Sensitivity of the hydrological response to the variability of rainfall fields and soils for the Gard 2002 flash-flood event

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 394, Issue 1-2, 2010, Pages 134-147

  Anquetin, Sandrine ^a   Braud, Isabelle ^b   Vannier, Olivier ^a,b   Viallet, Pierre ^c   Boudevillain, Brice ^a   Creutin, Jean Dominique ^a   Manus, Claire ^a  

^a UNIV GRENOBLE ALPES   (France)

^b CENTRE DE LYON VILLEURBANNE   (France)

^c BP 53 Domaine Universitaire   (France)

Author keywords

Distributed hydrological model; Flash floods; Radar rainfall; Soil variability

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; CLIMATE MODELS; DYNAMICS; FLOODS; RADAR; RAIN GAGES; RUNOFF; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SOILS;

BOTTOM BOUNDARY CONDITIONS; DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL; FLASH FLOOD; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; MANNING ROUGHNESS COEFFICIENT; PARAMETER ADJUSTMENTS; RADAR RAINFALL; SOIL VARIABILITIES;

RAIN;

BOUNDARY CONDITION; CATCHMENT; DISCHARGE; ESTIMATION METHOD; FLASH FLOOD; FLOOD; HYDROGRAPH; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; INFILTRATION; MAGNITUDE; MOUNTAIN REGION; NUMERICAL MODEL; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RADAR; RAINFALL; RAINGAUGE; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SOIL TYPE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

FRANCE;

