메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 59, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 388-403

Predicting water allocations and trading prices to assist water markets

Author keywords

Allocation; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecast; Irrigation; Quarterly water prices; Temporary water trade; Water allocation; Water markets

Indexed keywords


EID: 78650457800     PISSN: 15310353     EISSN: 15310361     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/ird.535     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (18)

References (62)
  • 2
    • 0036862865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Under the hood: issues in the specification and interpretation of spatial regression models
    • Anselin L. 2002. Under the hood: issues in the specification and interpretation of spatial regression models. Agricultural Economics 27(3): 247-267.
    • (2002) Agricultural Economics , vol.27 , Issue.3 , pp. 247-267
    • Anselin, L.1
  • 3
    • 34548498867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural networks for real time catchment flow modeling and prediction
    • Aqil M, Kita I, Yano A, Nishiyama S. 2007. Neural networks for real time catchment flow modeling and prediction. Water Resources Management 21(10): 1781-1796.
    • (2007) Water Resources Management , vol.21 , Issue.10 , pp. 1781-1796
    • Aqil, M.1    Kita, I.2    Yano, A.3    Nishiyama, S.4
  • 4
    • 10944229976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Important variables in explaining real-time peak price in the independent power market of Ontario
    • Arciniegas Rueda IE, Marathe A. 2005. Important variables in explaining real-time peak price in the independent power market of Ontario. Utilities Policy 13(1): 27-39.
    • (2005) Utilities Policy , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 27-39
    • Arciniegas Rueda, I.E.1    Marathe, A.2
  • 5
    • 78650488284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics., Monthly price level data., Last accessed on June 2007.
    • Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics. 2007. Monthly price level data. Last accessed on June 2007.
    • (2007)
  • 6
    • 0029532711 scopus 로고
    • The cost of agricultural production risk
    • Babcock BA, Shogren JF. 1995. The cost of agricultural production risk. Agricultural Economics 12(2): 141-150.
    • (1995) Agricultural Economics , vol.12 , Issue.2 , pp. 141-150
    • Babcock, B.A.1    Shogren, J.F.2
  • 7
    • 0029504631 scopus 로고
    • Value of moving from central planning to a market system: lessons from the Israeli water sector
    • Becker N. 1995. Value of moving from central planning to a market system: lessons from the Israeli water sector. Agricultural Economics 12(1): 11-21.
    • (1995) Agricultural Economics , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 11-21
    • Becker, N.1
  • 8
    • 0032813798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparative analysis of water price support versus drought compensation scheme
    • Becker N. 1999. A comparative analysis of water price support versus drought compensation scheme. Agricultural Economics 21(1): 81-92.
    • (1999) Agricultural Economics , vol.21 , Issue.1 , pp. 81-92
    • Becker, N.1
  • 9
    • 33747518419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can water markets assist irrigators managing increased supply risk? Some Australian experiences
    • Bjornlund H. 2006. Can water markets assist irrigators managing increased supply risk? Some Australian experiences. Water International 31(2): 221-232.
    • (2006) Water International , vol.31 , Issue.2 , pp. 221-232
    • Bjornlund, H.1
  • 10
    • 0042154919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aspects of water markets for developing countries: experiences from Australia, Chile, and the US
    • Bjornlund H, McKay J. 2002. Aspects of water markets for developing countries: experiences from Australia, Chile, and the US. Environment and Development Economics 7(4): 769-795.
    • (2002) Environment and Development Economics , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. 769-795
    • Bjornlund, H.1    McKay, J.2
  • 11
    • 21544462849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fundamentals determining prices and activities in the market for water allocations
    • Bjornlund H, Rossini P. 2005. Fundamentals determining prices and activities in the market for water allocations. International Journal of Water Resources Development 21(2): 355-369.
