메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 166-182

The predictive validity of peer review: A selective review of the judgmental forecasting qualities of peers, and implications for innovation in science

Author keywords

Advice taking; Cognitive bias; Decision making; Expert advice; Group decision making; Reliability

Indexed keywords


EID: 78149498849     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.03.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (102)
  • 1
    • 84970675542 scopus 로고
    • The predictive ability of peer review of grant proposals: the case of ecology and the US National Science Foundation
    • Abrams P.A. The predictive ability of peer review of grant proposals: the case of ecology and the US National Science Foundation. Social Studies of Science 1991, 21:111-132.
    • (1991) Social Studies of Science , vol.21 , pp. 111-132
    • Abrams, P.A.1
  • 2
    • 0002309073 scopus 로고
    • Is review by peers as fair as it appears?
    • Armstrong J.S. Is review by peers as fair as it appears?. Interfaces 1982, 12:62-74.
    • (1982) Interfaces , vol.12 , pp. 62-74
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 3
    • 0002819019 scopus 로고
    • Research on scientific journals: implications for editors and authors
    • Armstrong J.S. Research on scientific journals: implications for editors and authors. Journal of Forecasting 1982, 1:83-104.
    • (1982) Journal of Forecasting , vol.1 , pp. 83-104
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 4
    • 0039930048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Management folklore and management science - on portfolio planning, escalation bias, and such
    • Armstrong J.S. Management folklore and management science - on portfolio planning, escalation bias, and such. Interfaces 1996, 26:25-55.
    • (1996) Interfaces , vol.26 , pp. 25-55
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 5
    • 0002559338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peer review for journals: evidence on quality control, fairness, and innovation
    • Armstrong J.S. Peer review for journals: evidence on quality control, fairness, and innovation. Science and Engineering Ethics 1997, 3:63-84.
    • (1997) Science and Engineering Ethics , vol.3 , pp. 63-84
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 8
    • 84971735067 scopus 로고
    • Does the need for agreement among reviewers inhibit the publication of controversial findings?
    • Armstrong J.S., Hubbard R. Does the need for agreement among reviewers inhibit the publication of controversial findings?. Behavorial and Brain Sciences 1991, 14:136-137.
    • (1991) Behavorial and Brain Sciences , vol.14 , pp. 136-137
    • Armstrong, J.S.1    Hubbard, R.2
  • 9
    • 0742288765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reaping benefits from management research: lessons from the forecasting principles project
    • Armstrong J.S., Pagell R. Reaping benefits from management research: lessons from the forecasting principles project. Interfaces 2003, 33:89-111.
    • (2003) Interfaces , vol.33 , pp. 89-111
    • Armstrong, J.S.1    Pagell, R.2
  • 10
    • 0012234836 scopus 로고
    • If at first you don't succeed: review procedures for revised and resubmitted manuscripts
    • Bakanic V., McPhail C., Simon R. If at first you don't succeed: review procedures for revised and resubmitted manuscripts. The American Sociologist 1990, 21:373-391.
    • (1990) The American Sociologist , vol.21 , pp. 373-391
    • Bakanic, V.1    McPhail, C.2    Simon, R.3
  • 11
    • 18944400106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peer review and the social construction of knowledge in the management discipline
    • Bedeian A.G. Peer review and the social construction of knowledge in the management discipline. Academy of Management Learning and Education 2004, 3:198-216.
    • (2004) Academy of Management Learning and Education , vol.3 , pp. 198-216
    • Bedeian, A.G.1
  • 12
    • 33751251974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advice taking and decision-making: an integrative literature review, and implications for the organizational sciences
    • Bonaccio S., Dalal R.S. Advice taking and decision-making: an integrative literature review, and implications for the organizational sciences. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 2006, 101:127-151.
    • (2006) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.101 , pp. 127-151
    • Bonaccio, S.1    Dalal, R.S.2
  • 13
    • 28744443745 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selection of research fellowship recipients by committee peer review. Reliability, fairness and predictive validity of Board of Trustees' decisions
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. Selection of research fellowship recipients by committee peer review. Reliability, fairness and predictive validity of Board of Trustees' decisions. Scientometrics 2005, 63:297-320.
