-
1
-
-
42549149903
-
The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system
-
Bowler, N. E., Arribas, A., Mylne, K. R., Robertson, K. B. and Beare, S. E. 2008. The MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134, 703-722.
-
(2008)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.134
, pp. 703-722
-
-
Bowler, N.E.1
Arribas, A.2
Mylne, K.R.3
Robertson, K.B.4
Beare, S.E.5
-
2
-
-
0033117880
-
Probabilistic predictions of precipitation using the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
Buizza, R., Hollingsworth, A., Lalaurette, F. and Ghelli, A. 1999. Probabilistic predictions of precipitation using the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Wea. Forecasting 14, 168-189.
-
(1999)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.14
, pp. 168-189
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Hollingsworth, A.2
Lalaurette, F.3
Ghelli, A.4
-
3
-
-
34548200411
-
The ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
In: (eds. T. Palmer and R. Hagedorn). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Buizza, R. 2005. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system. In: Predictability of Weather and Climate (eds. T. Palmer and R. Hagedorn ). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 459-488.
-
(2005)
Predictability of Weather and Climate
, pp. 459-488
-
-
Buizza, R.1
-
4
-
-
34250010344
-
The new ECMWF VAREPS (Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System)
-
co-authors. .
-
Buizza, R., Bidlot, J.-R., Wedi, N., Fuentes, M., Hamrud, M. and co-authors. 2007. The new ECMWF VAREPS (Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System). Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133, 681-695.
-
(2007)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.133
, pp. 681-695
-
-
Buizza, R.1
Bidlot, J.-R.2
Wedi, N.3
Fuentes, M.4
Hamrud, M.5
-
5
-
-
79954633140
-
-
Comparison of calibration techniques for a limited-area ensemble precipitation forecast using reforecasts. In: Proceedings of the Third WMO International Conference On QPE/QPF and Hydrology, Nanjing, China, 18-22 October 2010.
-
Diomede, T., Marsigli, C., Montani, A. and Paccagnella, T. 2010. Comparison of calibration techniques for a limited-area ensemble precipitation forecast using reforecasts. In: Proceedings of the Third WMO International Conference On QPE/QPF and Hydrology, Nanjing, China, 18-22 October 2010.
-
(2010)
-
-
Diomede, T.1
Marsigli, C.2
Montani, A.3
Paccagnella, T.4
-
6
-
-
0000165587
-
A scoring system for probabilities of ranked categories
-
Epstein, E. S. 1969. A scoring system for probabilities of ranked categories. J. Appl. Meteor. 8, 985-987.
-
(1969)
J. Appl. Meteor.
, vol.8
, pp. 985-987
-
-
Epstein, E.S.1
-
7
-
-
77953254960
-
Calibrated precipitation forecasts for a limited-area ensemble forecast system using reforecasts
-
Fundel, F., Walser, A., Liniger, M. A., Frei, C. and Appenzeller, C. 2009. Calibrated precipitation forecasts for a limited-area ensemble forecast system using reforecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev. 138, 176-189. doi:
-
(2009)
Mon. Wea. Rev.
, vol.138
, pp. 176-189
-
-
Fundel, F.1
Walser, A.2
Liniger, M.A.3
Frei, C.4
Appenzeller, C.5
-
8
-
-
33750361341
-
Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology?
-
Hamill, T. M. and Juras, J. 2006. Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 132, 2905-2923.
-
(2006)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.132
, pp. 2905-2923
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Juras, J.2
-
9
-
-
0001209566
-
A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction
-
Houtekamer, P. L., Derome, J., Ritchie, H. and Mitchell, H. L. 1996. A system simulation approach to ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev. 124, 1225-1242.
-
(1996)
Mon. Wea. Rev.
, vol.124
, pp. 1225-1242
-
-
Houtekamer, P.L.1
Derome, J.2
Ritchie, H.3
Mitchell, H.L.4
-
10
-
-
0035387240
-
A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part II: limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events
-
co-authors. .
-
Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F., Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi, S. and co-authors. 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part II: limited-area experiments in four Alpine flood events. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 127, 2095-2115.
-
(2001)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.127
, pp. 2095-2115
-
-
Marsigli, C.1
Montani, A.2
Nerozzi, F.3
Paccagnella, T.4
Tibaldi, S.5
-
11
-
-
22744434587
-
The COSMO-LEPS ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification
-
Marsigli, C., Boccanera, F., Montani, A. and Paccagnella, T. 2005a. The COSMO-LEPS ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification. Nonlin. Proc. in Geophys. 12, 527-536.
-
(2005)
Nonlin. Proc. in Geophys.
