A predictive multidimensional model for vegetation anomalies derived from remote-sensing observations

IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing

Volumn 48, Issue 4 PART 1, 2010, Pages 1729-1741

  Forzieri, Giovanni ^a   Castelli, Fabio ^a   Vivoni, Enrique R ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FLORENCE   (Italy)

^b ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Enhanced vegetation index (EVI); Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI); Space time autoregressive (STAR) model; Space time forecasting; Vegetation dynamics

Indexed keywords

ADDITIVE MODELS; AGRICULTURAL AREAS; AUTO-REGRESSIVE; DETERMINISTIC COMPONENT; DETERMINISTIC MODELS; ENHANCED VEGETATION INDEX; ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS; FORECAST ACCURACY; INTERANNUAL; JUMP DISCONTINUITIES; LAND COVER; LEADTIME; MODEL PERFORMANCE; MULTI-DIMENSIONAL MODEL; NATURAL FORESTS; NORMALIZED DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX; NORMALIZED DIFFERENCES; PREDICTIVE MODELS; SPACE-TIME DYNAMICS; SPATIAL AGGREGATION; SPATIAL CORRELATIONS; SPATIAL SCALE; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIABILITY; TERRESTRIAL VEGETATION; TWO-STEP APPROACH; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; VEGETATION INDEX;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; DYNAMICS; FORECASTING; FORESTRY; IRRIGATION; REMOTE SENSING;

VEGETATION;

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; AGRICULTURAL LAND; MODEL VALIDATION; MODIS; NDVI; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PREDICTION; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; VEGETATION STRUCTURE;

ITALY;

