The application of a coupled artificial neural network and fault tree analysis model to predict coal and gas outbursts

International Journal of Coal Geology

Volumn 84, Issue 2, 2010, Pages 141-152

  Ruilin, Zhang ^a   Lowndes, Ian S ^b,c  

^a HENAN POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NOTTINGHAM   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ADELAIDE   (Australia)

Author keywords

Artificial neural network; Coal and gas outbursts; Fault tree analysis; Prediction methods

Indexed keywords

ALARM LEVEL; ALTERNATIVE METHODS; ANHUI PROVINCE; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MODELS; CHINESE COAL; COAL AND GAS OUTBURST; COAL AND GAS OUTBURSTS; COAL MINING; COAL SEAMS; COMBINED SOLUTION; EMISSION CHARACTERISTICS; FAULT-TREES; GAS CONTENT; GAS PRESSURES; GEOLOGICAL CONDITIONS; GEOTECHNICAL CONDITIONS; HIGH INCIDENCE; IN-SITU; INPUT VARIABLES; MODEL PARAMETERS; MODEL RELATIONSHIPS; MODEL SOLUTION; POTENTIAL RISKS; PREDICTION METHODS; PREDICTION MODEL; QUALITATIVE DATA; RISK INDICES; UNDERGROUND MINING;

COAL; COAL DEPOSITS; COAL INDUSTRY; FAULT TREE ANALYSIS; FORECASTING; GAS BURSTS; GAS EMISSIONS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NEURAL NETWORKS; QUALITY ASSURANCE;

RELIABILITY;

ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK; COAL MINING; COAL SEAM; NUMERICAL MODEL; PREDICTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; ROCKBURST;

ANHUI; CHINA;

