvet E., Gessner M.O. Temperature oscillation coupled with fungal community shifts can modulate warming effects on litter decomposition. Ecology 2009, 90:122-131.
13. Davidson E.A., Ackerman I.L. Changes in soil carbon inventories following cultivation of previously untilled soils. Biogeochemistry 1993, 20:161-193.
14. Davidson E.A., Janssens I.A. Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition and feedbacks to climate change. Nature 2006, 440:165-173.
15. Dolling P.J., Robertson M.J., Asseng S., Ward P.R., Latta R.A. Simulating lucerne growth and water use on diverse soil types in a Mediterranean-type environment. Aust. J. Agric. Res. 2005, 56:503-515.
16. Drinkwater L.E., Wagoner P., Sarrantonio M. Legume-based cropping systems have reduced carbon and nitrogen losses. Nature 1998, 396:262-265.
17. Ehleringer J.R., Buchmann N., Flanagan L.B. Carbon isotope ratios in belowground carbon cycle processes. Ecol. Appl. 2000, 10:412-422.
18. Fuhrer J. Agroecosystem responses to combination of elevated CO2, ozone, and global climate change. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2003, 97:1-20.
19. Fontaine S., Barot S., Barre P., Bdioui N., Mary B., Rumpel C. Stability of organic carbon in deep soil layers controlled by fresh carbon supply. Nature 2007, 450:277-280.
20. Grace P.R., Colunga-Garcia M., Gage S.H., Robertson G.P., Safir G.R. The potential impact of agricultural management and climate change on soil organic carbon of the North Central Region of the United States. Ecosystems 2006, 9:816-827.
21. Grandy A.S., Robertson G.P. Land-use intensity effects on soil organic carbon accumulation rates and mechanisms. Ecosystems 2007, 10:58-73.
22. Heenan D., McGhie W., Thomson F., Chan K. Decline in soil organic carbon and total nitrogen in relation to tillage, stubble management, and rotation. Aust. J. Exp. Agric. 1995, 35:877-884.
23. Heenan D.P., Taylor A.C., Cullis B.R., Lill W.J. Long-term effects of rotation, tillage and stubble management on wheat production in southern NSW. Aust. J. Agric. Res. 1994, 45:93-117.
24. Hessen D.O., Agren G.I., Anderson T.R., Elser J.J., De Ruiter P.C. Carbon sequestration in ecosystems: the role of stoichiometry. Ecology 2004, 85:1179-1192.
25. Hulugalle N.R., Scott F. A review of the changes in soil quality and profitability accomplished by sowing rotation crops after cotton in Australian Vertosols from 1970 to 2006. Aust. J. Soil Res. 2008, 46:173-190.
26. 2 emissions from soils in subtropical agricultural systems: a simulation study. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 136:351-357.
27. Isbell R.F. The Australian Soil Classfication 2002, CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, VIC, Australia.
28. Jarecki M.K., Lal R. Crop management for soil carbon sequestration. Crit. Rev. Plant Sci. 2003, 22:471-502.
29. Jenkinson D.S. The turnover of organic carbon and nitrogen in soil. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci. 1990, 329:361-368.
30. Jobbagy E.G., Jackson R.B. The vertical distribution of soil organic carbon and its relation to climate and vegetation. Ecol. Appl. 2000, 10:423-436.
31. Keating B.A., Carberry P.S., Hammer G.L., Probert M.E., Robertson M.J., Holzworth D., Huth N.I., Hargreaves J.N.G., Meinke H., Hochman Z., McLean G., Verburg K., Snow V., Dimes J.P., Silburn M., Wang E., Brown S., Bristow K.L., Asseng S., Chapman S., McCown R.L., Freebairn D.M., Smith C.J. An overview of APSIM, a model designed for farming systems simulation. Eur. J. Agron. 2003, 18:267-288.
32. Khan S.A., Mulvaney R.L., Ellsworth T.R., Boast C.W. The myth of nitrogen fertilization for soil carbon sequestration. J. Environ. Qual. 2007, 36:1821-1832.
33. Koerber G.R., Edwards-Jones G., Hill P.W., Canals L.M., Philip N., York E.H., Jones D.L. Geographical variation in carbon dioxide fluxes from soils in agro-ecosystems and its implications for life-cycle assessment. J. Appl. Ecol. 2009, 46:306-314.
34. La Scala N., Lopes A., Spokas K., Bolonhezi D., Archer D.W., Reicosky D.C. Short-term temporal changes of soil carbon losses after tillage desribed by a fisrt-order decay model. Soil Till. Res. 2008, 99:108-118.
35. Lal R. Global potential of soil carbon sequestration to mitigate the greenhouse effect. Crit. Rev. Plant Sci. 2003, 22:151-184.
