-
1
-
-
34248950230
-
Criteria for plausible arguments
-
Agassi, J., 1974: Criteria for plausible arguments. Mind, 83, 406-416.
-
(1974)
Mind
, vol.83
, pp. 406-416
-
-
Agassi, J.1
-
2
-
-
79956275442
-
Bayesian approaches to detection and attribution
-
Annan, J. D., 2010: Bayesian approaches to detection and attribution. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. : Climate Change, 1, 486-489.
-
(2010)
Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. : Climate Change
, vol.1
, pp. 486-489
-
-
Annan, J.D.1
-
3
-
-
77952896852
-
Grand challenges of the future for environmental modeling: In the setting of NSF's environmental observatories initiatives
-
Available online at
-
Beck, M. B., and Coauthors, 2009: Grand challenges of the future for environmental modeling: In the setting of NSF's environmental observatories initiatives. White Paper, National Science Foundation, 135 pp. [Available online at www.snre.umich.edu/scavia/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/nsfwhitepaper-beck-07. pdf.]
-
(2009)
White Paper, National Science Foundation
, pp. 135
-
-
Beck, M.B.1
-
4
-
-
0004113802
-
Science, the endless frontier: A report to the president
-
Available online at
-
Bush, V., 1945: Science, the endless frontier: A report to the president. U. S. Government Printing Office, 184 pp. [Available online at www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/nsf50/vbush1945.htm.]
-
(1945)
U. S. Government Printing Office
, pp. 184
-
-
Bush, V.1
-
5
-
-
1642392997
-
Strategic plan for the U. S. climate change science program
-
Available online at
-
CCSP, 2003: Strategic plan for the U. S. Climate Change Science Program. Final Rep., U. S. Global Change Research Information Office, 202 pp. [Available online at www.climatescience.gov/Library/stratplan2003/final/ccspstratplan2003- all.pdf.]
-
(2003)
Final Rep., U. S. Global Change Research Information Office
, pp. 202
-
-
-
6
-
-
80053315428
-
Reasoning about climate uncertainty
-
doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0180-z
-
Curry, J. A., 2011a: Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Climatic Change, 108, 723-732, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0180-z.
-
(2011)
Climatic Change
, vol.108
, pp. 723-732
-
-
Curry, J.A.1
-
8
-
-
33746621920
-
-
California Institute of Technology Engineering and Science Publ., Available online at
-
Feynman, R. P., 1974: Cargo cult science. California Institute of Technology Engineering and Science Publ., 10-13. [Available online at http://calteches.library.caltech.edu/3043/1/CargoCult.pdf.]
-
(1974)
Cargo Cult Science
, pp. 10-13
-
-
Feynman, R.P.1
-
11
-
-
37349079722
-
Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing
-
S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press
-
Forster, P., and Coauthors, 2007: Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 129-234.
-
(2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
, pp. 129-234
-
-
Forster, P.1
-
12
-
-
34248236721
-
Science for the post-normal age
-
Funtowicz, S. O., and J. R. Ravetz, 1993: Science for the post-normal age. Futures, 25, 739-755.
-
(1993)
Futures
, vol.25
, pp. 739-755
-
-
Funtowicz, S.O.1
Ravetz, J.R.2
-
13
-
-
79958294849
-
The community climate system model version 4
-
Gent, P. R., and Coauthors, 2011: The Community Climate System Model version 4. J. Climate, 24, 4973-4991.
-
(2011)
J. Climate
, vol.24
, pp. 4973-4991
-
-
Gent, P.R.1
-
15
-
-
33745952070
-
The influence of solar changes on the Earth's climate
-
Gray, L. J., J. D. Haigh, and R. G. Harrison, 2005: The influence of solar changes on the Earth's climate. Hadley Centre Tech. Note 62, 81 pp.
-
(2005)
Hadley Centre Tech. Note
, vol.62
, pp. 81
-
-
Gray, L.J.1
Haigh, J.D.2
Harrison, R.G.3
-
16
-
-
77957111108
-
Connections between simulations and observation in climate computer modeling. Scientists' practices and "bottom-up epistemology" lessons
-
Guillemot, H., 2010: Connections between simulations and observation in climate computer modeling. Scientists' practices and "bottom-up epistemology" lessons. Stud. Hist. Philos. Mod. Phys., 41, 242-252.
