Climate impacts on eastern Bering Sea foodwebs: A synthesis of new data and an assessment of the Oscillating Control Hypothesis

ICES Journal of Marine Science

Volumn 68, Issue 6, 2011, Pages 1230-1243

  Hunt Jr , George L ^a   Coyle, Kenneth O ^c   Eisner, Lisa B ^d   Farley, Edward V ^d   Heintz, Ron A ^d   Mueter, Franz ^c   Napp, Jeffrey M ^b   Overland, James E ^e   Ressler, Patrick H ^b   Salo, Sigrid ^e   Stabeno, Phyllis J ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^b ALASKA FISHERIES SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

^d NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE   (United States)

^e U S ARMY ENGINEER RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

Bering Sea; climate change; crustacean zooplankton; Oscillating Control Hypothesis; sea ice cover; Theragra chalcogramma; walleye pollock; year class strength

Indexed keywords

ALGAL BLOOM; CATCH STATISTICS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CRUSTACEAN; ENERGY FLOW; FOOD WEB; GADOID FISHERY; ICE COVER; ICE RETREAT; PELAGIC ECOSYSTEM; PRIMARY PRODUCTION; RECRUITMENT (POPULATION DYNAMICS); SEA ICE; STOCK ASSESSMENT; SURVIVAL; ZOOPLANKTON;

BERING SEA; PACIFIC OCEAN;

CRUSTACEA; POLLACHIUS; THERAGRA CHALCOGRAMMA;

