Modelling alcohol consumption during adolescence using zero inflated negative binomial and decision trees

European Journal of Psychology Applied to Legal Context

Volumn 2, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 145-159

  Gervilla, Elena ^a   Cajal, Berta ^a   Roca, Joan ^a   Palmer, Alfonso ^a  

^a UNIVERSITAT DE LES ILLES BALEARS   (Spain)

Author keywords

Adolescence; Data mining; Decision trees; Drinking behavior; Social drinking; Zero inflated negative binomial model

Indexed keywords

EID: 78650445076     PISSN: 18891861     EISSN: 19894007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Bentler, P. M. (1992). Etiologies and consequences of adolescent drug use: Implications for prevention. Journal of Addictive Diseases, 11, 47-61.
2. Birckmayer, J. D., Holder, H. D., Yacoubian, G. S., & Friend, K. B. (2004). A general causal model to guide alcohol, tobacco, and illicit drug prevention: Assessing the research evidence. Journal of Drug Education, 34, 121-153.
3. Bloor, R. (2006). The influence of age and gender on drug use in the United Kingdom-A Review. The American Journal on Addictions, 15, 201-207.
4. Brown, S. A., McGue, M., Maggs, J., Schulenberg, J., Hingson, R., Swartzwelder, S., Martin, C., Chung, T., Tapert, S. F., Shert, K., Winter, K. C., Lowman, C., & Murphy, S. (2008). A developmental perspective on alcohol and youths 16 to 20 years of age. Pediatrics, 121, S290-S310.
5. Cameron, A. C., & Trivedi, P. K. (1990). Regression-based tests for overdispersion in the Poisson model. Journal of Econometrics, 46, 347-364.
6. Ciairano, S., Bosma, H. A., Miceli, R., & Settanni, M. (2008). Adolescent substance use in two European countries: Relationships with psychosocial adjustment, peers, and activities. International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology, 8, 119-138.
7. Cleveland, M. J., Feinberg, M. E., Bontempo, D. E., & Greenberg, M. T. (2008). The role of risk and protective factors in substance use across adolescence. Journal of Adolescent Health, 43, 157-164.
8. Delegación del Gobierno para el Pan Nacional sobre Drogas (2008). Encuesta estatal sobre uso de drogas en enseñanzas secundarias (ESTUDES), 1994-2008. Retrieved 8, November, 2008 from http://www.pnsd.msc.es/Categoria2/observa/pdf/Estudes2008_Web.pdf
9. Dick, D. M., Pagan, J. L., Viken, R., Purcell, S., Kaprio, J., Pulkkinen, L., & Rose, R. J. (2007). Changing environmental influences on substance use across development. Twin Research and Human Genetics, 10, 315-326.
10. Fowler, T., Shelton, K., Lifford, K., Rice, F., McBride, A., Nikolov, I., Neale, M. C., Harold, G., Thapar, A., & Van den Bree, M. B. N. (2007). Genetic and environmental influences on the relationship between peer alcohol use and own alcohol use in adolescents. Addiction, 102, 894-903.
11. Franken, I. H. A., Muris, P., & Georgieva, I. (2006). Gray's model of personality and addiction. Addictive Behaviors, 31, 399-403.
12. Gaughan, M. (2003). Predisposition and pressure: Mutual influence and adolescent drunkness. Connections, 25, 17-31.
13. Giancola, P.R., Mezzich, A. C., & Tarter, R. E (1998). Disruptive, delinquent and aggressive behaviour in female adolescents with a psychoactive substance use disorder: relation to executive cognitive functioning. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 59, 5, 560-567.
14. Gual, A. (2006). Alcohol in Spain: is it different? Addiction, 101, 1073-1077.
15. Han, J., & Kamber, M. (2006). Data mining: Concepts and techniques (2nd ed.). San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
16. Hittner, J. B., & Swickert, R. (2006). Sensation-seeking and alcohol use: A meta-analytic review. Addictive Behaviors, 31, 1383-1401.
17. Inglés, C. J., Delgado, B., Bautista, R., Torregrosa, M. S., Espada, J. P., García-Fernández, J. M., Hidalgo, M. D., & García-López, L. J. (2007). Factores psicosociales relacionados con el consumo de alcohol y tabaco en adolescentes españoles. International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology, 7, 403-420.
18. Jessor, R., & Jessor, S. (1980). A social-psychological framework for studying drug use. In D. J., M. Letteri, Sayers, & H. W. Pearson (Eds.), Theories on drug abuse: Selected contemporary perspectives (pp. 95-101). Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse.
19. Johnson, P. B., Boles, S. M., & Kleber, H. D. (2000). The relationship between adolescent smoking and drinking and likelihood estimates of illicit drug use. Journal of Addictive Diseases, 19, 75-81.
20. Kandel, D. B., & Logan, J. A. (1984). Patterns of drug use from adolescence to young adulthood: I. Periods for risk of initiation, continued use and discontinuation. American Journal of Public Health, 74, 660-666.
21. Kandel, D. B., & Yamaguchi, K. (1993). From beer to crack: developmental patterns of drug involvement. American Journal of Public Health, 83, 851-855.
22. Kandel, D. B., Yamaguchi, K., & Chen, K. (1992). Stages of progression in drug involvement from adolescence to adulthood: Further evidence for the gateway theory. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 53, 447-457.
23. Kantardzic, M. (2003). Data mining: Concepts, models, methods, and algorithms. New York: John Wiley and Sons.
