Explaining the high number of infected people by dengue in Rio de Janeiro in 2008 using a susceptible-infective-recovered model

Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics

Volumn 83, Issue 3, 2011, Pages

  Botari, Tiago ^a   Alves, S G ^b   Leonel, Edson D ^a  

^a SÃO PAULO STATE UNIVERSITY UNESP   (Brazil)

^b FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF VIÇOSA   (Brazil)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODELS; NUMERICAL RESULTS; RAINFALL INDEX;

PATTERN RECOGNITION SYSTEMS;

CELLULAR AUTOMATA;

EID: 79953179355     PISSN: 15393755     EISSN: 15502376     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.83.037101     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. WHO, Dengue/dengue haemorrhagic fever. Available at: [http://www.who.int/ csr/disease/dengue/en/index.html], retrieved 8 August 2010.
2. J. C. Semenza and B. Menne, Lancet Infect. Dis. 1473-3099 10.1016/S1473-3099(09)70104-5 9, 365 (2009).
3. J. L. Kyle and E. Harris, Annu. Rev. Microbiol. ARMIAZ 0066-4227 10.1146/annurev.micro.62.081307.163005 62, 71 (2008).
4. S. B. Halstead, Science SCIEAS 0036-8075 10.1126/science.3277268 239, 476 (1988).
5. L. P. Lounibos, Annu. Rev. Entomol ARENAA 0066-4170 10.1146/annurev.ento. 47.091201.145206 47, 233 (2002). (Pubitemid 34108582)
6. K. E. Jones, Nature NATUAS 0028-0836 10.1038/nature06536 451, 990 (2008). (Pubitemid 351301726)
7. S. M. Lemon, P. F. Sparling, M. A. Hamburg, D. A. Relman, E. R. Choffnes, and A. Mack, Forum on Microbial Threats: 1st ed. (National Academies Press, Washington, DC, 2008).
8. J. A. Patz, W. J. Martens, D. A. Focks, and T. H. Jetten, Environ. Health Perspect. EVHPAZ 0091-6765 10.1289/ehp.98106147 106, 147 (1998).
9. S. B. Halstead, Annu. Rev. Entomol ARENAA 0066-4170 10.1146/annurev.ento. 53.103106.093326 53, 273 (2008). (Pubitemid 351341942)
10. A. J. McMichael, Climate Change and Human Health (World Health Organization, Geneva, 1996), Vol. xvii, p. 297.
11. Special Report, Nature NATUAS 0028-0836 10.1038/448734a 448, 734 (2007). (Pubitemid 47266312)
12. N. T. J. Bailey, The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases, 2nd ed. (Griffin, London, 1975).
13. M. E. J. Newman, J. Stat. Phys. JSTPBS 0022-4715 10.1023/A:1026485807148 101, 819 (2000). (Pubitemid 33214123)
14. R. Albert and A. Barabasi, Rev. Mod. Phys. RMPHAT 0034-6861 10.1103/RevModPhys.74.47 74, 47 (2002).
15. R. Pastor-Satorras and A. Vespignani, Phys. Rev. Lett. PRLTAO 0031-9007 10.1103/PhysRevLett.86.3200 86, 3200 (2001). (Pubitemid 32317894)
16. R. Huerta and L. S. Tsimring, Phys. Rev. E PRLTAO 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.66.056115 66, 056115 (2002). (Pubitemid 40618547)
17. L. Híber-Dufresne, P. A. Noel, V. Marceau, A. Allard, and L. J. Dube, Phys. Rev. E PRLTAO 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.82.036115 82, 036115 (2010).
18. H. K. Janssen and O. Stenull, Phys. Rev. E PRLTAO 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.78.061117 78, 061117 (2008).
19. L. B. L. Santos, M. C. Costa, S. T. R. Pinho, R. F. S. Andrade, F. R. Barreto, M. G. Teixeira, and M. L. Barreto, Phys. Rev. E PRLTAO 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.016102 80, 016102 (2009).
20. M. A. Fuentes and M. N. Kuperman, Physica A PHYADX 0378-4371 10.1016/S0378-4371(99)00027-8 267, 471 (1999).
21. Q. X. Liu, Z. Jin, and M. X. Liu, Phys. Rev. E PHYADX 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.74.031110 74, 031110 (2006). (Pubitemid 44395170)
22. M. J. Hopp and J. A. Foley, Clim. Res. CLREEW 0936-577X 10.3354/cr025085 25, 85 (2003).
23. D. A. Focks, E. Daniels, D. G. Haile, and J. E. Keesling, Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 53, 489 (1995).
24. C. Argolo, Y. Quintino, Y. Siqueira, I. Gleria, and M. L. Lyra, Phys. Rev. E CLREEW 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.061127 80, 061127 (2009).
25. H. Hinrechsen and M. Howard, Eur. Phys. J. B EPJBFY 1434-6028 10.1007/s100510050656 7, 635 (1999).
26. G. Odor, Rev. Mod. Phys. RMPHAT 0034-6861 10.1103/RevModPhys.76.663 76, 663 (2004). (Pubitemid 40176839)
27. C. E. Fiore and M. J. de Oliveira, Phys. Rev. E PLEEE8 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.76.041103 76, 041103 (2007). (Pubitemid 47569201)
28. S. L. Silva, Physica A PHYADX 0378-4371 10.1016/j.physa.2006.11.027 377, 689 (2007). (Pubitemid 46199083)
29. INMET: Standards Climate. Available at: [http://www.inmet.gov.br/html/ clima/graficos/index.html], retrieved 24 June 2009.
30. WHO, Dengue/dengue haemorrhagic fever in Brazil. Available at: [http://www.who.int/csr/don/2008-04-10/en/index.html], retrieved 8 August 2010.
31. Available at: [http://www.saude.rio.rj.gov.br/cgi/public/cgilua.exe/web/ templates/htm/v2/view.htm?infoid=3915&edition sectionid=364], retrieved 8 August 2010.
32. IBGE, Demographics data. Available at: [http://www.ibge.gov.br/cidadesat/ xtras/csv.php?tabela=amostra&codmun=330455&nomemun=Rio%20de%20Janeiro], retrieved 3 May 2009.
33. The average distance of 100 m flying was discussed earlier with the head of health council in the city of Rio Claro, SP.
34. Health council of Rio de Janeiro, data number of infected. Available at: [http://www.saude.rio.rj.gov.br/saude/pubsms/media/tab-incidengue2008.htm], retrieved 3 May 2009.
35. INMET: Monitoring. Available at: [http://www.inmet.gov.br/html/ observacoes.php?lnkGr%E1ficos], retrieved 20 February 2010.
36. M. M. de Oliveira and R. Dickman, Phys. Rev. E PHYADX 1539-3755 10.1103/PhysRevE.71.016129 71, 016129 (2005). (Pubitemid 40620007)
37. H. Hinrichsen, J. Stat. Mech. 1742-5468 10.1088/1742-5468/2007/07/P07006 (2007) P07006.
38. J. Marro and R. Dickman, Nonequilibrium Phase Transition in a Lattice Model (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1999).