메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 137-149

Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction

Author keywords

Climate change; Climate effects modeling; Extinct seed vectors; Joshua tree; Mohave Desert; Plant migration; Yucca brevifolia

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DISPERSAL; EXTINCTION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GEOSTATISTICS; HABITAT TYPE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PALEOECOLOGY; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION STRUCTURE; SHRUB; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TOPOGRAPHY; TWENTIETH CENTURY;

EID: 79955527539     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/09-1800.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (60)

References (48)
  • 1
    • 0033960013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Younger Dryas cold interval as viewed from central Greenland
    • DOI 10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00062-1, PII S0277379199000621
    • Alley, R. B. 2000. The Younger Dryas cold interval as viewed from central Greenland. Quaternary Science Reviews 19:213-226. (Pubitemid 30018294)
    • (2000) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.19 , Issue.1-5 , pp. 213-226
    • Alley, R.B.1
  • 2
    • 11444262228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using spatial models to establish climatic limiters of plant species' distributions
    • DOI 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2004.07.016, PII S0304380004004119
    • Arundel, S. T. 2005. Using spatial models to establish climatic limiters of plant species' distributions. Ecological Modeling 182:159-181. (Pubitemid 40078200)
    • (2005) Ecological Modelling , vol.182 , Issue.2 , pp. 159-181
    • Arundel, S.T.1
  • 3
    • 0037488126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Highresolution climatic evolution of coastal northern California during the past 16,000 years
    • Barron, J. A., L. Huesser, T. Herbert, and M. Lyle. 2004. Highresolution climatic evolution of coastal northern California during the past 16,000 years. Paleoeceanography 18:1020-1031.
    • (2004) Paleoeceanography , vol.18 , pp. 1020-1031
    • Barron, J.A.1    Huesser, L.2    Herbert, T.3    Lyle, M.4
  • 5
    • 0022848687 scopus 로고
    • The lower Colorado River Valley: a Pleistocene desert.
    • Cole, K. L. 1986. The lower Colorado River valley: a Pleistocene desert. Quaternary Research 25:392-400. (Pubitemid 17262805)
    • (1986) Quaternary Research , vol.25 , Issue.3 , pp. 392-400
    • Cole, K.L.1
  • 7
    • 74549117873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vegetation response to early Holocene warming as an analog for current and future changes
    • Cole, K. L. 2010. Vegetation response to early Holocene warming as an analog for current and future changes. Conservation Biology 24:29-37.
    • (2010) Conservation Biology , vol.24 , pp. 29-37
    • Cole, K.L.1
  • 8
    • 24644484775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Carbon isotopes from fossil packrat pellets and elevational movements of Utah agave plants reveal the Younger Dryas cold period in Grand Canyon, Arizona
    • DOI 10.1130/G21769.1
    • Cole, K. L., and S. Arundel. 2005. Carbon isotopes from fossil packrat pellets and elevational movements of Utah Agave reveal Younger Dryas cold period in Grand Canyon, Arizona. Geology 33:713-716. (Pubitemid 41282351)
    • (2005) Geology , vol.33 , Issue.9 , pp. 713-716
    • Cole, K.L.1    Arundel, S.T.2
  • 9
    • 38349165310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographical and climatic limits of needle types of one- and two-needled pinyon pines
    • Cole, K. L., J. Fisher, S. Arundel, J. Cannella, and S. Swift. 2008a. Geographical and climatic limits of needle types of one- and two-needled pinyon pines. Journal of Biogeography 34:257-269.
    • (2008) Journal of Biogeography , vol.34 , pp. 257-269
    • Cole, K.L.1    Fisher, J.2    Arundel, S.3    Cannella, J.4    Swift, S.5
  • 11
    • 0001996354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preliminary growth rates and a proposed age-form classification for the Joshua tree, Yucca brevifolia (Agavaceae)
    • Comanor, P. L., and W. H. Clark. 2000. Preliminary growth rates and a proposed age-form classification for the Joshua tree, Yucca brevifolia (Agavaceae). Haseltonia 7:37-46.
    • (2000) Haseltonia , vol.7 , pp. 37-46
    • Comanor, P.L.1    Clark, W.H.2
  • 12
    • 76349090958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Desert wildfire and severe drought diminish survivorship of the long-lived Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia; Agavaceae)
    • DeFalco, L. A., T. C. Esque, S. J. Scoles-Sciulla, and J. Rodgers. 2010. Desert wildfire and severe drought diminish survivorship of the long-lived Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia; Agavaceae). American Journal of Botany 97:1-8.
    • (2010) American Journal of Botany , vol.97 , pp. 1-8
    • Defalco, L.A.1    Esque, T.C.2    Scoles-Sciulla, S.J.3    Rodgers, J.4
  • 13
    • 79955538107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • eFloras, Missouri Botanical Garden, St. Louis, Missouri, USA,and Harvard University Herbaria, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
