Modeling lodgepole pine radial growth relative to climate and genetics using universal growth-trend response functions

Ecological Applications

Volumn 21, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 776-788

  McLane, Sierra C ^a   Lemay, Valerie M ^a   Aitken, Sally N ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA   (Canada)

Author keywords

Basal area increment; British Columbia; Climate change; Lodgepole pine; Provenance trial; Quantitative genetics; Radial growth; Random coefficient model; Universal response function

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL VARIATION; BASAL AREA; BIOME; CARBON CYCLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE MODELING; CONIFEROUS TREE; DATA SET; DOMINANCE; EXPERIMENTAL STUDY; FORESTRY PRODUCTION; GROWTH RESPONSE; HIGH TEMPERATURE; NUMERICAL MODEL; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION GROWTH; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PROVENANCE; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SEASONAL VARIATION;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BEETLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CANADA; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GENETICS; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; PHYSIOLOGY; PINE; TREE;

ANIMALS; BEETLES; BRITISH COLUMBIA; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; PINUS; TREES;

BRITISH COLUMBIA; CANADA;

PINUS CONTORTA;

EID: 79955496362     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/10-0131.1     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Adams, H. D., and T. E. Kolb. 2005. Tree growth response to drought and temperature in a mountain landscape in northern Arizona, USA. Journal of Biogeography 32:1629-1640. (Pubitemid 43934046)
2. Aitken, S. N., S. Yeaman, J. A. Holliday, T. Wang, and S. Curtis-McLane. 2008. Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations. Evolutionary Applications 1:95-111.
3. Allen, C. D., et al. 2010. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecology and Management 259:660-684.
4. Andalo, C., J. Beaulieu, and J. Bousquet. 2005. The impact of climate change on growth of local white spruce populations in Quebec, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 205:169-182. (Pubitemid 40078178)
5. Barber, V. A., G. P. Juday, and B. P. Finney. 2000. Reduced growth of Alaskan white spruce in the twentieth century from temperature-induced drought stress. Nature 405:668-673. (Pubitemid 30428649)
6. Bell, G., and A. Gonzalez. 2009. Evolutionary rescue can prevent extinction following environmental change. Ecology Letters 12:942-948.
7. Boisvenue, C., and S. W. Running. 2006. Impacts of climate change on natural forest productivity: evidence since the middle of the 20th century. Global Change Biology 12:862-882. (Pubitemid 44054793)
8. Bonan, G. B. 2008. Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests. Science 320:1444-1449. (Pubitemid 351929396)
9. Brooks, J. R., L. B. Flanagan, and J. R. Ehleringer. 1998. Responses of boreal conifers to climate fluctuations: indica- tions from tree-ring widths and carbon isotope analyses. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 28:524-533.
10. Chuine, I., G. E. Rehfeldt, and S. N. Aitken. 2006. Height growth determinants in pines: a case study of Pinus contorta and Pinus monticola. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 36:1059-1066. (Pubitemid 44140926)
11. Flato, G. M., G. J. Boer, W. G. Lee, N. A. McFarlane, D. Ramsden, M. C. Reader, and A. J. Weaver. 2000. The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis global coupled model and its climate. Climate Dynamics 16:451-467. (Pubitemid 30454354)
12. Fritts, H. C. 1976. Tree rings and climate. Academic Press, San Francisco, California, USA.
13. Heineman, J. L., D. L. Sachs, W. J. Mather, and S. W. Simard. 2010. Investigating the influence of climate, site, location, and treatment factors on damage to young lodgepole pine stands in southern British Columbia. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 40:1107-1127.
14. Holmes, R. L. 1986. Quality control of crossdating and measuring: a user's manual for program COFECHA. Pages 41-49 in R. L. Holmes, R. K. Adams, and H. C. Fritts, editors. Tree-ring chronologies of western North America: California, Eastern Oregon and Northern Great Basin. Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
15. Husch, B., C. I. Miller, and G. Bell. 1972. Growth of the tree. John Wiley and Sons, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
16. Illingworth, K. 1978. Study of lodgepole pine enotypeenvironment interaction in BC. Pages 151-158 in International Union of Forestry Research Organizations (IUFRO) joint meeting of working parties: Douglas-fir provenances, lodgepole pine provenances, Sitka spruce provenances, and Abies provenances. British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Information Services Branch, Victoria, British, Columbia, Canada.
