메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 116, Issue 7, 2011, Pages

Distributions of decadal means of temperature and precipitation change under global warming

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ESTIMATION; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE GASES; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; TIME SERIES;

EID: 79953720869     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2010JD014502     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (49)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 20244378820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assimilation and modeling of the atmospheric hydrological cycle in the ECMWF forecasting system
    • doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-3-387
    • Andersson, E., et al. (2005), Assimilation and modeling of the atmospheric hydrological cycle in the ECMWF forecasting system, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 387-402, doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-3-387.
    • (2005) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.86 , pp. 387-402
    • Andersson, E.1
  • 2
    • 77954368975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL041994
    • Annan, J. D., and J. C. Hargreaves (2010), Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L02703, doi:10.1029/2009GL041994.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.37
    • Annan, J.D.1    Hargreaves, J.C.2
  • 3
    • 35348998346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional climate projections
    • edited by S. Solomon et al. , Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K
    • Christensen, J. H., et al. (2007), Regional climate projections, in Climate Change 2007. The Physical Science Basis, edited by S. Solomon et al., pp. 847-940, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
    • (2007) Climate Change 2007. the Physical Science Basis , pp. 847-940
    • Christensen, J.H.1
  • 4
    • 37349094083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CSIRO, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
    • CSIRO(2007), Climate change in Australia, Tech. Rep. 2007, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. (Available at http://www.climatechangeinaustralia. gov.au/technical-report.php).
    • (2007) Climate Change in Australia, Tech. Rep. 2007
  • 5
    • 28044432777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limited sensitivity analysis of regional climate change probabilities for the 21st century
    • doi:10.1029/2005JD005919
    • Dessai, S., X. Lu, and M. Hulme (2005), Limited sensitivity analysis of regional climate change probabilities for the 21st century, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D19108, doi:10.1029/2005JD005919.
    • (2005) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.110
    • Dessai, S.1    Lu, X.2    Hulme, M.3
  • 6
    • 49249113376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance metrics for climate models
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD008972
    • Gleckler, P. J., K. E. Taylor, and C. Doutriaux (2008), Performance metrics for climate models, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D06104, doi:10.1029/ 2007JD008972.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Gleckler, P.J.1    Taylor, K.E.2    Doutriaux, C.3
  • 7
    • 70450173156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
    • doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
    • Hawkins, E., and R. Sutton (2009), The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1095-1107, doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1.
    • (2009) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.90 , pp. 1095-1107
    • Hawkins, E.1    Sutton, R.2
  • 9
    • 34548637082 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Timing of global warming in IPCC AR4 AOGCM simulations
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL027476
    • Kattsov, V. M., and P. V. Sporyshev (2006), Timing of global warming in IPCC AR4 AOGCM simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027476.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33
    • Kattsov, V.M.1    Sporyshev, P.V.2
  • 10
    • 77954370030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models
    • Knutti, R., R. Furrer, C. Tebaldi, J. Cermak, and G. A. Meehl (2010), Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models, J. Clim., 23, 2739-2758.
    • (2010) J. Clim. , vol.23 , pp. 2739-2758
    • Knutti, R.1    Furrer, R.2    Tebaldi, C.3    Cermak, J.4    Meehl, G.A.5
  • 11
    • 44349091022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multidecadal variability in observed and modeled surface temperatures
    • Kravtsov, S., and C. Spannagle (2008), Multidecadal variability in observed and modeled surface temperatures, J. Clim., 21, 1104-1121.
    • (2008) J. Clim. , vol.21 , pp. 1104-1121
    • Kravtsov, S.1    Spannagle, C.2
  • 12
    • 34547489061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climate projections
    • edited by S. Solomon et al. , Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K
    • Meehl, G., et al. (2007a), Global climate projections, in Climate Change 2007. The Physical Science Basis, edited by S. Solomon et al., pp. 747-845, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U. K.
    • (2007) Climate Change 2007. the Physical Science Basis , pp. 747-845
    • Meehl, G.1
  • 14
    • 68949220248 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The U. S. historical climatology network monthly temperature data, version 2
    • Menne, M. J., C. N. Williams, and R. S. Vose (2009), The U. S. historical climatology network monthly temperature data, version 2, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 993-1107.
    • (2009) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.90 , pp. 993-1107
    • Menne, M.J.1    Williams, C.N.2    Vose, R.S.3
  • 15
    • 0242663296 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pattern scaling
    • Mitchell, T. D. (2003), Pattern scaling, Clim. Change, 60, 217-242.
    • (2003) Clim. Change , vol.60 , pp. 217-242
    • Mitchell, T.D.1
  • 16
    • 34547191081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles
    • Murphy, J. M., B. B. B. Booth, M. Collins, G. R. Harris, D. M. H. Sexton, and M. J. Webb (2007), A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 1993-2028.
    • (2007) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.365 , pp. 1993-2028
