Broadband kinematic stochastic simulation of an earthquake source: A refined procedure for application in seismic hazard studies

Pure and Applied Geophysics

Volumn 168, Issue 1-2, 2011, Pages 155-200

  Gusev, Alexander A ^a,b  

^a INSTITUTE OF VOLCANOLOGY AND SEISMOLOGY   (Russian Federation)

^b RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

Coherence; Earthquake; Scenario earthquake; Simulation; Stochastic fault model; Strong motion; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

COHERENCE; SCENARIO EARTHQUAKE; SIMULATION; STOCHASTIC FAULTS; STRONG MOTION; UNCERTAINTY;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; EARTHQUAKES; KINEMATICS; PLASMA DIAGNOSTICS; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPECTRUM ANALYSIS; STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

STOCHASTIC MODELS;

EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE; FAULT ZONE; GROUND MOTION; KINEMATICS; SEISMIC HAZARD; SEISMIC SOURCE; SOURCE PARAMETERS; STRONG MOTION;

EID: 79953024884     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-010-0156-3     Document Type: Article

References (107)

1. AGUIRRE, J., and IRIKURA, K. (2007), Source characterization of mexican subduction earthquakes from acceleration source spectra for the prediction of strong ground motions, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 97, 1960-1969. doi:10.1785/0120050156
2. AKI, K. (1967), Scaling law of seismic spectrum, J Geophys Res, 72,1217-1231
3. ANDERSON, J. G., and HOUGH, S. E. (1984), A model for the shape of the Fourier amplitude spectrum of acceleration at high frequencies, Bull Seismol Soc Am,74, 1969-1993
4. ANDREWS, D. J. (1980), A stochastic fault model, 1: Static Case, J Geophys Res, 78, 3867-3877
5. ANDREWS, D. J. (1981), A stochastic fault model, 2: time-dependent case, J Geophys Res, 86, 10831-10834.
6. ATKINSON, G. M. (1993), Source spectra for earthquakes in eastern North America, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 83, 1778-1798
7. BAZZURRO, P., SJOBERG, B., and LUCO, N. (2004) Post-elastic response of structures to synthetic ground motions. Technical Report AT2, for PEER Lifelines Program project 1G00, AIR Worldwide Co., San Francisco
8. BERESNEV, I. A. and ATKINSON, G. M. (1999), Generic finite-fault model for ground-motion prediction in Eastern North America, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 89, 608-625
9. BERNARD, P., and MADARIAGA, R. (1984), A new asymptotic method for the modeling of near-field accelerograms, Bull Seism Soc Am, 74, 539-557
10. BEROZA G. C., and MIKUMO, T. (1996), Short slip duration in dynamic rupture in the presence of heterogeneous fault properties, J Geophys Res, 101,449-460
11. BLANDFORD, R. R. (1975), A source theory for complex earthquakes, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 65, 1385-1405
12. BOATWRIGHT, J. (1982), A dynamic model for far-field acceleration, Bull Seism Soc Am, 72, 1049-1068
13. BOATWRIGHT, J., CHOY, G. L., and SEEKINS L. C. (2002), Regional estimates of radiated seismic energy, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 92, 1241-1255
14. BOORE, D. M. (1983), Stochastic simulation of high-frequency ground motions based on seismological models of radiated spectra, Bull Seism Soc Am, 73, 1865-1894
15. BOORE, D. M. (2003), Simulation of ground motion using the stochastic method, Pure appl Geophys, 160, 635-676
16. BRUNE, J. N. (1970), Tectonic stress and the spectra of seismic shear waves from earthquakes, J Geophys Res, 75, 4997-5009
17. CUSTODIO, S., LIU, P. C., and ARCHULETA, R. J. (2005), The 2004 Mw 6.0 Parkfield, California, earthquake: inversion of near-source ground motion using multiple data sets, Geophys Res Lett, 32(23)
18. DALGUER, L. A., MIYAKE, H., DAY, S. M., and IRIKURA, K. (2008) Surface rupturing and buried dynamic-rupture models calibrated with statistical observations of past earthquakes, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 98, 1147-1161
19. DAN, K., WATANABE, T., SATO, T., and ISHII, T. (2001), Short-period source spectra inferred from variable-slip rupture models and modeling of earthquake fault for strong motion prediction, J Struct Constr Eng AIJ, 545, 51-62
