Assessing North American influenza dynamics with a statistical SIRS model

Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology

Volumn 1, Issue 2-3, 2010, Pages 177-185

  Hooten, Mevin B ^a   Anderson, Jessica ^a   Waller, Lance A ^b  

^a UTAH STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b EMORY UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Agent based model; Dynamical model; Epidemic; Flu; Hierarchical model; Spatio temporal statistics

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DATA; HEALTH CARE DELIVERY; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HUMAN; INFECTION CONTROL; INFLUENZA; INFORMATION PROCESSING; MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS; NORTH AMERICA; PRIORITY JOURNAL; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SOURCE SINK RELATIONSHIP; STATISTICAL MODEL; UNITED STATES;

BAYES THEOREM; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FEMALE; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MALE; MODELS, STATISTICAL; NORTH AMERICA; PUBLIC HEALTH SURVEILLANCE; SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 77953287671     PISSN: 18775845     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.sste.2010.03.003     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Altizer S., Dobson A., Hosseini P., Hudson P., Pascual M., and Rohani P. Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases. Ecol Lett 9 (2006) 467-484
2. Berliner L.M. Hierarchical Bayesian time-series models. Maximum entropy and Bayesian methods (1996), Kluwer Academic Publishers, The Netherlands 15-22
3. Cressie N.A.C., Calder C.A., Clark J.S., Ver Hoef J.M., and Wikle C.K. Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling. Ecol Appl 19 (2009) 553-570
4. Gelman A. Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models. Bayesian Anal 1 (2006) 515-533
5. Gelman A., Carlin J.B., Stern H.S., and Rubin D.B. Bayesian data analysis. 2nd ed. (2004), Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton
6. Gelman A., and Rubin D.B. Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences. Stat Sci 7 (1992) 457-511
7. Ginsberg J., Mohebbi M.H., Patel R.S., Brammer L., Smolinksi M.S., and Brilliant L. Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data. Nature 457 (2009) 1012-1014
8. Grimm V., Revilla E., Berger U., Jeltsch F., Mooij W.M., Railsback S.F., Thulke H.-H., Weiner J., Wiegand T., and DeAngelis D.L. Pattern-oriented modeling of agent-based complex systems: lessons from ecology. Science 310 (2005) 987-991
9. Grimm V., and Railsback S.F. Individual-based modeling and ecology (2005), Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
10. Hooten M.B., and Wikle C.K. A hierarchical Bayesian non-linear spatio-temporal model for the spread of invasive species with application to the Eurasian collared-dove. Environ Ecol Stat 15 (2008) 59-70
11. Hooten MB, Wikle CK. Statistical agent-based models for discrete spatio-temporal systems. J Am Stat Assoc, in press.
12. Hooten M.B., Wikle C.K., Dorazio R.M., and Royle J.A. Hierarchical spatio-temporal matrix models for characterizing invasions. Biometrics 63 (2007) 558-567
13. Lawson A.B., and Zhou H. Spatial statistical modeling of disease outbreaks with particular reference to the UK foot and mouth disease (FMD) epidemic of 2001. Prev Vet Med 71 (2005) 141-156
14. Preisendorfer R.W. Principal component analysis in meteorology and oceanography (1988), Elsevier
15. R Development Core Team. R: a language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing; 2008. ISBN 3-900051-07-0. URL http://www.R-project.org.
16. Royle J.A., and Dorazio R.M. Hierarchical modeling and inference in ecology: the analysis of data from populations, metapopulations, and communities (2008), Academic Press
17. Smith D.L., Lucey B., Waller L.A., Childs J.E., and Real L.A. Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99 (2002) 3668-3672
18. Turchin P. Quantitative analysis of movement (1998), Sinauer Associates, Inc. Publishers
19. Waller L.A., Goodwin B.J., Wilson M.L., Ostfeld R.S., Marshall S.L., and Hayes E.B. Spatio-temporal patterns in county-level incidence and reporting of Lyme disease in the northeastern United States, 1990-2000. Environ Ecol Stat 14 (2007) 83-100
20. Wheeler D.C., and Waller L.A. Mountains, valleys, and rivers: the transmission of raccoon rabies over a heterogeneous landscape. J Agric Biol Environ Stat 13 (2008) 388-406
21. Wikle C.K. Hierarchical Bayesian models for predicting the spread of ecological processes. Ecology 84 (2003) 1382-1394
22. Yang Y., Sugimoto J.D., Halloran M.E., Basta N.E., Chao D.L., Matrajt L., Potter G., Kenah E., and Longini Jr. I.M. The transmissibility and control of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus. Science 326 (2009) 729-733
23. Zhu J., Huang H.-C., and Wu C.-T. Modeling spatial-temporal binary data using markov random fields. J Agric Biol Environ Stat 10 (2005) 212-225