    • Murphy, J.M.1    Booth, B.B.B.2    Collins, M.3    Harris, G.R.4    Sexton, D.M.H.5    Webb, M.J.6
  • 18
    • 0035325007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CO2-induced climate change in CMIP2 experiments: Quantification of agreement and role of internal variability
    • Räisänen, J. (2001), CO2-induced climate change in CMIP2 experiments: Quantification of agreement and role of internal variability, J. Clim., 14, 2088-2104.
    • (2001) J. Clim. , vol.14 , pp. 2088-2104
    • Räisänen, J.1
  • 19
    • 77953023527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0659-8
    • Räisänen, J., L. Ruokolainen, and J. Ylhäisi (2010), Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change, Clim. Dyn., 35, 407-422, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0659-8.
    • (2010) Clim. Dyn. , vol.35 , pp. 407-422
    • Räisänen, J.1    Ruokolainen, L.2    Ylhäisi, J.3
  • 20
    • 43449087894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How well do coupled models simulate today's climate?
    • Reichler, T., and J. Kim (2008), How well do coupled models simulate today's climate?, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 89, 303-311.
    • (2008) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.89 , pp. 303-311
    • Reichler, T.1    Kim, J.2
  • 21
    • 33847615314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9156-9
    • Rougier, J. (2007), Probabilistic inference for future climate using an ensemble of climate model evaluations, Clim. Change, 81, 247-264, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9156-9.
    • (2007) Clim. Change , vol.81 , pp. 247-264
    • Rougier, J.1
  • 22
    • 77957134425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Refining rainfall projections for the Murray-Darling Basin of south-east Australia-The effect of sampling model results based on performance
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9757-1
    • Smith, I., and E. Chandler (2010), Refining rainfall projections for the Murray-Darling Basin of south-east Australia-The effect of sampling model results based on performance, Clim. Change, 102, 377-393, doi:10.1007/s10584- 009-9757-1.
    • (2010) Clim. Change , vol.102 , pp. 377-393
    • Smith, I.1    Chandler, E.2
  • 23
    • 34547165887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions
    • doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2074
    • Stainforth, D. A., M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, and L. A. Smith (2007), Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 365, 2145-2161, doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2074.
    • (2007) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.365 , pp. 2145-2161
    • Stainforth, D.A.1    Allen, M.R.2    Tredger, E.R.3    Smith, L.A.4
  • 24
    • 57849156930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: A hierarchical Bayesian approach
    • Tebaldi, C., and B. Sansó (2009), Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach, J. R. Stat. Soc. A., 172, 83-106.
    • (2009) J. R. Stat. Soc. A. , vol.172 , pp. 83-106
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Sansó, B.2
  • 25
    • 27144554835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ERA-40 re-analysis
    • doi:10.1256/qj.04.176
    • Uppala, S. M., et al. (2005), The ERA-40 re-analysis, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 2961-3012, doi:10.1256/qj.04.176.
    • (2005) Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.131 , pp. 2961-3012
    • Uppala, S.M.1
  • 26
    • 0030462665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nondimensional measures of climate model performance
    • Watterson, I. G. (1996), Nondimensional measures of climate model performance, Int. J. Climatol., 16, 379-391.
    • (1996) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.16 , pp. 379-391
    • Watterson, I.G.1
  • 27
    • 50149103295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD009254
    • Watterson, I. G. (2008), Calculation of probability density functions for temperature and precipitation change under global warming, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D12106, doi:10.1029/2007JD009254.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Watterson, I.G.1
  • 28
    • 77953173690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between southeastern Australian rainfall and sea surface temperatures examined using a climate model
    • doi:10.1029/2009JD012120
    • Watterson, I. G. (2010), Relationships between southeastern Australian rainfall and sea surface temperatures examined using a climate model, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D10108, doi:10.1029/2009JD012120.
    • (2010) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.115
    • Watterson, I.G.1
  • 30
    • 34548597161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of the use of current climate patterns to evaluate regional enhanced greenhouse response of climate models
    • doi:10.1029/2007GL030025
    • Whetton, P., I. Macadam, J. Bathols, and J. O'Grady (2007), Assessment of the use of current climate patterns to evaluate regional enhanced greenhouse response of climate models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14701, doi:10.1029/2007GL030025.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.34
    • Whetton, P.1    MacAdam, I.2    Bathols, J.3    O'Grady, J.4
  • 31
    • 47249109298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global responses of terrestrial productivity to contemporary climatic oscillations
    • doi:10.1098/rstb.2008.0017
    • Woodward, F. I., M. R. Lomas, and T. Quaife (2008), Global responses of terrestrial productivity to contemporary climatic oscillations, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B, 363, 2779-2785, doi:10.1098/rstb.2008.0017.
    • (2008) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B , vol.363 , pp. 2779-2785
    • Woodward, F.I.1    Lomas, M.R.2    Quaife, T.3
  • 32
    • 77954130638 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Upgrades to the reliability ensemble averaging method for producing probabilistic climate-change projections
    • doi:10.3354/cr00835
    • Xu, Y., X. Gao, and F. Giorgi (2010), Upgrades to the reliability ensemble averaging method for producing probabilistic climate-change projections, Clim. Res., 41, 61-81, doi:10.3354/cr00835.
    • (2010) Clim. Res. , vol.41 , pp. 61-81
    • Xu, Y.1    Gao, X.2    Giorgi, F.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.