Economic voting in times of economic crisis

German Politics

Volumn 20, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 128-145

  Hans, Rattinger ^a   Steinbrecher, Markus ^a  

^a NONE

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 79956352563     PISSN: 09644008     EISSN: 17438993     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09644008.2011.554111     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. M. Elff and S. Rossteutscher, 'Stability or Decline? Class, Religion and the Vote in Germany', German Politics 20/1 (2011), pp.107-27.
2. C. Kellermann and H. Rattinger, Economic Conditions, Unemployment and Perceived Government Accountability', German Politics 15 (2006), pp.460-80;
3. C. Kellermann and H. Rattinger, Wahrnehmung der Wirtschaftslage und Wahlverhalten', in H. Rattinger, O.W. Gabriel and Jürgen W. Falter (eds), Der gesamtdeutsche Wähler: Stabilität und Wandel des Wählerverhaltens im wiedervereinigten Deutschland (Baden-Baden: Nomos, 2007), pp.329-56;
4. J. Maier and H. Rattinger, 'Economic Conditions and the 1994 and 1998 Federal Elections', German Politics 8 (1999), pp.33-47.
5. C.D. Anderson, Economic Voting and Multilevel Governance: A Comparative Individual-Level Analysis', American Journal of Political Science 50 (2006), pp.449-63;
6. R. Duch and R.T. Stevenson, The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008).
7. A. Campbell, P.E. Converse, W.E. Miller and D.E. Stokes, The American Voter (New York: Wiley, 1960).
8. A. Campbell, G. Gurin and W.E. Miller, The Voter Decides (Evanston: Row, Peterson, 1954).
9. The data have been made available by GESIS - The Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences. The data were surveyed by Prof. Dr. Hans Rattinger (University of Mannheim), Prof. Dr. Sigrid Roßteutscher (University of Frankfurt/Main), Prof. Dr. Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck (University of Mannheim), and PD Dr. Bernhard Weßels (Social Science Research Center Berlin (WZB)). Data have been prepared and documented by GESIS. GLES is funded by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG). Data can be downloaded from http://www.gesis.org/dienstleistungen/forschungsdatenzentren/fdz-wahlen/gles/
10. A. Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy (New York: Harper & Row, 1957).
11. G. Kramer, 'Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896-1964', American Political Science Review 65 (1971), pp.131-43.
12. See http://www.zdf.de/ZDFmediathek/content/813876?inPopup=trueformoreinformation (accessed 8 Oct. 2009).
13. H. Rattinger and W. Puschner, 'Ökonomie und Politik in der Bundesrepublik. Wirtschaftslage und Wahlverhalten 1953-1980', Politische Vierteljahresschrift 22 (1981), pp.264-79.
14. D.A. Hibbs, Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy', American Political Science Review 71 (1977), pp.1467-87;
15. D.A. Hibbs, 'On the Demand for Economic Outcomes. Macroeconomic Performance and Mass Political Support in the United States, Great Britain, and Germany', Journal of Politics 44 (1982), pp.426-62.
16. V. Kunz and S.I. Thaidigsmann, 'Die Relevanz von Themenorientierungen für das Wählerverhalten bei der Bundestagswahl 2002', in J.W. Falter, O.W. Gabriel and B. Weßels (eds), Wahlen und Wähler. Analysen aus Anlass der Bundestagswahl 2002 (Wiesbaden: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, 2005), pp.50-76.
17. D.R. Kiewiet, Macroeconomics and Micropolitics. The Electoral Effects of Economic Issues (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1983);
18. D.R. Kinder and D.R. Kiewiet, Economic Discontent and Political Behavior: The Role of Personal Grievances and Collective Economic Judgments in Congressional Voting', American Journal of Political Science 23 (1979), pp.495-527;
19. D.R. Kinder, Presidents, Prosperity and Public Opinion', Public Opinion Quarterly 45 (1981), pp.1-21;
20. D.R. Kinder and D.R. Kiewiet, 'Sociotropic Politics. The American Case', British Journal of Political Science 11 (1981), pp.129-61.
21. S.L. Popkin, J.W. Groman, C. Phillips and J.A. Smith, 'Comment: What Have you Done for me Lately? Toward an Investment Theory of Voting', American Political Science Review 66 (1976), pp.415-28.
22. H. Rattinger, Collective and Individual Economic Judgements and Voting in West Germany, 1961- 1984', European Journal of Political Research 14 (1986), pp.393-419;
23. P.M. Sniderman and R.A. Brody, 'Coping. The Ethic of Self-Reliance', American Journal of Political Science 21 (1977), pp.501-22.
24. S.M. Weatherford, 'Economic Determinants of Voting', in S. Long (ed.), Research in Micropolitics. Voting Behavior, 2nd edition (Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1987), pp.219-69.
25. Sniderman and Brody, Coping'.
26. Rattinger, Collective and Individual', p.395;
27. Weatherford, Economic Determinants', p.345.
28. W. Schulz, Politische Kommunikation: Theoretische Ansätze und Ergebnisse empirischer Forschung, 2nd fully revised and extended edition (Wiesbaden: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, 2008).
29. Bundesministerium für Verkehr, Bau und Stadtentwicklung, Jahresbericht der Bundesregierung zum Stand der Deutschen Einheit 2009 (Berlin: Bundesministerium für Verkehr, Ball und stadtentwicklung, 2009).
30. Kellermann and Rattinger, Wahrnehmung der Wirtschaftslage'.
31. D. Roth, Ökonomische Variablen und Wahlverhalten', Politische Vierteljahresschrift 14 (1973), pp. 257-74;
32. H. Rattinger, Unemployment and the 1976 Election in Germany: Some Findings at the Aggregate and the Individual Level of Analysis', in D.A. Hibbs (ed.), Contemporary Political Economy (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1981), pp.121-35;
33. H. Rattinger, 'Collective and Individual Economic Judgements and Voting in West Germany, 1961-1984', European Journal of Political Research 14 (1986), pp.393-419.
34. For a general overview see J.W. Falter and H. Schoen (eds), Handbuch Wahlforschung (Wiesbaden: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, 2005), pp.135-325.
35. In fact, interpreting just regression coefficients in interaction models does not provide any value added when testing for interaction effects. Even levels of significance are not important at all.
36. T. Brambor, W.R. Clark and M. Golder, 'Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses', Political Analysis 14 (2006), pp.63-82.
37. Rattinger and Puschner, Ökonomie und Politik in der Bundesrepublik'.
38. See, e.g., Kellermann and Rattinger, Wahrnehmung der Wirtschaftslage', 'Economic Conditions', and Maier and Rattinger, Economic Conditions'.