-
(2010)
Stud. Hist. Philos. Mod. Phys.
, vol.41
, pp. 242-252
-
-
Guillemot, H.1
-
18
-
-
36549047247
-
Understanding and attributing climate change
-
S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press
-
Hegerl, G. C., and Coauthors, 2007: Understanding and attributing climate change. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 663-745.
-
(2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
, pp. 663-745
-
-
Hegerl, G.C.1
-
23
-
-
84855808773
-
-
University of Pennsylvania, Institute for Law and Economics Research Paper 10-08, Available online at
-
Johnston, J. S., 2010: Global Warming Advocacy Science: A Cross Examination. University of Pennsylvania, Institute for Law and Economics Research Paper 10-08, 82 pp. [Available online at http://ssrn.com/abstract= 1612851.]
-
(2010)
Global Warming Advocacy Science: A Cross Examination
, pp. 82
-
-
Johnston, J.S.1
-
24
-
-
34548204935
-
How good is an ensemble an capturing truth? Using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation
-
DOI 10.1002/qj.111
-
Judd, K., L. A. Smith, and A. Weisheimer, 2007: How good is an ensemble at capturing truth? Using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 1309-1325. (Pubitemid 47316577)
-
(2007)
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
, vol.133
, Issue.626 A
, pp. 1309-1325
-
-
Judd, K.1
Smith, L.A.2
Weisheimer, A.3
-
25
-
-
14944383742
-
Representing and communicating deep uncertainty in climate-change assessments
-
DOI 10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010, PII S1631071304002901
-
Kandlikar, M., J. Risbey, and S. Dessai, 2005: Representing and communicating deep uncertainty in climate change assessment. C. R. Geosci., 337, 443-455. (Pubitemid 40367583)
-
(2005)
Comptes Rendus - Geoscience
, vol.337
, Issue.4
, pp. 443-455
-
-
Kandlikar, M.1
Risbey, J.2
Dessai, S.3
-
26
-
-
38949130081
-
Twentieth century climate model response and climate sensitivity
-
DOI 10.1029/2007GL031383
-
Kiehl, J. T., 2007: Twentieth century climate model response and sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22710, doi:10.1029/2007GL031383. (Pubitemid 351222826)
-
(2007)
Geophysical Research Letters
, vol.34
, Issue.22
-
-
Kiehl, J.T.1
-
27
-
-
55849135780
-
Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?
-
Knutti, R., 2008: Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, A366, 4647-4664.
-
(2008)
Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London
, vol.A366
, pp. 4647-4664
-
-
Knutti, R.1
-
28
-
-
48549085677
-
A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century
-
-, and Coauthors, 2008: A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century. J. Climate, 21, 2651-2663.
-
(2008)
J. Climate
, vol.21
, pp. 2651-2663
-
-
Knutti, R.1
-
29
-
-
84855758283
-
Holism and entrenchment in climate model validation
-
M. Carrier and A. Nordmann, Eds., Boston Studies in the Philosophy of Science Series, Springer
-
Lenhard, J., and E. Winsberg, 2011: Holism and entrenchment in climate model validation. Science in the Context of Application: Methodological Change, Conceptual Transformation, Cultural Reorientation, M. Carrier and A. Nordmann, Eds., Boston Studies in the Philosophy of Science Series, Vol. 274, Springer, 115-130.
-
(2011)
Science in the Context of Application: Methodological Change, Conceptual Transformation, Cultural Reorientation
, vol.274
, pp. 115-130
-
-
Lenhard, J.1
Winsberg, E.2
-
31
-
-
0002811421
-
Detection of climate change and attribution of causes
-
J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press
-
Mitchell, J. F. B., and Coauthors, 2001: Detection of climate change and attribution of causes. Climate Change: The Scientific Basis, J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 695-738.
-
(2001)
Climate Change: The Scientific Basis
, pp. 695-738
-
-
Mitchell, J.F.B.1
-
32
-
-
84855797659
-
Best practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in climate decisionmaking
-
Available online at
-
Morgan, G., H. Dowlatabadi, M. Henrion, D. Keith, R. Lempert, S. McBride, M. Small, and T. Wilbanks, Eds., 2009: Best practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in climate decisionmaking. Final Rep., U. S. Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2., 94 pp. [Available online at www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap5-2/finalreport/default.htm.]