    • eFloras. 2008. Yucca brevifolia in Flora of North America. Missouri Botanical Garden, St. Louis, Missouri, USA,and Harvard University Herbaria, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. (http://www.efloras.org)
    • (2008) Yucca Brevifolia in Flora of North America
  • 14
    • 79955535840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality of adult Joshua Trees (Yucca brevifolia) due to small mammal herbivory at Joshua Tree National Park, California
    • USGS, Washington, D.C., USA
    • Esque, T. C., D. F. Haines, L. A. DeFalco, J. E. Rodgers, K. A. Goodwin, and S. J. Scoles. 2003. Mortality of adult Joshua Trees (Yucca brevifolia) due to small mammal herbivory at Joshua Tree National Park, California. Open File Report TA number J8R07020011. USGS, Washington, D.C., USA.
    • (2003) Open File Report TA Number J8R07020011
    • Esque, T.C.1    Haines, D.F.2    Defalco, L.A.3    Rodgers, J.E.4    Goodwin, K.A.5    Scoles, S.J.6
  • 17
    • 79955548326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling climate projections to model ecological change on topographically diverse landscapes of the arid southwestern U.S.
    • C. van Riper III, B. F. Wakeling, and T D. Sisk, editors. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, Arizona, USA
    • Garfin, G., J. K. Eischeid, M. Lenart, K. Cole, K. Ironside, and N. Cobb. 2010. Downscaling climate projections to model ecological change on topographically diverse landscapes of the arid southwestern U.S. Pages 21-44 in C. van Riper III, B. F. Wakeling, and T. D. Sisk, editors. The Colorado Plateau IV; shaping conservation through science and management. University of Arizona Press, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
    • (2010) The Colorado Plateau IV; Shaping Conservation Through Science and Management , pp. 21-44
    • Garfin, G.1    Eischeid, J.K.2    Lenart, M.3    Cole, K.4    Ironside, K.5    Cobb, N.6
  • 18
    • 43949124143 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coevolution and divergence in the Joshua tree/yucca moth mutualism
    • DOI 10.1086/587757
    • Godsoe, W., J. B. Yoder, C. I. Smith, and O. Pellmyr. 2008. Coevolution and divergence in the Joshua tree/Yucca moth mutualism. American Naturalist 171:816-823. (Pubitemid 351706508)
    • (2008) American Naturalist , vol.171 , Issue.6 , pp. 816-823
    • Godsoe, W.1    Yoder, J.B.2    Smith, C.I.3    Pellmyr, O.4
  • 19
    • 84968792847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Yucca brevifoli
    • USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fire Sciences Laboratory, Missoula, Montana, USA
    • Gucker, C. L. 2006. Yucca brevifolia. In Fire effects information system. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fire Sciences Laboratory, Missoula, Montana, USA. (http://www.fs.fed.us/database/feis/plants/tree/yucbre/ introductory.html)
    • (2006) Fire Effects Information System
    • Gucker, C.L.1
  • 22
    • 0036261257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Apparent synchroneity of submillennial scale climate events between Greenland and Santa Barbara Basin, California from 30-10 ka
    • DOI 10.1016/S0277-3791(01)00138-X, PII S027737910100138X
    • Hendy, I. L., J. P. Kennett, E. B. Roark, and B. L. Ingram. 2002. Apparent synchroneity of submillennial scale climate events between Greenland and Santa Barbara Basin, California, from 30-10 ka. Quaternary Science Reviews 21: 1167-1184. (Pubitemid 34494879)
    • (2002) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.21 , Issue.10 , pp. 1167-1184
    • Hendy, I.L.1    Kennett, J.P.2    Roark, E.B.3    Ingram, B.L.4
  • 24
    • 0003508724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Second edition. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA
    • Hosmer, D. W., and S. Lemeshow. 2000. Applied logistic regression. Second edition. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA.
    • (2000) Applied Logistic Regression
    • Hosmer, D.W.1    Lemeshow, S.2
  • 25
    • 0034473595 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Responses of plant populations and communities to environmental changes of the late Quaternary
    • Jackson, S. T., and J. T. Overpeck. 2000. Responses of plant populations and communities to environmental changes of the Late Quaternary. Paleobiology 26(Supplement):194-220. (Pubitemid 32193992)
    • (2000) Paleobiology , vol.26 , Issue.4 SUPPL. , pp. 194-220
    • Jackson, S.T.1    Overpeck, J.T.2
  • 26
    • 33745576821 scopus 로고
    • Neotropical anachronisms: The fruits the gomphotheres ate
    • Janzen, D. D., and P. S. Martin. 1982. Neotropical anachronisms: the fruits the gomphotheres ate. Science 215:19-27.
    • (1982) Science , vol.215 , pp. 19-27
    • Janzen, D.D.1    Martin, P.S.2
  • 27
    • 79955539911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • LANDFIRE Reference Database. USDA Forest Service, U.S. Department of Interior, Missoula, Montana, USA
    • LANDFIRE Reference Database. 2007. Version 0.32. USDA Forest Service, U.S. Department of Interior, Missoula, Montana, USA. (www.landfire.gov)
    • (2007) Version 0.32
  • 29
    • 79955532323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seed dispersal in Yucca brevifolia (Agavaceae): Present and past, with consideration of the future of the species
    • Lenz, L. W. 2001. Seed dispersal in Yucca brevifolia (Agavaceae): present and past, with consideration of the future of the species. Aliso 20:61-74.
    • (2001) Aliso , vol.20 , pp. 61-74
    • Lenz, L.W.1
  • 32
