Evaluation of interventions and vaccination strategies for low pathogenicity avian influenza: Spatial and space-time analyses and quantification of the spread of infection

Epidemiology and Infection

Volumn 138, Issue 6, 2010, Pages 813-824

  Mulatti, P ^a   Bos, M E H ^b   Busani, L ^c   Nielen, M ^b   Marangon, S ^a  

^a ISTITUTO ZOOPROFILATTICO SPERIMENTALE DELLE VENEZIE   (Italy)

^b UTRECHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^c ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ   (Italy)

Author keywords

Avian flu; Epidemics; Infectious disease control; Mathematical modelling; Veterinary epidemiology

Indexed keywords

AVIAN INFLUENZA VACCINE; INFLUENZA VACCINE;

ARTICLE; AVIAN INFLUENZA; CLINICAL EVALUATION; DISEASE CONTROL; EMERGENCY HEALTH SERVICE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; PATHOGENICITY; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; CLUSTER ANALYSIS; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; EVALUATION; INFLUENZA VIRUS A; INFLUENZA VIRUS A H5N2; ITALY; MASS IMMUNIZATION; POULTRY; TREATMENT OUTCOME; VIROLOGY;

ANIMALS; CLUSTER ANALYSIS; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; INFLUENZA A VIRUS; INFLUENZA A VIRUS, H5N2 SUBTYPE; INFLUENZA IN BIRDS; INFLUENZA VACCINES; ITALY; MASS VACCINATION; POULTRY; TREATMENT OUTCOME;

EID: 77952496197     PISSN: 09502688     EISSN: 14694409     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809991038     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Stegeman A, et al. Avian influenza A virus (H7N7) epidemic in The Netherlands in 2003: course of the epidemic and effectiveness of control measures. Journal of Infectious Diseases 2004; 190: 2088-2095.
2. Bean WJ, et al. Characterization of virulent and avirulent A/chicken/Pennsylvania/83 influenza A viruses : potential role of defective interfering RNAs in nature. Journal of Virology 1984; 54: 151-160.
3. Garcia M, et al. Heterogeneity in the hemagglutinin gene and emergence of the highly pathogenic phenotype among recent H5N2 avian influenza viruses from Mexico. Journal of General Virology 1996; 77: 1493-1504.
4. Fouchier RA, et al. Avian influenza A virus (H7N7) associated with human conjunctivitis and a fatal case of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 2004; 101: 1356-1361.
5. Puzelli S, et al. Serological analysis of serum samples from human exposed to Avian H7 influenza viruses in Italy between 1999 and 2003. Journal of Infectious Diseases 2005; 192: 1318-1322.
6. Wong SSY, Yuen KY. Avian influenza virus infections in humans. Chest 2006; 129: 156-168.
7. Busani L, et al. Vaccination reduced the incidence of outbreaks of low pathogenicity avian influenza in northern Italy. Vaccine 2006; 27: 3655-3661.
8. Capua I, Marangon S. Control and prevention of avian influenza in an evolving scenario. Vaccine 2007; 25: 5645-5652. (Pubitemid 47031361)
9. Halvorson DA. The control of H5 or H7 mildly pathogenic avian influenza: a role for inactivated vaccine. Avian Pathology 2002; 31: 5-12.
10. Marangon S, Busani L, Capua I. Practicalities of the implementation of a vaccination campaign for avian influenza. Avian Diseases 2007; 51 (Suppl. 1) : 297-303. (Pubitemid 46671296)
11. Boender GJ, et al. Risk maps for the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry. PLoS Computational Biology 2007; 3: 4.
12. Mannelli A, et al. Transmission parameters of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) among industrial poultry farms in northern Italy in 1999-2000. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2007; 81: 318-322. (Pubitemid 47048409)
13. Heffernan JM, Smith RJ, Wahl LM. Perspectives on the basic reproductive ratio. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 2005; 2: 281-293.
14. Marangon S, Capua I. Control of Avian Influenza in Italy : from stamping out to emergency and prophylactic vaccination. Developments in Biologicals (Basel) 2006; 124: 109-115.
15. Henzler DJ, et al. Epidemiology, production losses, and control measures associated with an outbreak of avian influenza subtype H7N2 in Pennsylvania (1996-1998). Avian Diseases 2003; 47: 1022-1036.
16. McQuiston JH, et al. Evaluation of risk factors for the spread of low pathogenicity H7N2 avian influenza virus among commercial poultry farms. Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association 2005; 226: 767-772.
17. Ferrè N, et al. A control strategy for avian influenza in the densely populated poultry area in Veneto, North Italy : GIS tool for the management of meat-turkey production cycles. Proceedings of the 11th Symposium of the International Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics. Cairns, Australia, 6-11 August 2006. ISVEE, 11, 700.
18. Capua I, Marangon S. Vaccination in the control of Avian influenza in the EU. Veterinary Record 2003; 152: 271.
19. Diggle PJ. Statistical Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns. London: Academic Press, 1983.
20. Ripley BD. Modeling spatial patterns (with discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 1977; 39: 172-212.
21. Ripley BD. Spatial Statistics. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1981.
22. Kulldorff M. A spatial scan statistic. Communications in statistics : theory and methods 1997; 26: 1481-1496.
23. Dwass M. Modified randomization tests for nonparametric hypotheses. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 1957; 28: 181-187.
24. Kulldorff M, et al. A space-time permutation scan statistic for disease outbreak detection. PLoS Medicine 2005, 2(3) : e59.
25. Bouma A, et al. The foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in The Netherlands in 2001. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2003; 57: 155-166.
26. Stegeman JA, et al. Quantification of the transmission of classical swine fever between herds during the 1997-1998 epidemic in The Netherlands. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 1999; 42: 219-234.
27. CEC. Commission decision 2004/666/EC of 29 September 2004 on introducing vaccination to supplement the measures to control infections with low pathogenic avian influenza in Italy and on specific movement control measures and repealing decision 2002/975/EC. Official Journal of the European Union 2004; L303: 35-44.
28. Mannelli A, Ferrè N, Marangon S. Analysis of the 1999-2000 highly pathogenic avian influenza (H7N1) epidemic in the main poultry production area in Northern Italy. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2006, 73: 273-285.
29. Dent JE, et al. Contact structures in the poultry industry in Great Britain : Exploring transmission routes for a potential avian influenza virus epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research 2008; 4: 27.
30. Tumpey TM, Kapczynski DR, Swayne DE. Comparative susceptibility of chickens and turkeys to avian influenza A H7N2 virus infection and protective efficacy of a commercial avian influenza H7N2 virus vaccine. Avian Diseases 2004; 48: 167-176.
31. Swayne DE, Akey BL. Avian influenza control strategies in the United States of America. In: Proceedings of the FRONTIS Meeting on Avian Influenza Prevention and Control, 2005, p. 113-130.
32. McMullin PF. Factors which interfere with vaccine efficacy. Proceedings of the 1st Sta. Catarina Poultry Symposium, 1985, pp. 10-20.
33. Capua I, et al. Avian influenza in Italy 1997-2001. Avian Diseases 2003, 47: 839-843.
34. Thomas ME, et al. Risk factors for the introduction of high pathogenicity avian influenza virus into poultry farms during the epidemic in the Netherlands in 2003. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 2005, 69: 1-11.
35. SANCO. Annual Report on surveillance for avian influenza in poultry in the EU during 2007. SANCO/ 2179/2008 Rev.1 2008 (http://ec.europa.eu/food/ animal/diseases/controlmeasures/avian/res-surv-wb-annual-07-en.pdf). Accessed 30 August 2009.