-
(2009)
Final Rep., U. S. Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Product
, vol.52
, pp. 94
-
-
Morgan, G.1
Dowlatabadi, H.2
Henrion, M.3
Keith, D.4
Lempert, R.5
McBride, S.6
Small, M.7
Wilbanks, T.8
-
33
-
-
0003163912
-
Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting
-
R. Pachauri, T. Taniguchi, and K. Tanaka, Eds., IPCC
-
Moss, R. H., and S. H. Schneider, 2000: Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting. Guidance papers on the cross cutting issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC, R. Pachauri, T. Taniguchi, and K. Tanaka, Eds., IPCC, 33-51.
-
(2000)
Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC
, pp. 33-51
-
-
Moss, R.H.1
Schneider, S.H.2
-
34
-
-
79956278218
-
Constructing climate knowledge with computer models
-
Muller, P., 2010: Constructing climate knowledge with computer models. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. : Climate Change, 1, 565-580.
-
(2010)
Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. : Climate Change
, vol.1
, pp. 565-580
-
-
Muller, P.1
-
35
-
-
34548696816
-
The limits of consensus
-
Oppenheimer, M., B. C. O'Neill, M. Webster, and S. Agrawala, 2007: The limits of consensus. Science, 317, 1505-1506.
-
(2007)
Science
, vol.317
, pp. 1505-1506
-
-
Oppenheimer, M.1
O'Neill, B.C.2
Webster, M.3
Agrawala, S.4
-
36
-
-
48649104274
-
The scientific consensus on climate change: How do we know we're not wrong?
-
J. F. C. Di Mento and P. Doughman, Eds., MIT Press
-
Oreskes, N., 2007: The scientific consensus on climate change: How do we know we're not wrong? Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren, J. F. C. Di Mento and P. Doughman, Eds., MIT Press, 65-99.
-
(2007)
Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren
, pp. 65-99
-
-
Oreskes, N.1
-
38
-
-
0035086606
-
A nonlinear dynamical perspective model error: A proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parametrization in weather and climate prediction models
-
DOI 10.1256/smsqj.57201
-
Palmer, T. N., 2001: A nonlinear dynamical perspective on model error: A proposal for nonlocal stochastic-dynamic parameterization in weather and climate prediction models. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 279-304. (Pubitemid 32257521)
-
(2001)
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
, vol.127
, Issue.572
, pp. 279-304
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
-
39
-
-
20544469481
-
Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction
-
DOI 10.1146/annurev.earth.33.092203.122552
-
-, G. J. Shutts, R. Hagedorn, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, T. Jung, and M. Leutbecher, 2005: Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 33, 163-193. (Pubitemid 40849782)
-
(2005)
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
, vol.33
, pp. 163-193
-
-
Palmer, T.N.1
Shutts, G.J.2
Hagedorn, R.3
Doblas-Reyes, F.J.4
Jung, T.5
Leutbecher, M.6
-
40
-
-
65849257128
-
Confirmation and adequacy-forpurpose in climate modeling
-
Parker, W. S., 2009: Confirmation and adequacy-forpurpose in climate modeling. Aristotelian Soc. Suppl. Vol., 83, 233-249.
-
(2009)
Aristotelian Soc. Suppl. Vol.
, vol.83
, pp. 233-249
-
-
Parker, W.S.1
-
41
-
-
77957118055
-
Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability
-
-, 2010: Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability. Stud. Hist. Philos. Mod. Phys., 41, 263-272.
-
(2010)
Stud. Hist. Philos. Mod. Phys.
, vol.41
, pp. 263-272
-
-
Parker, W.S.1
-
42
-
-
38649099003
-
Simulating nature: A philosophical study of computer-simulation uncertainties and their role in climate science and policy advice
-
Petersen, A. C., 2006: Simulating Nature: A Philosophical Study of Computer-Simulation Uncertainties and Their Role in Climate Science and Policy Advice. Het Spinhuis, 210 pp.
-
(2006)
Het Spinhuis
, pp. 210
-
-
Petersen, A.C.1
-
44
-
-
38849119288
-
Climate models and their evaluation
-
S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press
-
Randall, D. A., and Coauthors, 2007: Climate models and their evaluation. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 589-662.