, vol.12
, pp. 527-536
-
-
Marsigli, C.1
Boccanera, F.2
Montani, A.3
Paccagnella, T.4
-
12
-
-
79954634060
-
-
co-authors. Evaluation of the performance of the COSMO-LEPS system. COSMO Technical Report no 8, Available at
-
Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Paccagnella, T., Sacchetti, D., Walser, A. and co-authors. 2005b. Evaluation of the performance of the COSMO-LEPS system. COSMO Technical Report no 8, 40. Available at
-
(2005)
, vol.40
-
-
Marsigli, C.1
Montani, A.2
Paccagnella, T.3
Sacchetti, D.4
Walser, A.5
-
13
-
-
42549148765
-
A spatial verification method applied to the evaluation of high-resolution ensemble forecasts
-
Marsigli, C., Montani, A. and Paccagnella, T. 2008. A spatial verification method applied to the evaluation of high-resolution ensemble forecasts. Met. Appl. 15, 125-143.
-
(2008)
Met. Appl.
, vol.15
, pp. 125-143
-
-
Marsigli, C.1
Montani, A.2
Paccagnella, T.3
-
14
-
-
0033208324
-
Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics and relative operating levels
-
Mason, S. J. and Graham, N. E. 1999. Conditional probabilities, relative operating characteristics and relative operating levels. Wea. Forecasting 14, 713-725.
-
(1999)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.14
, pp. 713-725
-
-
Mason, S.J.1
Graham, N.E.2
-
15
-
-
0029753275
-
The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validation
-
Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Palmer, T. N. and Petroliagis, T. 1996. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: methodology and validation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 122, 73-119.
-
(1996)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.122
, pp. 73-119
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Buizza, R.2
Palmer, T.N.3
Petroliagis, T.4
-
16
-
-
0035387077
-
A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: definition of representative members and global-model experiments
-
co-authors. .
-
Molteni, F., Buizza, R., Marsigli, C., Montani, A., Nerozzi, F. and co-authors. 2001. A strategy for high-resolution ensemble prediction. Part I: definition of representative members and global-model experiments. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 127, 2069-2094.
-
(2001)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.127
, pp. 2069-2094
-
-
Molteni, F.1
Buizza, R.2
Marsigli, C.3
Montani, A.4
Nerozzi, F.5
-
17
-
-
2442685920
-
Operational limited-area ensemble forecasts based on the Lokal Modell
-
co-authors. ., Available at:
-
Montani, A., Capaldo, M., Cesari, D., Marsigli, C., Modigliani, U. and co-authors. 2003a. Operational limited-area ensemble forecasts based on the Lokal Modell. ECMWF Newsletter 98, 2-7. Available at:
-
(2003)
ECMWF Newsletter
, vol.98
, pp. 2-7
-
-
Montani, A.1
Capaldo, M.2
Cesari, D.3
Marsigli, C.4
Modigliani, U.5
-
18
-
-
0038205882
-
The Soverato flood in Southern Italy: performance of global and limited-area ensemble forecasts
-
co-authors. .
-
Montani, A., Marsigli, C., Nerozzi, F., Paccagnella, T., Tibaldi S. and co-authors. 2003b. The Soverato flood in Southern Italy: performance of global and limited-area ensemble forecasts. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. 10, 261-274.
-
(2003)
Nonlin. Proc. Geophys.
, vol.10
, pp. 261-274
-
-
Montani, A.1
Marsigli, C.2
Nerozzi, F.3
Paccagnella, T.4
Tibaldi, S.5
-
19
-
-
79954631267
-
Five years of limited-area ensemble activities at ARPA-SIM: the COSMO-LEPS system
-
Available at:
-
Montani, A., Marsigli, C. and Paccagnella, T. 2008a. Five years of limited-area ensemble activities at ARPA-SIM: the COSMO-LEPS system. COSMO Newsletter 8, 23-26. Available at:
-
(2008)
COSMO Newsletter
, vol.8
, pp. 23-26
-
-
Montani, A.1
Marsigli, C.2
Paccagnella, T.3
-
20
-
-
79954628070
-
Performance of COSMO-LEPS system during the D-PHASE operations period
-
Available at:
-
Montani, A., Marsigli, C. and Paccagnella, T. 2008b. Performance of COSMO-LEPS system during the D-PHASE operations period. COSMO Newsletter 9, 50-53. Available at:
-
(2008)
COSMO Newsletter
, vol.9
, pp. 50-53
-
-
Montani, A.1
Marsigli, C.2
Paccagnella, T.3
-
21
-
-
0035302469
-
Quantitative precipitation forecast over the United States by the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
-
Mullen, S. L. and Buizza, R. 2001. Quantitative precipitation forecast over the United States by the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Mon. Wea. Rev. 129, 638-663.
