Predicting avian patch occupancy in a fragmented landscape: Do we know more than we think?

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 46, Issue 5, 2009, Pages 1026-1035

  Shanahan, Danielle F ^a   Possingham, Hugh P ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

A priori model; Classification tree; Patch occupancy model; Rainforest birds; South East Queensland; Species generalizations; Threshold responses

Indexed keywords

BIRD; COMMUNITY RESPONSE; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECT; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; HABITAT MANAGEMENT; LANDSCAPE CHANGE; LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY; LIFE HISTORY TRAIT; MODEL TEST; PATCH USE; RAINFOREST; SPECIALIZATION;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA; QUEENSLAND;

AVES;

EID: 70349705614     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2009.01694.x     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Andren, H. (1994) Effects of habitat fragmentation on birds and mammals in landscapes with different proportions of suitable habitat - a review. Oikos, 71, 355 366.
2. Barrett, G., Silcocks, A., Barry, S., Cunningham, R. Poulter, R. (2003) The New Atlas of Australian Birds. Royal Australasian Ornithologists' Union, Victoria.
3. Bennett, A.F. Ford, L.A. (1997) Land use, habitat change and the conservation of birds in fragmented rural environments: a landscape perspective from the Northern Plains, Victoria, Australia. Pacific Conservation Biology, 3, 244 261.
4. Bowman, J. (2003) Is dispersal distance of birds proportional to territory size? Canadian Journal of Zoology-Revue Canadienne De Zoologie, 81, 195 202.
5. Breiman, L., Friedman, J., Olshen, R. Stone, C. (1984) Classification and Regression Trees. Pacific Grove, Wadsworth.
6. Cohen, J.A. (1960) A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 20, 37 46.
7. Environmental Protection Agency (2007) Regional Ecosystem Description Database (REDD), Version 5.2. Database Maintained by Queensland Herbarium. Environmental Protection Agency, Brisbane.
8. Fielding, A.H. Bell, J.F. (1997) A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation, 24, 38 49.
9. Fleiss, J.L., Cohen, J. Everitt, B.S. (1969) Large sample standard errors of kappa and weighted kappa. Psychological Bulletin, 72, 323 327.
10. Groffman, P., Baron, J., Blett, T., Gold, A., Goodman, I., Gunderson, L., Levinson, B., Palmer, M., Paerl, H., Peterson, G., LeRoy Poff, N., Rejeski, D., Reynolds, J., Turner, M., Weathers, K. Wiens, J. (2006) Ecological thresholds: the key to successful environmental management or an important concept with no practical application? Ecosystems, 9, 1 13.
11. Hanski, I. (1994a) Patch-occupancy dynamics in fragmented landscapes. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 9, 131 135.
12. Hanski, I. (1994b) A practical model of metapopulation dynamics. Journal of Animal Ecology, 63, 151 162.
13. Hanski, I. Gilpin, M. (1991) Metapopulation dynamics: brief history and conceptual domain. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 42, 316.
14. HANZAB (1993-2006) Volumes 3 to 6, Handbook of Australian, New Zealand and Antarctic Birds. Oxford University Press, South Melbourne.
15. Jammalamadaka, S.R. Goria, M.N. (2004) A test of goodness-of-fit based on Gini's Index of spacings. Statistics & Probability Letters, 68, 177 187.
16. Jones, H.L. Diamond, J.M. (1976) Short-time-base studies of turnover in breeding bird populations on California Channel Islands. Condor, 78, 526 549.
17. Legendre, P. Fortin, M.J. (1989) Spatial pattern and ecological analysis. Vegetation, 80, 107 138.
18. Levins, R. (1970) Extinction. American Mathematical Society, Providence, RI.
19. Lindenmayer, D.B. Luck, G. (2005) Synthesis: thresholds in conservation and management. Biological Conservation, 124, 351 354.
