메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 25, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 695-719

Extracting a robust us business cycle using a time-varying multivariate model-based bandpass filter

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 77953506525     PISSN: 08837252     EISSN: 10991255     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jae.1185     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (22)

References (54)
  • 1
    • 4444345848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent U.S. macroeconomic stability: Good policies, good practices, or good luck?
    • Ahmed S, Levin A, Wilson BA. 2004. Recent U.S. macroeconomic stability: good policies, good practices, or good luck? Review of Economics and Statistics 86(3): 824-832.
    • (2004) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.86 , Issue.3 , pp. 824-832
    • Ahmed, S.1    Levin, A.2    Wilson, B.A.3
  • 4
    • 0037596892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring business cycles: Approximate band-pass filters for economic time series
    • Baxter M, King R. 1999. Measuring business cycles: approximate band-pass filters for economic time series. Review of Economics and Statistics 81: 575-593.
    • (1999) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.81 , pp. 575-593
    • Baxter, M.1    King, R.2
  • 5
    • 0035628153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The long and large decline in U.S. output volatility. Brookings Papers on
    • Blanchard O, Simon J. 2001. The long and large decline in U.S. output volatility. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1: 135-164.
    • (2001) Economic Activity , vol.1 , pp. 135-164
    • Blanchard, O.1    Simon, J.2
  • 7
    • 0039835826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detrending and business cycle facts
    • Canova F. 1998. Detrending and business cycle facts. Journal of Monetary Economics 41: 475-512.
    • (1998) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.41 , pp. 475-512
    • Canova, F.1
  • 8
    • 0037784725 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent changes in the U.S. business cycle
    • Chauvet M, Potter S. 2001. Recent changes in the U.S. business cycle. The Manchester School 69(5): 481-508.
    • (2001) The Manchester School , vol.69 , Issue.5 , pp. 481-508
    • Chauvet, M.1    Potter, S.2
  • 11
    • 0040382317 scopus 로고
    • Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: Implications for business cycle research
    • Cogley T, Nason JM. 1995. Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series: implications for business cycle research. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 19: 253-278.
    • (1995) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , vol.19 , pp. 253-278
    • Cogley, T.1    Nason, J.M.2
  • 15
    • 0035369663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Iterative algorithms for state estimation of jump Markov Linear Systems
    • Doncet A, Andrieu C. 2001. Iterative algorithms for state estimation of jump Markov Linear Systems. IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing 49: 1216-1227.
    • (2001) IEEE Transactions On Signal Processing , vol.49 , pp. 1216-1227
    • Doncet, A.1    Andrieu, C.2
  • 17
    • 3142711588 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple and efficient simulation smoothes for state space time series analysis
    • Durbin J, Koopman SJ. 2002. A simple and efficient simulation smoothes for state space time series analysis. Biometrika 89(3): 603-616.
    • (2002) Biometrika , vol.89 , Issue.3 , pp. 603-616
    • Durbin, J.1    Koopman, S.J.2
  • 19
    • 0034982967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coincident and leading indicators for the Euro area. Economic
    • Forni M, Hallin M, Lippi M, Reichlin L. 2001. Coincident and leading indicators for the Euro area. Economic Journal 111: C62-C85.
    • (2001) Journal , vol.111
    • Forni, M.1    Hallin, M.2    Lippi, M.3    Reichlin, L.4
  • 21
    • 38349077088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient Bayesian inference for multiple change-point and mixture innovation models
    • Giordani P, Kohn R. 2008. Efficient Bayesian inference for multiple change-point and mixture innovation models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 26(1): 66-77.
    • (2008) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.26 , Issue.1 , pp. 66-77
    • Giordani, P.1    Kohn, R.2
  • 22
    • 0040960779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Three equivalent methods for filtering finite nonstationary time series
    • Gómez V. 1999. Three equivalent methods for filtering finite nonstationary time series. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 17: 109-116.
    • (1999) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.17 , pp. 109-116
    • Gómez, V.1
  • 23
    • 0035646380 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of Butterworth filters for trend and cycle estimation in economic time series
    • Gómez V. 2001. The use of Butterworth filters for trend and cycle estimation in economic time series. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 19: 365-373.
    • (2001) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.19 , pp. 365-373
    • Gómez, V.1
  • 26
    • 0038291086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate structural time series models
    • Heij C, Schumacher H, Hanzon B, Praagman C (eds). Wiley: New York
    • Harvey AC, Koopman SJ. 1997. Multivariate structural time series models. In System Dynamics in Economics and Financial Models, Heij C, Schumacher H, Hanzon B, Praagman C (eds). Wiley: New York.
    • (1997) System Dynamics In Economics and Financial Models
    • Harvey, A.C.1    Koopman, S.J.2
  • 27
    • 0038015672 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized model-based filters for extracting trends and cycles in economic time series
    • Harvey AC, Trimbur T. 2003. Generalized model-based filters for extracting trends and cycles in economic time series. Review of Economics and Statistics 85(2): 244-255.
    • (2003) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.85 , Issue.2 , pp. 244-255
    • Harvey, A.C.1    Trimbur, T.2
  • 28
    • 34547814292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends and cycles in economic time series: A Bayesian approach
    • Harvey AC, Trimbur T, van Dijk HK. 2007. Trends and cycles in economic time series: a Bayesian approach. Journal of Econometrics 140(2): 618-649.
