Disproportional effects in populations of concern for pandemic influenza: Insights from seasonal epidemics in Wisconsin, 1967-2004

Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses

Volumn 4, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 205-212

  Lofgren, Eric T ^a   Wenger, Julia B ^b   Fefferman, Nina H ^c   Bina, David ^d   Gradus, Steve ^d   Bhattacharyya, Sanjib ^d   Naumov, Yuri N ^e   Gorski, Jack ^f   Naumova, Elena N ^b  

^a IL   (United States)

^b TUFTS UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^c RUTGERS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d City of Milwaukee Health Department   (United States)

^e UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

^f BLOOD RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

Author keywords

Children; Elderly; Epidemic; Influenza; Seasonality

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; AGED; ARTICLE; CHILD; DEMOGRAPHY; EPIDEMIC; HUMAN; INFANT; INFLUENZA; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MORTALITY; PANDEMIC; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEASONAL VARIATION; UNITED STATES; VIRUS STRAIN;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; EPIDEMICS; FEMALE; HUMANS; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; INFLUENZA A VIRUS; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PANDEMICS; SEASONS; WISCONSIN; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 77954503866     PISSN: 17502640     EISSN: 17502659     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2010.00137.x     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Fiore EA, Shay DK, Haber P. Prevention and control of influenza: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) 2007. MMWR 2007, 56(RR06):1-54.
2. Lipsitch M, Viboud C. Influenza seasonality: lifting the fog. PNAS 2009, 106(10):3645-3646.
3. Cox NJ, Subbarao K. Global epidemiology of influenza: past and present. Annu Rev Med 2000, 51:407-421.
4. Fishman DN. Seasonality of infectious diseases. Annu Rev Public Health 2007, 28:127-143.
5. 2009-10 Influenza Prevention & Control Recommendations - Persons for Whom Annual Vaccination is Recommended. http://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/acip/persons.htm, Available at: (Accessed 30 August 2009)
6. Simonsen L, Clarke MJ, Schnonberger LB, Adren NJ, Cox NJ, Fukuda K. Pandemic versus epidemic influenza mortality: a pattern of changing age distribution. J Infect Dis 1998, 178:53-60.
7. Viboud C, Bjornstad ON, Smith DL, Simonsen L, Miller MA, Grenfell BT. Synchrony, waves, and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza. Science 2006, 312:447-451.
8. Thompson WW, Shay DK, Weintraub E. Mortality associated with influenza and respiratory syncytial virus in the United States. JAMA 2003, 289(2):179-186.
9. Lofgren ET, Fefferman NH, Naumov YN, Gorski J, Naumova EN. Influenza seasonality: underlying causes and modeling theories. J Virol 2007, 81:5429-5436.
10. Naumova EN. Mystery of seasonality: getting the rhythm of nature. J Public Health Policy 2006, 27:2-12.
11. Naumova EN, MacNeill IB. Seasonality assessment for biosurveillance systems. Advances in Statistical Methods for the Health Sciences: Applications to Cancer and AIDS Studies, Genome Sequence Analysis, and Survival Analysis 2006, 437-450. Balakrishnan N, Auget J-LMesbah MMolenberg G. in, eds, Boston, MA, Birkhauser
12. Naumova EN, Jagai JS, Matyas B, DeMaria A, MacNeill IB, Griffiths JK. Seasonality in six enterically transmitted diseases. Epidemiol Infect 2007, 135:281-292.
13. Recommendations for influenza vaccines. http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/vaccinerecommendations/en/, Available at: (Accessed 31 August 2009)
14. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr, Available at: (Accessed 31 August 2009)
15. Weekly epidemiological record. http://www.who.int/wer/en/, Available at: (Accessed 31 August 2009)
16. Lofgren ET, Fefferman NH, Doshi M, Naumova EN. Assessing seasonal variation in multisource surveillance data: annual harmonic regression. LNCS 2007, 4506:114-123.
17. Thompson WW, Comanor L, Shay DK. Epidemiology of seasonal influenza: use of surveillance data and statistical models to estimate the burden of disease. J Infec Dis 2006, 194:582-591.
18. Thompson WW, Shay DK, Weintraub E. Mortality associated with influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the United States. JAMA 2003, 289:179-186.
19. Serfling RE. Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths. Public Health Rep 1963, 78:494-506.
20. Wright P, Webster R. Orthomyxoviruses. Fields Virology 2001, 1533-1579. Knipe D, Howley PGriffin DMartin MLamb RRoizman BStraus S. in, eds, vol 1, Philadelphia, PA, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
21. Dushoff J, Plotkins JB, Levin SA, Earn DJ. Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics. PNAS 2004, 101(48):16915-16916.
22. Stone L, Olinky R, Huppert A. Seasonal dynamics of recurrent epidemics. Nature 2007, 446:533-536.
23. Hilleman MR. Realities and enigmas of human viral influenza: pathogenesis, epidemiology and control. Vaccine 2002, 20:3068-3087.
24. Greene SK, Ionides EL, Wilson ML. Patterns of influenza-associated mortality among US elderly by geographic region and virus subtype, 1968-1998. Am J Epi 2006, 163(4):316-326.
25. Smith DJ, Lapedes AS, de Jong JC. Mapping the antigenic and genetic evolution of influenza virus. Science 2004, 305(5682):371-376.
26. Dindinaud G, Potiron G, Agius G. Influenza epidemic among a community of older adults people in spite of vaccination. Eur J Epidemiol 1993, 9(6):667-670.
27. Thijs C, Beyer W, Govaert P. Mortality benefits of influenza vaccination in elderly people. Lancet Infect Dis 2008, 8(8):460-461.
28. Cohen SA, Naumova EN. Age-adjustment in national biosurveillance systems: a survey of issues, examples, and analytical tools for age-adjustment in longitudinal surveillance data. LNCS 2009, 4506:360-377.