    • (2005) International Journal of Water Resources Development , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 355-369
    • Bjornlund, H.1    Rossini, P.2
  • 14
    • 0036478261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A neural networks approcah for deriving irrigation reservior operating rules
    • Cancelliere A, Giuliano G, Ancarani A, Rossi G. 2002. A neural networks approcah for deriving irrigation reservior operating rules. Water Resources Management 16(1): 71-88.
    • (2002) Water Resources Management , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 71-88
    • Cancelliere, A.1    Giuliano, G.2    Ancarani, A.3    Rossi, G.4
  • 15
    • 0030111856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A neural network approach to mutual fund net asset value forecasting
    • Chiang WC, Urban T, Baldridge G. 1996. A neural network approach to mutual fund net asset value forecasting. Omega 24(2): 205-215.
    • (1996) Omega , vol.24 , Issue.2 , pp. 205-215
    • Chiang, W.C.1    Urban, T.2    Baldridge, G.3
  • 16
    • 78650468846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Irrigation externalities: pricing and charges. Productivity Commission Staff Working Paper, Melbourne, Australia.
    • Dwyer G, Douglas R, Peterson D, Chong J, Maddern K. 2006. Irrigation externalities: pricing and charges. Productivity Commission Staff Working Paper, Melbourne, Australia.
    • (2006)
    • Dwyer, G.1    Douglas, R.2    Peterson, D.3    Chong, J.4    Maddern, K.5
  • 17
    • 34247244160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using neural networks to model the impacts of climate change on water supplies
    • Elgaali E, Garcia LA. 2007. Using neural networks to model the impacts of climate change on water supplies. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 133(3): 230-243.
    • (2007) Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management , vol.133 , Issue.3 , pp. 230-243
    • Elgaali, E.1    Garcia, L.A.2
  • 18
    • 31744442026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overcoming third party effects from water trading in the Murray-Darling Basin
    • Etchells T, Malano HM, Mcmahon TA. 2006. Overcoming third party effects from water trading in the Murray-Darling Basin. Water Policy 8(1): 69-80.
    • (2006) Water Policy , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 69-80
    • Etchells, T.1    Malano, H.M.2    Mcmahon, T.A.3
  • 19
    • 0034371866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the semi-nonparametric Fourier, aim, and neural networks cost functions
    • Fleissig AR, Kastens T, Terrell D. 2000. Evaluating the semi-nonparametric Fourier, aim, and neural networks cost functions. Economics Letters 68(3): 235-244.
    • (2000) Economics Letters , vol.68 , Issue.3 , pp. 235-244
    • Fleissig, A.R.1    Kastens, T.2    Terrell, D.3
  • 20
    • 33947674280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk-averse profit-based optimal scheduling of a hydro-chain in the day-ahead electricity market
    • García-González J, Parrilla E, Mateo A. 2007. Risk-averse profit-based optimal scheduling of a hydro-chain in the day-ahead electricity market. European Journal of Operational Research 181(3): 1354-1369.
    • (2007) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.181 , Issue.3 , pp. 1354-1369
    • García-González, J.1    Parrilla, E.2    Mateo, A.3
  • 21
    • 33745223823 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Causes of rural economic development
    • Gardner BL. 2005. Causes of rural economic development. Agricultural Economics 32(s1): 21-41.
    • (2005) Agricultural Economics , vol.32 , Issue.S1 , pp. 21-41
    • Gardner, B.L.1
  • 22
    • 33645418480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting of electricity prices with neural networks
    • Gareta R, Romeo LM, Gil A. 2006. Forecasting of electricity prices with neural networks. Energy Conversion and Management 47(13-14): 1770-1778.
    • (2006) Energy Conversion and Management , vol.47 , Issue.13-14 , pp. 1770-1778
    • Gareta, R.1    Romeo, L.M.2    Gil, A.3
  • 23
    • 3042725450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Irrigation water pricing: differential impacts on irrigated farms
    • Gómez-Limón JA, Riesgo L 2004. Irrigation water pricing: differential impacts on irrigated farms. Agricultural Economics 31: 47-66.