    • (2005) Scientometrics , vol.63 , pp. 297-320
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 14
    • 33746398403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting scientific excellence through committee peer review - a citation analysis of publications previously published to approval or rejection of post-doctoral research fellowship applicants
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. Selecting scientific excellence through committee peer review - a citation analysis of publications previously published to approval or rejection of post-doctoral research fellowship applicants. Scientometrics 2006, 68:427-440.
    • (2006) Scientometrics , vol.68 , pp. 427-440
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 15
    • 51049092115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting manuscripts for a high-impact journal through peer review: a citation analysis of communications that were accepted by Angewandte Chemie International Edition, or rejected but published elsewhere
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. Selecting manuscripts for a high-impact journal through peer review: a citation analysis of communications that were accepted by Angewandte Chemie International Edition, or rejected but published elsewhere. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology 2008, 59:1841-1852.
    • (2008) Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology , vol.59 , pp. 1841-1852
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 16
    • 38549127657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What do citation counts measure? A review of studies on citing behavior
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. What do citation counts measure? A review of studies on citing behavior. Journal of Documentation 2008, 64:45-80.
    • (2008) Journal of Documentation , vol.64 , pp. 45-80
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 17
    • 68649083222 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extent of type I and type II errors in editorial decisions: a case study on Angewandte Chemie International Edition
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. Extent of type I and type II errors in editorial decisions: a case study on Angewandte Chemie International Edition. Journal of Informetrics 2009, 3:348-352.
    • (2009) Journal of Informetrics , vol.3 , pp. 348-352
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 18
    • 73949116137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The manuscript reviewing process - empirical research on review requests, review sequences and decision rules in peer review
    • Bornmann L., Daniel H.-D. The manuscript reviewing process - empirical research on review requests, review sequences and decision rules in peer review. Library and Information Science Research 2010, 32:5-12.
    • (2010) Library and Information Science Research , vol.32 , pp. 5-12
    • Bornmann, L.1    Daniel, H.-D.2
  • 19
    • 55649086594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does the committee peer review select the best applicants for funding? An investigation of the selection process for two European Molecular Biology Organization programmes. PLoS ONE, 3, e3480.
    • Bornmann, L., Wallon, G., & Ledin, A. (2008). Does the committee peer review select the best applicants for funding? An investigation of the selection process for two European Molecular Biology Organization programmes. PLoS ONE, 3, e3480.
    • (2008)
    • Bornmann, L.1    Wallon, G.2    Ledin, A.3
  • 21
    • 0037024313 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Journal prestige, publication bias, and other characteristics associated with citation of published studies in peer-reviewed journals
    • Callaham M., Wears R.L., Weber E. Journal prestige, publication bias, and other characteristics associated with citation of published studies in peer-reviewed journals. The Journal of the American Medical Association 2002, 287:2847-2850.
    • (2002) The Journal of the American Medical Association , vol.287 , pp. 2847-2850
    • Callaham, M.1    Wears, R.L.2    Weber, E.3
  • 22
    • 21144461301 scopus 로고
    • Consolation for the scientist: sometimes it is hard to publish papers that are later highly-cited
    • Campanario J.M. Consolation for the scientist: sometimes it is hard to publish papers that are later highly-cited. Social Studies of Science 1993, 23:342-362.
    • (1993) Social Studies of Science , vol.23 , pp. 342-362
    • Campanario, J.M.1
  • 23
    • 0032221443 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peer review for journals as it stands today - Part 1
    • Campanario J.M. Peer review for journals as it stands today - Part 1. Science Communication 1998, 19:181-211.
    • (1998) Science Communication , vol.19 , pp. 181-211
    • Campanario, J.M.1
  • 24
    • 33947365152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rejecting highly cited papers: The views of scientists who encounter resistance to their discoveries from other scientists
    • Campanario J.M., Acedo E. Rejecting highly cited papers: The views of scientists who encounter resistance to their discoveries from other scientists. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology 2007, 58:734-743.