24. Kitsantas, P., Moore, T.W., & Sly, D.F. (2007). Using classification trees to profile adolescent smoking behaviors. Addictive Behaviors, 32(1), 9-23.
25. Komro, K. A., Maldonado-Molina, M. M., Tobler, A. L., Bonds, J. R., & Muller, K. E. (2007). Effects of home access and availability of alcohol on young adolescents' alcohol use. Addiction, 102, 1597-1608.
26. Larose, D. T. (2005). Discovering knowledge in data: An introduction to data mining. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
27. Larose, D. T. (2006). Data mining: Methods and models. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley and Sons.
28. Llorens, N., Palmer, A. L., & Perelló, M. (2005). Características de personalidad en adolescentes como predictores de la conducta de consumo de sustancias psicoactivas. Trastornos Adictivos, 7, 90-96.
29. Llorens, N., Perelló, M., & Palmer, A. L. (2005). Activity levels and drug use in a sample of Spanish adolescents. Addictive Behavior, 30, 1597-1602.
30. Loh, W. Y., & Shih, Y. S. (1997). Split selection methods for classification trees. Statistica Sinica, 7, 815-840.
31. Long, J. S. (1997). Regression models for categorical and limited dependent variables. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
32. Martins, S. S., Storr, C. L., Alexandre, P. K., & Chilcoat, H. D. (2008). Adolescent ecstasy and other drug use in the National Survey of Parents and Youth: The role of sensation-seeking, parental monitoring and peer's drug use. Addictive Behaviors, 33, 919-933.
33. Molyneux, A., Lewis, S., Antoniak, M., Browne, W., McNeill, A., Godfrey, C., Madeley, R., & Britton, J. (2004). Prospective study of the effect of exposure to other smokers in high school tutor groups on the risk of incident smoking in adolescence. American Journal of Epidemiology, 159, 127-132.
34. Morojele, N. K., Flisher, A. J., Muller, M., Ziervogel, C. F., Reddy, P., & Lombard, C. L. (2002). Measurement of risk and protective factors for drug use and anti-social behavior among high school students in South Africa. Journal of Drug Education, 32, 25-39.
35. Niemäl, S., Sourander, A., Poikolainen, K., Helenius, H., Sillanmäki, L., Parkkola, K., Piha, J., Kumpulainen, K., Almqvist, F., & Moilanen, I. (2006). Childhood predictors of drunkenness in late adolescence among males: A 10-year population-based follow-up study. Addiction, 101, 512-521.
36. Palmer, A., Llorens, N., & Perelló, M. (2005). Modelado del número de días de consumo de cannabis. Psicothema, 17, 567-572.
37. Petterson, P. L., Hawkins, J. D., & Catalana, R. F. (1992). Evaluating comprensive comunitary drug reduction interventions. Design challenges and recommendations. Evaluation Review, 16, 579-602.
38. Piko, B. F. (2006). Adolescent smoking and drinking: the role of communal mastery and other social influences. Addictive Behaviors, 31, 102-114.
39. Robins, L. N. (1980). The natural history of drug abuse. In D. J. Letteri, M. Sayers, & H. W. Pearson (Eds.), Theories on drug abuse: Selected contemporary perspectives (pp. 95-101). Rockville, MD: National Institute on Drug Abuse.
40. Rohde, P., Lewinsohn, P. M., Kahler, C. W., Seeley, J. R., & Brown, R. A. (2001). Natural course of alcohol use from adolescence to young adulthood. Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 40, 83-90.
41. Scholte, R. H. J., Poelen, E. A. P., Willemsen, G., Boomsma, D. I., & Engels, R.C. M.E. (2008). Relative risks of adolescent and young adult alcohol use: The role of drinking fathers, mothers, siblings and friends. Addictive Behaviors, 33, 1-14.
42. Schulenberg, J. E., & Maggs, J. L. (2002). A developmental perspective on alcohol use and heavy drinking during adolescence and the transition to young adulthood. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 14, 54-70.
43. Simons-Morton, B., & Chen, R. S. (2006). Over time relationships between early adolescent and peer substance use. Addictive Behaviors, 31, 1211-1223.
44. Tarter, R. E. (2002). Etiology of adolescent substance abuse: A developmental perspective. The American Journal on Addictions, 11, 171-191.
45. White, H. R., McMorris, B. J., Catalano, R. F., Fleming, C. B., Haggerty, K. P., & Abbott, R. D. (2006). Increases in alcohol and marijuana use during the transition out of high school into emerging adulthood: The effects of leaving home, going to college, and high school protective factors. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 67, 810-822.
46. Witten, I. H., & Frank, E. (2005). Data mining: Practical machine learning tools and techniques (2nd ed.). San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.
47. Wong, M. M., Nigg, J. T., Zucker, R. A., Puttler, L. I., Fitzgerald, H. E., Jester, J. M., Glass, J.M., & Adams, K. (2006). Behavioral control and resiliency in the onset of alcohol and illicit drug use: A prospective study from preschool to adolescence. Child Development, 77, 1016-1033.
48. Ye, N. (Ed.) (2003). The handbook of data mining. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associated.
49. Yeh, M. Y. Chiang, I. C., & Huang, S. Y. (2006). Gender differences in predictors of drinking behavior in adolescents. Addictive Behaviors, 31, 1929-1938.