Is demand for beds about death or demography?

British Journal of Health Care Management

Volumn 17, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 190-197

  Jones, Rod ^a  

^a Healthcare Analysis and Forecasting   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 79956064065     PISSN: 13580574     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.12968/bjhc.2011.17.5.190     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Atlantis E, Browning C, Kendig H (2010) Body mass index and unintentional weight change associated with all cause mortality in older Australians: the Melbourne longitudinal studies on health ageing. Age & Ageing 39: 643-59
2. Balance of Care Group (2008) Identifying alternatives to hospital for people at the end of life. Available at: http://www.balanceofcare.co.uk/ downloads.html (accessed 27 April 2011)
3. Bardsley M, Georghiou T, Dixon J (2010) Social care and hospital use at the end of life. The Nuffield Trust, London. Available at: www.nuffieldtrust. org.uk/publications (accessed 27 April 2011)
4. Blunt I, Bardsley M, Dixon J (2010) Trends in emergency admission in England 2004-2009: Is greater efficiency breeding inefficiency? The Nuffield Trust, London. Available at: www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/publications (accessed 27 April 2011)
5. Busse R, Krauth C et al (2002) Use of acute hospital beds does not increase as the population ages: results from a seven year cohort study in Germany. J Epidemiol Commun H 56(4): 289-93 [Abstr] (Pubitemid 34261203)
6. Currow D, Agar M, Sanderson C, Abernethy A (2008) Populations who die without specialist palliative care: does lower uptake equate with unmet need. Palliat Med 22(1): 43-50 (Pubitemid 351351369)
7. Davis G, Lowell W, Davis G (1998) Determining the number of state psychiatric hospital beds by measuring quality of care with artificial neural networks. American Journal of Medical Quality 13(1): 13-24 (Pubitemid 128445006)
8. Davis G, Lowell W (1999) Using artificial neural networks and the Gutenberg-Richter power law to 'rightsize' a behavioural health care system. American Journal of Medical Quality 14(5): 216-28
9. Department of Health (2008) End of life care strategy-promoting high quality care for all adults at the end of life. Department of Health, England, Crown Copyright. Available at: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/ Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuidance/DH-086277 (accessed 27 April 2011)
10. Dixon T, Shaw M, Frankel S, Ebrahim S (2004) Hospital admissions age, and death: retrospective cohort study. BMJ 328(7451) doi: 10.1136/bmj.38072.481933. EE
11. Donnan P, Dorward D, Mutch B, Morris A, (2008) Development and validation of a model predicting emergency admission over the next year (PEONY): A UK historical cohort study. Arch Intern Med 168: 1416-22
12. Emanuel, Scandrett K (2010) Decisions at the end of life: have we come of age? BMC medicine 8: 57
13. Gairin I, House A, Owens D (2003) Attendance at the accident and emergency department in the year before suicide: retrospective study. Brit J Psychiat 183: 28-33 (Pubitemid 36831260)
14. Gomes B, Higginson I (2008) Where people die (1974-2030) Past trends, future projections and implications for care. Palliat Med 22: 33-41 (Pubitemid 351351368)
15. Horne B, May H, Muhlestein J, Ronnow B, Lappe D et al (2009) Exceptional mortality prediction by risk scores from common laboratory tests. Amer Jnl Medicine 122: 550-8
16. Huzen J, Van Der Harst, De Boer R, Lesman-Leegte I, Voors A et al (2010) Telomere lenrth and psychological well-being in patients with chronic heart failure. Age & Aging 39: 223-7
17. Ingarfield S, Finn J, Jacobs I, Gibson N, Holman C, Jelinek G, Flicker L (2009) Use of emergency departments by older people from residential care: a population based study. Age & Aging 38(3): 314-8
18. Jarman B, Aylin P, Bottle A (2004) Discharge destination and length of stay: differences between US and English hospitals. BMJ 328: 605
19. Jemal A, Ward E, Hao Y, Thun M (2005) Trends in the leading causes of death in the United States, 1970-2002. JAMA 294(10): 1255-9 (Pubitemid 41352114)
20. Jones R (2001) Bed occupancy: Don't take it lying down. Health Service Journal 111(5752): 28-31
21. Jones R (2002). New approaches to bed utilisation - making queuing theory practical. Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting, Camberley, UK. Available at: http://www.hcaf.biz/Recent/Microsoft%20Word%20- %20New%20approaches%20to%20bed%20utilisation%20-2-.pdf (accessed 27 April 2011)
22. Jones R (2003) Bed Management-Tools to aid the correct allocation of beds. Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting, Camberley, UK. Available at: http://www.hcaf.biz/Hospital%20Beds/Microsoft%20Word%20-%20Bed%20planning%20HMC. pdf (accessed 27 April 2011)
23. Jones R (2009a) Trends in emergency admissions. Br J Healthcare Manage 15(4): 188-96
