A bayesian approach to estimate OJD prevalence from pooled fecal samples of variable pool size

Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics

Volumn 15, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 452-473

  Dhand, Navneet K ^a   Johnson, Wesley O ^b   Toribio, Jenny Ann L M L ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY   (Australia)

^b 5226 Donald Bren Hall   (United States)

Author keywords

Diagnostic test; Mycobacterium; Ovine johne's disease; Paratuberculosis; Prevalence; Sensitivity

Indexed keywords

BACTERIAL DISEASE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; DISEASE PREVALENCE; FECES; NUMERICAL MODEL; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SHEEP;

ANIMALIA; MYCOBACTERIUM; OVIS;

EID: 78649906422     PISSN: 10857117     EISSN: 15372693     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13253-010-0032-8     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Abbott, K., Whittington, R., and McGregor, H. (2004), "Exposure Factors Leading to Establishment of OJD Infection and Clinical Disease: Epidemiology of OJD-1," Project report, Meat and Livestock Australia Limited, North Sydney, NSW, Australia. http://hdl.handle.net/2123/961.
2. Bedrick, E. J., Christensen, R., and Johnson, W. O. (1997), "Bayesian Binomial Regression: Predicting Survival at a Trauma Center," The American Statistician, 51, 211-218.
3. Brooks, S. P., and Gelman, A. (1998), "General Methods for Monitoring Convergence of Iterative Simulations," Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 7, 434-455.
4. Bush, R. D., Windsor, P. A., and Toribio, J. A. L. M. L. (2006), "Losses of Adult Sheep Due to Ovine Johne's Disease in 12 Infected Flocks Over a 3-Year Period," Australian Veterinary Journal, 84, 246-253.
5. Christensen, R., Johnson, W. O., Branscum, A., and Hanson, T. E. (2010), Bayesian Ideas and Data Analysis: An Introduction for Scientists and Statisticians, Boca Raton: CRC Press.
6. Cousins, D. V., Evans, R. J., and Francis, B. R. (1995), "Use of BACTEC Radiometric Culture Method and Polymerase Chain Reaction for the Rapid Screening of Faeces and Tissues for Mycobacterium Paratuberculosis," Australian Veterinary Journal, 72, 458-462.
7. Cowling, D. W., Gardner, I. A., and Johnson, W. O. (1999), "Comparison of Methods for Estimation of Individual Level Prevalence Based on Pooled Samples," Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 39, 211-225.
8. Dhand, N. K., Eppleston, J., Whittington, R. J., and Toribio, J. A. L. M. L. (2007), "Risk Factors for Ovine Johne's Disease in Infected Sheep Flocks in Australia," Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 82, 51-71.
9. Evers, E. G., and Nauta, M. J. (2001), "Estimation of Animal-Level Prevalence From Pooled Samples in Animal Production," Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 49, 175-190.
10. Gelman, A., Meng, X. L., and Stern, H. (1996), "Posterior Predictive Assessment of Model Fitness via Realized Discrepancies," Statistica Sinica, 6, 733-807.
11. Hanson, T., Bedrick, E. J., Johnson, W. O., and Thurmond, M. C. (2003), "A Mixture Model for Bovine Abortion and Foetal Survival," Statistics in Medicine, 22, 1725-1739.
12. Lunn, D. J., Thomas, A., Best, N., and Spiegelhalter, D. (2000), "WinBUGS-A Bayesian Modelling Framework: Concepts, Structure, and Extensibility," Statistics and Computing, 10, 325-337.
13. R Development Core Team (2009), "R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing," R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. http://www.R-project.org.
14. Spiegelhalter, D., Best, N., Carlin, B., and van der Linde, A. (2002), "Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 64, 583-639.
15. Tavornpanich, S., Gardner, I. A., Anderson, R. J., Shin, S., Whitlock, R. H., Fyock, T., Adaska, J. M., Walker, R. L., and Hietala, S. K. (2004), "Evaluation of Microbial Culture of Pooled Fecal Samples for Detection of Mycobacterium avium Subsp. paratuberculosis in Large Dairy Herds," American Journal of Veterinary Research, 65, 1061-1070.
16. Toribio, J. A., and Sergeant, E. (2007), "A Comparison of Methods to Estimate the Prevalence of Ovine Johne's Infection From Pooled Faecal Samples," Australian Veterinary Journal, 85, 317-324.
17. Whittington, R., Marsh, I., Choy, E., and Cousins, D. (1998), "Polymorphisms in IS1311, an Insertion Sequence Common to Mycobacterium avium and M. avium Subsp. paratuberculosis, Can Be Used to Distinguish Between and Within These Species," Molecular and Cellular Probes, 12, 349-358.
18. Whittington, R., and McGregor, H. (2005), "Epidemiology of Ovine Johne's Disease 2-Pasture Contamination Level and Age Susceptibility," Project Report, Meat and Livestock Australia Ltd, North Sydney, NSW, Australia. http://hdl.handle.net/2123/950.
19. Whittington, R. J., Fell, S., Walker, D., McAllister, S., Marsh, I., Sergeant, E., Taragel, C. A., Marshall, D. J., and Links, I. J. (2000), "Use of Pooled Fecal Culture for Sensitive and Economic Detection of Mycobacterium avium Subsp. paratuberculosis Infection in Flocks of Sheep," Journal of Clinical Microbiology, 38, 2550-2556.
20. Williams, C., and Moffitt, C. (2001), "A Critique of Methods of Sampling and Reporting Pathogens in Populations of Fish," Journal of Aquatic Animal Health, 13, 300-309.