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Volumn 27, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 69-80

Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts

Author keywords

Combining forecasts; Evaluating forecasts; Expert judgment; Group decision making; Organizational behavior; Perspective taking; Role playing; Simulated interaction; Unaided judgment

Indexed keywords


EID: 78149495883     PISSN: 01692070     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.05.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (28)

References (21)
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    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 2
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    • Role playing
    • Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, MA, J.S. Armstrong (Ed.)
    • Armstrong J.S. Role playing. Principles of forecasting 2001, 13-30. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, MA. J.S. Armstrong (Ed.).
    • (2001) Principles of forecasting , pp. 13-30
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 3
    • 34249316820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Significance tests harm progress in forecasting
    • Armstrong J.S. Significance tests harm progress in forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 2007, 23:321-327.
    • (2007) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 321-327
    • Armstrong, J.S.1
  • 5
    • 0343278799 scopus 로고
    • The method of multiple working hypotheses
    • Reprint of an 1890 paper
    • Chamberlin T.C. The method of multiple working hypotheses. Science 1965, 148:754-759. Reprint of an 1890 paper.
    • (1965) Science , vol.148 , pp. 754-759
    • Chamberlin, T.C.1
  • 6
    • 0005862809 scopus 로고
    • Two experiments on bias and conflict in organizational estimation
    • Cyert R.M., March J.G., Starbuck W.H. Two experiments on bias and conflict in organizational estimation. Management Science 1961, 7:254-264.
    • (1961) Management Science , vol.7 , pp. 254-264
    • Cyert, R.M.1    March, J.G.2    Starbuck, W.H.3
  • 10
    • 0036074250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement
    • Green K.C. Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement. International Journal of Forecasting 2002, 18:321-344.
    • (2002) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.18 , pp. 321-344
    • Green, K.C.1
  • 11
    • 21644464837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgment for forecasting decisions in conflicts: further evidence
    • Green K.C. Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgment for forecasting decisions in conflicts: further evidence. International Journal of Forecasting 2005, 21:463-472.
    • (2005) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.21 , pp. 463-472
    • Green, K.C.1
  • 12
    • 34548155950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The value of expertise for forecasting decisions in conflicts
    • Green K.C., Armstrong J.S. The value of expertise for forecasting decisions in conflicts. Interfaces 2007, 37:287-299.
    • (2007) Interfaces , vol.37 , pp. 287-299
    • Green, K.C.1    Armstrong, J.S.2
  • 14
    • 1442359659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The harm done by tests of significance
    • Hauer E. The harm done by tests of significance. Accident Analysis and Prevention 2004, 36:495-500.
    • (2004) Accident Analysis and Prevention , vol.36 , pp. 495-500
    • Hauer, E.1
  • 19
    • 0024061113 scopus 로고
    • In-group-out-group differences in the perceived efficacy of coercion and conciliation in resolving social conflict
    • Rothbart M., Hallmark W. In-group-out-group differences in the perceived efficacy of coercion and conciliation in resolving social conflict. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 1988, 55:248-257.
    • (1988) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.55 , pp. 248-257
    • Rothbart, M.1    Hallmark, W.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.