EID: 77957863697     PISSN: 01665162     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.coal.2010.09.004     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Anon Theories for Gas and Geology, Gas and Geology Research Laboratory of the Jiaozuo Mining Institute 1990, Coal Industrial Press, Beijing.
2. The Statute of Coal Mine Safety 2007, Anon, China National Coal Mine Safety Supervision Bureau, Beijing, (in Chinese).
3. Anon The Provisions of Coal and Gas Outburst Prevention 2009, China National Coal Mine Safety Supervision Bureau, Beijing, (in Chinese).
4. Beamish B.B., Crossdale P.J. Instantaneous outbursts in underground coal mines: an overview and association with coal type. International Journal of Coal Geology 1998, 35:27-55.
5. Cao Y.X., Peng L.S., Hou Q.L. Basic characteristics and geological significance of coal seam faults. Journal of Geological Review 1993, 39(6):522-528.
6. Cheng W., He X., Nie B., Cao Qi. Artificial neural network evaluation model study on human factors. APSS 2005, 146-150.
7. Diamond W.P., Schatzel S.J. Measuring the gas content of coal: a review. International Journal of Coal Geology 1998, 35:311-331.
8. Díaz Aguado M.B., González Nicieza C. Control and prevention of gas outbursts in coal mines, Riosa-Olloniego coalfield, Spain. International Journal of Coal Geology 2007, 69(4):253-266.
9. Dou L., Lua C., Mua L., Gao M. Prevention and forecasting of rock burst hazards in coal mines. Mining Science and Technology (China) 2009, 19(5):585-591.
10. Ferdous R., Khan F.I., Veitch B., Amyotte P.R. Methodology for computer-aided fault tree analysis. Transactions of the Institution of Chemical Engineers Part B, Process Safety and Environmental Protection 2007, 85(B1):70-80.
11. Flodd I., Kartam N. Neural networks in civil engineering I: principles and understanding. Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering. ASCE. 1994, 8(2):131-148.
12. He X., Chen W., Nie B., Zhang M. Classification technique for danger classes of coal and gas outburst in deep coal mines. Safety Science 2010, 48:173-178.
13. Hsu H.M. Aggregation of fuzzy options under group decision making. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 1996, 79(4):278-285.
14. Lama R.D., Bodziony J. Management of outburst in underground coal mines. International Journal of Coal Geology 1998, 35:83-115.
15. Le Q., Chen P., Yang W. The relation between modes of lithological association and interlayer-gliding structures in coalmines. Journal of Coal Science and Engineering (China) 2010, 16(1):47-52.
16. Li H.Y. Major and minor structural features of a bedding shear zone along a coal seam and related outburst, Ping-dingshan coal field, Northern China. International Journal of Coal Geology 2001, 47:101-113.
17. Li W., Lian C. Geological factors analysis and prevention of coal and gas outburst in Huaibei coal field. Coal Science and Technology 2007, 1:47-59. (in Chinese).
18. Liou T.S., Wang M.J. Ranking fuzzy numbers with integral value. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 1992, 50:247-255.
19. Lippman, R. P., 1987. Introduction to computing with neural nets. IEEE ASSP Magazine.
20. Liu C. Safety exponent evaluation method application on management of self-ignite fire disaster in coal mine. Journal of Shandong Institute of Mining Technology 1996, 39-43. (in Chinese).
21. Liu L., Cheng Y., Wang H., Wang L., Ma X. Principle and engineering application of pressure relief gas drainage in low permeability outburst coal seam. Mining Science and Technology 2009, 19:342-345.
22. Maier H.R., Dandy G.C. Neural networks for the prediction and forecasting of water resources variables: a review of modelling issues and applications. Environmental Modelling and Software 2000, 15:101-124.
23. Moselhi O., Hegazy T., Fazio P. Potential applications of neural networks in construction. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering 1992, 19:521-529.
24. Nie B., He X., Wang E., Liu Z., Sa Z. Coal and gas technology research status and development trend forecast. Chinese Security Science Journal 2003, 13(6):40-43. (in Chinese).
25. Ortmeier F., Schellhorn G. Formal fault tree analysis - practical experiences. Electronic Notes in Theoretical Computer Science 2007, 185:139-151.
26. Shahin M.A., Jaska M.B., Maier H.R. Artificial neural network applications in geotechnical engineering. Australian Geomechanics 2001, 36(1):49-62.
27. Song W., Zhang H. Regional prediction of coal and gas outburst hazard based on multifactor pattern recognition. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science 2009, 1:347-353.
28. Wang G.L., Xu F.Y., Long R.S., Zuo D.F. The Forecast of Mine Structures 1993, China Coal Industry Publishing House, Beijing.
29. Wang L., Cheng Y., Li F., Wang H., Liu H. Fracture evolution and pressure relief gas drainage from distant protected coal seams under an extremely thick key stratum. Journal of the China University of Mining & Technology 2008, 18:182-186.
30. Whittles D.N., Lowndes I.S., Kingman S.W., Yates C., Jobling S. Influence of geotechnical factors on gas flow experienced in a UK longwall coal mine panel. International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 2006, 43:369-387.
31. Whittles D.N., Lowndes I.S., Kingman S.W., Yates C., Jobling S. The stability of methane capture boreholes around a longwall coal panel. International Journal of Coal Geology 2007, 71:313-328.
32. Wu A. Coal and gas control factors weighted grey prominent link model building. Coal Journal 2005, 30(1):58-62. (in Chinese).
33. Xu B. Neural Network Theory and Applications 1999, South China Science and Technology University Press, Guangzhou, (in Chinese).
34. Xua T., Tang C.A., Yang T.H., Zhu W.C., Liu J. Numerical investigation of coal and gas outbursts in underground collieries. International Journal of Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 2006, 43:905-919.
35. Yang M., Wang Y., Cheng Y. An incorporate genetic algorithm based back propagation neural network model for coal and gas outburst intensity prediction. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science 2009, 1:1285-1292.
36. Yang S., Sun Y., Chen Z., Yu B., Xu Q. Establishment of grey-neural network forecasting model of coal gas outburst. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science 2009, 1:148-153.
37. Yu Q. The Controlling of Gas in Xuzhou 1992, China University of Mining and Technology Press, Beijing.
38. Yu Q.X. The Prevention and Control of Gas in Coal Mines 1992, China University of Mining & Technology Press, Xuzhou, (in Chinese).
39. Zhang R. Prediction of Coal and Gas Outburst by Applying of Up-To-Date Information Techniques 2004, Chongqing University, Chongqing, (in Chinese).
40. Zhang R., He Q. Research of spatial visualization model of gas-outburst coal-body. Progress in Safety Science and Technology Part A 2002, 3:196-199.
41. Zhou Y., Wei F. Determination of expert weights in comprehensive evaluation. Industry Engineering 2006, 9(5):23-27. (in Chinese).