    • (2007) Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology , vol.58 , pp. 734-743
    • Campanario, J.M.1    Acedo, E.2
  • 25
    • 0001585946 scopus 로고
    • The reliability of peer review for manuscript and grant submissions: a cross-disciplinary investigation
    • Cicchetti D.V. The reliability of peer review for manuscript and grant submissions: a cross-disciplinary investigation. Behavorial and Brain Sciences 1991, 14:119-186.
    • (1991) Behavorial and Brain Sciences , vol.14 , pp. 119-186
    • Cicchetti, D.V.1
  • 27
    • 78149495252 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving psychological science
    • (special issue)
    • Improving psychological science. Perspectives on Psychological Science 2009, 4:1-111. (special issue).
    • (2009) Perspectives on Psychological Science , vol.4 , pp. 1-111
  • 31
    • 0000040471 scopus 로고
    • But the reviewers are making different criticisms of my paper! Diversity and uniqueness in reviewer comments
    • Fiske D.W., Fogg L. But the reviewers are making different criticisms of my paper! Diversity and uniqueness in reviewer comments. American Psychologist 1990, 45:591-598.
    • (1990) American Psychologist , vol.45 , pp. 591-598
    • Fiske, D.W.1    Fogg, L.2
  • 32
    • 26844529057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effectiveness of journal peer review
    • BMJ Books, London, F. Godlee, T. Jefferson (Eds.)
    • Fletcher R.H., Fletcher S.W. The effectiveness of journal peer review. Peer review in health sciences 2003, 62-75. BMJ Books, London. 2nd ed. F. Godlee, T. Jefferson (Eds.).
    • (2003) Peer review in health sciences , pp. 62-75
    • Fletcher, R.H.1    Fletcher, S.W.2
  • 33
    • 0000601509 scopus 로고
    • How are the mighty fallen: rejected classic articles by leading economists
    • Gans J.S., Shepherd G.B. How are the mighty fallen: rejected classic articles by leading economists. Journal of Economic Perspectives 1994, 8:165-179.
    • (1994) Journal of Economic Perspectives , vol.8 , pp. 165-179
    • Gans, J.S.1    Shepherd, G.B.2
  • 36
    • 0028576904 scopus 로고
    • Manuscript quality before and after peer review and editing at Annals of Internal Medicine
    • Goodman S.N., Berlin J., Fletcher S.W., Fletcher R.H. Manuscript quality before and after peer review and editing at Annals of Internal Medicine. Annals of Internal Medicine 1994, 121:11-21.
    • (1994) Annals of Internal Medicine , vol.121 , pp. 11-21
    • Goodman, S.N.1    Berlin, J.2    Fletcher, S.W.3    Fletcher, R.H.4
  • 37
    • 39649124174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Oppenheim effect in scholarly journal publishing
    • Gorman G.E. The Oppenheim effect in scholarly journal publishing. Online Information Review 2007, 31:417-419.
    • (2007) Online Information Review , vol.31 , pp. 417-419
    • Gorman, G.E.1
  • 38
    • 0000688337 scopus 로고
    • Evaluating psychological research reports: dimensions, reliability, and correlates of quality judgments
    • Gottfredson S.D. Evaluating psychological research reports: dimensions, reliability, and correlates of quality judgments. American Psychologist 1978, 33:920-934.
    • (1978) American Psychologist , vol.33 , pp. 920-934
    • Gottfredson, S.D.1
  • 40
    • 40249098549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The transformative power of reviewing
    • Graue B. The transformative power of reviewing. Educational Researcher 2006, 35:36-41.
    • (2006) Educational Researcher , vol.35 , pp. 36-41
    • Graue, B.1
  • 41
    • 0029591120 scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of cardiovascular grant-in-aid applications by peer review: influence of internal and external reviewers and committees
    • Hodgson C.M. Evaluation of cardiovascular grant-in-aid applications by peer review: influence of internal and external reviewers and committees. Canadian Journal of Cardiology 1995, 11:864-868.
