Quantitative predictions for patch occupancy of capercaillie in fragmented habitats

Ecography

Volumn 34, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 276-286

  Bollmann, Kurt ^a   Graf, Roland F ^b,c   Suter, Werner ^a  

^a SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

^b ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

^c ZURICH UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CONNECTIVITY; ENDANGERED SPECIES; GAMEBIRD; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; HABITAT QUALITY; PATCH SIZE; PATCH USE; PREDICTION; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; RECOLONIZATION; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; SPECIES CONSERVATION;

TETRAONIDAE;

EID: 79953273395     PISSN: 09067590     EISSN: 16000587     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06314.x     Document Type: Article

References (103)

1. Andrén, H. 1994. Effects of habitat fragmentation on birds and mammals in landscapes with different proportions of suitable habitat: a review. Oikos 71: 355-366.
2. Beshkarev, A. B. et al. 1995. Spatial distribution and habitat preferences of male capercaillie in the Pechora-Illych nature Reserve in 1991-92. - In: Jenkins, D. (ed.), Proc. Int. Symp. Grouse. Vol. 6. World Pheasant Association, Reading, pp. 48-53.
3. Blake, J. G. and Karr, J. R. 1984. Species composition of bird communities and the conservation benefit of large versus small forests. Biol. Conserv. 30: 173-187.
4. Bollmann, K. and Graf, R. F. 2008. Der Einfluss von Lebensraumangebot und -fragmentierung auf die Verbreitung von Lokalpopulationen. Ornithol. Beob. 105: 45-52.
5. Bollmann, K. et al. 2002. Prioritäre Vogelarten für Artenförderungsprogramme in der Schweiz. Ornithol. Beob. 99: 301-320.
6. Bollmann, K. et al. 2005. An analysis of central Alpine capercaillie spring habitat at the forest stand scale. For. Ecol. Manage. 215: 307-318.
7. Bollmann, K. et al. 2008a. Kleinräumige Habitatnutzung des Auerhuhns im Alpenraum. Ornithol. Beob. 105: 53-61.
8. Bollmann, K. et al. 2008b. Von der Forschung zur Auerhuhnförderung: eine Projektsynthese. Ornithol. Beob. 105: 107-116.
9. Bradford, D. F. et al. 2003. Habitat patch occupancy by toads (Bufo punctatus) in a naturally fragmented desert landscape. Ecology 84: 1012-1023.
10. Brändli, U.-B. (ed.), Schweizerisches Landesforstinventar. Ergebnisse der dritten Erhebung 2004-2006. Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald, Schnee und Landschaft WSL, Birmensdorf und Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU, Bern 2010.
11. Brown, J. H. and Kodric-Brown, A. 1977. Turnover rates in insular biogeography: effects of immigration on extinction. Ecology 58: 445-449.
12. Burnham, K. P. and Anderson, D. R. 2002. Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer.
13. Carlson, A. 2000. The effect of habitat loss on a deciduous forest specialist species: the white-backed woodpecker (Dendrocopos leucotos). For. Ecol. Manage. 131: 215-221.
14. Conroy, M. J. et al. 1995. Parameter estimation, reliability, and model improvement for spatially explicit models of animal populations. Ecol. Appl. 5: 17-19.
15. Day, J. R. and Possingham, H. P. 1995. A stochastic metapopulation model with variability in patch size and position. Theor. Popul. Biol. 48: 333-360.
16. Dunning, J. B. et al. 1995. Spatially explicit population-models: current forms and future uses. Ecol. Appl. 5: 3-11.
17. Fahrig, L. 2001. How much habitat is enough?. Biol. Conserv. 100: 65-74.
18. Fielding, A. H. and Bell, J. F. 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ. Conserv. 24: 38-49.
19. Fleishman, E. et al. 2002. Assessing the roles of patch quality, area, and isolation in predicting metapopulation dynamics. Conserv. Biol. 16: 706-716.
20. Franken, R. J. and Hik, D. S. 2004. Influence of habitat quality, patch size and connectivity on colonization and extinction dynamics of collared pikas Ochotona collaris. J. Anim. Ecol. 73: 889-896.
21. Gaston, K. J. and Blackburn, T. M. 1995. Birds, body-size and the threat of extinction. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 347: 205-212.
