A dynamic data-based model describing nephropathia epidemica in Belgium

Biosystems Engineering

Volumn 109, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 77-89

  Amirpour Haredasht, Sara ^a   Barrios, José Miguel ^a   Maes, Piet ^b   Verstraeten, Willem W ^a,d,e   Clement, Jan ^b   Ducoffre, Geneviève ^c   Lagrou, Katrien ^a   Ranst, Marc Van ^b   Coppin, Pol ^a   Berckmans, Daniel ^a   Aerts, Jean Marie ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF LEUVEN   (Belgium)

^b REGA INSTITUTE FOR MEDICAL RESEARCH   (Belgium)

^c SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH   (Belgium)

^d ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

^e EINDHOVEN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DYNAMIC MODELS; VIRUSES;

BANK VOLES; CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA; DYNAMIC DATA; HUMAN INFECTION; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; MULTIPLE INPUT , SINGLE OUTPUTS; SEED PRODUCTION; TIME-PERIODS;

POPULATION STATISTICS;

CLETHRIONOMYS GLAREOLUS; MURIDAE; PUUMALA VIRUS;

EID: 79953685678     PISSN: 15375110     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2011.02.004     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Aerts J.-M., Steppe K., Boonen C., Lemeur R., Berckmans D. Simulation of sap flow in a beech tree by means of a dynamic data-based model as influenced by a solar eclipse. Biosystems Engineering 2007, 98(4):446-454.
2. Aerts J.-M., Wathes C.M., Berckmans D. Dynamic data-based modelling of heat production and growth of broiler chickens: development of an integrated management system. Biosystems Engineering 2003, 84(3):257-266.
3. Allen L.J., Langlais M., Phillips C.J. The dynamics of two viral infections in a single host population with applications to hantavirus. Mathematical Biosciences 2003, 186(2):191-217.
4. Anderson R.M., May R.M. Population biology of infectious diseases: part I. Nature 1979, 280:361-367.
5. Barrios J.M., Verstraeten W.W., Maes P., Clement J., Aerts J.-M., Amirpour Haredasht S., et al. Satellite derived forest phenology and its relation with nephropathia epidemica in Belgium. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 2010, 7(6):2486-2500.
6. Begon M., Feore S., Bown K., Chantrey J., Jones T., Bennett M. Population and transmission dynamics of cowpox in bank voles: testing fundamental assumptions. Ecology Letters 1998, 1(2):82-86.
7. Bennet E., Clement J., Sansom P., Hall I., Leach S., Medlock J.M. Environmental and ecological potential for enzootic cycles of Puumala hantavirus in Great Britain. Epidemiology and Infection 2006, 4(1):1-8.
8. Berthier K., Langlais M., Auger P., Pontier D. Dynamics of a feline virus with two transmission modes within exponentially growing host populations. The Royal Society 2000, 267(1457):2049-2056.
9. Brummer-Korvenkontio M., Vapalahti O., Henttonen H., Koskela P., Vaheri A. Epidemiological study of nephropathia epidemica in Finland 1989-96. Scandinavian Journal of Infectious Diseases 1999, 31:427-435.
10. Cho J., Mostaghim S. Dynamic agricultural non-point source assessment tool (DANSAT): model application. Biosystems Engineering 2009, 102(4):500-515.
11. Clement J., Maes P., Van Ranst M. Hantaviruses in the old and new world. Perspectives in Medical Virology 2006, 16:161-177. (Emerging viruses in human populations).
12. Clement J., Maes P., Van Ranst M. Acute kidney injury in emerging, non-tropical infections. Acta Clinica Belgica 2007, 62(6):387-395.
13. Clement J., Maes P., van Ypersele de Strihou C., van der Groen G., Barrios J.M., Verstraeten W.W., et al. Beechnuts and outbreaks of nephropathia epidemica (NE): of mast, mice and men. Nephrology, Dialysis, Transplantation 2010, 25(6):1740-1746.
14. Clement J., Vercauteren J., Verstraeten W.W., Ducoffre G., Barrios J.M., Vandamme A.M., et al. Relating increasing hantavirus incidences to the changing climate: the mast connection. International Journal of Health Geographics 2009, 8(1).
15. Costa A., Borgonovo F., Leroy T., Berckmans D., Guarino M. Dust concentration variation in relation to animal activity in a pig barn. Biosystems Engineering 2009, 1(104):118-124.
16. Ferentinos K.P., Albright L.D. Fault detection and diagnosis in deep-trough hydroponics using intelligent computational tools. Biosystems Engineering 2003, 84(1):13-30.
