Coping with a conflicted China

Washington Quarterly

Volumn 34, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 7-27

  Shambaugh, David ^a  

^a GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 78650299503     PISSN: 0163660X     EISSN: 15309177     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/0163660X.2011.537974     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. See "Views of China's Influence," World Public Opinion.org, January 2009, http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/images/feb09/BBCEvals/BBCEvals2.htm;
2. and "Global Views of United States Improve While Other Countries Decline," BBC News, April 18, 2010, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/160410bbcwspoll.pdf.
3. In this regard, see Linda Jakobson and Dean Knox, "New Foreign Policy Actors in China," SIPRI Policy Paper, no. 26 (Stockholm: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 2010), http://books.sipri.org/files/PP/SIPRIPP26.pdf.
4. for another recent assessment, see Zhu Liqun, "China's Foreign Policy Debates," Chaillot Papers (Paris: Institute for Security Studies European Union, September 2010); for an earlier assessment
5. see Daniel Lynch, "Chinese Thinking on the Future of International Relations: Realism as the Ti, Rationalism as the Yong?," The China Quarterly 197 (March 2009): pp. 87-107.
6. See, for example, Xue Yong, Zenmayang Zuo Da Guo? [How to be a Great Power] (Beijing: Zhongxin chubanshe, 2009);
7. and Yu Defu, Daguo Faze [The Rules for Great Nations] (Beijing: Zhongguo Huaqiao chubanshe, 2009).
8. Also see Robert Gilpin, War and Change in Global Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983).
9. It is better to think of these cohorts as "tendencies of analysis" than rigid schools of thought. The pioneering work on "tendency analysis" is H. Gordon Skilling and William Griffiths, Interest Groups in Soviet Politics (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1973).
10. Wang Xiaodong et al., Zhongguo bu Gaoxing [China is Unhappy] (Beijing: Jiangsu renmin chubanshe, 2009);
11. and He Xiongfei, Zhongguo Weishenma bu Gaoxing? [ Why is China Unhappy?] (Beijing: Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 2009).
12. ZhangWenmu, "Shijie lishi zhong de qiangguo zhilu yu Zhongguo de Xuanze" [The Road of Great Powers in World History and China's Choice], in Zhanlue yu Tansuo [Strategy and Exploration], ed. Guo Shuyong (Beijing: Shijie zhishi chubanshe, 2008), pp. 33, 54.
13. Fang Ning, "Xin diguozhuyi yu Zhongguo de zhanlue xuanze" [The New Imperialism and China's Strategic Choice], in Zhanlue yanjianglu [Lectures on Strategy], ed. Guo Shuyong (Beijing: Peking University Press, 2006), pp. 132-133.
14. SeeWang Jinsong, Diguozhuyi Lishi de Zhongjie: Dangdai Diguozhuyi de Xingcheng he Fazhan Qushi [Imperialism is the Final Stage of History: Contemporary Imperialism's Formation and Development Trends] (Beijing: Shehui kexue wenzhai chubanshe, 2008).
15. See David Shambaugh, Beautiful Imperialist: China Perceives America, 1972-1990 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1990).
16. See Alastair Iain Johnston, Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture and Grand Strategy in Chinese Culture (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1998).
17. Scholar at China Reform Forum, interview with author, Beijing, January 20, 2010.
18. Shen Dingli, presentation at the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, June 28, 2010.
19. Shen Dingli, presentation at Roundtable with China Foreign Policy Experts, Wellington, New Zealand, June 29, 2010.
20. Yan Xuetong, "An Analysis of the Advantages and Disadvantages of Containing Legal Taiwan Independence by Force," Strategy and Management 3 (2004): pp. 1-5.
21. Yan Xuetong, Zhongguo Jueqi [China's Rise] (Tianjin: Tianjin renmin chubanshe, 1997).