    • (1995) Canadian Journal of Cardiology , vol.11 , pp. 864-868
    • Hodgson, C.M.1
  • 43
    • 0030577216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peer review of grant applications: a harbinger for mediocrity in clinical research?
    • Horrobin D.F. Peer review of grant applications: a harbinger for mediocrity in clinical research?. The Lancet 1996, 348:1293-1295.
    • (1996) The Lancet , vol.348 , pp. 1293-1295
    • Horrobin, D.F.1
  • 44
    • 33846470568 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new reader trial approach to peer review in funding research grants: an Australian experiment
    • Jayasinghe U.W., Marsh H.W., Bond N. A new reader trial approach to peer review in funding research grants: an Australian experiment. Scientometrics 2006, 69:591-606.
    • (2006) Scientometrics , vol.69 , pp. 591-606
    • Jayasinghe, U.W.1    Marsh, H.W.2    Bond, N.3
  • 45
    • 34547847361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Editorial peer review for improving the quality of reports of biomedical studies. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Issue 1, Art. No.: MR000016.
    • Jefferson, T., Rudin, M., Brodney Folse, S., & Davidoff, F. (2007). Editorial peer review for improving the quality of reports of biomedical studies. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Issue 1, Art. No.: MR000016.
    • (2007)
    • Jefferson, T.1    Rudin, M.2    Brodney Folse, S.3    Davidoff, F.4
  • 46
    • 78149498172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quality and value: the true purpose of peer review. Retrieved 13.7.09.
    • Jennings, C. G. (2006). Quality and value: the true purpose of peer review. Retrieved 13.7.09. http://www.nature.com/nature/peerreview/debate/nature05032.html.
    • (2006)
    • Jennings, C.G.1
  • 48
    • 21844512254 scopus 로고
    • Procedural influence in 2-step group decision-making - power of local majorities in consensus formation
    • Kameda T., Sugimori S. Procedural influence in 2-step group decision-making - power of local majorities in consensus formation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1995, 69:865-876.
    • (1995) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.69 , pp. 865-876
    • Kameda, T.1    Sugimori, S.2
  • 49
    • 15444373559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias in judgment: comparing individuals and groups
    • Kerr N.L., MacCoun R.J., Kramer G.P. Bias in judgment: comparing individuals and groups. Psychological Review 1996, 103:687-719.
    • (1996) Psychological Review , vol.103 , pp. 687-719
    • Kerr, N.L.1    MacCoun, R.J.2    Kramer, G.P.3
  • 51
    • 0346664602 scopus 로고
    • Federal research impact assessment: axioms, approaches, applications
    • Kostoff R.N. Federal research impact assessment: axioms, approaches, applications. Scientometrics 1995, 34:163-206.
    • (1995) Scientometrics , vol.34 , pp. 163-206
    • Kostoff, R.N.1
  • 53
    • 84963068911 scopus 로고
    • Is there value-added from the review process in economics? Preliminary evidence from authors
    • Laband D.N. Is there value-added from the review process in economics? Preliminary evidence from authors. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 1990, 105:341-352.
    • (1990) The Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.105 , pp. 341-352
    • Laband, D.N.1
  • 54
    • 0040488529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The decision-making constraints and processes of grant peer review, and their effects on the review outcome
    • Langfeldt L. The decision-making constraints and processes of grant peer review, and their effects on the review outcome. Social Studies of Science 2001, 31:820-841.
    • (2001) Social Studies of Science , vol.31 , pp. 820-841
    • Langfeldt, L.1
  • 55
    • 2442512208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert panels evaluating research: decision-making and sources of bias
    • Langfeldt L. Expert panels evaluating research: decision-making and sources of bias. Research Evaluation 2004, 13:51-62.
    • (2004) Research Evaluation , vol.13 , pp. 51-62
    • Langfeldt, L.1
  • 56
    • 33749646996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The policy challenges of peer review: managing bias, conflict of interests and interdisciplinary assessments
    • Langfeldt L. The policy challenges of peer review: managing bias, conflict of interests and interdisciplinary assessments. Research Evaluation 2006, 15:31-41.