    • (2004) Agricultural Economics , vol.31 , pp. 47-66
    • Gómez-Limón, J.A.1    Riesgo, L.2
  • 24
    • 78650440351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting hog prices with a neural network
    • Hamm L, Brorsen BW. 1997. Forecasting hog prices with a neural network. Journal of Agribusiness 15(1): 37-54.
    • (1997) Journal of Agribusiness , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 37-54
    • Hamm, L.1    Brorsen, B.W.2
  • 25
    • 33846436052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A neural network model based on the multi-stage optimization approach for short-term food price forecasting in China
    • Haofei Z, Guoping X, Fangting Y, Han Y. 2007. A neural network model based on the multi-stage optimization approach for short-term food price forecasting in China. Expert Systems with Applications 33(2): 347-356.
    • (2007) Expert Systems with Applications , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 347-356
    • Haofei, Z.1    Guoping, X.2    Fangting, Y.3    Han, Y.4
  • 27
    • 0030618034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economic and financial gains from water markets in Chile
    • Hearne RR, Easter WK. 1997. The economic and financial gains from water markets in Chile. Agricultural Economics 15(3): 187-199.
    • (1997) Agricultural Economics , vol.15 , Issue.3 , pp. 187-199
    • Hearne, R.R.1    Easter, W.K.2
  • 28
    • 84935624702 scopus 로고
    • Innovative approaches to water allocation: the potential for water markets
    • Howe CW, Schurmeier DR, Shaw WDJ. 1986. Innovative approaches to water allocation: the potential for water markets. Water Resources Research 22(4): 439-445.
    • (1986) Water Resources Research , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 439-445
    • Howe, C.W.1    Schurmeier, D.R.2    Shaw, W.D.J.3
  • 29
    • 17144392635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Irrigation and poverty alleviation: review of the empirical evidence
    • Hussain I, Hanjra MA. 2004. Irrigation and poverty alleviation: review of the empirical evidence. Irrigation and Drainage 53(1): 1-15.
    • (2004) Irrigation and Drainage , vol.53 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-15
    • Hussain, I.1    Hanjra, M.A.2
  • 30
    • 3042578986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving wheat productivity in Pakistan: econometric analysis using panel data from Chaj in the upper Indus Basin
    • Hussain I, Mudasser M, Hanjra MA, Amrasinghe U, Molden D. 2004. Improving wheat productivity in Pakistan: econometric analysis using panel data from Chaj in the upper Indus Basin. Water International 29(2): 189-200.
    • (2004) Water International , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 189-200
    • Hussain, I.1    Mudasser, M.2    Hanjra, M.A.3    Amrasinghe, U.4    Molden, D.5
  • 32
    • 0038067798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A model of entry-exit decisions and capacity choice under demand uncertainty
    • Isik M, Coble KH, Hudson D, House LO. 2003. A model of entry-exit decisions and capacity choice under demand uncertainty. Agricultural Economics 28(3): 215-224.
    • (2003) Agricultural Economics , vol.28 , Issue.3 , pp. 215-224
    • Isik, M.1    Coble, K.H.2    Hudson, D.3    House, L.O.4
  • 33
    • 0030130753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Designing a neural network for forecasting financial and economic time series
    • Kaastra I, Boyd M. 1996. Designing a neural network for forecasting financial and economic time series. Neurocomputing 10(3): 215-236.
    • (1996) Neurocomputing , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 215-236
    • Kaastra, I.1    Boyd, M.2
  • 35
    • 78650450176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ocean based water allocation forecasts using an artifical intelligence approcah., ModSim Conference, Melbourne, Australia; 1667-1673.
    • Khan S, Dassanayake D, Abbas A. 2004. Ocean based water allocation forecasts using an artifical intelligence approcah., ModSim Conference, Melbourne, Australia; 1667-1673.