22. Zhang Ruizhang, statement at conference at Zhongshan University, Guangzhou, May 7, 2010.
23. Zhang Ruizhang, "Chonggu Zhongguo waijiao suochu zhi guoji huanjing_heping yu fazhan bingfei dangdai shijie zhuti" [Reassessing the International Environment of China's Foreign Affairs_Peace and Development are Not the Main Theme of Today's World], Strategy and Management 1 (2001): pp. 20-30.
24. See Pan Wei, "Yetan heping jueqi" [Again Discussing Peaceful Rise], http://www.360doc.com/content/07/0831/17/41440_708164.shtml;
25. and Pan Wei, "Diqiushang conglai mei fasheng guo 'heping jueqi' zhezhongshi" [There Was Never Such a Thing as 'Peaceful Rise' in the World's Past], http://www.360doc.com/content/09/1102/17/346405_828157.shtml.
26. See Wang Yizhou, Zhongguo Waijiao Xin Gaodi [High Land over China's Foreign Affairs] (Beijing: China Academy of Social Sciences Press, 2008), p. 7.
27. Scholar, interview with author, Beijing, March 25, 2010.
28. See David Shambaugh, "China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order," International Security 29, no. 3 (Winter 2004/2005): pp. 64-99.
29. Yu Xintian, "Zhongguo ying zhuanbian dui dui fazhanzhong guojia de zhanlue" [China Should Change Its Strategy Toward Developing Countries], Strategy and Management 3 (2003): pp. 40-45.
30. Huanqiu, ed., Baiwen Zhongguo Weilai: Zhongguo Jingying Duihua Quanqiu [A Hundred Questions on China's Future: Dialogues with Chinese Elites] (Beijing: Xinhua Press, 2009), p. 12.
31. Scholar, interview with author, Guangzhou, May 7, 2010.
32. See, for example, statement by Chen Hanxi of Guangdong Foreign Studies University at conference at Zhongshan University, Guangzhou, May 8, 2010.
33. Communist Party official, interview with author, Beijing, July 7, 2010.
34. Scholar at CICIR, interview with author, Beijing, April 19, 2010.
35. Jin Canrong, interview with author, Renmin University, January 29, 2010.
36. "Zhongguo Guoji Guanxi Xuehui 2010 nian nianhui zai Lanzhou zhaokai" [China's International Relations Society 2010 Annual Meeting in Lanzhou Review], Waijiao Pinglun 4 (2010): p. 157.
37. CICIR President Cui Liru, presentation at conference on "Sixty Years of China's Foreign Policy" at Fudan University, Shanghai, October 21, 2009.
38. Song Xinning, statement at conference at Renmin University, Beijing, May 3, 2010.
39. Yang Jiechi, "A Changing China in a Changing World" (speech, Munich Security Conference, February 5, 2010).
40. Men Honghua, interview with author, Beijing, May 2, 2010.
41. Senior Foreign Ministry official, interview with author, Beijing, July 6, 2010.
42. See Edward Wong, "China's Disputes in Asia Buttress U.S. Influence," International Herald Tribune, September 22, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/23/world/asia/23china.html.
43. See John Ikenberry, "The Rise of China and the Future of the West: Can the Liberal System Survive?," Foreign Affairs 87, no. 1 (January/February 2008), http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/63042/g-john-ikenberry/the-rise-of-china-and-the-futureof-the-west.
44. See Elizabeth C. Economy and Adam Segal, "The G-2 Mirage: Why the United States and China Are Not Ready to Upgrade Ties," Foreign Affairs 88, no. 3 (May/June 2009), http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/64946/elizabeth-c-economy-and-adam-segal/theg-2-mirage;
45. Gregory Chin and Ramesh Thakur, "Will China Change the Rules of the Global Order?," The Washington Quarterly 33, no. 4 (October 2010), http://www.twq.com/10october/docs/10oct_Chin_Thakur.pdf;
46. and David Shambaugh, "Beijing: A Global Leader with 'China First' Policy," Yale Global Online, June 29, 2010, http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/beijing-global-leader-china-first-policy.
47. See David Shambaugh, "A New China Requires a New U.S. Strategy," Current History 109 (September 2010): pp. 219-226.