20. DAS, S., and KOSTROV, B. V. (1983), Breaking of a single asperity: rupture process and seismic radiation, J Geophys Res, 88, 4277-4288
21. DAS, S., and KOSTROV, B. V. (1988), An investigation of the complexity of the earthquake source time function using dynamic faulting models, J Geophys Res, 93(B7), 8035-8050
22. DAY, S. M., GONZALEZ, S. H., ANOOSHEHPOOR, R., and BRUNE, J. N. (2008), Scale-model and numerical simulations of near-fault seismic directivity, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 98, 1186-1206. doi: 10.1785/0120070190
23. DREGER, D., NADEAU, R. M., and CHUNG, A. (2007), Repeating earthquake finite source models: strong asperities revealed on the San Andreas Fault, Geophys Res Lett, 34, L23302. doi: 10.1029/2007GL031353
24. GUSEV, A. A. (1983), Descriptive statistical model of earthquake source radiation and its application to an estimation of shortperiod strong motion, Geophys J R Astr Soc, 74, 787-808
25. GUSEV, A. A. (1989), Multiasperity fault model and the nature of short-period subsources, Pure Appl Geophys, 130, 635-660
26. GUSEV, A. A. (1992) On relations between asperity population and earthquake population on a fault. Tectonophysics, 211, 85-98
27. GUSEV, A. A. (1996), Peak factors of Mexican accelerograms: evidence of non-Gaussian amplitude distribution, J Geophys Res, 101,20083-20090
28. GUSEV A. (2010). Approximate stochastic self-similarity of envelopes of high-frequency teleseismic P-waves from large earthquakes, Pure Appl Geophys, in press.
29. GUSEV, A. A., GUSEVA, E. M., and PANZA, G. F. (2006), Correlation between local slip rate and local high-frequency seismic radiation in an earthquake fault, Pure Appl Geophys, 163(7), 1305-1325. doi:10.1007/s00024-006-0068-4.
30. GUSEV, A. A., GUSEVA, E. M., and PAVLOV, V. M. (2009). Modeling of the Ground Motion for the Petropavlovsk Earthquake of November 24, 1971 (M = 7.6), Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, 45(5), 395-405 Original Russian version: Fizika Zemli #5, 29-38, 2009)
31. GUSEV, A. A., and PAVLOV, V. M. (1991), Deconvolution of squared velocity waveform as applied to study of non-coherent shortperiod radiator in earthquake source, Pure Appl Geophys, 136, 235-244
32. GUSEV, A. A., and PAVLOV, V. M. (2006), Wideband simulation of earthquake ground motion by a spectrum-matching, multiplepulse technique, Intl Centre Theor Phys, Trieste, Preprint IC2006023, 27 pp. http://users.ictp.it/*pub_off/preprints-sources/2006/IC2006023P.pdf
33. GUSEV, A. A., and PAVLOV, V. M. (2009), Broadband simulation of earthquake ground motion by a spectrum-matching, multiple-pulse technique, Earthq Spectra, 25, 257-276
34. GUSEV, A. A., PAVLOV, V., ROMANELLI, F., and PANZA, G. (2008), Low-frequency seismic ground motion at the pier positions of the planned Messina Straits Bridge for a realistic earthquake scenario. In 2008 seismic engineering conference: commemorating the 1908 Messina and Reggio Calabria earthquake, Amer Inst Phys Conf Proc, 1020(1), 362-369. doi:10.1063/1.2963858
35. GUSEV, A., RADULIAN, M., RIZESCU, M., and PANZA, G. F. (2002) Source scaling of intermediate-depth Vrancea earthquakes, Geophys J Int, 151, 879-889
36. GUSEV, A. A., and SHUMILINA L. S. (2000), Modeling the intensity-magnitude-distance relation based on the concept of an incoherent extended earthquake source, Vulc Seis, 21, 443-463 English edition; original in Russian: (1999) 4-5, 29-40).
37. HALLDORSSON, B., and PAPAGEORGIOU A. S. (2005), Calibration of the specific barrier model to earthquakes of different tectonic regions, Bull Seism Soc Am, 95, 1276-1300. doi:10.1785/0120040157
38. c seismic source models: Implication for tectonic stress variations along active crustal fault zones and the estimation of high-frequency strong ground motion, J Geophys Res, 84, 2235-2242
39. HANKS, T. C., and WILLIAM H. B. (2002), A bilinear source-scaling model for M-log A observations of continental earthquakes, Bull Seism Soc Am, 92, 1841-1846
40. HANKS, T. C., and MCGUIRE, R. K. (1981), The character of high-frequency strong ground motion, Bull Seism Soc Am, 71, 2071-2095