EID: 79959504114     PISSN: 10543139     EISSN: 10959289     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsr036     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Aydin, K., Gaichas, S., Ortiz, I., Kinzey, D., and Friday, N. 2007. A comparison of the Bering Sea, Gulf of Alaska, and Aleutian Islands large marine ecosystems through food web modeling. U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical Memorandum, NMFS-AFSC-178. 298 pp.
2. Bacheler, N. M., Ciannelli, L., Bailey, K. M., and Duffy-Anderson, J. T. 2010. Spatial and temporal patterns of walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) spawning in the eastern Bering Sea inferred from egg and larval distributions. Fisheries Oceanography, 19: 107-120.
3. Baier, C. T., and Napp, J. M. 2003. Climate-induced variability in Calanus marshallae populations. Journal Plankton Research, 25: 771-782. (Pubitemid 36832419)
4. Bailey, K. M. 2000. Shifting control of recruitment of walleye pollock Theragra chalcogramma after a major climatic and ecosystem change. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 198: 215-224. (Pubitemid 30411286)
5. Bailey, K. M., Brown, A. L., Yoklavich, M. M., and Mier, K. L. 1996. Interannual variability of growth of larval and juvenile walleye pollock in the western Gulf of Alaska. Fisheries Oceanography, 5(Suppl. 1): 137-147.
6. Brodeur, R. D., Wilson, M. T., Ciannelli, L., Doyle, M., and Napp, J. M. 2002. Interannual and regional variability in distribution and ecology of juvenile pollock and their prey in frontal structures of the Bering Sea. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 6051-6067. (Pubitemid 35391570)
7. Cooney, R. T., Allen, J. R., Bishop, M. A., Eslinger, D. L., Kline, T., Norcross, B. L., McRoy, C. P., et al. 2001. Ecosystem controls of juvenile pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and Pacific herring (Clupea pallasii) populations in Prince William Sound, Alaska. Fisheries Oceanography, 10(Suppl. 1): 1-13. (Pubitemid 34134681)
8. Coyle, K. O., Eisner, L., Mueter, F., Pinchuk, A., Janout, M., Cieciel, K., Farley, E., et al. 2011. Climate change in the southeastern Bering Sea: impacts on pollock stocks and implications for the Oscillating Control Hypothesis. Fisheries Oceanography, 20: 139-156.
9. Coyle, K. O., and Pinchuk, A. I. 2002. The abundance and distribution of euphausiids and zero-age pollock on the inner shelf of the southeast Bering Sea near the Inner Front in 1997-1999. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 6009-6030. (Pubitemid 35391568)
10. Coyle, K. O., Pinchuk, A. I., Eisner, L. B., and Napp, J. M. 2008. Zooplankton species composition, abundance and biomass on the eastern Bering Sea shelf during summer: the potential role of water column stability and nutrients in structuring the zooplank-ton community. Deep Sea Research II, 55: 1755-1791.
11. De Robertis, A., McKelvey, D. R., and Ressle, P. H. 2010. Development and application of empirical multifrequency methods for backscat-ter classification in the North Pacific. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 67: 1459-1474.
12. Drobysheva, S. S. 1994. The Barents Sea Euphausiids and their Role in the Formation of Fishing Biological Production. PINRO Press, Murmansk. 139 pp. (in Russian).
13. Duffy-Anderson, J. T., Busby, M. S., Mier, K. L., Deliyanides, C. M., and Stabeno, P. J. 2005. Spatial and temporal patterns in summer ichthyoplankton assemblages on the eastern Bering Sea shelf 1996-2000. Fisheries Oceanography, 15: 80-94.
14. Falk-Petersen, S., Hagen, W., Kattner, G., Clarke, A., and Sargent, J. 2000. Lipids, trophic relationships, and biodiversity in Arctic and Antarctic krill. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 57(Suppl. 3): 178-191. (Pubitemid 32122561)
15. Farley, E. V., Murphy, J. M., Wing, B. W., Moss, J. H., and Middleton, A. 2005. Distribution, migration pathways, and size of western Alaska juvenile salmon along the eastern Bering Sea shelf. Alaska Fisheries Research Bulletin, 11: 15-26. (Pubitemid 41657741)
16. Hare, S. R., and Mantua, N. J. 2000. Empirical evidence for North Pacific regime shifts in 1977 and 1989. Progress in Oceanography, 47: 103-146.
17. Honkalehto, T., Jones, D., McCarthy, A., McKelvey, D., Guttormsen, M., Williams, K., and Williamson, N. 2009. Results of the echo integration-trawl survey of walleye pollock (Theragra chalco-gramma) on the U.S. and Russian Bering Sea shelf in June and July 2008. U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical. Memorandum NMFS-AFSC-194. 56 pp. http://www.afsc.noaa.gov/ Publications/AFSC-TM/NOAA-TM-AFSC-194.pdf.
18. Hunt, G., Bond, N., Stabeno, P., Ladd, C., Mordy, C., Whitledge, T., Feely, R., et al. 2010. Status and trends of the Bering Sea region, 2003-2008. In The Marine Ecosystems of the North Pacific Ocean; Status and Trends, pp. 196-267. Ed. by S. M. McKinnell, and M. Dagg. PICES Special Publication, 4. 393 pp.
19. Hunt, G. L., Baduini, C., and Jahncke, J. 2002b. Diets of short-tailed shearwaters in the southeastern Bering Sea. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 6147-6156. (Pubitemid 35391574)
20. Hunt, G. L., Coyle, K. O., Hoffman, S., Decker, M. B., and Flint, E. N. 1996. Foraging ecology of short-tailed shearwaters near the Pribilof Islands, Bering Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 141: 1-11.
21. Hunt, G. L., and Drinkwater, K. (eds). 2005. Background on the climatology, physical oceanography and ecosystems of the Sub-arctic seas: appendix to the ESSAS Science Plan. GLOBEC Report No. 20, viii. 96 pp.
22. Hunt, G. L., Stabeno, P. J., Strom, S., and Napp, J. M. 2008. Patterns of spatial and temporal variation in the marine ecosystem of the southeastern Bering Sea, with special reference to the Pribilof Domain. Deep Sea Research II, 55: 1919-1944.
23. Hunt, G. L., Stabeno, P., Walters, G., Sinclair, E., Brodeur, R. D., Napp, J. M., and Bond, N. A. 2002a. Climate change and control of the southeastern Bering Sea pelagic ecosystem. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 5821-5853. (Pubitemid 35391559)
