Assessing possible changes in flood frequency due to climate change in mid-sized watersheds in New York State, USA

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 25, Issue 16, 2011, Pages 2542-2550

  Shaw, Stephen B ^a   Riha, Susan J ^a  

^a Institute for the Study of the Continents   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Flooding; New York State; Precipitation intensity

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL MAXIMA; COLD REGIONS; CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION; FLOOD FREQUENCY; FLOOD FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS; FLOOD RISKS; FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS; GAMMA DISTRIBUTION; GENERAL EXTREME VALUES; METEOROLOGICAL DATA; NEW YORK STATE; PHYSIOGRAPHIC REGIONS; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL EVENT; RAINFALL INTENSITY; SNOWMELT; STREAM DISCHARGE; UNIVARIATE; WATERBODIES; WET SOIL;

DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS; FLOODS; LANDFORMS; METEOROLOGY; RAIN; SNOW MELTING SYSTEMS; WATERSHEDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ASSESSMENT METHOD; CLIMATE CHANGE; FLOOD FORECASTING; FLOOD FREQUENCY; FLOODING; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; SNOWMELT; STREAM; WATERSHED;

NEW YORK [UNITED STATES]; UNITED STATES;

EID: 79960463889     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8027     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Blöschl G, Montanari A. 2010. Climate change impacts-throwing the dice? Hydrological Processes 24: 374-381.
2. Chen J, Kumar P. 2001. Topographic influence on the seasonal and interannual variation of water and energy balances in North America. Journal of Climate 14: 1989-2014.
3. DeGaetano A. 2009. Time-dependent changes in extreme precipitation return-period amounts in the continental United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 48: 2086-2099.
4. Dingman SL. 2002. Physical Hydrology. Waveland Press: Long Grove, Illinois.
5. Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Tebaldi C. 2007. Linking climate change modeling to impact studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrologic modeling. International Journal of Climatology 27: 1547-1578.
6. Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States, 2009. Karl TR, Melillo JM, Peterson TC, (eds). Cambridge University Press.
7. Hawkins RH. 1974. A note on mixed distributions in hydrology. Proceedings of a Symposium on Statistical Hydrology. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service; Washington, D.C., Miscellaneous Publication No. 1275, 336-335.
8. Hirschboeck, KK, Ely L, Maddox RA. 2000. Hydroclimatology of meteorologic floods. In Inland Flood Hazards: Human, Riparian, and Aquatic Communities, E. Wohl (ed). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 39-72.
9. Huntington TG, Hodgkins GA, Kleim BD, Dudley RW. 2004. Changes in the proportion of precipitation occurring as snow in New England. Journal of Climate 17: 2626-2636.
10. Karl TR, Melillo JM, Peterson TC (Eds). 2009. Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 41-52.
11. Merz R, Blöschl G. 2009. A regional analysis of event runoff coefficients with respect to climate and catchment characteristics in Austria. Water Resources Research 45: W014053. DOI:10.1029/2008WR007163.
12. Merz R, Blöschl G. 2009. Process controls on the statistical flood moments-a data based analysis. Hydrological Processes 23: 675-696.
13. Merz R, Blöschl G. 2008. Flood Frequency Hydrology: 1. Temporal, spatial, and causal expansion of information. Water Resources Research 44: W08432.
14. Merz R, Bloschl G, Parajka J. 2006. Spatio-temporal variability of event runoff coefficients. Journal of Hydrology 331: 591-604.
15. Milly PCD, Betancourt J, Falkenmark M, Hirsch RM, Kundzewicz ZW, Lettenmaier DP, Stouffer RJ. 2008. Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science 319: 573-574.
16. Olsen SA. 2002. Flow frequency characteristics of Vermont streams. WRIR 02-4238. U.S. Geological Survey, Pembroke, NH.
17. Pielke RA, Downton MW. 2000. Precipitation and damaging floods: Trends in the United States, 1932-1997. Journal of Climate 13: 3625-3637.
18. Rossi R, Fiorentino M, Versace P. 1984. Two-component extreme value distribution for flood frequency analysis. Water Resources Research 20: 847-856.
19. Salas JD. 1993. Analysis and Modeling of Hydrologic Time Series. In Handbook of Hydrology, Maidment DR (ed). McGraw-Hill: New York; 19·1-19·72.
20. Shaw SB, Walter MT. 2009. Improving runoff risk estimates: Formulating runoff as a bivariate process using the SCS curve number method. Water Resources Research 45: W03404.
21. Singh KP, Sinclair RA. 1972. Two-distribution method for flood-frequency analysis. Journal of Hydraulics Engineering, American Society of Civil Engineers 98(HY1): 29-44.
22. Sivapalan M, Samuel JM. 2009. Transcending limitations of stationarity and the return period: process-based approach to flood estimation and risk assessment. Hydrological Processes 23: 1671-1675.
23. Small D, Islam S, Vogel RM. 2006. Trends in precipitation and streamflow in the eastern U.S.: Paradox or perception? Geophysical Research Letters 33: L03403. DOI:10.1029/2005GL024995.
24. Stedinger JR. 1993. Frequency Analysis of Extreme Events. In Handbook of Hydrology, Maidment DR (ed). McGraw-Hill: New York; 18·1-18·66.
25. Villarini G, Smith JA. 2010. Flood peak distributions for the Eastern United States. Water Resources Research 46: W06504. DOI:10.1029/2009WR008395.
26. Waylen P, Woo M-K. 1982. Prediction of annual floods generated by mixed processes. Water Resources Research 18: 1283-1286.
27. Wilks D. 2006. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Elsevier: Amsterdam.
28. Zucchini W, Adamson PT. 1989. Bootstrap confidence intervals for design storms from exceedence series. Hydrological Sciences Journal 34: 41-48.