EID: 79955132301     PISSN: 01962892     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/TGRS.2009.2035110     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, "Ecohydrology: A hydrologic perspective of climate-soil-vegetation dynamics," Water Resour. Res., vol. 36, no. 1, pp. 3-10, Jan. 2000.
2. M. Zalewski, "Ecohydrology-The scientific background to use ecosystem properties as management tools toward sustainability of water resources," Ecol. Eng., vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 1-8, Oct. 2000.
3. N. Montaldo, R. Rondena, J. Albertson, and M. Mancini, "Parsimonious modeling of vegetation dynamics for ecohydrologic studies of waterlimited ecosystems," Water Resour. Res., vol. 41, no. 10, p. W10 416, Oct. 2005, DOI:10.1029/2005WR004094. (Pubitemid 41705701)
4. W. L. Baker, "A review of models of landscape change," Landscape Ecol., vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 111-133, Mar. 1989.
5. N. Pettorelli, J. O. Vik, A. Mysterud, J. M. Gaillard, C. J. Tucker, and N. C. Stenseth, "Using the satellite-derived NDVI to assess ecological responses to environmental change," Trends Ecol. Evol., vol. 20, no. 9, pp. 503-510, Sep. 2005. (Pubitemid 41207086)
6. E. Swinnen and F. Veroustraete, "Extending the SPOT-VEGETATION time series (1998-2006) back in time with NOAA-AVHRR data (1985-1998) for Southern Africa," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 46, no. 2, pp. 558-572, Feb. 2008.
7. C. J. Tucker, "Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 127-150, May 1979.
8. C. O. Justice, E. Vermote, J. R. G. Townshend, R. Defries, D. P. Roy, D. K. Hall, V. V. Salomonson, J. L. Privette, G. Riggs, A. Strahler, W. Lucht, R. B. Myneni, Y. Knyazikhin, S. W. Running, R. R. Nemani, Z. M. Wan, A. R. Huete, W. van Leeuwen, R. E. Wolfe, L. Giglio, J. P. Muller, P. Lewis, and M. J. Barnsley, "The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS): Land remote sensing for global change research," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 1228-1249, Jul. 1998. (Pubitemid 128748531)
9. P. Jonsson and L. Eklundh, "Seasonality extraction by function fitting to time-series of satellite sensor data," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 40, no. 8, pp. 1824-1832, Aug. 2002. (Pubitemid 35170402)
10. B. D. Wardlow, S. L. Egbert, and J. H. Kastens, "Analysis of time-series MODIS 250 m vegetation index data for crop classification in the U. S. Central Great Plains," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 108, no. 3, pp. 290-310, Jun. 2007. (Pubitemid 46669605)
11. L. A. Méndez-Barroso, J. Garatuza-Payán, and E. R. Vivoni, "Quantifying water stress on wheat using remote sensing in the Yaqui Valley, Sonora, Mexico," Agric. Water Manag., vol. 95, no. 6, pp. 725-736, Jun. 2008.
12. A. Huete, K. Didan, T. Miura, E. P. Rodriguez, X. Gao, and L. G. Ferreira, "Overview of the radiometric and biophysical performance of the MODIS vegetation indices," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 83, no. 1/2, pp. 195-213, Nov. 2002. (Pubitemid 35307469)
13. J. T. Kerr and M. Ostrovsky, "From space to species: Ecological applications for remote sensing," Trends Ecol. Evol., vol. 18, no. 6, pp. 299-305, Jun. 2003. (Pubitemid 36631750)
14. W. Turner, S. Spector, N. Gardiner, M. Fladeland, E. Sterling, and M. Steininger, "Remote sensing for biodiversity science and conservation," Trends Ecol. Evol., vol. 18, no. 6, pp. 306-314, Jun. 2003. (Pubitemid 36631751)
15. Y. Hirosawa, S. E. Marsh, and D. H. Kliman, "Application of standardized principle component analysis to land cover characterization using multitemporal AVHRR data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 58, no. 3, pp. 267-281, Dec. 1996.
16. M. J. Hill and G. E. Donald, "Estimating spatio-temporal patterns of agricultural productivity on fragmented landscapes using AVHRR NDVI time series," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 84, no. 3, pp. 367-384, Mar. 2003. (Pubitemid 36290243)
17. N. Kathuroju, M. A. White, J. Symanzik, M. D. Schwartz, J. A. Powell, and R. R. Nemani, "On the use of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer for development of prognostic land surface models," Ecol. Model., vol. 201, no. 2, pp. 144-156, Feb. 2007. (Pubitemid 46108248)
18. J. Cihlar, H. Ly, and Q. Xiao, "Land cover classification with AVHRR multichannel composites in northern environments," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 58, no. 1, pp. 36-51, Oct. 1996.
19. R. Geerken and M. Ilaiwi, "Assessment of rangeland degradation and development of a strategy for rehabilitation," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 90, no. 4, pp. 490-504, Apr. 2004. (Pubitemid 38583635)
20. J. B. Fisher, K. P. Tu, and D. D. Baldocchi, "Global estimates of the land-atmosphere water flux based on monthly AVHRR and ISLCP-II data, validated at 16 FLUXNET sites," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 112, no. 3, pp. 901-919, Mar. 2008. (Pubitemid 351296256)
