메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 344-366

Forecasting hotel arrivals and occupancy using Monte Carlo simulation

Author keywords

demand uncontraining; forecasting by simulation; hotel arrivals forecasting; hotel demand forecasting; Monte Carlo; occupancy forecasting

Indexed keywords


EID: 79959896699     PISSN: 14766930     EISSN: 1477657X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1057/rpm.2009.42     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (62)

References (35)
  • 1
    • 63849099651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new Bayesian formulation for Holt's exponential smoothing
    • Andrawis, R. and Atiya, A.F. (2009) A new Bayesian formulation for Holt's exponential smoothing. Journal of Forecasting 28: 218-234.
    • (2009) Journal of Forecasting , vol.28 , pp. 218-234
    • Andrawis, R.1    Atiya, A.F.2
  • 2
    • 84970732311 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting hotel occupancy rates with time series models: An empirical analysis
    • Andrew, W., Cranage, D. and Lee, C. (1990) Forecasting hotel occupancy rates with time series models: An empirical analysis. Hospitality Research Journal 14: 173-181.
    • (1990) Hospitality Research Journal , vol.14 , pp. 173-181
    • Andrew, W.1    Cranage, D.2    Lee, C.3
  • 4
    • 79959872055 scopus 로고
    • Improving airline passenger forecasts using reservations data
    • St. Louis, MO
    • Ben-Akiva, M. (1987) Improving airline passenger forecasts using reservations data. In Presentation at Fall ORSA/TIMS Conference, St. Louis, MO.
    • (1987) Presentation at Fall ORSA/TIMS Conference
    • Ben-Akiva, M.1
  • 5
    • 0034245014 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intelligent system to supportjudgmental business forecasting - The case ofestima- ting hotel room demand
    • August
    • Ben Ghalia, M. andWang, P. (August 2000) Intelligent system to supportjudgmental business forecasting - The case ofestima- ting hotel room demand. IEEE Transaction on Fuzzy Systems 8(4): 380-397.
    • (2000) IEEE Transaction on Fuzzy Systems , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. 380-397
    • Ben Ghalia, M.1    Wang, P.2
  • 7
    • 79959916221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting for Airline Network Revenue Management: Revenue and Competitive Impacts
    • Bitran, G. and Gilbert, S. (1998) Forecasting for Airline Network Revenue Management: Revenue and Competitive Impacts. MIT Flight Transportation Lab Report R98-4.
    • (1998) MIT Flight Transportation Lab Report R98-4
    • Bitran, G.1    Gilbert, S.2
  • 8
    • 0000677375 scopus 로고
    • An application of yield management to the hotel industry considering multiple day stays
    • Bitran, G. and Mondschein, S. (1995) An application of yield management to the hotel industry considering multiple day stays. Operations Research 43: 427-443.
    • (1995) Operations Research , vol.43 , pp. 427-443
    • Bitran, G.1    Mondschein, S.2
  • 9
    • 41549145624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of research on revenue management: Current issues and future research
    • Chiang, W.-C., Chen, J.C.H. and Xu, X. (2007) An overview of research on revenue management: Current issues and future research. International Journal of Revenue Management 1(1): 97-128.
    • (2007) International Journal of Revenue Management , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 97-128
    • Chiang, W.-C.1    Chen, J.C.H.2    Xu, X.3
  • 12
    • 33749523557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exponential smoothing: The state of the art - Part II
    • Gardner, E.S. (2006) Exponential smoothing: The state of the art - Part II. InternationalJournal ofForecasting 22: 637-666.
    • (2006) InternationalJournal OfForecasting , vol.22 , pp. 637-666
    • Gardner, E.S.1
  • 19
    • 33749404556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic approach to hotel revenue management considering multiple-day stays
    • DOI 10.1142/S021962200600212X, PII S021962200600212X
    • Liu, S., Lai, K.K., Dong, J. and Wang, S.-Y. (2006) A stochastic approach to hotel revenue management considering multiple- day stays. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making 5: 545-556. (Pubitemid 44505499)
    • (2006) International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 545-556
    • Liu, S.1    Lai, K.K.2    Dong, J.3    Wang, S.-Y.4
  • 20
    • 84979344122 scopus 로고
    • A test of space - Time ARMA modelling and forecasting of hotel data
    • Pfeifer, P. and Bodily S. (1990) A test of space - Time ARMA modelling and forecasting of hotel data. Journal of Forecasting 9:255-272.
    • (1990) Journal of Forecasting , vol.9 , pp. 255-272
    • Pfeifer, P.1    Bodily, S.2
  • 22
    • 0035247582 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting uncertain hotel room demand
    • DOI 10.1016/S0020-0255(00)00082-7, PII S0020025500000827
    • Rajopadhye, M., Ben Ghalia, M., Wang, P.P., Baker, T. and Eister, C.V. (2001) Forecasting uncertain hotel room demand. Information Sciences 132: 1-11. (Pubitemid 32273085)
    • (2001) Information Sciences , vol.132 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 1-11
    • Rajopadhye, M.1    Ben Ghalia, M.2    Wang, P.P.3    Baker, T.4    Eister, C.V.5
  • 24
    • 0002166873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the accuracy of hotel reservations forecasting: Curves similarity approach
    • Schwartz, Z. and Hiemstra, S. (1997) Improving the accuracy of hotel reservations forecasting: Curves similarity approach. Journal of Travel Research 36: 3-14. (Pubitemid 127668666)
    • (1997) Journal of Travel Research , vol.36 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-14
    • Schwartz, Z.1    Hiemstra, S.2
  • 27
    • 0041592232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Competitive Impacts ofYieldManagement System Components: Forecasting and Sell-up Models
    • Skwarek, D.K. (1996) Competitive Impacts ofYieldManagement System Components: Forecasting and Sell-up Models. MIT Flight Transportation Lab Report R96-6.
    • (1996) MIT Flight Transportation Lab Report R96-6
    • Skwarek, D.K.1
  • 29
    • 33745249414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unlocking the value of revenue management in the hotel industry
    • Vinod, B. (2004) Unlocking the value of revenue management in the hotel industry. Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management 3(4): 178-190.
    • (2004) Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management , vol.3 , Issue.4 , pp. 178-190
    • Vinod, B.1
  • 30
    • 79959891407 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of optimization modeling assumptions and their impact on revenue
    • San Diego, CA
    • Weatherford, L.R. (1997) A review of optimization modeling assumptions and their impact on revenue. In Presentation at Spring INFORMS Conference, San Diego, CA.
    • (1997) Presentation at Spring INFORMS Conference
    • Weatherford, L.R.1
  • 31
    • 0042385070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of forecasting methods for hotel revenue management
    • DOI 10.1016/S0169-2070(02)00011-0, PII S0169207002000110
    • Weatherford, L.R. and Kimes, S.E. (January 2003) A comparison offorecasting methods for hotel revenue management. Inter-nationalJournal of Forecasting99(19): 401-415. (Pubitemid 37076560)
    • (2003) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.19 , Issue.3 , pp. 401-415
    • Weatherford, L.R.1    Kimes, S.E.2
  • 33
    • 34548124632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated forecasting approach to hotel demand
    • DOI 10.1016/j.mcm.2007.03.008, PII S0895717707000866
    • Yuksel, S. (2007) An integrated forecasting approach to hotel demand. Mathematical and ComputerModelling46: 1063-1070. (Pubitemid 47302239)
    • (2007) Mathematical and Computer Modelling , vol.46 , Issue.7-8 , pp. 1063-1070
    • Yuksel, S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.