41. HARTZELL, S., HARMSEN, S., FRANKEL, A., and LARSEN, S. (1999), Calculation of broadband time histories of ground motion: comparison of methods and validation using strong-ground motion from the 1994 Northridge earthquake, Bull Seism Soc Am, 89, 1484-1504
42. HARTZELL, S., GUATTERI, M., MAI, P. M., LIU, P. -Ch., and FISK, M. (2005), Calculation of broadband time histories of ground motion, part II: kinematic and dynamic modeling using theoretical Green's functions and comparison with the 1994 Northridge earthquake, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 95614-95645. doi: 10.1785/0120040136
43. HEATON, T. H., (1990), Evidence for and implications of self-healing pulses of slip in earthquake rupture, Phys Earth Planet Inter, 64, 1-20
44. HASKELL, N. A. (1964). Total energy and energy spectral density of elastic wave radiation from propagating faults, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 54, 1811-1841
45. HASKELL, N. A., (1966), Total energy and energy spectral density of elastic wave radiation from propagating faults. II. A stochastic fault model. Bull Seism Soc Am, 56, 125-140
46. HERRERO, A., and BERNARD, P. (1994), A kinematic self-similar rupture process for earthquakes, Bull Seism Soc Am, 84, 1216-1228
47. HOUSNER, G. W. (1955), Properties of strong ground motion earthquakes, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 45, 197-218
48. IDE, S., and TAKEO, M. (1997), Determination of constitutive relations of fault-slip based on seismic wave analysis, J Geophys Res, 102, 27379-27391
49. IDE, S., and AOCHI, H. (2005), Earthquakes as multiscale dynamic ruptures with heterogeneous fracture surface energy, J Geophys Res, 110, B11303, doi:10.1029/2004JB003591
50. IRIKURA, K. (2007). Predicting strong ground motions with a "Recipe", Bull Earthq Res Inst Univ Tokyo, 81, 341-352
51. IRIKURA, K., KAMAE, K., Estimation of strong ground motion in broad-frequency band based on a seismic source scaling model and an empirical Green's function technique. Annali Di Geofisica, 37, 6, pp 1721-1743 (1994)
52. IZUTANI, Y. (1984) Source parameters relevant to heterogeneity of a fault plane, J Phys Earth, 32, 511-529
53. JOYNER, W. B., (1984), A scaling law for the spectra of large earthquakes, Bull Seism Soc Am, 74, 1167-1188
54. KAKEHI, Y., and IRIKURA, K. (1996), Estimation of high frequency wave radiation areas on the fault plane by the envelope inversion of acceleration seismograms, Geophys J Int, 125, 892-900
55. KAMAE, K., and IRIKURA, K. (1998) Source model of the 1995 hyogo-ken nanbu earthquake and simulation of near-source ground motion, Bull Seism Soc Am, 88, 400-412
56. KANAMORI, H., and ALLEN, C. A., Earthquake repeat time and average stress drop, (Das, S., Boatwright, J., and Scholz, C. H., eds.,) Earthquake source mechanics, AGU, 227-235 (1986)
57. KANAMORI, H., and ANDERSON, D. L. (1975), Theoretical basis of some empirical relations in seismology, Bull Seism Soc Am, 65, 1073-1095
58. KOPNICHEV, YU. F., and SHPILKER, G. L. (1978) Parameters of high-frequency radiation of earthquake source and the model of strong motion. Doklady AN SSSR, 239, 193-196 (in Russian)
59. KOSTROV, B. V. Mechanics of the source of a tectonic earthquake. (Nauka Moscow 1974) (in Russian).
60. KOYAMA, J. (1985). Earthquake source time-function from coherent and incoherent rupture, Tectonophysics 118, 227-242
61. LAVALLEE, D., and ARCHULETA, R. (2003). Stochastic modeling of slip spatial complexities for the 1979 Imperial Valley, California, earthquake, Geophys Res Lett, 30, 1245. doi:10.1029/2002 GL015839
62. LAVALLEE, D., LIU, P. -Ch., and ARCHULETA, R. J. (2006) Stochastic model of heterogeneity in earthquake slip spatial distributions, Geophys J Int, 165, 622-640. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006. 02943.x
63. LAVALLÉE, D., and ARCHULETA, R. J. (2005), Coupling of the random properties of the source and the ground motion for the 1999 Chi Chi earthquake, Geophys Res Lett, 32, L08311. doi:10.1029/2004GL022202
64. MAI, P. M. (2004), Online database of finite-source rupture models, http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/srcmod