21. A. B. White, P. Kumar, and D. Tcheng, "A data mining approach for understanding topographic control on climate-induced inter-annual vegetation variability over the United States," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 98, no. 1, pp. 1-20, Sep. 2005. (Pubitemid 41263401)
22. P. Illera, A. Fernàndez, and A. Delgado, "Temporal evolution of the NDVI as an indicator of forest fire danger," Int. J. Remote Sens., vol. 17, no. 6, pp. 1093-1105, Apr. 1996.
23. B. Leblon, M. Alexander, C. Chen, and S. White, "Monitoring fire danger of northern boreal forests with NOAA-AVHRR NDVI images," Int. J. Remote Sens., vol. 22, no. 14, pp. 2839-2846, Sep. 2001. (Pubitemid 32863574)
24. M. A. White, P. E. Thorton, and S. W. Running, "A continental phenology model for monitoring vegetation responses to inter annual climatic variability," Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 217-234, 1997.
25. R. Fensholt, I. Sandholt, and M. S. Rasmussen, "Evaluation of MODIS LAI, fAPAR and the relation between fAPAR and NDVI in a semi-arid environment using in situ measurements," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 91, no. 3/4, pp. 490-507, Jun. 2004. (Pubitemid 38791562)
26. F. W. Badeck, A. Bondeau, K. Bottchner, D. Doktor, W. Lucht, J. Schaber, and S. Sitch, "Responses of spring phenology to climate change," New Phytol., vol. 162, no. 2, pp. 295-309, May 2004. (Pubitemid 38503699)
27. Q. Wang, S. Adiku, J. Tenhunen, and A. Granier, "On the relationship of NDVI with leaf area index in a deciduous forest site," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 94, no. 2, pp. 244-255, Jan. 2005. (Pubitemid 40020262)
28. D. E. Ahl, S. T. Gower, S. N. Burrows, N. V. Shabanov, R. B. Myneni, and Y. Knyazikhin, "Monitoring spring canopy phenology of a deciduous broadleaf forest using MODIS," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 104, no. 1, pp. 88-95, Sep. 2006. (Pubitemid 44262341)
29. E. E. Cleland, I. Chuine, A. Mensel, H. A. Mooney, and M. D. Schwartz, "Shifting plant phenology in response to global change," Trends Ecol. Evol., vol. 22, no. 7, pp. 357-365, Jul. 2007. (Pubitemid 46920548)
30. X. Xiao, Q. Zhang, B. Braswell, S. Urbanski, S. Boles, S. Wofsy, B. Moore, and D. Ojima, "Modeling gross primary production of temperate deciduous broadleaf forest using satellite images and climate data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 91, no. 2, pp. 256-270, May 2004. (Pubitemid 38700326)
31. X. Xiao, Q. Zhang, S. Saleska, L. Hutyra, P. De Camargo, S. Wofsy, S. Frolking, S. Boles, M. Keller, and B. Moore, "Satellite-based modeling of gross primary production in a seasonally moist tropical evergreen forest," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 94, no. 1, pp. 105-122, Jan. 2005. (Pubitemid 39527202)
32. Z. Li, G. Yu, X. Xiao, Y. Li, X. Zhao, C. Ren, L. Zhang, and Y. Fu, "Modeling gross primary production of alpine ecosystems in the Tibetan Plateau using MODIS images and climate data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 107, no. 3, pp. 510-519, Apr. 2007. (Pubitemid 46441299)
33. L. G. Ferreira, H. Yoshioka, A. Huete, and E. E. Sano, "Seasonal landscape and spectral vegetation index dynamics in the Brazilian Cerrado: An analysis within the large-scale biosphere-atmosphere experiment in Amazonia (LBA)," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 87, no. 4, pp. 534-550, Nov. 2003. (Pubitemid 38184709)
34. F. Yang, M. White, A. R. Michaelis, K. Ichii, H. Hashimoto, P. Votava, A.-X. Zhu, and R. R. Nemani, "Prediction of continental-scale evapotranspiration by combining MODIS and AmeriFlux data through support vector machine," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 44, no. 11, pp. 3452-3461, Nov. 2006. (Pubitemid 44711686)
35. R. Fensholt, I. Sandholt, and S. Stisen, "Evaluating MODIS, MERIS and VEGETATION vegetation indices using in situ measurements in a semiarid environment," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 44, no. 7, pp. 1774-1786, Jul. 2006. (Pubitemid 44109499)
36. N. Saruwatari and A. Yomota, "Forecasting system of irrigation water on paddy field by fuzzy theory," Agric. Water Manag., vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 163-178, Sep. 1995. (Pubitemid 26475194)
37. D. Leenhardt, J.-L. Trouvat, and G. Gonzalès, "Estimating irrigation demand for water management on a regional scale I. ADEAUMIS, a simulation platform based on bio-decisional modelling and spatial information," Agric. Water Manag., vol. 68, no. 3, pp. 207-232, Aug. 2004. (Pubitemid 38893190)
38. C. T. de Wit, F. W. T. Penning de Vries, and J. V. Lake, "Predictive models in agricultural production," Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London B, Biol. Sci., vol. 310, no. 1144, pp. 309-315, Sep. 1985.
39. M. A. Chladil and M. Nunez, "Assessing grassland moisture and biomass in Tasmania. The application of remote sensing and empirical models for a cloudy environment," Int. J. Wildland Fire, vol. 5, no. 3, pp. 165-171, 1995.
40. G. W. Paltridge and J. Barber, "Monitoring grassland dryness and fire potential in Australia with NOAA/AVHRR data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 25, no. 3, pp. 381-394, Aug. 1988.