-
(2001)
Mon. Wea. Rev.
, vol.129
, pp. 638-663
-
-
Mullen, S.L.1
Buizza, R.2
-
22
-
-
79954632485
-
Report about the latest results of precipitation verification over Italy
-
Available at:
-
Oberto, E. and Turco, M. 2008. Report about the latest results of precipitation verification over Italy. COSMO Newsletter 8, 37-44. Available at:
-
(2008)
COSMO Newsletter
, vol.8
, pp. 37-44
-
-
Oberto, E.1
Turco, M.2
-
23
-
-
70450170364
-
MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of weather forecast quality in the Alpine region
-
co-authors. . (), doi:
-
Rotach, M. W., Ambrosetti, P., Ament, F., Appenzeller, C., Arpagaus, M. and co-authors. 2009. MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of weather forecast quality in the Alpine region. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc 90(9), 1321-1336, doi:
-
(2009)
Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc
, vol.90
, Issue.9
, pp. 1321-1336
-
-
Rotach, M.W.1
Ambrosetti, P.2
Ament, F.3
Appenzeller, C.4
Arpagaus, M.5
-
24
-
-
3142779257
-
Effects of observation error on the statistics for ensemble spread and reliability
-
Saetra, Ø., Hersbach, H., Bidlot, J.-R. and Richardson, D. S. 2004. Effects of observation error on the statistics for ensemble spread and reliability. Mon. Wea. Rev. 132, 1487-1501.
-
(2004)
Mon. Wea. Rev. 132
, pp. 1487-1501
-
-
Saetra, O.1
Hersbach, H.2
Bidlot, J.-R.3
Richardson, D.S.4
-
25
-
-
0344467127
-
Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the nonhydrostatic model LM
-
co-authors. .
-
Steppeler, J., Doms, G., Schattler, U., Bitzer, H. W., Gassmann, A. and co-authors. 2003. Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the nonhydrostatic model LM. Meteor. Atmos. Phys. 82, 75-96.
-
(2003)
Meteor. Atmos. Phys.
, vol.82
, pp. 75-96
-
-
Steppeler, J.1
Doms, G.2
Schattler, U.3
Bitzer, H.W.4
Gassmann, A.5
-
26
-
-
79954631334
-
-
Evaluation of probabilistic prediction systems. In: Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Predictability, Reading, UK, 20-22 October 1997, Available at:
-
Talagrand, O., Vautard, R. and Strauss, B. 1999. Evaluation of probabilistic prediction systems. In: Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Predictability, Reading, UK, 20-22 October 1997, 372. Available at:
-
(1999)
, vol.372
-
-
Talagrand, O.1
Vautard, R.2
Strauss, B.3
-
27
-
-
34547181576
-
Limited-area ensemble forecasting: the COSMO-LEPS system
-
(eds. T. Palmer and R. Hagedorn). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
-
Tibaldi, S., Paccagnella, T., Marsigli, C., Montani, A. and Nerozzi, F. 2006. Limited-area ensemble forecasting: the COSMO-LEPS system. In: Predictability of weather and climate (eds. T. Palmer and R. Hagedorn ). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 489-513.
-
(2006)
Predictability of weather and climate
, pp. 489-513
-
-
Tibaldi, S.1
Paccagnella, T.2
Marsigli, C.3
Montani, A.4
Nerozzi, F.5
-
28
-
-
0027705108
-
Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Centre: practical aspects
-
Tracton, M. S. and Kalnay, E. 1993. Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Centre: practical aspects. Wea. Forecasting 8, 379-398.
-
(1993)
Wea. Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 379-398
-
-
Tracton, M.S.1
Kalnay, E.2
-
29
-
-
70249118356
-
COSMO-LEPS forecasts for the August 2005 Floods in Switzerland
-
Available at:
-
Walser, A. 2006. COSMO-LEPS forecasts for the August 2005 Floods in Switzerland. COSMO Newsletter 6, 142-145. Available at:
-
(2006)
COSMO Newsletter
, vol.6
, pp. 142-145
-
-
Walser, A.1
-
31
-
-
60349113849
-
MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems
-
co-authors. ., doi:.
-
Zappa, M., Rotach, M. W., Arpagaus, M., Dorninger, M., Hegg, C. and co-authors. 2008. MAP D-PHASE: real-time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems. Atmos. Sci. Let. 9, 80-87. doi:.
-
(2008)
Atmos. Sci. Let.
, vol.9
, pp. 80-87
-
-
Zappa, M.1
Rotach, M.W.2
Arpagaus, M.3
Dorninger, M.4
Hegg, C.5
|