65. MAI, P. M., and BEROZA, G. C. (2002), A spatial random field model to characterize complexity in earthquake slip, J Geophys Res, 107,2308. doi:10.1029/2001JB000588
66. MAI, P. M., SPUDICH, P., and BOATWRIGHT, J. (2005) Hypocenter locations in finite-source rupture models, Bull Seismol Soc Amer, 95, 965-980. doi:10.1785/0120040111
67. MANIGHETTI, I., CAMPILLO, M., SAMMIS, C., MAI, P. M. and KING, G. (2005), Evidence for self-similar, triangular slip distributions on earthquakes: implications for earthquake and fault mechanics, J Geophys Res, 110, B05302. doi:10.1029/2004JB003174
68. MARSAN, D., and BEAN, C. (2003) Multifractal modelling and analyses of crustal heterogeneity. In Heterogeneity in the crust and upper Mantle (Goff, J. A., and Hollinger, K., eds) pp 207-236, (Kluwer Academic, New York)
69. MENDOZA, C., and HARTZELL, S. H. (1989), Slip distribution of the 19 September 1985 Michoacan, Mexico, earthquake - near- source and teleseismic constraints, Bull Seis Soc Am, 79(3), 655-669
70. MORIKAWA, N., and SASATANI, T. (2004) Source models of two large intraslab earthquakes from broadband strong ground motions, BSSA, 94(3), 803-817
71. MIYAKE, H., IWATA, T., and IRIKURA, K. (2003), Source characterization for broadband ground-motion simulation: kinematic heterogeneous source model and strong motion generation area, Bull Seism Soc Am, 93, 2531-2545
72. NAGAI, R., KIKUCHI, M., and YAMANAKA, Y. (2001), Comparative study on the source processes of reccurent large earthquakes in Sanriku-oki Region: the 1968 Tokachi-oki earthquake and the 1994 Sanriku-oki Earthquake, Zishin, J Seismol Soc Japan, 54, 267-280
73. NAKAHARA, H. (2008) Seismogram envelope inversion for high-frequency seismic energy radiation from moderate-to-large earthquakes, Adv Geophys, 50, 401-426
74. NISHIMURA, T., NAKAHARA, H., SATO, H., and OHTAKE, M. (1996), Source process of the 1994 far east off Sanriku earthquake, Japan, as inferred from a broad-band seismogram, Sci Rep Tohoku Univ, 34, 121-134
75. OGLESBY D. D., ARCHULETA R. J. (1997) A faulting model for the 1992 Petrolia earthquake: Can extreme ground acceleration be a sourse effect? J Geophys Res, 102(B6), 877-897
76. OHNO, S., OHTA, T., IKEURA, T., and TAKEMURA, M. (1993) Revision of attenuation formula considering the effect of fault size to evaluate strong-motion spectra in near field, Tectonophysics, 218,69-81
77. ORDAZ, M., and SINGH, S. K. (1992), Source spectra and spectral attenuation of seismic waves from Mexican earthquakes, and evidence of amplification in the hill zone of Mexico City, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 82, 24-43
78. PAPAGEORGIOU, A. S., and AKI, K. (1983), A specific barrier model for the quantitative description of inhomogeneous faulting and the prediction of the strong ground motion, I: description of the model, Bull Seismol Soc Am, 73, 693-722
79. PAPAGEORGIOU, A. S., and AKI, K. (1985) Scaling law of far-field spectra based on observed parameters of the specific barrier model, Pure Appl Geophys, 123, 354-374
80. PAVLOV, V. M. (2002) A convenient technique for calculating synthetic seismograms in a layered half-space, Proceedings of the international conference on problems of geocosmos, St. Petersburg, 320-323
81. PAVLOV, V. M. (2006), Calculation of static displacements from force in a layered halfspace, Volcanol Seismol, 4, 25-33 (in Russian)
82. PAVLOV, V. M. (2009), Matrix impedance in the problem of calculation of synthetic seismograms in a uniformly layered isotropic elastic medium, Fizika Zemli, 10, 14-24 (in Russian, with parallel English edition)
83. PARVEZ, I. A., GUSEV, A. A., PANZA, G. F., and PETUKHIN, A. G. (2001), Preliminary determination of the interdependence among strong-motion amplitude, earthquake magnitude and hypocentral distance for the Himalayan region, Geophys J Int, 144(3), 577-596
84. PETUKHIN, A. G., and GUSEV, A. A. (2003), The duration-distance relationship and average envelope shapes of small Kamchatka earthquakes. Pure Appl Geophys, 160, 1717-1743
85. RAUTIAN, T. G., KHALTURIN V. I., and DOTSEV, N. T. (1989). Macroseismic magnitude Voprosy Inzhenernoi Seismologii 30, 98-109 (in Russian)
