메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 144, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 1204-1213

Conservation in the face of climate change: The roles of alternative models, monitoring, and adaptation in confronting and reducing uncertainty

Author keywords

Adaptive management; Birds; Climate change; Monitoring; Prediction

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; BIRD; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMMUNITY STRUCTURE; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; DECISION MAKING; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; NUMERICAL MODEL; PREDICTION; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; SPECIES CONSERVATION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 79951881349     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2010.10.019     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (119)

References (37)
  • 1
    • 35148815618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change can alter competitive relationships between resident and migratory birds
    • Ahola M.P., Laaksonen T., Eeva T., Lehikoinen E. Climate change can alter competitive relationships between resident and migratory birds. Journal of Animal Ecology 2007, 76:1045-1052.
    • (2007) Journal of Animal Ecology , vol.76 , pp. 1045-1052
    • Ahola, M.P.1    Laaksonen, T.2    Eeva, T.3    Lehikoinen, E.4
  • 2
    • 0034609871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
    • Allen M.R., Stott P.A., Mitchell J.F.B., Schnur R., Delworth T.L. Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change. Nature 2000, 407:617-620.
    • (2000) Nature , vol.407 , pp. 617-620
    • Allen, M.R.1    Stott, P.A.2    Mitchell, J.F.B.3    Schnur, R.4    Delworth, T.L.5
  • 3
    • 45849116331 scopus 로고
    • Toward a Unified Ecology. Columbia.
    • Allen, T.F.H., Hoekstra, T.W., 1992. Toward a Unified Ecology. Columbia.
    • (1992)
    • Allen, T.F.H.1    Hoekstra, T.W.2
  • 5
    • 2542603802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and climate change
    • Berliner L.M. Uncertainty and climate change. Statistical Science 2003, 18:430-435.
    • (2003) Statistical Science , vol.18 , pp. 430-435
    • Berliner, L.M.1
  • 6
    • 33646930059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird
    • Both C., Bouwhuis S., Lessells C.M., Visser M.E. Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird. Nature 2006, 441:81-83.
    • (2006) Nature , vol.441 , pp. 81-83
    • Both, C.1    Bouwhuis, S.2    Lessells, C.M.3    Visser, M.E.4
  • 7
    • 0033519647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change related to egg-laying trends
    • Crick H.Q.P., Sparks T.H. Climate change related to egg-laying trends. Nature 1999, 399:423-424.
    • (1999) Nature , vol.399 , pp. 423-424
    • Crick, H.Q.P.1    Sparks, T.H.2
  • 9
    • 0029749876 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Circannual clocks in avian reproduction and migration
    • Gwinner E. Circannual clocks in avian reproduction and migration. Ibis 1996, 138:47-63.
    • (1996) Ibis , vol.138 , pp. 47-63
    • Gwinner, E.1
  • 11
    • 39749132968 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Six pillars: futures thinking for transforming
    • Inayatullah S. Six pillars: futures thinking for transforming. Foresight 2008, 10:4-21.
    • (2008) Foresight , vol.10 , pp. 4-21
    • Inayatullah, S.1
  • 13
    • 0042740745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of global climate change on species richness of long-distance migrants
    • Lemoine N., Bohning-Gaese K. Potential impact of global climate change on species richness of long-distance migrants. Conservation Biology 2003, 17:577-586.
    • (2003) Conservation Biology , vol.17 , pp. 577-586
    • Lemoine, N.1    Bohning-Gaese, K.2
  • 14
    • 13944249993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: impact of grazing on birds
    • Martin T.G., Kuhnert P.M., Mengersen K., Possingham H.P. The power of expert opinion in ecological models using Bayesian methods: impact of grazing on birds. Ecological Applications 2005, 15:266-280.
    • (2005) Ecological Applications , vol.15 , pp. 266-280
    • Martin, T.G.1    Kuhnert, P.M.2    Mengersen, K.3    Possingham, H.P.4
  • 15