    • (2004)
    • Khan, S.1    Dassanayake, D.2    Abbas, A.3
  • 37
    • 37249065749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A cross disciplinary framework for linking farms with regional groundwater and salinity management targets
    • Khan S, Rana T, Hanjra MA. 2008. A cross disciplinary framework for linking farms with regional groundwater and salinity management targets. Agricultural Water Management 95: 35-47.
    • (2008) Agricultural Water Management , vol.95 , pp. 35-47
    • Khan, S.1    Rana, T.2    Hanjra, M.A.3
  • 38
    • 0033676047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investment in site-specific crop management under uncertainty: implications for nitrogen pollution control and environmental policy
    • Khanna M, Isik M, Winter-Nelson A. 2000. Investment in site-specific crop management under uncertainty: implications for nitrogen pollution control and environmental policy. Agricultural Economics 24: 9-21.
    • (2000) Agricultural Economics , vol.24 , pp. 9-21
    • Khanna, M.1    Isik, M.2    Winter-Nelson, A.3
  • 39
    • 22944445478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting business cycle asymmetries using artificial neural networks and time series models
    • Kiani KM. 2005. Detecting business cycle asymmetries using artificial neural networks and time series models. Computational Economics 26(1): 65-89.
    • (2005) Computational Economics , vol.26 , Issue.1 , pp. 65-89
    • Kiani, K.M.1
  • 40
    • 0030111205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of artificial neural network and time series models for forecasting commodity prices
    • Kohzadi N, Boyd MS, Kermanshahi B, Kaastra I. 1996. A comparison of artificial neural network and time series models for forecasting commodity prices. Neurocomputing 10(2): 169-181.
    • (1996) Neurocomputing , vol.10 , Issue.2 , pp. 169-181
    • Kohzadi, N.1    Boyd, M.S.2    Kermanshahi, B.3    Kaastra, I.4
  • 41
    • 78650485664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of research and development opportunities for using seasonal climate forecasts in the Australian water industry. Occasional Paper CV02/96. Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation Canberra; Australia.
    • Long BA, McMahon TB. 1996. Review of research and development opportunities for using seasonal climate forecasts in the Australian water industry. Occasional Paper CV02/96. Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation Canberra; Australia.
    • (1996)
    • Long, B.A.1    McMahon, T.B.2
  • 42
    • 78650497298 scopus 로고
    • The relation of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology; American Meteorological Society, Boston, USA;
    • McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1993. The relation of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology; American Meteorological Society, Boston, USA; pp. 179-84.
    • (1993) , pp. 179-84
    • McKee, T.B.1    Doesken, N.J.2    Kleist, J.3
  • 43
    • 78650442692 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Murray Irrigation Limited (MIL)., Murray Irrigation sustainability report. Murray Irrigation Limited, Australia.
    • Murray Irrigation Limited (MIL). 2006. Murray Irrigation sustainability report. Murray Irrigation Limited, Australia.
    • (2006)
  • 44
    • 78650450605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Murray Irrigation Limited (MIL)., Murray Irrigation Limited Water Trading Data., last accessed on June 2007.
    • Murray Irrigation Limited (MIL). 2007. Murray Irrigation Limited Water Trading Data., last accessed on June 2007.
    • (2007)
  • 45
    • 78650495970 scopus 로고
    • Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
    • In, Moody J, Hanson S, Lippmann R (eds)., Morgan Kaufamann: San Mateo, CA.
    • Nowlan SJ, Hinton GE 1992. Simplifying neural networks by soft weight sharing. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (Vol 4) Moody J, Hanson S, Lippmann R (eds). Morgan Kaufamann: San Mateo, CA.
    • (1992) Simplifying neural networks by soft weight sharing , vol.4
    • Nowlan, S.J.1    Hinton, G.E.2
  • 47
    • 33845620661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of neural approaches to one-step daily flow forecasting in Portuguese watersheds
    • Pulido-Calvo I, Portela MM. 2007. Application of neural approaches to one-step daily flow forecasting in Portuguese watersheds. Journal of Hydrology 332(1-2): 1-15.