    • (2006) Research Evaluation , vol.15 , pp. 31-41
    • Langfeldt, L.1
  • 58
    • 0037456824 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The politics of publication
    • Lawrence P.A. The politics of publication. Nature 2003, 422:259-261.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.422 , pp. 259-261
    • Lawrence, P.A.1
  • 60
    • 11444250613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What determines the citation frequency of ecological papers?
    • Leimu R., Koricheva J. What determines the citation frequency of ecological papers?. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2005, 20:28-32.
    • (2005) Trends in Ecology and Evolution , vol.20 , pp. 28-32
    • Leimu, R.1    Koricheva, J.2
  • 62
    • 78149495710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Was there really a Hawthorne effect at the Hawthorne plant? An analysis of the original illumination experiments. NBER Working Papers Series: Working Paper 15016. Retrieved 1.07.09.
    • Levitt, S. D., & List, J. A. (2009). Was there really a Hawthorne effect at the Hawthorne plant? An analysis of the original illumination experiments. NBER Working Papers Series: Working Paper 15016. Retrieved 1.07.09. http://www.nber.org/papers/w15016.pdf.
    • (2009)
    • Levitt, S.D.1    List, J.A.2
  • 63
    • 0000876735 scopus 로고
    • Publication prejudices: an experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system
    • Mahoney M.J. Publication prejudices: an experimental study of confirmatory bias in the peer review system. Cognitive Therapy and Research 1977, 1:161-175.
    • (1977) Cognitive Therapy and Research , vol.1 , pp. 161-175
    • Mahoney, M.J.1
  • 64
    • 78149495743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do women have less success in peer review?
    • Marsh H.W., Bornmann L. Do women have less success in peer review?. Nature 2009, 459:602.
    • (2009) Nature , vol.459 , pp. 602
    • Marsh, H.W.1    Bornmann, L.2
  • 65
    • 43049090164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the peer-review process for grant applications: reliability, validity, bias, and generalizability
    • Marsh H.W., Jayasinghe U.W., Bond N. Improving the peer-review process for grant applications: reliability, validity, bias, and generalizability. American Psychologist 2008, 63:160-168.
    • (2008) American Psychologist , vol.63 , pp. 160-168
    • Marsh, H.W.1    Jayasinghe, U.W.2    Bond, N.3
  • 66
    • 0037703388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of a program supporting scholarly productivity for new investigators
    • Mavis B., Katz M. Evaluation of a program supporting scholarly productivity for new investigators. Academic Medicine 2003, 78:757-765.
    • (2003) Academic Medicine , vol.78 , pp. 757-765
    • Mavis, B.1    Katz, M.2
  • 67
    • 60049095105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fate of manuscripts previously rejected by the American Journal of Neuroradiology: a follow-up analysis
    • McDonals R.J., Cloft H.J., Kallmes D.F. Fate of manuscripts previously rejected by the American Journal of Neuroradiology: a follow-up analysis. American Journal of Neuroradiology 2009, 30:253-256.
    • (2009) American Journal of Neuroradiology , vol.30 , pp. 253-256
    • McDonals, R.J.1    Cloft, H.J.2    Kallmes, D.F.3
  • 68
    • 33947118203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The top eight percent: development of approved and rejected applicants for a prestigious grant in Sweden
    • Melin G., Danell R. The top eight percent: development of approved and rejected applicants for a prestigious grant in Sweden. Science and Public Policy 2006, 33:702-712.
    • (2006) Science and Public Policy , vol.33 , pp. 702-712
    • Melin, G.1    Danell, R.2
  • 69
    • 38348998658 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future of research evaluation rests with an intelligent combination of advanced metrics and transparent peer review
    • Moed H.F. The future of research evaluation rests with an intelligent combination of advanced metrics and transparent peer review. Science and Public Policy 2007, 34:575-584.
