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Volumn 27, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 281-307

Incorporating vintage differences and forecasts into Markov switching models

Author keywords

Business cycles; Markov switching models; Real time data analysis; Recession probabilities

Indexed keywords


EID: 78650955197     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.05.017     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (4)

References (22)
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  • 2
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    • Dueker, M.1
  • 3
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    • Do provisional estimates of output miss economic turning points? Working paper. Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
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    • (2001)
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    • News, noise, and estimates of the true unobserved state of the economy. FEDS working paper 2007-34.
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    • (2007)
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    • (2005)
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
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    • 55549127175 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting US recessions with dynamic binary response models
    • Kauppi H., Saikkonen P. Predicting US recessions with dynamic binary response models. Review of Economics and Statistics 2008, 90:777-791.
    • (2008) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.90 , pp. 777-791
    • Kauppi, H.1    Saikkonen, P.2
  • 14
    • 0002634803 scopus 로고
    • Dynamic linear models with Markov switching
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    • (1994) Journal of Econometrics , vol.60 , pp. 1-22
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    • VAR estimation and forecasting when data are subject to revision. Working paper 05-01. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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    • (2005)
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    • b Incorporating vintage differences and forecasts into Markov switching models. FEDS working paper 2007-23.
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    • Lack of signal error (LoSE) and implications for OLS regression: measurement error for macro data. FEDS working paper 2008-15.
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* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.