Statistical analyses of land-atmosphere feedbacks and their possible pitfalls

Journal of Climate

Volumn 23, Issue 14, 2010, Pages 3918-3932

  Orlowsky, Boris ^a   Seneviratne, Sonia I ^a  

^a Land Climate Dynamics Group   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC PROCESS; INDIVIDUAL MODELS; NUMERICAL SIMULATION; OBSERVATIONAL DATA; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL APPROACH; TEMPERATURE FEEDBACK;

AGGLOMERATION; ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; MOISTURE DETERMINATION; SOIL MOISTURE; STATISTICS;

GEOLOGIC MODELS;

AIR-SOIL INTERACTION; CLIMATE FEEDBACK; COMPUTER SIMULATION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SOIL MOISTURE; SOIL TEMPERATURE; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 77958109758     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3366.1     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Alfieri, L., P. Claps, P. D'Odorico, F. Laio, and T. Over, 2008: An analysis of the soil moisture feedback on convective and stratiform precipitation. J. Hydrometeor., 9, 280-291.
2. Betts, A. K., 2007: Coupling of water vapor convergence, clouds, precipitation, and land-surface processes. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10108, doi:10.1029/2006JD008191.
3. Betts, A. K., J. H. Ball, M. Bosilovich, P. Viterbo, Y. Zhang, and W. B. Rossow, 2003: Intercomparison of water and energy budgets for five Mississippi subbasins between ECMWF reanalysis (ERA-40) and NASA Data Assimilation Office fvGCM for 1990-1999. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8618, doi:10.1029/2002JD003127.
4. Cook, B. I., G. B. Bonan, and S. Levis, 2006: Soil moisture feedbacks to precipitation in southern Africa. J. Climate, 19, 4198-4206.
5. Czaja, A., and C. Frankignoul, 2002: Observed impact of Atlantic SST anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 15, 606-623.
6. Dirmeyer, P. A., X. Gao, M. Zhao, Z. Guo, T. Oki, and N. Hanasaki, 2006: GSWP-2: Multimodel analysis and implications for our perception of the land surface. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1381-1397.
7. Dirmeyer, P. A., C. A. Schlosser, and K. L. Brubaker, 2009: Precipitation, recycling, and land memory: An integrated analysis. J. Hydrometeor., 10, 278-288.
8. Douville, H., F. Chauvin, and H. Broqua, 2001: Influence of soil moisture on the Asian and African monsoons. J. Climate, 14, 2381-2403.
9. Ek, M. B., and A. A. M. Holtslag, 2004: Influence of soil moisture on boundary layer cloud development. J. Hydrometeor., 5, 86-99.
10. Eltahir, E. A. B., 1998: A soil moisture-rainfall feedback mechanism. 1. Theory and observations. Water Resour. Res., 34, 765-776.
11. Findell, K. L., and E. A. B. Eltahir, 2003: Atmospheric controls on soil moisture-boundary layer interactions. Part II: Feedbacks within the continental United States. J. Hydrometeor., 4, 570-583.
12. Frankignoul, C., and K. Hasselmann, 1977: Stochastic climate models, part II. Application to sea-surface temperature anomalies and thermocline variability. Tellus, 29, 289-305.
13. Frankignoul, C., and E. Kestenare, 2002: The surface heat flux feedback, Part I: Estimates from observations in the Atlantic and the North Pacific. Climate Dyn., 19, 622-647.
14. Frankignoul, C., A. Czaja, and B. L'Heveder, 1998: Air-sea feedback in the North Atlantic and surface boundary conditions for ocean models. J. Climate, 11, 2310-2324.
15. 4MIP model intercomparison. J. Climate, 19, 3337-3353.
16. Kaufmann, R. K., L. Zhou, R. B. Myneni, C. J. Tucker, D. Slayback, N. V. Shabanov, and J. Pinzon, 2003: The effect of vegetation on surface temperature: A statistical analysis of NDVI and climate data. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2147, doi:10.1029/2003GL018251.
17. Koster, R. D., M. J. Suarez, R. W. Higgins, and H. M. Van den Dool, 2003: Observational evidence that soil moisture variations affect precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1241, doi:10.1029/2002GL016571.
18. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2004a: Realistic initialization of land surface states: Impacts on subseasonal forecast skill. J. Hydrometeor., 5, 1049-1063.
19. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2004b: Regions of Strong Coupling Between Soil Moisture and Precipitation. Science, 305, 1138-1140.
20. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2006: GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part I: Overview. J. Hydrometeor., 7, 590-610.
21. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2010: The contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L02402, doi:10.1029/2009GL041677.
22. Liu, Z., and L. Wu, 2004: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST: The role of ocean atmosphere coupling. J. Climate, 17, 1859-1882.
23. Liu, Z., M. Notaro, J. Kutzbach, and N. Liu, 2006: Assessing global vegetation-climate feedbacks from observations. J. Climate, 19, 787-814.
24. Madden, R., and P. Julian, 1971: Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in the zonal wind in the tropical Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci., 28, 702-708.
25. Madden, R., and P. Julian, 1972: Description of global-scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40-50 day period. J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 1109-1123.
26. Notaro, M., 2008: Statistical identification of global hot spots in soil moisture feedbacks among IPCC AR4 models. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D09101, doi:10.1029/2007JD009199.
27. Notaro, M., and Z. Liu, 2008: Statistical and dynamical assessment of vegetation feedbacks on climate over the boreal forest. Climate Dyn., 31, 691-712.
28. Notaro, M., Z. Liu, and J. W. Williams, 2006: Observed vegetation-climate feedbacks in the United States. J. Climate, 19, 763-786.
29. Notaro, M., Y. Wang, Z. Liu, R. Gallimore, and S. Levis, 2008: Combined statistical and dynamical assessment of simulated vegetation-rainfall interactions in North Africa during the mid-Holocene. Global Change Biol., 14, 347-368.
30. Pitman, A. J., and Coauthors, 2009: Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L14814, doi:10.1029/2009GL039076.
31. Rodell, M., and Coauthors, 2004: The Global Land Data Assimilation System. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 381-394.
32. Salvucci, G. D., A. J. Saleem, and R. Kaufmann, 2002: Investigating soil moisture feedbacks on precipitation with tests of Granger causality. Adv. Water Resour., 25, 1305-1312.
33. Schär,C.,D.Lüthi, U. Beyerle, and E. Heise, 1999: The soil-precipitation feedback: A process study with a regional climate model. J. Climate, 12, 722-741.
34. Seneviratne, S. I., P. Viterbo, D. Lüthi, and C. Schär, 2004: Inferring changes in terrestrial water storage using ERA-40 reanalysis data: The Mississippi River basin. J. Climate, 17, 2039-2057.
35. Seneviratne, S. I., D. Luethi, M. Litschi, and C. Schär, 2006a: Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe. Nature, 443, 205-209.
36. Seneviratne, S. I., and Coauthors, 2006b: Soil moisture memory in AGCM simulations: Analysis of Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE) data. J. Hydrometeor., 7, 1090-1112.
37. Seneviratne, S. I., T. Corti, E. L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E. B. Jaeger, I. Lehner, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling, 2010: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth Sci. Rev., 99, 125-161.
38. Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M. M. B. Tignor, H. LeRoy Miller Jr., and Z. Chen, Eds., 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, 996 pp.
39. Taylor, C. M., and R. J. Ellis, 2006: Satellite detection of soil moisture impacts on convection at the mesoscale. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03404, doi:10.1029/2005GL025252.
40. Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961-3012.
41. Wang, Y., M. Notaro, Z. Liu, R. Gallimore, S. Levis, and J. E. Kutzbach, 2008: Detecting vegetation-precipitation feedbacks in mid-Holocene North Africa from two climate models. Climate Past, 4, 59-67.
42. Wei, J., R. E. Dickinson, and H. Chen, 2008: A negative soil moisture-precipitation relationship and its causes. J. Hydrometeor., 9, 1364-1376.
43. Xie, P., and P. A. Arkin, 1997: Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 2539-2558.
44. Zhang, J., W.-C. Wang, and J. Wei, 2008: Assessing land-atmosphere coupling using soil moisture from the Global Land Data Assimilation System and observational precipitation. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D17119, doi:10.1029/2008JD009807.