17. Kurz, W. A., G. Stinson, G. J. Rampley, C. C. Dymond, and E. T. Neilson. 2008. Risk of natural disturbances makes future contribution of Canada's forests to the global carbon cycle highly uncertain. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 105:1551-1555. (Pubitemid 351346552)
18. Lapointe-Garant, M., J. Huang, G. Gea-Izquierdo, F. Raulier, P. Bernier, and P. M. Berry. 2009. Use of tree rings to study the effect of climate change on trembling aspen in Quebec. Global Change Biology 16:2039-2051.
19. Littell, R. C., G. A. Milliken, W. W. Stroup, R. D. Wolfinger, and O. Schabenberger. 2006. Chapter 8: random coefficient models. SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina, USA.
20. Mather, W. J., S. W. Simard, J. L. Heineman, and D. L. Sachs. 2010. Decline of planted lodgepole pine in the southern interior of British Columbia. Forestry Chronicle 86:484-497.
21. Oleksyn, J., M. G. Tjoelker, and P. B. Reich. 1998. Adaptation to changing environment in Scots pine populations across a latitudinal gradient. Silvae Genetica 32:129-140. (Pubitemid 28472373)
22. O'Neill, G. A., A. Hamann, and T. Wang. 2008. Accounting for population variation improves estimates of the impact of climate change on species' growth and distribution. Journal of Applied Ecology 45:1040-1049. (Pubitemid 351951821)
23. Pautasso, M. 2009. Geographical genetics and the conservation of forest trees. Perspectives in Plant Ecology Evolution and Systematics 11:157-189.
24. Peltola, H., A. Kilpelainen, and S. Kellomaki. 2002. Diameter growth of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) trees grown at elevated temperature and carbon dioxide concentration under boreal conditions. Tree Physiology 22:963-972. (Pubitemid 35235380)
25. Rehfeldt, G. E., N. M. Tchebakova, Y. I. Parfenova, W. R. Wykoff, N. A. Kuzmina, and L. I. Milyutin. 2002. Intraspecific responses to climate in Pinus sylvestris. Global Change Biology 8:912-929. (Pubitemid 34955831)
26. Rehfeldt, G. E., W. R. Wykoff, and C. C. Ying. 2001. Physiologic plasticity, evolution, and impacts of a changing climate on Pinus contorta. Climatic Change 50:355-376. (Pubitemid 32665123)
27. Rehfeldt, G. E., C. C. Ying, D. L. Spittlehouse, and D. A. Hamilton. 1999. Genetic responses to climate in Pinus contorta: niche breadth, climate change, and reforestation. Ecological Monographs 69:375-407. (Pubitemid 29365799)
28. Reich, P. B., and J. Oleksyn. 2008. Climate warming will reduce growth and survival of Scots pine except in the far north. Ecology Letters 11:588-597. (Pubitemid 351652091)
29. SAS Institute. 2008. SAS version 9.2. SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina, USA.
30. Savolainen, O., T. Pyhajarvi, and T. Knurr. 2007. Gene flow and local adaptation in tees. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 38:595-619.
31. Savva, Y., Y. Bergeron, B. Denneler, A. Koubaa, and F. Tremblay. 2008. Effect of interannual climate variations on radial growth of jack pine provenances in Petawawa, Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38:619-630. (Pubitemid 351506961)
32. Savva, Y., B. Denneler, A. Koubaa, F. Tremblay, Y. Bergeron, and M. G. Tjoelker. 2007. Seed transfer and climate change effects on radial growth of jack pine populations in a common garden in Petawawa, Ontario, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 242:636-647. (Pubitemid 46533897)
33. Savva, Y., F. Schweingruber, L. Milyutin, and E. Vaganov. 2002. Genetic and environmental signals in tree rings from different provenances of Pinus sylvestris L. planted in the southern taiga, central Siberia. Trees: Structure and Function 16:313-324.
34. Saxe, H., M. G. R. Cannell, B. Johnsen, M. G. Ryan, and G. Vourlitis. 2001. Tree and forest functioning in response to global warming. New Phytologist 149:369-399.
35. Stokes, M. A., and T. L. Smiley. 1968. An introduction to treering dating. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
36. Stromgren, M., and S. Linder. 2002. Effects of nutrition and soil warming on stemwood production in a boreal Norway spruce stand. Global Change Biology 8:1195-1204. (Pubitemid 35337696)
37. Wang, T., S. N. Aitken, P. Rozenberg, and M. R. Carlson. 1999. Selection for height growth and Pilodyn pin penetration in lodgepole pine: effects on growth traits, wood properties, and their relationships. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 29:434-445. (Pubitemid 29273168)
38. Wang, T., A. Hamann, D. L. Spittlehouse, and S. N. Aitken. 2006a. Development of scale-free climate data for western Canada for use in resource management. International Journal of Climatology 26:383-397. (Pubitemid 43355827)
39. Wang, T., A. Hamann, A. Yanchuk, G. A. O'Neill, and S. N. Aitken. 2006b. Use of response functions in selecting lodgepole pine populations for future climate. Global Change Biology 12:1-13.
40. Wang, T., G. A. O'Neill, and S. N. Aitken. 2010. Integrating environmental and genetic effects to predict responses of tree populations to climate. Ecological Applications 20:153-163.
41. Yeh, H. Y., and L. C. Wensel. 2000. The relationship between tree diameter growth and climate for coniferous species in northern California. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 30:1463-1471.