    • (2007) Journal of Hydrology , vol.332 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 1-15
    • Pulido-Calvo, I.1    Portela, M.M.2
  • 48
    • 33748308879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Repurchase of renewal rights: a policy option for the National Water Initiative
    • Quiggin J. 2006. Repurchase of renewal rights: a policy option for the National Water Initiative. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 50(3): 425-435.
    • (2006) The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics , vol.50 , Issue.3 , pp. 425-435
    • Quiggin, J.1
  • 51
    • 0036284767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why do farmers have so little interest in futures markets?
    • Simmons PR. 2002. Why do farmers have so little interest in futures markets? Agricultural Economics 27(1): 1-6.
    • (2002) Agricultural Economics , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-6
    • Simmons, P.R.1
  • 52
    • 0033670375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constrained conjunctive-use of engogenously separabale water markets: managing the Wiahole-Waikane aqueduct
    • Smith RBW, Roumasset J. 2000. Constrained conjunctive-use of engogenously separabale water markets: managing the Wiahole-Waikane aqueduct. Agricultural Economics 24(61-71).
    • (2000) Agricultural Economics , vol.24 , Issue.61-71
    • Smith, R.B.W.1    Roumasset, J.2
  • 54
    • 33847229786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision support for water policy: a review of economic concepts and tools
    • Ward FA. 2007. Decision support for water policy: a review of economic concepts and tools. Water Policy 9(1): 1-31.
    • (2007) Water Policy , vol.9 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-31
    • Ward, F.A.1
  • 55
    • 78650473676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water Exchange, Water Trading Data., Last accessed on June 2007.
    • Water Exchange, 2007. Water Trading Data. Last accessed on June 2007.
    • (2007)
  • 56
    • 78650463053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Watermove, Water Trading Data., Last accessed on June 2007.
    • Watermove, 2007. Water Trading Data. Last accessed on June 2007.
    • (2007)
  • 57
    • 33947670473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A knowledge-based intelligent electronic commerce system for selling agricultural products
    • Wen W. 2007. A knowledge-based intelligent electronic commerce system for selling agricultural products. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 57(1): 33-46.
    • (2007) Computers and Electronics in Agriculture , vol.57 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-46
    • Wen, W.1
  • 58
    • 0036643223 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Residential property price time series forecasting with neural networks
    • Wilson ID, Paris SD, Ware JA, Jenkins DH. 2002. Residential property price time series forecasting with neural networks. Knowledge-Based Systems 15(5-6): 335-341.
    • (2002) Knowledge-Based Systems , vol.15 , Issue.5-6 , pp. 335-341
    • Wilson, I.D.1    Paris, S.D.2    Ware, J.A.3    Jenkins, D.H.4
  • 59
    • 0031125026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural network applications in business: a review and analysis of the literature (1988-95)
    • Wong BK, Bodnovich TA, Selvi Y. 1997. Neural network applications in business: a review and analysis of the literature (1988-95). Decision Support Systems 19(4): 301-320.
    • (1997) Decision Support Systems , vol.19 , Issue.4 , pp. 301-320
    • Wong, B.K.1    Bodnovich, T.A.2    Selvi, Y.3
  • 60
    • 0008400478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural network applications in finance: a review and analysis of literature (1990-1996)
    • Wong BK, Selvi Y. 1998. Neural network applications in finance: a review and analysis of literature (1990-1996). Information & Management 34(3): 129-139.
    • (1998) Information & Management , vol.34 , Issue.3 , pp. 129-139
    • Wong, B.K.1    Selvi, Y.2
  • 61
    • 33644800501 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determining the Economic Value of Water: Concepts and Methods
    • Resources for the Future Press: USA.
    • Young RA. 2005. Determining the Economic Value of Water: Concepts and Methods. Resources for the Future Press: USA.
    • (2005)
    • Young, R.A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.