    • (2007) Science and Public Policy , vol.34 , pp. 575-584
    • Moed, H.F.1
  • 70
    • 28844463596 scopus 로고
    • Peer review and bibliometric indicators of scientific performance: a comparison of cum laude doctorates with ordinary doctorates in physics
    • Nederhof A., van Raan A. Peer review and bibliometric indicators of scientific performance: a comparison of cum laude doctorates with ordinary doctorates in physics. Scientometrics 1987, 11:333-350.
    • (1987) Scientometrics , vol.11 , pp. 333-350
    • Nederhof, A.1    van Raan, A.2
  • 71
    • 34249968232 scopus 로고
    • A validation study of bibliometric indicators: the comparative performance of cum laude doctorates in chemistry
    • Nederhof A., van Raan A. A validation study of bibliometric indicators: the comparative performance of cum laude doctorates in chemistry. Scientometrics 1989, 17:427-435.
    • (1989) Scientometrics , vol.17 , pp. 427-435
    • Nederhof, A.1    van Raan, A.2
  • 72
    • 25844517171 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What authors want from journal reviewers and editors
    • Nickerson R.S. What authors want from journal reviewers and editors. American Psychologist 2005, 60:661-662.
    • (2005) American Psychologist , vol.60 , pp. 661-662
    • Nickerson, R.S.1
  • 73
    • 34548600110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining the value added by committee discussion in the review of applications for research awards
    • Obrecht M., Tibelius K., D'Aloisio G. Examining the value added by committee discussion in the review of applications for research awards. Research Evaluation 2007, 16:79-91.
    • (2007) Research Evaluation , vol.16 , pp. 79-91
    • Obrecht, M.1    Tibelius, K.2    D'Aloisio, G.3
  • 74
  • 75
    • 0019977694 scopus 로고
    • Peer-review practices of psychological journals: The fate of published articles, submitted again
    • Peters D.P., Ceci S.J. Peer-review practices of psychological journals: The fate of published articles, submitted again. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 1982, 5:187-195.
    • (1982) Behavioral and Brain Sciences , vol.5 , pp. 187-195
    • Peters, D.P.1    Ceci, S.J.2
  • 76
    • 0030607607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Readers' evaluation of effect of peer review and editing on quality of articles in the Nederlands Tijdschrift voor Geneeskunde
    • Pierie J.P.E., Walvoort H.C., Overbeke A.J.P. Readers' evaluation of effect of peer review and editing on quality of articles in the Nederlands Tijdschrift voor Geneeskunde. The Lancet 1996, 348:1480-1483.
    • (1996) The Lancet , vol.348 , pp. 1480-1483
    • Pierie, J.P.E.1    Walvoort, H.C.2    Overbeke, A.J.P.3
  • 77
  • 78
    • 0005828811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert opinions in forecasting: the role of the Delphi technique
    • Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, J.S. Armstrong (Ed.)
    • Rowe G., Wright G. Expert opinions in forecasting: the role of the Delphi technique. Principles of forecasting: a handbook for researchers and practitioners 2001, 125-144. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell. J.S. Armstrong (Ed.).
    • (2001) Principles of forecasting: a handbook for researchers and practitioners , pp. 125-144
    • Rowe, G.1    Wright, G.2
  • 79
    • 15844381909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Judgment change during Delphi-like procedures: the role of majority influence, expertise, and confidence
    • Rowe G., Wright G., McColl A. Judgment change during Delphi-like procedures: the role of majority influence, expertise, and confidence. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2005, 72:377-399.
    • (2005) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.72 , pp. 377-399
    • Rowe, G.1    Wright, G.2    McColl, A.3
  • 83
    • 0027258321 scopus 로고
    • Choosing versus rejecting: Why some options are both better and worse than others
    • Shafir E. Choosing versus rejecting: Why some options are both better and worse than others. Memory and Cognition 1993, 21:546-556.
    • (1993) Memory and Cognition , vol.21 , pp. 546-556
    • Shafir, E.1
  • 84
    • 0025965169 scopus 로고
    • Assassins and Zealots: variations in peer review
    • Siegelman S.S. Assassins and Zealots: variations in peer review. Radiology 1991, 178:637-642.