20. Mac Nally, R., Bennett, A.F. Horrocks, G. (2000) Forecasting the impacts of habitat fragmentation. Evaluation of species-specific predictions of the impact of habitat fragmentation on birds in the box-ironbark forests of central Victoria, Australia. Biological Conservation, 95, 7 29.
21. Mac Nally, R. Bennett, A.F. (1997) Species-specific predictions of the impact of habitat fragmentation: local extinction of birds in the box-ironbark forests of central Victoria, Australia. Biological Conservation, 82, 147 155.
22. Martin, T.G. Possingham, H.P. (2005) Predicting the impact of livestock grazing on birds using foraging height data. Journal of Applied Ecology, 42, 400 408.
23. McAlpine, C.A., Fensham, R.J. Temple-Smith, D.E. (2002) Biodiversity conservation and vegetation clearing in Queensland: principles and thresholds. Rangeland Journal, 24, 36 55.
24. McGarigal, K., Cushman, S.A., Neel, M.C. Ene, E. (2002) FRAGSTATS: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program for Categorical Maps. University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA.
25. Moran, C., Catterall, C.P., Green, R.J. Olsen, M.F. (2004) Fates of feathered fruit-eaters in fragmented forests. Conservation of Australia's Forest Fauna (ed. D. Lunney pp. 699 712. Royal Zoological Society of New South Wales, Mosman, New South Wales.
26. Munoz, J. Felicisimo, A.M. (2004) Comparison of statistical methods commonly used in predictive modelling. Journal of Vegetation Science, 15, 285 292.
27. Nassauer, J.I. Opdam, P. (2008) Design in science: extending the landscape ecology paradigm. Landscape Ecology, 23, 633 644.
28. Parkes, D., Newell, G. Cheal, D. (2003) Assessing the quality of native vegetation: the 'habitat hectares' approach. Ecological Management and Restoration, 4, S29 S38.
29. Pavlacky, D.C. (2008) Avian Site Occupancy and Landscape Genetics of Logrunners (Orthonyx temminckii) in Fragmented Subtropical Rainforests of South East Queensland. The University of Queensland, Brisbane.
30. Pulliam, H.R. (1988) Sources, sinks, and population regulation. The American Naturalist, 132, 652 661.
31. R Development Core Team (2005) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna. ISBN 3-900051-07-0, Available at: http://www.R-project.org. accessed 28 March 2007.
32. Radford, J.Q. Bennett, A.F. (2004) Thresholds in landscape parameters: occurrence of the white-browed treecreeper Climacteris affinis in Victoria, Australia. Biological Conservation, 117, 375 391.
33. Rodriguez, J.P., Brotons, L., Bustamante, J. Seoane, J. (2007) The application of predictive modelling of species distribution to biodiversity conservation. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 243 251.
34. Sekercioglu, C.H. Sodhi, N.S. (2007) Conservation biology: predicting birds' responses to forest fragmentation. Current Biology, 17, R838 R840.
35. Shaffer, M.L. (1981) Minimum population sizes for species conservation. BioScience, 31, 131 134.
36. Sherrod, P.H. (2003) DTREG: Predictive Modelling Software. Available at: http://www.dtreg.com accessed 18 January 2008.
37. Taylor, P. (1994) Growing up: Forestry in Queensland. Allen & Unwin Pty Ltd, Brisbane.
38. Thomas, C.D. (1990) What do real population-dynamics tell us about minimum viable population sizes. Conservation Biology, 4, 324 327.
39. Vayssieres, M.P., Plant, R.E. Allen-Diaz, B.H. (2000) Classification trees: an alternative non-parametric approach for predicting species distributions. Journal of Vegetation Science, 11, 679 694.
40. Vos, C.C., Verboom, J., Opdam, P.F.M. Ter Braak, C.J.F. (2001) Toward ecologically scaled landscape indices. American Naturalist, 157, 24 41.
41. Wiens, J.A. (1985) Vertebrate responses to environmental patchiness in arid and semiarid ecosystems. Ecology of Natural Disturbance and Patch Dynamics (eds S.T.A. Pickett P.S. White pp. 169 193. Academic Press, New York.
42. With, K.A. Crist, T.O. (1995) Critical thresholds in species responses to landscape structure. Ecology, 76, 2446 2459.