    • 44649196826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preclassification: An ecologically predictive landform model
    • December 2001, USGS GAP Analysis Program, Moscow, Idaho, USA
    • Manis, G., J. Lowry, and R. D. Ramsey. 2001. Preclassification: an ecologically predictive landform model. Gap Analysis Program Bulletin Number 10, December 2001. USGS GAP Analysis Program, Moscow, Idaho, USA.
    • (2001) Gap Analysis Program Bulletin , Issue.10
    • Manis, G.1    Lowry, J.2    Ramsey, R.D.3
  • 33
    • 23644459339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change
    • McLachlan, J. S., J. C. Clark, and P. S. Manos. 2005. Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change. Ecology 86:2088-2098. (Pubitemid 41117479)
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , Issue.8 , pp. 2088-2098
    • McLachlan, J.S.1    Clark, J.S.2    Manos, P.S.3
  • 34
    • 79955533924 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Draft integrated natural resource management plan, Nellis Air Force Base/Nevada Test and Training Range, Plan 126-4
    • Nellis Air Force Base, U.S. Air Force, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, USA
    • Nellis Air Force Base. 2007. Draft integrated natural resource management plan, Nellis Air Force Base/Nevada Test and Training Range, Plan 126-4. 99th Civil Engineering Squadron, Environmental Management Flight. U.S. Air Force, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, USA.
    • (2007) 99th Civil Engineering Squadron, Environmental Management Flight
  • 35
    • 1542757614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pollinator divergence within an obligate mutualism: Two Yucca moth species (Lepidoptera; Prodoxidae: Tegeticula) on the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia; Agavaceae)
    • Pellmyr, O., and K. A. Segraves. 2003. Pollinator divergence within an obligate mutualism: two Yucca moth species (Lepidoptera; Prodoxidae: Tegeticula) on the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia; Agavaceae). Annals of the Entomological Society of America 96:716-722. (Pubitemid 38329578)
    • (2003) Annals of the Entomological Society of America , vol.96 , Issue.6 , pp. 716-722
    • Pellmyr, O.1    Segraves, K.A.2
  • 40
    • 0034988501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential changes in the distributions of western north america tree and shrub taxa under future climate scenarios
    • DOI 10.1007/s10021-001-0004-5
    • Shafer, S. L., P. J. Bartlein, and R. S. Thompson. 2001. Potential changes in the distributions of western North America tree and shrub taxa under future climate scenarios. Ecosystems 4:200-215. (Pubitemid 32516206)
    • (2001) Ecosystems , vol.4 , Issue.3 , pp. 200-215
    • Shafer, S.L.1    Bartlein, P.J.2    Thompson, R.S.3
  • 42
    • 0003475445 scopus 로고
    • The late Quaternary vegetation of a southern Nevada Mountain Range
    • University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA
    • Spaulding, W. G. 1981. The late Quaternary vegetation of a southern Nevada Mountain Range. Dissertation. University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
    • (1981) Dissertation
    • Spaulding, W.G.1
  • 44
    • 48749115277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution Greenland ice core data show abrupt climate change happens in few years
    • Steffensen, J. P., et al. 2008. High-resolution Greenland ice core data show abrupt climate change happens in few years. Science 321:680-684.
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , pp. 680-684
    • Steffensen, J.P.1
  • 45
    • 84887864093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Central Mojave field data
    • USGS, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Colorado Plateau Field Station, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA
    • Thomas, K., T. Keeler-Wolf, and J. Thorne. 2002. Central Mojave field data. A digital database (Access). USGS, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Colorado Plateau Field Station, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.
    • (2002) A Digital Database (Access)
    • Thomas, K.1    Keeler-Wolf, T.2    Thorne, J.3
  • 46
    • 33846329740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) seeds are dispersed by seed-caching rodents
    • DOI 10.2980/1195-6860(2006)13[539:JTYBSA]2.0.CO;2
    • Vander Wall, S. B., T. Esque, D. Haines, M. Garnett, and B. Waitman. 2006. Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) seeds are dispersed by seed-caching rodents. Ecoscience 13:539-543. (Pubitemid 46111527)
    • (2006) Ecoscience , vol.13 , Issue.4 , pp. 539-543
    • Vander Wall, S.B.1    Esque, T.2    Haines, D.3    Garnett, M.4    Waitman, B.A.5
  • 48
    • 31944450121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The timing and nature of Late Quaternary vegetation changes in the northern Great Plains, USA and Canada: A re-assessment of the spruce phase
    • DOI 10.1016/j.quascirev.2005.02.008, PII S0277379105001228
    • Yansa, C. H. 2006. The timing and nature of Late Quaternary vegetation changes in the northern Great Plains, USA and Canada: a re-assessment of the spruce phase. Quaternary Science Reviews 25:263-281. (Pubitemid 43190776)
    • (2006) Quaternary Science Reviews , vol.25 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 263-281
    • Yansa, C.H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.