    • (1991) Radiology , vol.178 , pp. 637-642
    • Siegelman, S.S.1
  • 85
    • 78149498002 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Re: The kind of email I don't need. Retrieved 22.07.09.
    • Skoda, Z. (6-11-2008). Re: The kind of email I don't need. Retrieved 22.07.09. http://golem.ph.utexas.edu/category/2008/11/the_kind_of_email_i_dont_need.html#c019806.
    • (2008)
    • Skoda, Z.1
  • 88
    • 18944387823 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How much better are the most prestigious journals? The statistics of academic publication
    • Starbuck W.H. How much better are the most prestigious journals? The statistics of academic publication. Organization Science 2005, 16:180-200.
    • (2005) Organization Science , vol.16 , pp. 180-200
    • Starbuck, W.H.1
  • 89
    • 44449140935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Type II reviewing errors and the search for exciting papers
    • Straub D.W. Type II reviewing errors and the search for exciting papers. MIS Quarterly 2008, 32:5-10.
    • (2008) MIS Quarterly , vol.32 , pp. 5-10
    • Straub, D.W.1
  • 90
    • 70749101859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The air we breathe: A critical look at practices and alternatives in the peer-review process
    • Suls J., Martin R. The air we breathe: A critical look at practices and alternatives in the peer-review process. Perspectives on Psychological Science 2009, 4:40-50.
    • (2009) Perspectives on Psychological Science , vol.4 , pp. 40-50
    • Suls, J.1    Martin, R.2
  • 91
    • 0028290259 scopus 로고
    • How well does a journal's peer review process function? A survey of authors' opinions
    • Sweitzer B.J., Cullen D.J. How well does a journal's peer review process function? A survey of authors' opinions. The Journal of the American Medical Association 1994, 272:152-153.
    • (1994) The Journal of the American Medical Association , vol.272 , pp. 152-153
    • Sweitzer, B.J.1    Cullen, D.J.2
  • 93
    • 84965682088 scopus 로고
    • New light on old boys: cognitive and institutional particularism in the peer review system.
    • Travis G.D.L., Collins H.M. New light on old boys: cognitive and institutional particularism in the peer review system. Science, Technology and Human Values 1991, 16:322-341.
    • (1991) Science, Technology and Human Values , vol.16 , pp. 322-341
    • Travis, G.D.L.1    Collins, H.M.2
  • 94
    • 0001076162 scopus 로고
    • Loss aversion in riskless choice: a reference-dependent model
    • Tversky A., Kahneman D. Loss aversion in riskless choice: a reference-dependent model. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 1991, 107:1039-1061.
    • (1991) The Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.107 , pp. 1039-1061
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 95
    • 77449158004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past performance, peer review, and project selection: a case study in the social and behavorial sciences
    • van den Besselaar P, Leydesdorff L. Past performance, peer review, and project selection: a case study in the social and behavorial sciences. Research Evaluation 2009, 18:273-288.
    • (2009) Research Evaluation , vol.18 , pp. 273-288
    • van den Besselaar, P.1    Leydesdorff, L.2
  • 96
    • 0001466596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advanced bibliometric methods as quantitative core of peer review based evaluation and foresight exercises
    • van Raan A.F.J. Advanced bibliometric methods as quantitative core of peer review based evaluation and foresight exercises. Scientometrics 1996, 36:397-420.
    • (1996) Scientometrics , vol.36 , pp. 397-420
    • van Raan, A.F.J.1
  • 98
    • 4243173618 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sleeping Beauties in science
    • van Raan A. Sleeping Beauties in science. Scientometrics 2004, 59:467-472.
    • (2004) Scientometrics , vol.59 , pp. 467-472
    • van Raan, A.1
  • 101
    • 0017979051 scopus 로고
    • Peer review and publication: Presidential address before the 70th annual meeting of the American Society for Clinical Investigation
    • Wilson J.D. Peer review and publication: Presidential address before the 70th annual meeting of the American Society for Clinical Investigation. Journal of Clinical Investigation 1978, 61:1697-1701.
    • (1978) Journal of Clinical Investigation , vol.61 , pp. 1697-1701
    • Wilson, J.D.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.