22. Gaston, K. J. and Blackburn, T. M. 2002. Large-scale dynamics in colonization and extinction for breeding birds in Britain. J. Anim. Ecol. 71: 390-399.
23. Gillespie, T. W. 2001. Application of extinction and conservation theories for forest birds in Nicaragua. Conserv. Biol. 15: 699-709.
24. Gillies, C. S. and Cassady St. Clair, C. 2010. Functional responses in habitat selection by tropical birds moving through fragmented forest. J. Appl. Ecol. 47: 182-190.
25. Gilpin, M. E. 1987. Spatial structure and population vulnerability. - In: Soulé, M. E. (ed.), Viable populations for conservation. Cambridge Univ. Press, pp. 125-139.
26. Gjerde, I. and Wegge, P. 1989. Spacing patterns, habitat use and survival of capercaillie in a fragmented winter habitat. Ornis Scand. 20: 219-225.
27. Glutz von Blotzheim, U. N. 1973. Handbuch der Vögel Mitteleuropas, Band 5: Galliformes und Gruiformes. Akademische Verlagsgesellschaft, Wiesbaden.
28. Gonseth, Y. et al. 2001. Die biogeographischen Regionen der Schweiz. Erläuterungen und Einteilungsstandard. BUWAL, Umwelt Materialien Nr. 137, Bern.
29. Graf, R. F. 2005. Analysis of capercaillie habitat at the landscape scale using aerial photographs and GIS Ph.D. thesis, Swiss Federal Inst. of Technology, Zürich, Switzerland.
30. Graf, R. F. et al. 2005. The importance of spatial scale in habitat models: capercaillie in the Swiss Alps. Landscape Ecol. 20: 703-711.
31. Graf, R. F. et al. 2006. On the generality of habitat suitability models: a case study of capercaillie in three Swiss regions. Ecography 29: 319-328.
32. Graf, R. F. et al. 2007a. Forest and landscape structure as predictors of capercaillie occurrence at the forest stand and home range scales. J. Wildl. Manage. 71: 356-365.
33. Graf, R. F. et al. 2007b. What you see is where you go? Modeling dispersal in mountainous landscapes. Landscape Ecol. 22: 853-866.
34. Grimm, V. and Storch, I. 2000. Minimum viable population size of capercaillie Tetrao urogallus: results from a stochastic model. Wildl. Biol. 6: 219-225.
35. Guisan, A. and Zimmermann, N. E. 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol. Model. 135: 147-186.
36. Hanski, I. 1994a. Patch-occupancy dynamics in fragmented landscapes. Trends Ecol. Evol. 9: 131-135.
37. Hanski, I. 1994b. A practical model of metapopulation dynamics. J. Anim. Ecol. 63: 151-162.
38. Hanski, I. 1998. Metapopulation dynamics. Nature 396: 41-49.
39. Hanski, I. and Gilpin, M. 1991. Metapopulation dynamics - brief history and conceptual domain. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 42: 3-16.
40. Harrison, S. 1991. Local extinction in a metapopulation context: an empirical evaluation. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 42: 73-88.
41. Henle, K. et al. 2004. Predictors of species sensitivity to fragmentation. Biodivers. Conserv. 13: 207-251.
42. Hosmer, D. W. and Lemeshow, S. 2000. Applied logistic regression. Wiley.
43. Hurme, E. et al. 2008. Temporal patch occupancy dynamics of the Siberian flying squirrel in a boreal forest landscape. Ecography 31: 469-476.
44. Jacob, G. 2005. Conservation genetics of the capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus L.) in the Swiss Alps Ph.D. thesis, Univ. of Zürich, Switzerland.
45. Jansson, G. and Angelstam, P. 1999. Threshold levels of habitat composition for the presence of the long-tailed tit (Aegithalos caudatus) in a boreal landscape. Landscape Ecol. 14: 283-290.
46. Kattan, G. H. et al. 1994. Forest fragmentation and bird extinctions - San-Antonio 80 years later. Conserv. Biol. 8: 138-146.
47. Keller, V. et al. 2001. Liste der gefährdeten Brutvogelarten der Schweiz. Bundesamt für Umwelt, Wald und Landschaft, Bern und Schweizerische Vogelwarte, Sempach, Bern und Sempach.
48. Klaus, S. et al. 1989. Die Auerhühner. A Ziemsen Verlag, Wittenberg Lutherstadt.
49. Lawes, M. J. et al. 2006. Gamebird vulnerability to forest fragmentation: patch occupancy of the crested guineafowl (Guttera edouardi) in Afromontane forests. Anim. Conserv. 9: 67-74.