36. Lal R. Soil carbon sequestration impacts on global climate change and food security. Science 2004, 304:1623-1627.
37. Lehuger S., Gabrielle B., Cellier P., Loubet B., Roche R., Béziat P., Ceschia E., Wattenbach M. Predicting the net carbon exchanges of crop rotations in Europe with an agro-ecosystem model. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 139:384-395.
38. Lal R. Challenges and opportunities in soil organic matter research. Eur. J. Soil Sci. 2009, 60:158-169.
39. Li C., Zhuang Y., Frolking S., Galloway J., Harriss R., Moore B., Schimel D., Wang X. Modelling soil organic carbon change in croplands of China. Ecol. Appl. 2003, 13:327-336.
40. Liu D.L., Chan K.Y., Conyers M.K. Simulation of soil organic carbon under different tillage and stubble management practices using the Rothamsted carbon model. Soil Till. Res. 2009, 104:65-73.
41. Liu Y., Wang E., Yang X., Wang J. Contributions of climatic and crop varietal changes to crop production in the North China Plain, since 1980s. Glob. Change Biol. 2010, 16:2287-2299.
42. Lugato E., Berti A. Potential carbon sequestration in a cultivated soil under different climate change scenarios: a modelling approach for evaluating promising management practices in north-east Italy. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2008, 128:97-103.
43. Luo Z., Wang E., Sun O.J. Can no-tillage stimulate carbon sequestration in agricultural soils? A meta-analysis of paired experiments. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 139:224-231.
44. Luo Z., Wang E., Sun O.J. Soil carbon change and its responses to agricultural practices in Australian agro-ecosystems: a review and synthesis. Geoderma 2010, 155:211-223.
45. 14C labelled plant residues and their incorporation into soil aggregates. Soil Till. Res. 2010, 94-102.
46. Mann L.K. Changes in soil carbon storage after cultivation. Soil Sci. 1986, 142:279-288.
47. McSwiney C.P., Snapp S.S., Gentry L.E. Use of N immobilization to tighten the N cycle in conventional agroecosystems. Ecol. Appl. 2010, 20:648-662.
48. Neff J.C., Townsend A.R., Gleixner G., Lehman S.J., Turnbull J., Bowman W.D. Variable effects of nitrogen additions on the stability and turnover of soil carbon. Nature 2002, 419:915-917.
49. Ogle S.M., Breidt F.J., Easter M., Williams S., Killian K., Paustian K. Scale and uncertainty in modeled soil organic carbon stock changes for US croplands using a process-based model. Glob. Change Biol. 2010, 16:810-822.
50. Parton W.J., Schimel D.S., Cole C.V., Ojima D.S. Analysis of factors controlling soil organic matter levels in Great Plains Grasslands. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 1987, 51:1173-1179.
51. 2 emissions. Soil Use Manage. 1997, 13:230-244.
52. 2 emissions from agricultural soils. Biogeochemistry 2000, 48:147-163.
53. 2 effects on biomass production and soil carbon in conventional and conservation cropping systems. Glob. Change Biol. 2005, 11:657-665.
54. Probert, M.E., 2007. Modelling minimum residue thresholds for soil conservation benefits in tropical, semi-arid cropping systems. ACIAR Technical Reports No. 66, Canberra.
55. Probert M.E., Delve R.J., Kimani S.K., Dimes J.P. Modelling nitrogen mineralization from manures: representing quality aspects by varying C:N ratio of sub-pools. Soil Biol. Biochem. 2005, 37:279-287.
56. Probert M.E., Dimes J.P., Keating B.A., Dalal R.C., Strong W.M. APSIM's water and nitrogen modules and simulations of the dynamics of water and nitrogen in fallow systems. Agric. Syst. 1998, 56:1-28.
57. Qin Z., Huang Y. Quantification of soil organic carbon sequestration potential in cropland: a model approach. Sci. China-Life Sci. 2010, 53:868-884.
58. R Development Core Team R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing 2009, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. http://www.r-project.org/.
59. Robertson M.J., Carberry P.S., Huth N.I., Turpin J.E., Probert M.E., Poulton P.L., Bell M., Wright G.C., Yeates S.J., Brinsmead R.B. Simulation of growth and development of diverse legume species in APSIM. Aust. J. Agric. Res. 2002, 53:429-446.
60. Saby N.P.A., Bellamy P.H., Morvan X., Arrouays D., Jones R.J.A., Verheijen F.G.A., Kibblewhite M.G., Verdoodt A., Berenyiuveges J., Freudenschuss A., Simota C. Will European soil-monitoring networks be able to detect changes in topsoil organic carbon content?. Glob. Change Biol. 2008, 14:2432-2442.
61. 2 emissions and C sequestration by agriculture - perspectives and limitations. Nutr. Cycl. Agroecosyst. 2001, 60:253-266.