EID: 78049265275     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.002     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Anquetin, S., Creutin, J.-D., Delrieu, G., Ducrocq, V., Gaume, E., Ruin, I., 2004. Increasing the forecasting lead-time of weather driven flash floods. http://natural-hazards.jrc.it./downloads/public/2004report_FeasibilitySt udyOnFlashfloods.pdf.
2. Berne A., Delrieu G., Creutin J.-D., Obled C. Temporal and spatial resolution of rainfall measurements required for urban hydrology. J. Hydrol. 2004, 299:166-179.
3. Blöschl G., Sivapalan M. Scale issues in hydrological modelling: a review. Hydrol. Process. 1995, 9:251-290.
4. Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC), 2005. Flash Flood Forecasting Over Complex Terrain. The National Academies Press, http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=11128.
5. Bonnifait L., Delrieu G., Le Lay M., Boudevillain B., Masson A., Belleudy P., Gaume E., Saulnier G.M. Distributed hydrologic and hydraulic modelling with radar rainfall input: reconstruction of the 8-9 September 2002 catastrophic flood event in the Gard region, France. Adv. Water Resour. 2009, 37(7):1077-1089.
6. Borga M., Gaume E., Creutin J.D., Marchi L. Surveying flash floods: gauging the ungauged extremes. Hydrol. Process. 2008, 22:3883-3885.
7. Bouilloud L., Delrieu G., Boudevillain B., Kirstetter P.E. Radar rainfall estimation in the context of post-event analysis of flash-flood events. J. Hydrol. 2010, 394(1-2):17-27. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.02.035.
8. Brakensiek D.L., Engleman W.L., Rawls W.L. Variation within texture classes of soil water parameters. Trans. ASAE 1981, 24(2):335-339.
9. Branger, F., Braud, I., Debionne, S., Viallet, P., Dehotin, J., Henine, H., Nedelec, Y., Anquetin, S., 2010, Towards multi-scale integrated hydrological models using the LIQUID® framework. Overview of the concepts and first application examples. Environ. Modell. Softw. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.06.005.
10. Braud I., Roux H., Anquetin S., Maubourguet M.M., Manus C., Viallet P., Dartus D. The use of distributed hydrological models for the Gard 2002 flash-flood event understanding. Part II: Analysis of the associated hydrological processes. J. Hydrol. 2010, 394(1-2):162-181. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.03.033.
11. Carpenter T.M., Georgakakos K.P. Impacts of parametric and radar rainfall uncertainty on the ensemble streamflow simulations of a distributed hydrologic model. J. Hydrol. 2004, 2998:202-221.
12. Chancibault K., Anquetin S., Ducrocq V., Saulnier G.M. Hydrological evaluation of high-resolution precipitation forecasts of the Gard flash-flood event (8-9 September 2002). Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 2006, 132:1091-1117.
13. Cole S.J., Moore R.J. Hydrological modelling using raingauge- and radar-based estimators of areal rainfall. J. Hydrol. 2008, 358:159-181.
14. Collier C. Flash flood forecasting: what are the limits of predictabilities?. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 2007, 133(622A):3-23.
15. Creutin J.D., Borga M. Radar hydrology modifies the monitoring of flash flood hazard. Hydrol. Process. 2003, 17(7):1453-1456.
16. Creutin J.D., Obled C. Objective analysis and mapping techniques for rainfall fields: an objective comparison. Water Resour. Res. 1982, 18(2):413-431.
17. Creutin J.-D., Borga M., Lutoff C., Scolobig A., Ruin I., Créton-Cazanave L. Catchment dynamics and social response during flash floods: the potential of radar rainfall monitoring for warning procedures. Meteorol. Appl. 2009, 16:115-125.
18. Dehotin J., Braud I. Which spatial discretization for distributed hydrological models? Proposition of a methodology and illustration for medium to large-scale catchments. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2008, 12:769-796.
19. Delrieu G., Ducrocq V., Gaume E., Nicol J., Payrastre O., Yates E., Kirstetter P.-E., Andrieu H., Ayral P.-A., Bouvier C., Creutin J.-D., Livet M., Anquetin S., Lang M., Neppel L., Obled C., Parent-du-Châtelet J., Saulnier G.-M., Walpersdorf A., Wobrock W. The catastrophic flash-flood event of 8-9 September 2002 in the Gard region, France: a first case study for the Cévennes-Vivarais mediterranean hydro-meteorological observatory. J. Hydrometeorol. 2005, 6:34-52.
20. Delrieu, G., Boudevillain, B., Nicol, J., Chapon, Kirstetter, P.-E., Andrieu, H., Faure, D., 2009a. Bollène-2002 experiment: radar quantitative precipitation estimation in the Cévennes-Vivarais region. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. doi:10.1175/2008JAMC1987.1.
21. Delrieu G., Braud I., Berne A., Borga M., Boudevillain B., Fabry F., Freer J., Gaume E., Nakakita E., Seed A., Tabary P., Uijlenhoet R. Weather radar and hydrology. Adv. Water Resour. 2009, 37(7):969-974.
22. Foody G.M., Ghoniem E.M., Arnell N.W. Predicting locations sensitive to flash flood in an arid environment. J. Hydrol. 2004, 292(1-4):48-58.
23. Furman A. Modeling coupled surface-subsurface flow processes: a review. Vadose Zone J. 2008, 7:741-756. 10.2136/vzj2007.0065.
24. Gaume E., Bouvier C. Analyse hydro-pluviométrique des crues du Gard et du Vidourle des 8 et 9 septembre 2002. La Houille Blanche 2004, 6:99-106. 10.1051/lhb:200406014.
25. Gaume, E., Payrastre, O., Rosa da Silvia, B., 2003. Analyse hydrologique des crues des 8 et 9 Septembre 2002 dans le Gard, Report Ministère de l'écologie et du développement durable, Convention 02000246.
26. Gaume E., Bain V., Bernardara P., Newinger O., Barbuc M., Bateman A., Blaskovicová L., Blöschl G., Borga M., Dumitrescu A., Daliakopoulos I., Garcia J., Irimescu A., Kohnova S., Koutroulis A., Marchi L., Matreata S., Medina V., Preciso E., Sempere-Torres D., Stancalie G., Szolgay J., Tsanis I., Velasco D., Viglione A. A compilation of data on European flash floods. J. Hydrol. 2009, 367(1-2):70-78.
27. Georgakakos K.P. Analytical results for operational flash flood guidance. J. Hydrol. 2006, 317(1-2):81-103.
28. Germann U., Galli G., Boscacci M., Bolliger M. Radar precipitation measurement in a mountainous region. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 2006, 132:1669-1692.
29. Habets F., Boone A., Champeaux J.L., Etchevers P., Franchistéguy L., Leblois E., Ledoux E., Le Moigne P., Martin E., Morel S., Noilhan J., Quintana-Segui P., Rousset-Regimbeau F., Viennot P. The SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU hydrometerological model applied over France. J. Geophys. Res. 2008, 113:D06113. 10.1029/2007JD008548.