50. Lobo, J. M. et al. 2008. AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 17: 145-151.
51. MacArthur, R. H. and Wilson, E. O. 1967. The theory of island biogeography. Princeton Univ. Press.
52. MacKenzie, D. I. et al. 2006. Occupancy estimation and modeling. Inferring patterns and dynamics of species occurrence. Elsevier.
53. Mäki-Petäys, H. et al. 2007. No genetic evidence of sex-biased dispersal in a lekking bird, the capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus). J. Evol. Biol. 20: 865-873.
54. Marti, C. 1986. Verbreitung und Bestand des Auerhuhns Tetrao urogallus in der Schweiz. Ornithol. Beob. 83: 67-70.
55. Moilanen, A. 1999. Patch occupancy models of metapopulation dynamics: efficient parameter estimation using implicit statistical inference. Ecology 80: 1031-1043.
56. Moilanen, A. and Nieminen, M. 2002. Simple connectivity measures in spatial ecology. Ecology 83: 1131-1145.
57. Mollet, P. et al. 2003. Verbreitung und Bestand des Auerhuhns Tetrao urogallus in der Schweiz 2001 und ihre Veränderungen im 19. und 20. Jahrhundert. Ornithol. Beob. 100: 67-86.
58. Mollet, P. et al. 2008. Aktionsplan Auerhuhn Schweiz. Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU, Schweizerische Vogelwarte Sempach, Schweizer Vogelschutz SVS/BirdLife Schweiz, Bern.
59. Monserud, R. A. and Leemans, R. 1992. Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistics. Ecol. Model. 62: 275-293.
60. Moore, R. P. et al. 2008. Experimental evidence for extreme dispersal limitation in tropical forest birds. Ecol. Lett. 11: 960-968.
61. Moss, R. et al. 2001. Climate change and breeding success: decline of the capercaillie in Scotland. Ecology 70: 47-61.
62. Moss, R. et al. 2006. Natal dispersal of capercaillie Tetrao urogallus in northeast Scotland. Wildl. Biol. 12: 227-232.
63. Nagelkerke, N. J. D. 1991. A note on a general definition of the coefficient of determination. Biometrica 78: 691-692.
64. Nielsen, C. L. R. et al. 2008. Viability and patch occupancy of a swamp rabbit metapopulation at the northern edge of its distribution. Biol. Conserv. 141: 1043-1054.
65. Nievergelt, B. and Hess, R. 1984. Veränderungen im Bereich der Fauna. - In: Brugger, E. A. (ed.), Umbruch im Berggebiet. Haupt, Bern, pp. 337-351.
66. Ovaskainen, O. and Hanski, I. 2004. Metapopulation dynamics in highly fragmented landscapes. - In: Hanski, I. and Gaggiotti, O. E. (eds), Ecology, genetics, and evolution. Elsevier Academic Press, pp. 73-103.
67. Ozgul, A. et al. 2006. Effects of patch quality and network structure on patch occupancy dynamics of a yellow-bellied marmot metapopulation. J. Anim. Ecol. 75: 191-202.
68. Pakkala, T. et al. 2003. Capercaillie Tetrao urogallus- a good candidate for an umbrella species in taiga forests. Wildl. Biol. 9: 309-316.
69. Picozzi, N. et al. 1996. Capercaillie habitat, diet and management in a Sitka spruce plantation in central Scotland. Forestry 69: 373-388.
70. Radford, J. Q. and Bennett, A. F. 2004. Thresholds in landscape parameters: occurrence of the white-browed treecreeper Climacteris affinis in Victoria, Australia. Biol. Conserv. 117: 375-391.
71. Ratti, J. T. and Garton, E. O. 1994. Research and experimental design. - In: Bookhout, T. A. (ed.), Research and management techniques for wildlife and habitats. Elsevier Academic Press. The Wildlife Society, Bethesda, pp. 1-23.
72. Rizkalla, C. E. et al. 2009. Modeling patch occupancy: relative performance of ecologically scaled landscape indices. Landscape Ecol. 24: 77-88.
73. Rolstad, J. 1991. Consequences of forest fragmentation for the dynamics of bird populations: conceptual issues and the evidence. Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 42: 149-163.
74. Rolstad, J. and Wegge, P. 1987. Distribution and size of capercaillie leks in relation to old forest fragmentation. Oecologia 72: 389-394.
75. Rolstad, J. and Wegge, P. 1989. Capercaillie populations and modern forestry - a case for landscape ecological studies. Finnish Game Res. 46: 43-52.
76. Saniga, M. 2003. Causes of population decline in capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) in the west Carpathians. Biologia 58: 265-273.
