메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 167, Issue 6, 2010, Pages 743-749

Forecasting the locations of future large earthquakes: An analysis and verification

Author keywords

Earthquake forecasting; Error diagram; Forecast verification; ROC diagram

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE; EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE; FORECASTING METHOD; MICROEARTHQUAKE; OPTIMIZATION; PALEOSEISMICITY;

EID: 77954311005     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-010-0069-1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (20)

References (15)
  • 1
    • 34248673702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Field, E. H. (2007), Overview of the working group for the development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM), Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, 7-16.
  • 2
    • 77954310575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frankel, A., Mueller, C., Barnhard, T., Perkins, D., Leyendecker, E., Dickman, N., Hanson, S., and Hopper, M. (1996), National seismic-hazard maps, Tech. Rep. Open-File Report 96-532, USGS.
  • 3
    • 20344380428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Harte, D. and Vere-Jones, D. (2005), The entropy score and its uses in earthquake forecasting, Pure Appl. Geophys. 162, 1229-1253.
  • 4
    • 30744470111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holliday, J. R., Nanjo, K. Z., Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., and Turcotte, D. L. (2005), Earthquake forecasting and its verification, Nonlinear Proc. Geophys. 12, 965-977.
  • 5
    • 34948867233 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kagan, Y. Y. (2007), On earthquake predictability measurement: Information score and error diagram, Pure Appl. Geophys. 164, 1947-1962.
  • 6
    • 0034470056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kossobokov, V. G., Keilis-Borok, V. I., Turcotte, D. L., and Malamud, B. D. (2000), Implications of a statistical physics approach for earthquake hazard assessment and forecasting, Pure Appl. Geophys. 157, 2323-2349.
  • 7
    • 77954315382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kossobokov, V. G. and Shebalin, P., Earthquake prediction. In Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction (eds. Keilis-Borok, V. I., and Soloviev, A. A.) (Springer-Verlag, Berlin 2003), pp. 141-207.
  • 8
    • 77954316000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mason, I. B., Binary events. In Forecast Verification (eds. Jolliffe, I. T. and Stephenson, D. B.) (Wiley, Chichester 2003), pp. 37-76.
  • 9
    • 77954315304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Minster, J.-B. and Williams, N., Systematic global testing of intermediate-term earthquake prediction algorithm. In 1-st ACES Workshop Proceedings (ed. Mora, P.) (GOPRINT, Brisbane 1999).
  • 10
    • 43449136213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molchan, G. and Keilis-Borok, V. (2008), Earthquake prediction: Probabilistic aspect, Geophys. J. Int. 173, 1012-1017.
  • 11
    • 0026299255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molchan, G. M. (1991), Structure of optimal strategies in earthquake prediction, Tectonophysics 193, 267-276.
  • 12
    • 0026454371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molchan, G. M. and Kagan, Y. Y. (1992), Earthquake prediction and its optimization, J. Geophys. Res. 97, 4823-4838.
  • 13
    • 34248682932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Wiemer, S., Jackson, D. D., and Rhoades, D. A. (2007), Earthquake likelihood model testing, Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, 17-29.
  • 14
    • 0037234109 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zaliapin, I., Keilis-Borok, V., and Ghil, M. (2003), A Boolean delay equation model of colliding cascades. Part II: Prediction of critical transitions, J. Stat. Phys. 111, 839-861.
  • 15
    • 38349115021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zechar, J. D. and Jordan, T. H. (2008), Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions, Geophys. J. Int. 172, 715-724.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.