메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 100, Issue 2-3, 2011, Pages 263-274

Propagation of uncertainties in coupled hydro-meteorological forecasting systems: A stochastic approach for the assessment of the total predictive uncertainty

Author keywords

Bivariate meta gaussian density; Forecasting chain; Linear model; Rainfall runoff model; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC MODEL; BIVARIATE; CONFIDENCE LIMIT; COUPLED MODELS; ERROR MODEL; FLOOD FORECAST; FLOOD FORECASTING; FORECASTING ERROR; FORECASTING SYSTEM; GAUSSIAN DENSITY; GAUSSIAN PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTIONS; HYDROLOGIC MODELS; HYDROLOGIC SIMULATIONS; INDIVIDUAL MODELS; INTEGRATED MODELS; LEAD TIME; LINEAR MODEL; LUXEMBOURG; MEDIUM TERM; PREDICTIVE UNCERTAINTY; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS; RIVER DISCHARGE; SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY; STOCHASTIC APPROACH; TEMPERATURE FORECASTS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 79954628831     PISSN: 01698095     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.09.014     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (25)
  • 1
    • 0035452259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of imperfect rainfall knowledge on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models
    • Andreassian V., Perrin C., Michel C., Usart-Sanchez I., Lavabre J. Impact of imperfect rainfall knowledge on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models. J. Hydrol. 2001, 250(1-4):206-223.
    • (2001) J. Hydrol. , vol.250 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 206-223
    • Andreassian, V.1    Perrin, C.2    Michel, C.3    Usart-Sanchez, I.4    Lavabre, J.5
  • 2
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models-model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven K., Binley A. The future of distributed models-model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrol. Proc. 1992, 6(3):279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Proc. , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.1    Binley, A.2
  • 3
    • 0036697650 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural networks and non-parametric methods for improving real-time flood forecasting through conceptual hydrological models
    • Brath A., Montanari A., Toth E. Neural networks and non-parametric methods for improving real-time flood forecasting through conceptual hydrological models. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2002, 6(4):627-640.
    • (2002) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.6 , Issue.4 , pp. 627-640
    • Brath, A.1    Montanari, A.2    Toth, E.3
  • 4
    • 0033403384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
    • Buizza R., Miller M., Palmer T.N. Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteo. Soc. 1999, 125:2887-2908.
    • (1999) Quart. J. Roy. Meteo. Soc. , vol.125 , pp. 2887-2908
    • Buizza, R.1    Miller, M.2    Palmer, T.N.3
  • 7
    • 0002473651 scopus 로고
    • Computation of direct runoff amounts from storm rainfall
    • Hamon W. Computation of direct runoff amounts from storm rainfall. Int. Assoc. Sci. Hydrol. Publ. 1963, 63:52-62.
    • (1963) Int. Assoc. Sci. Hydrol. Publ. , vol.63 , pp. 52-62
    • Hamon, W.1
  • 8
    • 0025588110 scopus 로고
    • Global numerical weather prediction at the national meteorological center
    • Kalnay E., Kanamitsu M., Baker W. Global numerical weather prediction at the national meteorological center. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 1971, 71(10):1410-1428.
    • (1971) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.71 , Issue.10 , pp. 1410-1428
    • Kalnay, E.1    Kanamitsu, M.2    Baker, W.3
  • 10
    • 0002098934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bivariate meta-gaussian density for use in hydrology
    • Kelly K.S., Krzysztofowicz R. A bivariate meta-gaussian density for use in hydrology. Stoch. Hydrol. Hydraul. 1997, 11(1):17-31.
    • (1997) Stoch. Hydrol. Hydraul. , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 17-31
    • Kelly, K.S.1    Krzysztofowicz, R.2
  • 12
    • 0036846999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian system for probabilistic river stage forecasting
    • Krzysztofowicz R. Bayesian system for probabilistic river stage forecasting. J. Hydrol. 2002, 268:16-40.
    • (2002) J. Hydrol. , vol.268 , pp. 16-40
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 14
    • 36648998731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: toward an integrated data assimilation framework
    • W07401
    • Liu Y., Gupta H.V. Uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: toward an integrated data assimilation framework. Water Resour. Res. 2007, 43(W07401):1-18.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Res. , vol.43 , pp. 1-18
    • Liu, Y.1    Gupta, H.V.2
  • 16
    • 33947533125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What do we mean by 'uncertainty'? The need for a consistent wording about uncertainty assessment in hydrology
    • Montanari A. What do we mean by 'uncertainty'? The need for a consistent wording about uncertainty assessment in hydrology. Hydrol. Proc. 2007, 21(6):841-845.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Proc. , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 841-845
    • Montanari, A.1
  • 17
    • 2542555104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic approach for assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations
    • W01106
    • Montanari A., Brath A. A stochastic approach for assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations. Water Resour. Res. 2004, 40(W01106):1-11.
    • (2004) Water Resour. Res. , vol.40 , pp. 1-11
    • Montanari, A.1    Brath, A.2
  • 18
    • 72149128601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the uncertainty of hydrological forecasts: a statistical approach
    • W00B08
    • Montanari A., Grossi G. Estimating the uncertainty of hydrological forecasts: a statistical approach. Water Resour. Res. 2008, 44(W00B08):1-9.
    • (2008) Water Resour. Res. , vol.44 , pp. 1-9
    • Montanari, A.1    Grossi, G.2
  • 19
    • 0014776873 scopus 로고
    • River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part I: A discussion of principles
    • Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part I: A discussion of principles. J. Hydrol. 1970, 10(3):282-290.
    • (1970) J. Hydrol. , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 282-290
    • Nash, J.E.1    Sutcliffe, J.V.2
  • 20
    • 27644532560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cascading model uncertainty from medium range weather forecasts (10 days) through a rainfall-runoff model to flood inundation predictions within the European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS)
    • Pappenberger F., Beven K.J., Hunter N.M., Goudeweleeuw B.T., Thielen J., de Roo A.P.J. Cascading model uncertainty from medium range weather forecasts (10 days) through a rainfall-runoff model to flood inundation predictions within the European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS). Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2005, 9(4):381-393.
    • (2005) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.9 , Issue.4 , pp. 381-393
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2    Hunter, N.M.3    Goudeweleeuw, B.T.4    Thielen, J.5    de Roo, A.P.J.6
  • 22
    • 0001874255 scopus 로고
    • Frequency analysis of extreme events
    • McGraw-Hill, New York, D. Maidment (Ed.)
    • Stedinger J., Vogel R., Foufoula-Georgiou E. Frequency analysis of extreme events. Handbook of hydrology 1993, 18.1-18.66. McGraw-Hill, New York. D. Maidment (Ed.).
    • (1993) Handbook of hydrology
    • Stedinger, J.1    Vogel, R.2    Foufoula-Georgiou, E.3
  • 23
    • 0034694775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of short-term rainfall prediction models for real-time flood forecasting
    • Toth E., Brath A., Montanari A. Comparison of short-term rainfall prediction models for real-time flood forecasting. J. Hydrol. 2000, 239:132-147.
    • (2000) J. Hydrol. , vol.239 , pp. 132-147
    • Toth, E.1    Brath, A.2    Montanari, A.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.