17. Kallio, E. (2003). Stability of Puumala-virus outside the host. In: 2nd European meeting on viral zoonoses. St Raphae.
18. Lee H.W., French G.R., Lee P.W., Baek L.J., Tsuchiya K., Foulke R.S. Observations on natural and laboratory infection of rodents with the etiologic agent of Korean hemorrhagic fever. The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 1981, 30(2):477-482.
19. Linard C., Lamarque P., Heyman P., Ducoffre G., Luyasu V., Tersago K., et al. Determinants of the geographic distribution of Puumala virus and Lyme borreliosis infections in Belgium. International Journal of Health Geographics 2007, 6(15).
20. May R.M., Anderson R.M. Population biology of infectious diseases: part II. Nature 1979, 280.
21. Meinzer F.C. Models of steady state and dynamic gas exchange responses to vapour pressure and light in Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) saplings. Oecologia 1982, 55(3):403-408.
22. Monroe M., Morzunov S.P., Johnson A.M., Bowen M.D., Artsob H., Yates T., et al. Genetic diversity and distribution of Peromyscus-borne hantaviruses in North America. Emerging Infectious Diseases 1999, 5:75-86.
23. Nozum E.O., Rossi C.A., Stephenson E.H., Leduc J.W. Aerosol transmission of hantaan and related viruses to laboratory rats. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 1988, 38(3):636-640.
24. Olsson G.E., Hjertqvist M., Lundkvist A., Hörnfeldt B. Predicting high risk for human hantavirus infections, Sweden. Emerging Infectious Diseases 2009, 15(1):104-106.
25. Palo R.T. Time series analysis performed on nephropathia epidemica in humans of northern Sweden in relation to bank vole population dynamic and the NAO index. Zoonoses and Public Health 2009, 56(3):150-156.
26. Patrick W. Biological warfare scenarios. Firepower in the lab automation in the fight against infectious diseases and bioterrorism 2001, 215-224. Joseph Henry Press, Washington. S.I. Layne, T.J. Beugelsdijk, C.K. Patel (Eds.).
27. Rastetter E.B. Analysis of community interactions using linear transfer function models. Ecological Modelling 1987, 36(1-2):101-117.
28. Rozenfeld F.M., Le Boulenge E., Rasmont R. Urine marking by male bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus Schreber, 1780; Microtidae, Rodentia) in relation to their social rank. Canadian Journal of Zoology 1987, 65:2594-2601.
29. Sauvage F., Langlais M., Pontier D. Predicting the emergence of human hantavirus disease using a combination of viral dynamics and rodent demographic patterns. Epidemiology and Infection 2007, 135:46-56.
30. Sauvage F., Langlais M., Yoccoz N.G., Pontier D. Modelling hantavirus in fluctuating populations of bank voles: the role of indirect transmission on virus persistence. The Journal of Animal Ecology 2003, January, 1-13.
31. Sayre N.F. The genesis, history, and limits of carrying. Annals of the Association of American Geographer 2008, 98(1):120-134.
32. Taylor C.J., Pedregal D.J., Young P.C., Tych W. Environmental time series analysis and forecasting with the captain toolbox. Environmental Modelling & Software 2007, 22(6):797-814.
33. Tersago K., Servais A., Heyman P., Ducoffre G., Leirs H. Hantavirus disease (nephropathia epidemica) in Belgium: effects of tree seed production and climate. Epidemiology Infection 2009, 137:250-256.
34. Thanh V.T., Vranken E., Van Brecht A., Berckmans D. Data-based mechanistic modelling for controlling in three dimensions the temperature distribution in a room filled with obstacles. Biosystems Engineering 2007, 98(1):54-65.
35. Ushada M., Murase H. Identification of a moss growth system using an artificial neural network model. Biosystems Engineering 2006, 94(2):179-189.
36. Wolf C., Sauvage F., Pontier D., Langlais M. A multi-patch epidemic model with periodic demography, direct and indirect transmission and variable maturation rate. Mathematical Population Studies 2006, 13:153-177.
37. Young P.C. Recursive estimation and time series analysis 1984, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
38. Young P.C., Lees M. The active mixing volume: a new concept in modelling environmental systems. Statistics for the environment 1993, 2-43. John Wiley, Chichester. V. Barnet, R. Turkman, K. Feridun (Eds.).
39. Young P.C., Wang C. ldentification and estimation of multivariable dynamic systems. Multivariable control for industrial applications 1987, 244-270. Peter, London. J. O'Reilly (Ed.).