-
(2007)
Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis
, pp. 589-662
-
-
Randall, D.A.1
-
46
-
-
78650044682
-
Lost in translation: Closing the gap between climate science and national security policy
-
Available online at
-
Rogers, W., and J. Gulledge, 2010: Lost in translation: Closing the gap between climate science and national security policy. Center for a New American Security Rep., 58. [Available online at www.cnas.org/files/documents/ publications/Lost%20in%20Translation-Code406-Web-0.pdf.]
-
(2010)
Center for a New American Security Rep.
, vol.58
-
-
Rogers, W.1
Gulledge, J.2
-
47
-
-
4344662301
-
How science makes environmental controversies worse
-
DOI 10.1016/j.envsci.2004.06.001, PII S1462901104000620
-
Sarewitz, D., 2004: How science makes environmental controversies worse. Environ. Sci. Policy, 7, 385-403. (Pubitemid 39149551)
-
(2004)
Environmental Science and Policy
, vol.7
, Issue.5
, pp. 385-403
-
-
Sarewitz, D.1
-
48
-
-
77952644864
-
Science as a contact sport: Inside the battle to save earth's climate
-
Schneider, S. H., and T. Flannery, 2009: Science as a Contact Sport: Inside the Battle to Save Earth's Climate. National Geographic Society, 304 pp.
-
(2009)
National Geographic Society
, pp. 304
-
-
Schneider, S.H.1
Flannery, T.2
-
49
-
-
8444236621
-
Uncertainty requirements in radiative forcing of climate change
-
Schwartz, S. E., 2004: Uncertainty requirements in radiative forcing of climate change. J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc., 54, 1351-1359. (Pubitemid 39487838)
-
(2004)
Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association
, vol.54
, Issue.11
, pp. 1351-1359
-
-
Schwartz, S.E.1
-
50
-
-
64949152849
-
Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the world modelling summit for climate prediction
-
Shukla, J., R. Hagedorn, B. Hoskins, J. Kinter, J. Marotzke, M. Miller, T. N. Palmer, and J. Slingo, 2009: Revolution in climate prediction is both necessary and possible: A declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 175-178.
-
(2009)
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
, vol.90
, pp. 175-178
-
-
Shukla, J.1
Hagedorn, R.2
Hoskins, B.3
Kinter, J.4
Marotzke, J.5
Miller, M.6
Palmer, T.N.7
Slingo, J.8
-
52
-
-
84926974424
-
Predictability past predictability present
-
T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds., Cambridge University Press
-
-, 2006: Predictability past predictability present. Predictability of Weather and Climate, T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 217-250.
-
(2006)
Predictability of Weather and Climate
, pp. 217-250
-
-
Smith, L.A.1
-
53
-
-
84855804766
-
-
cited, Available online
-
Spiegelhalter, D., cited 2011: Quantifying uncertainty. [Available online http://downloads.royalsociety.org/audio/DM/DM2010-03/Speigelhalter.mp3.]
-
(2011)
Quantifying Uncertainty
-
-
Spiegelhalter, D.1
-
54
-
-
34547165887
-
Confidence, uncertainty and decisionsupport relevance in climate predictions
-
Stainforth, D. A., M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, and L. A. Smith, 2007: Confidence, uncertainty and decisionsupport relevance in climate predictions. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, A365, 2145-2161.
-
(2007)
Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London
, vol.A365
, pp. 2145-2161
-
-
Stainforth, D.A.1
Allen, M.R.2
Tredger, E.R.3
Smith, L.A.4
-
55
-
-
0034671839
-
External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings
-
DOI 10.1126/science.290.5499.2133
-
Stott, P. A., S. F. B. Tett, G. S. Jones, M. R. Allen, J. F. B. Mitchell, and G. J. Jenkins, 2000: External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. Science, 290, 2133-2137. (Pubitemid 32001591)
-
(2000)
Science
, vol.290
, Issue.5499
, pp. 2133-2137
-
-
Stott, P.A.1
Tett, S.F.B.2
Jones, G.S.3
Allen, M.R.4
Mitchell, J.F.B.5
Jenkins, G.J.6
-
56
-
-
58149378235
-
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC
-
Swart, R., L. Bernstein, M. Ha-Duong, and A. C. Petersen, 2009: Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC. Climatic Change, 92, 1-29.