41. B. Leblon, "Forest wildfire hazard monitoring using remote sensing: A review," Remote Sens. Rev., vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 1-57, 2001.
42. E. Chuvieco, D. Cocero, D. Riano, P. Martin, J. Martínez-Vega, J. de la Riva, and F. Perez, "Combining NDVI and surface temperature for the estimation of live fuel moisture content in forest fire danger rating," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 92, no. 3, pp. 322-331, Aug. 2004. (Pubitemid 40047456)
43. J. Verbesselt, P. Jonsson, S. Lhermitte, J. van Aardt, and P. Coppin, "Evaluating satellite and climate data-derived indices as fire risk indicator in savanna ecosystems," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 44, no. 6, pp. 1622-1632, Jun. 2006. (Pubitemid 43824507)
44. N. Viovy and G. Saint, "Hidden Markov models applied to vegetation dynamics analysis using satellite remote sensing," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 906-917, Jul. 1994.
45. G. J. Roerink, M. Menenti, and W. Verhoef, "Reconstructing cloud free NDVI composites using Fourier analysis of time series," Int. J. Remote Sens., vol. 21, no. 9, pp. 1911-1917, Jun. 2000. (Pubitemid 30325293)
46. A. Moody and D. M. Johnson, "Land surface phenologies from AVHRR using the discrete Fourier transform," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 75, no. 3, pp. 305-323, Mar. 2001. (Pubitemid 34608912)
47. P. S. A. Beck, C. Atzberger, K. A. Høgda, B. Johansen, and A. K. Skidmore, "Improved monitoring of vegetation dynamics at very high latitudes: A new method using MODIS NDVI," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 100, no. 3, pp. 321-334, Feb. 2006. (Pubitemid 43145873)
48. T. Sakamoto, M. Yokozawa, H. Toritani, M. Shibayama, N. Ishitsuka, and H. Ohno, "A crop phenology detection method using time series MODIS data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 96, no. 3/4, pp. 366-374, Jun. 2005. (Pubitemid 40912437)
49. X. Zhang, M. A. Friedl, C. B. Schaaf, A. H. Strahler, J. C. F. Hodges, F. Gao, B. C. Reed, and A. Huete, "Monitoring vegetation phenology using MODIS," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 84, no. 3, pp. 471-475, Mar. 2003. (Pubitemid 36290250)
50. B. Bradley, R. W. Jacob, J. F. Hermance, and J. F. Mustard, "A curve fitting procedure to derive inter-annual phonologies from time series of noisy satellite NDVI data," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 106, no. 2, pp. 137-145, Jan. 2007. (Pubitemid 46027175)
51. P. Jonsson and L. Eklundh, "TIMESAT-A program for analyzing timeseries of satellite sensor data," Comput. Geosci., vol. 30, no. 8, pp. 833-845, Oct. 2004. (Pubitemid 39347629)
52. C. Maricchiolo, V. Sambucini, A. Pugliese, C. Blasi, M. Marchetti, and G. Chirici, "La realizzazione in Italia del progetto europeo I&CLC 2000: Metodologie operative e risultati," in Proc. 8th Nat. Conf. ASITA "GEOMATICA: Standardizzazione, interoperabilità e nuove tecnologie", Roma, Italy, 2004, vol. 1, pp. 113-128.
53. J. Wang, J. X. Zhang, and Z. J. Liu, "Image sequence analysis on MODIS/Terra NDVI data for vegetation cover change of Three-Gorges reservoir area," in Proc. IEEE IGARSS, 2005, vol. 7, pp. 5049-5052.
54. N. D. Tracy, C. Young, and R. L. Mason, "Multivariate control charts for individual observations," J. Quality Technol., vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 88-95, 1992.
55. D. C. Montgomery, Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 3rd ed. New York: Wiley, 1996.
56. J. H. Kastens, M. E. Jakubauskas, and D. E. Lerner, "Using temporal averaging to decouple annual and nonannual information in AVHRR NDVI time series," IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 41, no. 11, pp. 2590-2594, Nov. 2003.
57. M. S. Moran, R. D. Jackson, T. R. Clarke, J. Qi, F. Cabot, K. J. Thome, and B. L. Markha, "Reflectance factor retrieval from Landsat TM and SPOT HIRV for bright and dark targets," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 52, no. 3, pp. 218-230, Jun. 1995. (Pubitemid 26438372)
58. D. Six, M. Fily, S. Alvain, P. Henry, and J. P. Benoist, "Surface characterisation of the Dome Concordia area (Antarctica) as a potential satellite calibration site, using Spot 4/Vegetation instrument," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 89, no. 1, pp. 83-94, Jan. 2004. (Pubitemid 38178925)
59. A. C. R. Gleason, S. D. Prince, S. J. Goetz, and J. Small, "Effects of orbital drift on land surface temperature measures by AVHRR thermal sensor," Remote Sens. Environ., vol. 79, no. 2/3, pp. 147-165, Feb. 2002. (Pubitemid 34067839)
60. P. E. Pfeifer and S. J. Deutsch, "A three-stage iterative procedure for space-time modelling," Technometrics, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 35-47, Feb. 1980.
61. S. J. Deutsch and J. A. Ramos, "Space-time modelling of vector hydrologic sequences," Water Resour. Bull., vol. 22, no. 6, pp. 967-980, 1986.
62. X. Niu and G. C. Tiao, "Modelling satellite ozone data," J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol. 90, pp. 969-983, 1995.
63. G. E. P. Box, G. M. Jenkins, and G. C. Reinsel, Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 3rd ed. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1994.