Evaluating climate model outputs for hydrological applications

Hydrological Sciences Journal

Volumn 55, Issue 7, 2010, Pages 1090-1093

  Wilby, R L ^a  

^a LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; HYDROLOGY;

EID: 78650478515     PISSN: 02626667     EISSN: 21503435     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2010.513212     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Annamalai, H., Hamilton, K. & Sperber, K. R. (2007) The South Asian summer monsoon and its relationship with ENSO in the IPCC AR4 simulations. J. Climate 20, 1071-1092.
2. Barbosa, S., Silva, M. & Fernandes, M. (2009) Multi-scale variability patterns in NCEP/NCAR reanalysis sea-level pressure. Theoret. Appl. Climatol. 96, 319-326.
3. Blöschl, G. & Sivapalan, M. (1995) Scale issues in hydrological modelling: a review. Hydrol Processes. 9, 251-290.
4. Dessai, S., Lu, X. & Risbey, J. S. (2005) On the role of climate scenarios for adaptation planning. Global Environ. Change 15, 87-97.
5. Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S. & Tebaldi, C. (2007) Linking climate change modelling to impact studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. Int. J. Climatol. 27, 1547-1578.
6. Fowler, H. J., Ekström, M., Kilsby, C. G. & Jones, P. D. (2005) New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1. Assessment of control climate. J. Hydrol. 300, 212-233.
7. Giorgi, F., Diffenbaugh, N. S., Gao, X. J., Coppola, E., Dash, S. K., Frumento, O., Rauscher, S. A., Remedio, A., Seidou Sanda, I., Steiner, A., Sylla, B. & Zakey, A. S. (2008) The regional climate change hyper-matrix framework. Eos 89, 445-446.
8. Gleckler, P. J., Taylor, K. E. & Doutriaux, C. (2008) Performance metrics for climate models. J. Geophys. Res. 113, D06104.
9. Haylock, M. R., Cawley, G. C., Harpham, C., Wilby, R. L. & Goodess, C. M. (2006) Downscaling heavy precipitation over the UK: a comparison of dynamical and statistical methods and their future scenarios. Int. J. Climatol. 26, 1397-1415.
10. Held, I. M., Delworth, T. L., Lu, J., Findell, K. L. & Knutson, T. R. (2005) Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 102, 17891-17896.
11. Johnson, F. & Sharma, A. (2009) Measurement of GCM skill in predicting variables relevant for hydroclimatological assessments. J. Climate 22, 4373-4382.
12. Knutti, R. (2008) Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. A 366, 4647-4664.
13. Kundzewicz, Z. W. & Robson, A. J. (2004) Change detection in hydrological records - a review of the methodology. Hydrol. Sci. J. 49(1), 7-19.
14. Leung, L. R. & Qian, Y. (2009) Atmospheric rivers induced heavy precipitation and flooding in the western U.S. simulated by the WRF regional climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L03820.
15. Lopez, A., Fung, F., New, M., Watts, G., Weston, A. & Wilby, R. L. (2009) From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England. Water Resour. Res. 45, W08419.
16. Milly, P. C. D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R. M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lettenmaier, D. P. & Stouffer, R. J. (2008) Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science 319, 573-574.
17. Murphy, J. M., Sexton, D. M. H., Jenkins, G. J., Booth, B. B. B., Brown, C. C., Clark, R. T., Collins, M., Harris, G. R., Kendon, E. J., Betts, R. A., Brown, S. J., Humphrey, K. A., McCarthy, M. P., McDonald, R. E., Stephens, A., Wallace, C., Warren, R., Wilby, R. & Wood, R. A. (2009) UK Climate Projections Science Report: Climate Change Projections. Exeter: Met Office Hadley Centre.
18. New, M. G., Lister, D., Hulme, M. & Makin, I. (2002) A highresolution data set of surface climate for terrestrial land areas. Climate Res. 21, 1-25.
19. Osborn, T. J. & Hulme, M. (1997) Development of a relationship between station and grid-box rainday frequencies for climate model evaluation. J.Climate 10, 1885-1908.
20. Pepin, N. C. & Lundquist, J. D. (2008) Temperature trends at high elevations; patterns across the globe. Geophys. Res. Lett. 35, L14701.
21. Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R. L., Crooks, S., Kay, A. L. & Reynard, N. S. (2010) Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: application to flood risk. J. Hydrol. 390, 198-209.
22. Schiermeier, Q. (2007) Get practical, urge climatologists. Nature 448, 234-235.
23. Schmidli, J., Frei, C. & Vidale, P. L. (2006) Downscaling from GCM precipitation: a benchmark for dynamical and statistical downscaling methods. Int. J. Climatol. 26, 679-689.
24. Stainforth, D. A., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Kettleborough, J. A., Knight, S., Martin, A., Murphy, J. M., Piani, C., Sexton, D., Smith, L. A., Spicer, R. A., Thorpe, A. J. & Allen, M. R. (2005) Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature 433, 403-406.
25. Trenberth, K. E., Jones, P. D., Ambenje, P., Bojariu, R., Easterling, D., Klein Tank, A., Parker, D., Rahimzadeh, F., Renwick, J. A., Rusticucci, M., Soden, B. & Zhai, P. (2007) Observations: surface and atmospheric climate change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution ofWorking Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor & H. L. Miller, eds), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
26. WMO (World Meteorological Organization) (2010) White paper on climate applications/services theme for WCRP. Joint Scientific Committee, Antalya, Turkey. http://www.wmo.int/wcrpevent/jsc31/documents/jsc-31WPApplications_2.4.pdf
27. Whitehead, P. G., Wilby, R. L., Butterfield, D. & Wade, A. J. (2006) Impacts of climate change on nitrogen in a lowland chalk stream: an appraisal of adaptation strategies. Sci. Total Environ. 365, 260-273.
28. Wilby, R. L. & Dessai, S. (2010) Robust adaptation to climate change. Weather 65, 180-185.
29. Wilby, R. L. & Harris, I. (2006) A framework for assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts: low flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK. Water Resour. Res. 42, W02419. doi:10.1029/2005WR004065.
30. Wilby, R. L. & Wigley, T. M. L. (2000) Precipitation predictors for downscaling: observed and general circulation model relationships.Int. J. Climatol. 20, 641-661.
31. Wood, A. W., Maurer, E. P., Kumar, A. & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2002) Long range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the easternUS. J. Geophys. Res. 107(D20), 4429.