메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 1-30

Bayesian subset selection for threshold autoregressive moving-average models

Author keywords

Bayesian model averaging; Mixture normal distribution; Stochastic search variable selection method

Indexed keywords


EID: 79251594001     PISSN: 09434062     EISSN: 16139658     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00180-010-0198-0     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (37)
  • 2
    • 45749139524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating threshold subset autoregressive moving-average models by genetic algorithms
    • Baragona R, Battaglia F, Cucina D (2004) Estimating threshold subset autoregressive moving-average models by genetic algorithms. Int J Stat 62: 39-61.
    • (2004) Int J Stat , vol.62 , pp. 39-61
    • Baragona, R.1    Battaglia, F.2    Cucina, D.3
  • 3
    • 84981411556 scopus 로고
    • On the existence of stationary threshold autoregressive moving-average processes
    • Brockwell P, Liu J, Tweedie RL (1992) On the existence of stationary threshold autoregressive moving-average processes. J Time Ser Anal 13: 95-107.
    • (1992) J Time Ser Anal , vol.13 , pp. 95-107
    • Brockwell, P.1    Liu, J.2    Tweedie, R.L.3
  • 4
    • 0013182331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subset selection of autoregressive time series models
    • Chen CWS (1999) Subset selection of autoregressive time series models. J Forecast 18: 505-516.
    • (1999) J Forecast , vol.18 , pp. 505-516
    • Chen, C.W.S.1
  • 5
    • 77649094985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Falling and explosive, dormant, and rising markets via multiple-regime financial time series models
    • Chen CWS, Gerlach RH, Lin AMH (2010) Falling and explosive, dormant, and rising markets via multiple-regime financial time series models. Appl Stoch Model Bus Ind 26: 28-49.
    • (2010) Appl Stoch Model Bus Ind , vol.26 , pp. 28-49
    • Chen, C.W.S.1    Gerlach, R.H.2    Lin, A.M.H.3
  • 6
    • 79251599030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian estimation for parsimonious threshold autoregressive models in R
    • Chen CWS, Lin EMH, Liu FC, Gerlach R (2008) Bayesian estimation for parsimonious threshold autoregressive models in R. Newsl R proj 8: 26-33.
    • (2008) Newsl R Proj , vol.8 , pp. 26-33
    • Chen, C.W.S.1    Lin, E.M.H.2    Liu, F.C.3    Gerlach, R.4
  • 7
    • 21244480964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing and testing for threshold nonlinearity in stock returns
    • Chen CWS, So MKP, Gerlach R (2005) Assessing and testing for threshold nonlinearity in stock returns. Aust New Zealand Appl Stat 47: 473-488.
    • (2005) Aust New Zealand Appl Stat , vol.47 , pp. 473-488
    • Chen, C.W.S.1    So, M.K.P.2    Gerlach, R.3
  • 8
    • 0012630442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On threshold moving-average models
    • De Gooijer G (1998) On threshold moving-average models. J Time Ser Anal 19: 1-18.
    • (1998) J Time Ser Anal , vol.19 , pp. 1-18
    • de Gooijer, G.1
  • 9
    • 18044404766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging
    • Fernandez C, Ley E, Steel MFJ (2001) Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging. J Econ 100: 381-427.
    • (2001) J Econ , vol.100 , pp. 381-427
    • Fernandez, C.1    Ley, E.2    Steel, M.F.J.3
  • 11
    • 84893179575 scopus 로고
    • Variable selection via Gibbs sampling
    • George EI, McCulloch RE (1993) Variable selection via Gibbs sampling. J Am Stat Assoc 88: 881-889.
    • (1993) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.88 , pp. 881-889
    • George, E.I.1    McCulloch, R.E.2
  • 13
    • 0003452470 scopus 로고
    • Working paper 532. Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
    • Geweke J (1995) Bayesian comparison of econometric models. Working paper 532. Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • (1995) Bayesian comparison of econometric models
    • Geweke, J.1
  • 14
    • 0000703669 scopus 로고
    • Data transformation and self-exciting threshold autoregression
    • Ghaddar DK, Tong H (1981) Data transformation and self-exciting threshold autoregression. Appl Stat 30: 238-248.
    • (1981) Appl Stat , vol.30 , pp. 238-248
    • Ghaddar, D.K.1    Tong, H.2
  • 15
    • 77956889087 scopus 로고
    • Reversible jump MCMC computation and Bayesian model determination
    • Green PJ (1995) Reversible jump MCMC computation and Bayesian model determination. Biometrika 82: 711-732.
    • (1995) Biometrika , vol.82 , pp. 711-732
    • Green, P.J.1
  • 17
    • 21344443427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On a double-threshold autoregressive heteroscedastic time series model
    • Li CW, Li WK (1996) On a double-threshold autoregressive heteroscedastic time series model. J Appl Econ 11: 253-274.
    • (1996) J Appl Econ , vol.11 , pp. 253-274
    • Li, C.W.1    Li, W.K.2
  • 18