-
(2009)
Climatic Change
, vol.92
, pp. 1-29
-
-
Swart, R.1
Bernstein, L.2
Ha-Duong, M.3
Petersen, A.C.4
-
57
-
-
84855790845
-
A summary of the CMIP5 experiment design
-
Available online at
-
Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2011: A summary of the CMIP5 experiment design. CLIVAR, 33 pp. [Available online at www.clivar.org/organization/wgcm/references/Taylor-CMIP5.pdf.]
-
(2011)
CLIVAR
, pp. 33
-
-
Taylor, K.E.1
Stouffer, R.J.2
Meehl, G.A.3
-
58
-
-
0037662417
-
Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions to twentieth century temperature change
-
DOI 10.1029/2000JD000028
-
Tett, S. F. B., and Coauthors, 2002: Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributions to twentieth century temperature change. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4306, doi:10.1029/2000JD000028. (Pubitemid 43206157)
-
(2002)
Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres
, vol.107
, Issue.16
, pp. 101-1024
-
-
Tett, S.F.B.1
Jones, G.S.2
Stott, P.A.3
Hill, D.C.4
Mitchell, J.F.B.5
Allen, M.R.6
Ingram, W.J.7
Johns, T.C.8
Johnson, C.E.9
Jones, A.10
Roberts, D.L.11
Sexton, D.M.H.12
Woodage, M.J.13
-
59
-
-
42549140221
-
DOD news briefing-secretary rumsfeld and gen
-
cited, Available online at
-
U. S. DOD, cited 2011: DOD news briefing-Secretary Rumsfeld and Gen. Myers. [Available online at www.defense.gov/transcripts/transcript.aspx? transcriptid=2636.]
-
(2011)
Myers
-
-
-
60
-
-
28244497246
-
Uncertainty as a monster in the science-policy interface: Four coping strategies
-
Van der Sluijs, J. P., 2005: Uncertainty as a monster in the science-policy interface: Four coping strategies. Water Sci. Technol., 52, 87-92.
-
(2005)
Water Sci. Technol.
, vol.52
, pp. 87-92
-
-
Van Der Sluijs, J.P.1
-
61
-
-
84855808779
-
Room for climate debate: Perspectives on the interaction between climate politics, science and the media
-
Available online at
-
-, R. van Est, and M. Riphagen, Eds., 2010: Room for climate debate: Perspectives on the interaction between climate politics, science and the media. Rathenau Instituut, 96 pp. [Available online at www.rathenau.nl/uploads/tx- tferathenau/Room-for-climate-debate.pdf.]
-
(2010)
Rathenau Instituut
, pp. 96
-
-
Van Est, R.1
Riphagen, M.2
-
62
-
-
11344292955
-
Defining uncertainty: A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support
-
Walker, W. E., P. Harremoes, J. Rotmans, J. P. van der Sluijs, M. B. A. van Asselt, P. Janssen, and M. P. Krayer von Krauss, 2003: Defining uncertainty: A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integr. Assess., 4, 5-17.
-
(2003)
Integr. Assess.
, vol.4
, pp. 5-17
-
-
Walker, W.E.1
Harremoes, P.2
Rotmans, J.3
Van Der Sluijs, J.P.4
Van Asselt, M.B.A.5
Janssen, P.6
Krayer Von Krauss, M.P.7
-
63
-
-
58149401024
-
Uncertainty and the IPCC: An editorial comment
-
Webster, M., 2009: Uncertainty and the IPCC: An editorial comment. Climatic Change, 92, 37-40.
-
(2009)
Climatic Change
, vol.92
, pp. 37-40
-
-
Webster, M.1
-
64
-
-
46649086417
-
Guidance notes for lead authors of the IPCC fourth assessment report on addressing uncertainties
-
Available online at
-
WMO, 2005: Guidance notes for lead authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on addressing uncertainties. IPCC, 4 pp. [Available online at www.ipcc.ch/pdf/supporting-material/uncertaintyguidancenote.pdf.]
-
(2005)
IPCC
, pp. 4
-
-
|