Scenario-informed multiple criteria analysis for prioritizing investments in electricity capacity expansion

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Volumn 96, Issue 8, 2011, Pages 883-891

  Martinez, Lauro J ^a,b,c   Lambert, James H ^b,c   Karvetski, Christopher W ^b,c  

^a Jalisco   (Mexico)

^b University of Virginia   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Capacity expansion; Energy security; Multiple criteria analysis; Scenario analysis

Indexed keywords

CAPACITY EXPANSION; COMPLEX TASK; DECISION MAKERS; EFFICIENT TECHNOLOGY; ELECTRICITY-GENERATION TECHNOLOGY; ENERGY SECURITY; INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO; ME-XICO; MULTIPLE CRITERIA ANALYSIS; MULTIPLE CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS; OPTIMIZATION SYSTEM; PRIORITIZATION; RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE; SCENARIO ANALYSIS; TECHNOLOGY PORTFOLIOS;

DECISION MAKING; DECISION THEORY; ECONOMICS; ELECTRIC GENERATORS; ELECTRICITY; EXPANSION; INNOVATION; POWER QUALITY;

INVESTMENTS;

EID: 79955706888     PISSN: 09518320     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2011.03.007     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. R. Flage, and T. Aven On treatment of uncertainty in system planning Reliability Engineering and System Safety 94 2009 884 890
2. Yan Wang Renewable electricity in Sweden: an analysis of policy and regulations Energy Policy 34 2006 1209 1220 (Pubitemid 43230491)
3. Federal Electricity Commission Mexico. 〈 www.cfe.gob.mx .
4. S. Mallah, and N.K. Bansal Allocation of energy resources for power generation in India: business as usual and energy efficiency Energy Policy 38 2010 1059 1066
5. T. Nakawiro, S.C. Bhattacharyya, and B. Limmeechokchai Expanding electricity capacity in Thailand to meet the twin challenges of supply security and environmental protection Energy Policy 36 2008 2265 2278
6. C.W. Karvetski, J.H. Lambert, and I. Linkov Emergent conditions and multiple criteria analysis in infrastructure prioritization for developing countries Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis 16 2009 125 137
7. C.W. Karvetski, J.H. Lambert, J.M. Keisler, and I. Linkov Integration of decision analysis and scenario planning for coastal engineering and climate change Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part A 41 1 2011 63 73
8. C.W. Karvetski, J.H. Lambert, and I. Linkov Scenario and multiple criteria decision analysis for energy and environmental security of military and industrial installations Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 7 2 2011 228 236
9. C. Ram, G. Montibeller, and A. Morten Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for evaluation of strategic options Journal of the Operational Research Society 62 2010 817 829 (May 2011)
10. G. Montibeller, H. Gummer, and D. Tumidei Combining scenario planning and multi-criteria decision analysis in practice Journal of Multi-Critieria Decision Analysis 14 2006 5 20
11. AI Chatzimouratidis, and PA Pilavachi Technological, economic and sustainability evaluation of power plants using the analytic hierarchy process Energy Policy 37 2009 778 787
12. P.A. Pilavachi, S.D. Stephanidis, V.A. Pappas, and N.H. Afgan Multi-criteria evaluation of hydrogen and natural gas fuelled power plant technologies Applied Thermal Engineering 29 2009 2228 2234
13. D. Diakoulaki, and F. Karangelis Multi-criteria decision analysis and costbenefit analysis of alternative scenarios for the power generation sector in Greece Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 11 2007 716 727 (Pubitemid 44344535)
14. R. Weil, and G.E. Apostolakis A methodology for the prioritization of operating experience in nuclear plants Reliability Engineering & System Safety 74 1 2001 23 42 (Pubitemid 32842221)
15. V. Belton, and T.J. Stewart Multiple criteria decision analysis, an integrated approach 2002 Kluwer Academic Publishers Boston, MA
16. R.L. Keeney Value-focused thinking, a path to creative decisionmaking 1992 Harvard University Press Cambridge
17. K. Golabi, C.W. Kirkwood, and A. Sicherman Selecting a portfolio of solar energy projects using multiattribute preference theory Management Science 27 2 1981 174 189
18. K. Golabi Selecting a group of dissimilar projects for funding IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 34 3 1987 138 145
19. G.S. Parnell, J.A. Jackson, R.C. Burk, L.J. Lehmkuhl, and J.A. Engelbrecht R&D concept decision analysis: using alternate futures for sensitivity analysis Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 8 1999 119 127
20. U.S. energy information administration independent statistics and analysis web site EIA: 〈 http://www.eia.doe.gov/ .
21. International Energy Agency OECD web site IEA: 〈 http://www.iea.org .
22. R. Cowan Kelly, and Turgrul Daim Comparative technological road-mapping for renewable energy Technology in Society 31 2009 333 341
23. D.M. Karydas, and J.F. Gifun A method for the efficient prioritization of infrastructure renewal projects Reliability Engineering & System Safety 91 1 2009 84 99 (Pubitemid 41277082)
24. United Nations University-Millennium Project. Global energy scenarios 2008; 〈 http://www.millennium-project.org/millennium/scenarios/energy- scenarios.html (accessed December 8, 2009).
25. A.N. Badea, C.M. Rocco, S. Tarantola, and R. Bolado Composite indicators for security of energy supply using ordered weighted averaging Reliability Engineering and System Safety 96 6 2011 651 662