    • 0033236711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the probabilistic properties of a double threshold ARMA conditional heteroskedastic model
    • Ling S (1999) On the probabilistic properties of a double threshold ARMA conditional heteroskedastic model. J Appl Probab 36: 688-705.
    • (1999) J Appl Probab , vol.36 , pp. 688-705
    • Ling, S.1
  • 19
    • 47249116902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold moving-average models
    • Ling S, Tong H, Li D (2007) Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold moving-average models. Bernoulli 13: 161-168.
    • (2007) Bernoulli , vol.13 , pp. 161-168
    • Ling, S.1    Tong, H.2    Li, D.3
  • 21
    • 0347318519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of ARMA-GARCH models: a Markov chain sampling approach
    • Nakatsuma T (2000) Bayesian analysis of ARMA-GARCH models: a Markov chain sampling approach. J Econ 95: 57-69.
    • (2000) J Econ , vol.95 , pp. 57-69
    • Nakatsuma, T.1
  • 23
    • 33750725094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of autoregressive moving average processes with unknown orders
    • Philippe A (2006) Bayesian analysis of autoregressive moving average processes with unknown orders. Comput Stat Data Anal 51: 1904-1923.
    • (2006) Comput Stat Data Anal , vol.51 , pp. 1904-1923
    • Philippe, A.1
  • 24
    • 84983904693 scopus 로고
    • A nonlinear approach to US GNP
    • Potter SM (1995) A nonlinear approach to US GNP. J Appl Econ 10: 109-125.
    • (1995) J Appl Econ , vol.10 , pp. 109-125
    • Potter, S.M.1
  • 25
    • 0031506560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian model averaging for linear regression models
    • Raftery AE, Madigan D, Hoeting JA (1997) Bayesian model averaging for linear regression models. J Am Stat Assoc 92: 179-191.
    • (1997) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.92 , pp. 179-191
    • Raftery, A.E.1    Madigan, D.2    Hoeting, J.A.3
  • 26
    • 0000824232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric regression using Bayesian variable selection
    • Smith M, Kohn R (1996) Nonparametric regression using Bayesian variable selection. J Econ 75: 317-343.
    • (1996) J Econ , vol.75 , pp. 317-343
    • Smith, M.1    Kohn, R.2
  • 27
    • 0037276020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subset threshold autoregression
    • So MKP, Chen CWS (2003) Subset threshold autoregression. J Forecast 22: 49-66.
    • (2003) J Forecast , vol.22 , pp. 49-66
    • So, M.K.P.1    Chen, C.W.S.2
  • 28
    • 13244287897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series
    • So MKP, Chen CWS, Chen MT (2005) A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series. J Forecast 24: 61-75.
    • (2005) J Forecast , vol.24 , pp. 61-75
    • So, M.K.P.1    Chen, C.W.S.2    Chen, M.T.3
  • 29
    • 33644624381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Best subset selection of autoregressive models with exogenous variables and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity errors
    • So MKP, Chen CWS, Liu FC (2006) Best subset selection of autoregressive models with exogenous variables and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity errors. J Roy Stat Soc Ser C 55: 201-224.
    • (2006) J Roy Stat Soc Ser C , vol.55 , pp. 201-224
    • So, M.K.P.1    Chen, C.W.S.2    Liu, F.C.3
  • 30
    • 84950758368 scopus 로고
    • The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation
    • Tanner MA, Wong WH (1987) The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation. J Am Stat Assoc 82: 528-540.
    • (1987) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.82 , pp. 528-540
    • Tanner, M.A.1    Wong, W.H.2
  • 31
    • 0018067185 scopus 로고
    • On a threshold model
    • Chen CH (ed), Sijthoff & Noordhoff, Amsterdam
    • Tong H (1978) On a threshold model. In: Chen CH (ed) Pattern recognition and signal processing. Sijthoff & Noordhoff, Amsterdam.
    • (1978) Pattern recognition and signal processing
    • Tong, H.1
  • 32
    • 0000003175 scopus 로고
    • Threshold autoregression, limit cycles and cyclical data (with discussion)
    • Tong H, Lim KS (1980) Threshold autoregression, limit cycles and cyclical data (with discussion). J Roy Stat Soc Ser B 42: 245-292.
    • (1980) J Roy Stat Soc Ser B , vol.42 , pp. 245-292
    • Tong, H.1    Lim, K.S.2
  • 35
    • 84950428199 scopus 로고
    • Testing and modeling threshold autoregressive processes
    • Tsay RS (1989) Testing and modeling threshold autoregressive processes. J Am Stat Assoc 84: 231-240.
    • (1989) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.84 , pp. 231-240
    • Tsay, R.S.1
  • 36
    • 0032354661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models
    • Tsay RS (1998) Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models. J Am Stat Assoc 93: 1188-1202.
    • (1998) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.93 , pp. 1188-1202
    • Tsay, R.S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.