24. Jones R (2009b) Emergency admissions and hospital beds. Br Jnl Healthcare Manage 15(6): 289-96
25. Jones R (2009c) Building smaller hospitals. Br J Healthcare Manage 15(10): 511-2
26. Jones R (2009d) Crafting efficient bed pools. Br J Healthcare Manage 15(12):614-6
27. Jones R (2010a) Myths of ideal hospital size. Med J Aust 193(5): 298-300
28. Jones R (2010b) Allocation of beds within the NHS. Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting, Camberley, UK. Available at: http://www.hcaf.biz/ Hospital%20Beds/Allocation-of-Beds.pdf (accessed 27 April 2011)
29. Jones R (2011) Hospital bed occupancy demystified and why hospitals of different size and complexity must run at different average occupancy levels. Br J Healthcare Manage 17: in press
30. Karamanidis K, Lim K, DaCunha C, Taylor L, Jorm L (2007) Hospital costs of older people in New South Wales in the last year of life. MJA 187(7): 383-6
31. Keene J, Rodriguez J (2007) Are mental health problems associated with use of Accident and Emergency and health-related harm? European Journal of Public Health 17(4): 387-93 (Pubitemid 47236716)
32. Kendrick S, Conway M. Increasing emergency admissions among older people in Scotland: a whole system account. Information and statistics division, NHS Scotland, November 2003. Avialable at: http://www.isdscotland.org/isd/servlet/ FileBuffer?namedFile=Whole-System+-WP1-text.pdf&pContentDispositionType= inline (accessed 27 April 2011)
33. Kings Fund. End-of-life care. The Kings Fund, London, March 2009. Available at: http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/topics/endoflife-care/index.html (accessed 27 April 2011)
34. Knaus W, Wagner D, Draper E, Zimmerman J, Berger M, Bastos P, et al (1991) Risk prediction of hospital mortality for critically ill hospitalized adults. Chest 100: 1619-36
35. Leadbeater C, Garber J (2010) Dying for change. Demos, London. Available at: http://www.demos.co.uk/files/Dying-for-change-web-final-1-.pdf?1289561872 (accessed 27 April 2011)
36. Mayhew L (2001) Japan's longevity revolution and the implications for health care finance and long-term care. The Pensions Institute, Cass Business School, City University, London. http://www.pensions-institute.org/ workingpapers/wp0108.pdf
37. Mayor S (2009) Unravelling the secrets of ageing. Br Med Jnl 338: 136-8
38. National Center for Health Statistics. Changes in mortality trends: England and Wales 1931-1961. Public Health Service Publication No. 1000-Series 3 - No. 3, November 1965. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov.nchs/data/series/sr- 03/sr03-003acc.pdf (accessed 28 April 2011)
39. Nicholl J (2007) Case-mix adjustment in non-randomised observational evaluations: the constant risk fallacy. J Epidemiol Commun H 61: 1010-13 (Pubitemid 350032599)
40. Pettinger N (2001) Emergency admissions: Change the record. Health Service Journal 111(5782): 20-21
41. Phelps K, Shepperdson B (1998) Emergency admission of elderly people: a social care problem? British Journal of Community Nursing 3(10): 489-495
42. Pot A, Portrait F, Visser G, Puts M, Broese van Groenou M, Deeg D (2009) Utilization of acute and long-term care in the last year of life: comparison of survivors in a population-based study. BMC Health Serv Research 2009: 9:139
43. Pollock A, Shaoul J, Vickers N (2002) Private finance and 'value for money' in NHS hospitals: a policy in search of a rationale? BMJ 324(7347): 1205-09 (Pubitemid 34547927)
44. Rayner H, Temple R, Marshall T, Clarke D (2002) A comparison of hospital readmission rates between two general physicians with different outpatient practices. BMC Health Services Research 2:12
45. Round A, Crabb T, Buckingham K, Mejznor R, Pearce V, Ayres R, et al (2004) Six month outcomes after emergency admission of elderly patients to a community or district general hospital. Family Practice 21(2): 173-9 (Pubitemid 38489400)
46. Sampson E, Thune-Boyle I, Kukhastenuehmas R et al (2008) Palliative care in advanced dementia; A mixed methods approach for the development of complex intervention. BMC Palliative Care 7:8
47. Seshamani M, Gray A (2003) A longitudinal study of the effects of age and time to death on hospital costs. J Health Econ 23(2): 217-35 (Pubitemid 38333024)
48. Stafoggia M, Forastiere F, Michelozzi P (2009) Summer temperature-related mortality: effect modification by previous winter mortality. Epidemiology 20(4): 575-83
49. Walker L, Jamrozik K, Wingfield D (2005) The Sherbrooke questionnaire predicts use of emergency services. Age & Aging 34(3): 233-7 (Pubitemid 40711735)
50. Wier L, Levit K, Stranges E, Ryan K, Pfunter A, Vandivort R, et al (2010) HCUP facts and figures: Statistics on hospital-based care in the United States, 2008. Agency for Healthcare Research & Quality, Rockville, MD. Available at: http://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports.jsp (accessed 28 April 2011)