    • (2007) Journal of Econometrics , vol.140 , Issue.2 , pp. 618-649
    • Harvey, A.C.1    Trimbur, T.2    van Dijk, H.K.3
  • 30
    • 0039573714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Business cycle turning points, a new coincident index, and tests of duration dependence in a dynamic factor model with regime switching
    • Kim C-J, Nelson CR. 1998. Business cycle turning points, a new coincident index, and tests of duration dependence in a dynamic factor model with regime switching. Review of Economics and Statistics 80(2): 188-201.
    • (1998) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.80 , Issue.2 , pp. 188-201
    • Kim, C.-J.1    Nelson, C.R.2
  • 31
    • 0039447737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Has the U.S. economy become more stable? A Bayesian approach based on a Markov-switching model of the business cycle
    • Kim C-J, Nelson CR. 1999. Has the U.S. economy become more stable? A Bayesian approach based on a Markov-switching model of the business cycle. Review of Economics and Statistics 81(4): 608-616.
    • (1999) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.81 , Issue.4 , pp. 608-616
    • Kim, C.-J.1    Nelson, C.R.2
  • 32
    • 0742271636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The less-volatile U.S. economy: A Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations
    • Kim C-J, Nelson CR, Piger J. 2004. The less-volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22(1): 80-93.
    • (2004) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.22 , Issue.1 , pp. 80-93
    • Kim, C.-J.1    Nelson, C.R.2    Piger, J.3
  • 33
    • 0031319753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exact initial Kalman Filtering and smoothing for non-stationary time series models
    • Koopman SJ. 1997. Exact initial Kalman Filtering and smoothing for non-stationary time series models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 92: 1630-1638.
    • (1997) Journal of The American Statistical Association , vol.92 , pp. 1630-1638
    • Koopman, S.J.1
  • 34
    • 0001729490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical algorithms for models in state space using SsfPack 2.2
    • Koopman SJ, Shephard N, Doornik JA. 1999. Statistical algorithms for models in state space using SsfPack 2.2. Econometrics Journal 2: 107-166.
    • (1999) Econometrics Journal , vol.2 , pp. 107-166
    • Koopman, S.J.1    Shephard, N.2    Doornik, J.A.3
  • 37
    • 38249030705 scopus 로고
    • Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root
    • Nelson CR. 1988. Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 12: 475-488.
    • (1988) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , vol.12 , pp. 475-488
    • Nelson, C.R.1
  • 40
    • 22144440111 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy
    • Primiceri GE. 2005. Time varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Review of Economic Studies 72: 821-852.
    • (2005) Review of Economic Studies , vol.72 , pp. 821-852
    • Primiceri, G.E.1
  • 42
    • 33746344095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling phase shifts among stochastic cycles
    • Rünstler G. 2004. Modelling phase shifts among stochastic cycles. Econometrics Journal 7: 232-248.
    • (2004) Econometrics Journal , vol.7 , pp. 232-248
    • Rünstler, G.1
  • 43
    • 4444298525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for volatility changes in U.S. macroeconomic time series. Review of
    • Sensier M, van Dijk D. 2004. Testing for volatility changes in U.S. macroeconomic time series. Review of Economics and Statistics 86(3): 833-839.
    • (2004) Economics and Statistics , vol.86 , Issue.3 , pp. 833-839
    • Sensier, M.1    van Dijk, D.2
  • 46
    • 0000076932 scopus 로고
    • New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators
    • Blanchard O, Fischer S (eds). MIT Press: Cambridge, MA
    • Stock JH, Watson MW. 1989. New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators. In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Blanchard O, Fischer S (eds). MIT Press: Cambridge, MA; 4: 351-393.
    • (1989) NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989 , vol.4 , pp. 351-393
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 47
    • 0003153605 scopus 로고
    • A probability model of the coincident economic indicators
    • Lahiri K, Moore GH (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK
    • Stock JH, Watson MW. 1991. A probability model of the coincident economic indicators. In Leading Economics Indicators: New Approaches and Forecasting Records, Lahiri K, Moore GH (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; 63-90.
    • (1991) Leading Economics Indicators: New Approaches and Forecasting Records , pp. 63-90
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 48
  • 49
    • 33846109529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Has the business cycle changed and why?
    • Gertler M, and Rogoff K (eds). MIT Press: Cambridge, MA
    • Stock JH, Watson MW. 2002b. Has the business cycle changed and why? In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Gertler M, and Rogoff K (eds). MIT Press: Cambridge, MA; 159-218.
    • (2002) NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002 , pp. 159-218
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 50
    • 0036005160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business and
    • Stock JH, Watson MW. 2002c. Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20: 147-162.
    • (2002) Economic Statistics , vol.20 , pp. 147-162
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 52
    • 33645156519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Properties of higher order stochastic cycles
    • Trimbus T. 2006. Properties of higher order stochastic cycles. Journal of Time Series Analysis 27(1): 1-17.
    • (2006) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-17
    • Trimbus, T.1
  • 54
    • 33746382532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tracking the business cycle of the Euro area: A multivariate model-based bandpass filter
    • Valle e Azevedo J, Koopman SJ, Rua A. 2006. Tracking the business cycle of the Euro area: a multivariate model-based bandpass filter. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 24(3): 278-290.
    • (2006) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.24 , Issue.3 , pp. 278-290
    • Valle e Azevedo, J.1    Koopman, S.J.2    Rua, A.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.