    • 85044811703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are philosophers responsible for global warming?
    • Maxwell N. Are philosophers responsible for global warming?. Philosophy Now 2008, 65:12-13.
    • (2008) Philosophy Now , vol.65 , pp. 12-13
    • Maxwell, N.1
  • 17
    • 39349090781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty
    • Millar C.I., Stephenson N.L., Stephens S.L. Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecological Applications 2007, 17:2145-2151.
    • (2007) Ecological Applications , vol.17 , pp. 2145-2151
    • Millar, C.I.1    Stephenson, N.L.2    Stephens, S.L.3
  • 19
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C., Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 2003, 421:37-42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 21
  • 23
    • 79952620146 scopus 로고
    • The Breeding Bird Survey: Its First Fifteen Years 1965-1979. USDI Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington, DC.
    • Robbins, C.S., Bystrak, D., Geissler, P.H., 1986. The Breeding Bird Survey: Its First Fifteen Years 1965-1979. USDI Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington, DC.
    • (1986)
    • Robbins, C.S.1    Bystrak, D.2    Geissler, P.H.3
  • 24
    • 70349451894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A safe operating space for humanity
    • Rockström J., et al. A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 2009, 46:472-475.
    • (2009) Nature , vol.46 , pp. 472-475
    • Rockström, J.1
  • 26
    • 79952621638 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program
    • Runge M.C., Converse S.J., Lyons J.E. Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program. Biological Conservation. 2011, 144:1214-1223.
    • (2011) Biological Conservation. , vol.144 , pp. 1214-1223
    • Runge, M.C.1    Converse, S.J.2    Lyons, J.E.3
  • 27
    • 0037354912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and fitness components of a migratory bird breeding in the Mediterranean region
    • Sanz J.J., Potti J., Moreno J., Merno S., Frias O. Climate change and fitness components of a migratory bird breeding in the Mediterranean region. Global Change Biology 2003, 9:461-472.
    • (2003) Global Change Biology , vol.9 , pp. 461-472
    • Sanz, J.J.1    Potti, J.2    Moreno, J.3    Merno, S.4    Frias, O.5
  • 28
    • 42949167323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natal dispersal driven by environmental conditions interacting across the annual cycle of a migratory songbird
    • Studds C.E., Kyser T.K., Marra P.P. Natal dispersal driven by environmental conditions interacting across the annual cycle of a migratory songbird. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2008, 105:2929-2933.
    • (2008) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , vol.105 , pp. 2929-2933
    • Studds, C.E.1    Kyser, T.K.2    Marra, P.P.3
  • 29
    • 0035970824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Energetic and fitness costs of mismatching resource supply and demand in seasonally breeding birds
    • Thomas D.W., Perret B.J.P., Lambrechts M.M., Speakman J.R. Energetic and fitness costs of mismatching resource supply and demand in seasonally breeding birds. Science 2001, 291:2598-2600.
    • (2001) Science , vol.291 , pp. 2598-2600
    • Thomas, D.W.1    Perret, B.J.P.2    Lambrechts, M.M.3    Speakman, J.R.4
  • 34
    • 38349052941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Certainty and uncertainty in climate change predictions: what use are climate models?
    • Watson A.J. Certainty and uncertainty in climate change predictions: what use are climate models?. Environmental and Resource Economics 2008, 39:37-44.
    • (2008) Environmental and Resource Economics , vol.39 , pp. 37-44
    • Watson, A.J.1
  • 36
    • 79952617420 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive Management: The US Department of the interior Technical Guide. Adaptive Management Working Group. US Department of the Interior, Washington, DC.
    • Williams, B.K., Szaro, R.C., Shapiro, C.D., 2007. Adaptive Management: The US Department of the interior Technical Guide. Adaptive Management Working Group. US Department of the Interior, Washington, DC.
    • (2007)
    • Williams, B.K.1    Szaro, R.C.2    Shapiro, C.D.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.