24. Huntley, M. E., and Lopez, M. D. G. 1992. Temperature-dependent production of marine copepods: a global analysis. American Naturalist, 140: 201-242. (Pubitemid 23395265)
25. Ianelli, J. N., Barbeaux, S., Honkalehto, T., Kotwicki, S., Aydin, K., and Williamson, N. 2010. Assessment of the walleye pollock stock in the eastern Bering Sea. In Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation Report for the Groundfish Resources of the Bering Sea/Aleutian Islands Regions. North Pacific Fishery Management Council, Anchorage, AK.
26. Jahncke, J., Hyrenbach, K. D., Baduini, C. L., Coyle, K. O., and Hunt, G. L. 2005. Distribution of foraging shearwaters with respect to the inner front of the southeastern Bering Sea. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 305: 219-233. (Pubitemid 43182306)
27. Kachel, N. B., Hunt, G. L., Salo, S. A., Schumacher, J. D., Stabeno, P. J., and Whitledge, T. E. 2002. Characteristics and variability of the inner front of the southeastern Bering Sea. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 5889-5909. (Pubitemid 35391562)
28. Lessard, E. J., Shaw, C. T., Bernhardt, M., Engel, V. L., and Foy, M. S. 2010. Euphausiid feeding and growth in the eastern Bering Sea. Eos Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, 91(26), Ocean Sciences Meeting Supplement, Abstract IT356-01.
29. Litzow, M. A., Bailey, K. M., Prahl, F. G., and Heintz, R. 2006. Climate regime shifts and reorganization of fish communities: the essential fatty acid limitation hypothesis. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 315: 1-11. (Pubitemid 44073844)
30. MacLennan, D. N., Fernandes, P. G., and Dalen, J. 2002. A consistent approach to definitions and symbols in fisheries acoustics. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 59: 365-369. (Pubitemid 35235320)
31. Methot, R. D. 1986. Frame trawl for sampling pelagic juvenile fish. California Cooperative Oceanic Fisheries Investigations Reports, 27: 267-278.
32. Moss, J. H., Farley, E. V., and Feldman, A. M. 2009. Spatial distribution, energetic status and food habits of eastern Bering Sea age-0 walleye pollock. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 138: 497-505.
33. Mueter, F. J., Bond, N. A., Ianelli, J. N., and Hollowed, A. B. 2011. Expected declines in recruitment of walleye pollock (Theragra chal-cogramma) in the eastern Bering Sea under future climate change. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1284-1296.
34. Mueter, F. J., Ladd, C., Palmer, M. C., and Norcross, B. L. 2006. Bottom-up and top-down controls of walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) on the eastern Bering Sea shelf. Progress in Oceanography, 68: 152-183.
35. Napp, J. M., Baier, C. T., Brodeur, R. D., Coyle, K. O., Shiga, N., and Mier, K. 2002. Interannual and decadal variability in zooplankton communities of the southeast Bering Sea shelf. Deep Sea Research II, 49: 5991-6008. (Pubitemid 35391567)
36. NPFMC (North Pacific Fisheries Management Council). 2009. Stock assessment and fishery evaluation report for the groundfish resources of the Bering Sea/Aleutian Islands regions. North Pacific Fishery Management Council, Anchorage, AK.
37. Petitgas, P. 1993. Geostatistics for fish stock assessments: a review and an acoustic application. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 50: 285-298. (Pubitemid 24415253)
38. Pyper, B. J., and Peterman, R. M. 1998. Comparison of methods to account for autocorrelation in correlation analyses of fish data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 55: 2127-2140. (Pubitemid 28560395)
39. Sambrotto, R. N., Mordy, C. W., Zeeman, S. I., Stabeno, P. J., and Macklin, S. A. 2008. Physical forcing and nutrient conditions associated with patterns of chlorophyll a and phytoplankton productivity in the southeastern Bering Sea during summer. Deep Sea Research II, 55: 1745-1760.
40. Smith, S. L., Vidal, J., and Lane, P. V. Z. 1982. 1979-1980 Data Report. PROBES Data Report PDR 82-011.
41. Sogard, S. M., and Olla, B. L. 2000. Endurance of simulated winter conditions by age-0 walleye pollock: effects of body size, water temperature and energy stores. Journal of Fish Biology, 56: 1-21. (Pubitemid 30086790)
42. Stabeno, P. J., Bond, N. A., Kachel, N. B., Salo, S. A., and Schumacher, J. D. 2001. On the temporal variability of the physical environment over the southeastern Bering Sea. Fisheries Oceanography, 10: 81-98. (Pubitemid 32430661)
43. Stabeno, P. J., Bond, N. A., Kachel, N. K., and Salo, S. A. 2007. On the recent warming of the southeastern Bering Sea Shelf. Deep Sea Research II, 54: 2578-2598.
44. Stabeno, P. J., Napp, J., Mordy, C., and Whitledge, T. 2010. Factors influencing physical structure and lower trophic levels of the eastern Bering Sea shelf in 2005: ice, tides and winds. Progress in Oceanography, 85: 180-196.
45. Stockwell, D. A., Whitledge, T. E., Zeeman, S. I., Coyle, K. O., Napp, J. M., Brodeur, R. D., Pinchuk, A. I., et al. 2001. Anomalous conditions in the south-eastern Bering Sea, 1997: nutrients, phyto-plankton, and zooplankton. Fisheries Oceanography, 10: 99-116. (Pubitemid 32430662)
46. Swartzman, G. L., Winter, A. G., Coyle, K. O., Brodeur, R. D., Buckley, T., Ciannelli, L., Hunt, G. L., Jr, et al. 2005. Relationship of age-0 pollock abundance and distribution around the Pribilof Islands with other shelf regions of the eastern Bering Sea. Fisheries Research, 74: 273-287. (Pubitemid 40793671)
47. Volkov, A. F. 1984. Recommendations for Expedited Zooplankton Sample Processing at Sea. TINRO, Vladivostok. 31 pp. (in Russian).
48. Volkov, A. F. 1996. Methodologies for zooplankton collections. Izvestiya TINRO, 119: 306-311 (in Russian).
49. Volkov, A. F., Efimkin, A. Ya., and Kuznetseva, N. A. 2007. Characteristics of the plankton community of the Bering Sea and several regions of the North Pacific in 2002-2006. Izvestiya TINRO, 151: 338-364 (in Russian).
50. Walsh, J. J., and McRoy, C. P. 1986. Ecosystem analysis in the southeastern Bering Sea. Continental Shelf Research, 5: 259-288. (Pubitemid 17245225)