86. SATO, R. (1979) Theoretical basis on relationships between focal parameters and magnitude, J Phys Earth, 27, 353-372
87. SCHMITT, F., and MARSAN, D. (2001) Stochastic equations for continuous multiplicative cascades in turbulence, Eur Phys J, 20, 3-6
88. SCHOLZ, C. (1982). Scaling laws for large earthquakes and consequences for physical models, Bull Seismol Soc Am 72, 1-14
89. SCHOLZ, C. H., AVILES C. A., and WESNOUSKY, S. G. (1986) Scaling Differences Between Large Interplate and Intraplate Earthquakes, Bull Seismol Soc Amer 76, 65-70, February
90. SEKIGUCHI, H., IRIKURA, K., IWATA, T., KAKEHI, Y., and HOSHIBA, M. (1996), Minute locating of faulting beneath Kobe and the waveform inversion of the source process during the 1995 Hy-ogo-ken Nanbu, Japan, earthquake using strong ground motion records, J Phys Earth, 44(5), 473-487
91. SEKIGUCHI, H., and IWATA, T. (2002), Rupture process of the 1999 Kocaeli, Turkey, earthquake estimated from strong-motion waveforms, Bull Seis Soc Am 92(1), 300-311
92. SILBERSCHMIDT, V. V. (2000) Dynamics and scaling characteristics of shear crack propagation, Pure Appl Geophys, 157, 523-538
93. SINGH, S. K., ORDAZ, M., ANDERSON, J. G., RODRIGUEZ, M., QUAAS, R., MENA, E., OTTAVIANI, M., and ALMORA, D. (1989) Analysis of near source strong-motion recordings along the Mexican subduction zone, Bull Seism Soc Am, 79, 1697-1717
94. SOMERVILLE, P., K. IRIKURA, R. GRAVES, S. SAWADA, D. WALD, N. ABRAHAMSON, Y. IWASAKI, T. KAGAWA, N. SMITH, and A. KOWADA (1999). Characterizing crustal earthquake slip models for the prediction of strong motion, Seism Res Lett 70, 59-80
95. SPUDICH, P. and L. N. FRAZER. (1984), Use of ray theory to calculate high-frequency radiation from earthquake sources having spatially variable rupture velocity and stress drop, Bull Seism Soc Am, 74, 2061-2082
96. THATCHER, W., and HANKS, T. C. (1973), Source parameters of Southern California earthquakes, J Geophys Res, 78, 8547-8576
97. TRIFUNAC, M. D., and LEE V. W. (1989), Preliminary empirical model for scaling Fourier amplitude spectra of strong ground acceleration in terms of earthquake magnitude, source to station distance and recording site conditions, Earthq Eng Struct Mech, 18,999-1016
98. TSAI, C. -C. P. (1997a), Ground motion modeling for seismic hazard analysis in the near-source regime: an asperity model, Pure Appl Geophys, 149, 265-297 (0033-4553:97:020265-33)
99. TSAI, C. -C. P. (1997b), Slip, stress drop and ground motion of earthquakes: a view from the perspective of fractional Brownian motion. Pure Appl Geophys, 149, 689-706
100. VALENSISE, L., and PANTOSTI, D. (1992), A 125 kyr-long geological record of seismic source repeatability: the Messina Straits (Southern Italy) and the 1908 earthquake (Ms = 7.5), Terra Nova, 4, 472-483
101. WELLS, D. L., and COPPERSMITH, K. J. (1994), New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bull Seism Soc Am, 84(4),974-1002
102. YAGI, Y. (2004), Source rupture process of the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake determined by joint inversion of teleseismic body wave and strong ground motion data. Earth Planets Space, 56(3), 311-316
103. YIN, Z. -M., and RANALLI, G. (1995) Modeling of earthquake rupturing as a stochastic-process and estimation of its distribution function from earthquake observations. Geophys J Int, 123, 838-848
104. YU, G., KHATTRI, K. N., ANDERSON, J. G., BRUNE, J. N., and ZENG, Y. (1995), Strong ground motion from the Uttarkashi, Himalaya, India, Earthquake: comparison of observations with synthetics using the composite source model, Bull Seism Soc Am, 85, 31-50
105. ZENG, Y., ANDERSON, J. G., and YU, G. (1994) A composite source model for computing realistic synthetic strong ground motions, Geophys Res Lett, 21, 725-728
106. ZENG, Y., ANDERSON J. G., and SU, F. (1995), Subevent rake and scattering effects in realistic strong ground motion simulation, Geophys Res Lett, 22, 17-20
107. ZOLLO, A., BOBBIO, A., EMOLO, A., HERRERO, A., and DE NATALE, G. (1997), Modelling of ground acceleration in the near source range: the case of 1976, Friuli earthquake (M = 6.5), northern Italy, J Seismol 1:305-319