30. Hernandez E., Cana L., Diaz J., Garcia R., Gimeno L. Mesoscale convective complexes over western Mediterranean area during 1990-1994. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 1998, 68:1-12.
31. Homar V., Romero R., Ramis C., Alonso S. A case of convection development over the western Mediterranean Sea: a study through numerical simulations. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 1999, 71:169-188.
32. Joss, J., Waldvogel, A., 1990. Precipitation measurement and hydrology. Radar Meteorol. D. Atlas, Ed. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 577-606.
33. Kampf S.K., Burges S.J. A framework for classifying and comparing distributed hillslope and catchment hydrologic models. Water Resour. Res. 2007, 43:W05423. 10.1029/2006WR005370.
34. Latron J., Gallart F. Seasonal dynamics of runoff-contributing areas in a small mediterranean research catchment (Vallcebre, Eastern Pyrenees). J. Hydrol. 2007, 335(1-2):194-206.
35. Le Lay M., Saulnier G.-M. Exploring the signature of climate and landscape spatial variabilities in flash flood events: case of the 8-9 September 2002 Cévennes-Vivarais catastrophic event. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2007, 34(13):L13401.
36. Lebel T., Bastin G., Obled C., Creutin J.D. On the accuracy of areal rainfall estimation: a case study. Water Resour. Res. 1987, 23(11):2123-2134.
37. Manus C., Anquetin S., Braud I., Vandervaere J.-P., Creutin J.-D., Viallet P., Gaume E. A modeling approach to quantify the hydrological response of small Mediterranean catchments to the variability of soil characteristics in a context of extreme events. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13:79-97.
38. Molinié, G., Ceresetti, D., Anquetin, S., Creutin, J.D., Boudevillain, B., submitted for publication. Rainfall regimes in a mountainous mediterranean region: statistical analysis at short time steps. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol.
39. Montz B.E., Gruntfest E. Flash flood mitigation: recommendations for research and applications. Environ. Hazards 2002, 4:15-22.
40. Morin E., Enzel Y., Shamir U., Garti R. The characteristic time scale for basin hydrological response using radar data. J. Hydrol. 2001, 252(1-4):85-99.
41. Morin E., Goodrich D.C., Maddox R.A., Gao X., Gupta H.V., Sorooshian S. Spatial patterns in thunderstorm rainfall events and their coupling with watershed hydrological response. Adv. Water Resour. 2006, 29:843-860.
42. Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models. Part 1: A discussion of principles. J. Hydrol. 1970, 10(3):282-290.
43. Nicotina L., Alessi-Celegon E., Rinaldo A., Marani M. On the impact of rainfall patterns on the hydrologic response. Water Resour. Res. 2008, 44:W1240. 10.1029/2007WR006654.
44. Norbiato D., Borga M., Esposti S.D., Gaume E., Anquetin S. Flash flood warning based on rainfall thresholds and soil moisture conditions: an assessment for gauged and ungauged basins. J. Hydrol. 2008, 362:274-290.
45. Pellarin T., Delrieu G., Saulnier G.M., Andrieu H., Vignal B., Creutin J.D. Hydrologic visibility of weather radars operating in mountainous regions: case study for the Ardèche catchment (France). J. Hydrol. 2002, 3:539-555.
46. Rawls, W.J., Brakensiek, D.L., 1985. Prediction of soil water properties for hydrologic modelling. In: Jones, E.B., Ward, T.J. (Eds.), Watershed Management in the Eighties: Proceedings of the American Society of Civil Engineers symposium, Denver, April 30-May 1. ASCE, New York, pp. 293-299.
47. Reed S., Schaake J., Zhang Z. A distributed hydrologic model and threshold frequency-based method for flash flood forecasting at ungauged locations. J. Hydrol. 2007, 337(3-4):402-420.
48. Reggiani P., Sivapalan M., Hassanizadeh S.M. A unifying framework for watershed thermodynamics: balance equations for mass, momentum, energy and entropy, and the second law of thermodynamics. Adv. Water Resour. 1998, 22:367-598.
49. Ross P.J. Modeling soil water and solute transport - fast, simplified numerical solutions. Agron. J. 2003, 95:1352-1361.
50. Ruin I., Creutin J.D., Anquetin S., Lutoff C. Human exposure to flash floods - relation between flood parameters and human vulnerability during a storm of September 2002 in Southern France. J. Hydrol. 2008, 361(1-2):199-213.
51. Sangati M., Borga M. Influence of rainfall spatial resolution on flash flood modelling. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 9:575-584.
52. Sangati M., Borga M., Rabuffeti D., Bechini R. Influence of rainfall and soil properties spatial aggregation on extreme flash flood response modelling: an evaluation based on the Sesia river basin, North Western Italy. Adv. Water Resour. 2009, 32:1090-1106.
53. Tetzlaff D., Uhlenbrook S. Significance of spatial variability in precipitation for process-oriented modelling: results from two nested catchments using radar and ground station data. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2005, 9:29-41.
54. Todini E. Hydrological catchment modelling: past, present and future. Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci. 2007, 11(1):468-482.
55. Varado N., Ross P.J., Braud I., Haverkamp R. Assessment of an efficient numerical solution of the Richards' equation for bare soil. J. Hydrol. 2006, 323(1-4):244-257.
56. Viallet, P., Debionne, S., Braud, I., Dehotin, J., Haverkamp, R., Saâdi, Z., Anquetin, S., Branger, F., Varado, N., 2006. Towards multi-scale integrated hydrological models using the LIQUID framework. In: 7th International Conference on Hydroinformatics 2006, 4-8 September, Nice, France, vol. 1. pp. 542-549. http://www.forge.hydrowide.com/.
57. Westrick K.J., Mass C.F., Colle B.A. The limitations of the WSR-88D radar network for quantitative precipitation measurement over the coastal Western United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 1999, 80(1):2289-2298.
58. Yates D.N., Warner T.T., Leavesley G.H. Prediction of flash flood in complex terrain. Part II: a comparison of flood discharge simulations using input from radar, a dynamic model and an automated algorithm system. J. Appl. Meteorol. 2000, 39:815-825.
59. Younis J., Anquetin S., Thielen J. The benefit of high-resolution operational weather forecasts for flash-flood warning. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2008, 12:1039-1051.