77. Saunders, D. A. et al. 1991. Biological consequences of ecosystem fragmentation: a review. Conserv. Biol. 5: 18-32.
78. Schooley, R. L. and Branch, L. C. 2009. Enhancing the area-isolation paradigm: habitat heterogeneity and metapopulation dynamics of a rare wetland mammal. Ecol. Appl. 19: 1708-1722.
79. Segelbacher, G. and Storch, I. 2002. Capercaillie in the Alps: evidence of metapopulation structure and population decline. Mol. Ecol. 11: 1669-1677.
80. Segelbacher, G. et al. 2003. From connectivity to isolation: genetic consequences of population fragmentation in capercaillie across Europe. Mol. Ecol. 12: 1773-1780.
81. Shaffer, M. L. 1981. Minimum population sizes for species conservation. BioScience 31: 131-134.
82. Shanahan, D. F. and Possingham, H. P. 2009. Predicting avian patch occupancy in a fragmented landscape: do we know more than we think?. J. Appl. Ecol. 46: 1026-1035.
83. Steiger, P. 1994. Wälder der Schweiz. Ott Verlag, Thun, Switzerland.
84. Storch, I. 1995. Annual home ranges and spacing patterns of capercaillie in central Europe. J. Wildl. Manage. 59: 392-400.
85. Storch, I. 1999. Auerhuhnschutz - Aber wie? Ein Leitfaden. Wildbiologische Gesellschaft München e.V., Ettal.
86. Storch, I. 2001. Capercaillie. BWP update. J. Birds Western Palearctic 3: 1-24.
87. Storch, I. et al. 2005. Landscape-scale edge effect in predation risk in forest-farmland mosaics of central Europe. Landscape Ecol. 20: 927-940.
88. Suchant, R. 2002. Die Entwicklung eines mehrdimensionalen Habitatmodells für Auerhuhnareale (Tetrao urogallus L.) als Grundlage für die Integration von Diversität in die Waldbaupraxis Ph.D. thesis, Univer. Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
89. Suter, W. et al. 2002. Capercaillie (Tetrao urogallus) and avian biodiversity: testing the umbrella-species concept. Conserv. Biol. 16: 778-788.
90. Suter, W. et al. 2007. Landscape permeability: from individual dispersal to population persistence. - In: Kienast, F. et al (eds), A changing world: challenges for landscape research. Springer, pp. 157-174.
91. Swihart, R. K. et al. 2003. Responses of 'resistant' vertebrates to habitat loss and fragmentation: the importance of niche breadth and range boundaries. Divers. Distrib. 9: 1-18.
92. Thiel, D. et al. 2008. Ski tourism affects habitat use and evokes a physiological stress response in capercaillie Tetrao urogallus: a new methodological approach. J. Appl. Ecol. 45: 845-853.
93. Thomas, C. D. 1994. Extinction, colonisation, and metapopulations: environmental tracking by rare species. Conserv. Biol. 8: 373-378.
94. Thomas, J. A. et al. 2001. The quality and isolation of habitat patches both determine where butterflies persist in fragmented landscapes. Proc. R. Soc. B 268: 1791-1796.
95. Thompson, S. K. et al. 1992. An adaptive procedure for sampling animal populations. Biometrics 48: 1195-1199.
96. Thrall, P. H. et al. 2000. The metapopulation paradigm: a fragmented view of conservation biology. - In: Young, A. G. and Clarke, G. M. (eds), Genetics, demography and viability of fragmented populations. Cambridge Univ. Press, pp. 75-95.
97. Verbeylen, G. et al. 2003. Patch occupancy, population density and dynamics in a fragmented red squirrel Sciurus vulgaris population. Ecography 26: 118-128.
98. Vos, C. C. et al. 2001. Toward ecologically scaled landscape indices. Am. Nat. 183: 24-41.
99. Wegge, P. and Larsen, B. B. 1987. Spacing of adult and subadult male common capercaillie during the breeding season. Auk 104: 481-490.
100. Wegge, P. and Rolstad, J. 1986. Size and spacing of capercaillie leks in relation to social behaviour and habitat. Behav. Ecol. Sociobiol. 19: 401-408.
101. Wiegand, T. et al. 2005. Effects of habitat loss and fragmentation on population dynamics. Conserv. Biol. 19: 108-121.
102. With, K. A. and Crist, T. O. 1995. Critical thresholds in species' responses to landscape structure. Ecology 76: 2446-2459.
103. With, K. A. and King, A. W. 1999. Extinction thresholds for species in fractal landscapes. Conserv. Biol. 13: 314-326.