62. Six J., Conant R.T., Paul E.A., Paustian K. Stabilization mechanisms of soil organic matter: implications for C-saturation of soils. Plant Soil 2002, 241:155-176.
63. Six J., Elliott E.T., Paustian K. Aggregate and soil organic matter dynamics under conventional and no-tillage systems. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 1999, 63:1350-1358.
64. Six J., Ogle S.M., Breidt F.J., Conant R.T., Mosier A.R., Paustian K. The potential to mitigate global warming with no-tillage management is only realized when practised in the long term. Glob. Change Biol. 2004, 10:155-160.
65. Skjemstad J.O., Spouncer L.R., Cowie B., Swift R.S. Calibration of the Rothamsted organic carbon turnover model (RothC ver. 26.3), using measurable soil organic carbon pools. Aust. J. Soil Res. 2004, 42:79-88.
66. Smith P. Carbon sequestration in croplands: the potential in Europe and the global context. Eur. J. Agron. 2004, 20:229-236.
67. Smith P., Powlson D.S., Glendining M.J., Smith J.U. Preliminary estimates of the potential for carbon mitigation in European soils through no-till farming. Glob. Change Biol. 1998, 4:679-685.
68. Smith P., Smith J.U., Powlson D.S., McGill W.B., Arah J.R.M., Chertov, Coleman K., Franko U., Frolking S., Jenkinson D.S., Jensen L.S., Kelley R.H., Klein-Gunnewiek H., Kamarov A.S., Li C., Molina J.A.E., Mueller T., Parton W.J., Thornley J.H.M., Whitmore A.P. A comparison or the performance of nine soil organic matter models using datasets from seven long-term experiments. Geoderma 1997, 81:153-225.
69. Sus O., Williams M., Bernhofer C., Béziat P., Buchmann N., Ceschia E., Doherty R., Eugster W., Grünwald T., Kutsch W., Smith P., Wattenbach M. A linked carbon cycle and crop development model: description and evaluation against measurments of carbon fluxes and carbon stocks at several European agricultural sites. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 139:402-418.
70. Thorburn P.J., Biggs J.S., Collins K., Probert M.E. Using the APSIM model to estimate nitrous oxide emissions from diverse Australian sugarcane production systems. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 136:343-350.
71. Thorburn P.J., Probert M.E., Robertson F.A. Modelling decomposition of sugar cane surface residues with APSIM-residue. Field Crop. Res. 2001, 70:223-232.
72. 2 effects on agro-ecosystems: residue decomposition processes and soil C storage. Plant Soil 2000, 224:59-73.
73. Valzano F., Murphy B.W., Koen T. The Impact of Tillage on Changes in Soil Carbon Density with Special Emphasis on Australian Conditions 2005, National Carbon Accounting System, Australian Greenhouse Office, Canberra.
74. 2, temperature and precipitation. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2003, 97:255-273.
75. Vuichard N., Ciais P., Belelli L., Smith P., Valentini R. Carbon sequestration due to the abandonment of agriculture in the former USSR since 1990. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycle 2008, 22:GB4018. doi:4010.1029/2008GB003212.
76. Wang E., van Oosterom E., Meinke H., Asseng S., Robertson M., Huth N., Keating B., Probert M. The New APSIM-Wheat Model-Performance and Future Improvements. Solutions for a Better Environment 2003, Australian Society of Agronomy, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
77. Wang E., Xu J., Jiang Q., Austin J. Assessing the spatial impact of climate on wheat productivity and the potential value of climate forecasts at a regional level. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2009, 95:311-330.
78. Wattenbach M., Sus O., Vuichard N., Lehuger S., Gottschalk P., Li L., Leip A., Williams M., Tomelleri E., Kutsch W.L., Buchmann N., Eugster W., Dietiker D., Aubinet M., Ceschia E., Béziat P., Grünwald T., Hastings A., Osborne B., Ciais P., Cellier P., Smith P. The carbon balance of European croplands: a cross-site comparison of simulation models. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2010, 139:419-453.
79. West T.O., Post W.M. Soil organic carbon sequestration rates by tillage and crop rotation: a global data analysis. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 2002, 66:1930-1946.
80. West T.O., Six J. Considering the influence of sequestration duration and carbon saturation on estimates of soil carbon capacity. Clim. Change 2007, 80:25-41.
81. Wetterstedt J.A.M., Persson T., Agren G.I. Temperature sensitivity and substrate quality in soil organic matter decomposition: results of an incubation study with three substrates. Glob. Change Biol. 2010, 16:1806-1819.
82. Zimmermann M., Leifeld J., Schmidt M.W.I., Smith P., Fuhrer J. Measured soil organic matter fractions can be related to pools in the RothC model. Eur. J. Soil Sci. 2007, 58:658-667.