Response of the Western European climate to a collapse of the thermohaline circulation

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 34, Issue 5, 2010, Pages 689-697

  Laurian, A ^a   Drijfhout, S S ^a   Hazeleger, W ^a   van den Hurk, B ^a  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Climate change; Land sea contrast; Lapse rate; Ocean atmosphere interactions; Thermohaline circulation; Western Europe

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLOUD; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; GREENHOUSE GAS; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION; WESTERLY;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); WESTERN EUROPE;

EID: 77951665559     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0513-4     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Bryden HL, Longworth HR, Cunningham SA (2005) Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25°N. Nature 438(7068): 655-657. doi: 10. 1038/nature04385.
2. Chang P, Zhang R, Hazeleger W, Wen C, Wan X, Ji L, Haarsma RJ, Breugem W-P, Seidel H (2008) Oceanic link between abrupt changes in the North Atlantic Ocean and the African monsoon. Nature Geoscience. doi: 10. 1038/ngeo218.
3. Cheng W, Bitz CM, Chiang JCH (2007) Adjustment of the Global Climate to an Abrupt Slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Geophys Monogr 1973: 295-314.
4. Cunningham SA, Kanzow T, Rayner D, Baringer MO, Johns WE, Marotzke J, Longworth HR, Grant EM, Hirshi JJ, Beal LM, Meinen CS, Bryden HL (2007) Temporal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26. 5°N. Science 317(5840): 935-938. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1141304.
5. Dong B-W, Sutton RT (2002) Adjustment of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system to a sudden change in the Thermohaline Circulation. Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2002GL015229.
6. Harrison EF, Minnis P, Barkstrom BR, Ramanathan V, Cess RD, Gibson GG (1990) Seasonal variation of cloud radiative forcing derived from the earth radiation budget experiment. J Geophys Res 95: 18687-18703. doi: 10. 1029/JD095iD11p18687.
7. Joshi MM, Gregory JM, Webb MJ, Sexton DMH, Johns TC (2008) Mechanisms for the land-sea warming contrast exhibited by simulations of climate change. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-007-0306-1.
8. Manabe S, Stouffer RJ (1988) Two stable equilibria of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J Clim 1: 841-866. doi: 10. 1175/1520-0442(1988)001<; 0841: TSEOAC>; 2. 0. CO; 2.
9. Manabe S, Stouffer RJ (1999) The role of thermohaline circulation in climate. Tellus 51 A-B: 91-109.
10. Marsland SJ, Haak H, Jungclaus JH, Latif M, Röske F (2003) The Max-Planck-Institute global ocean/sea ice model with orthogonal curvilinear coordinates. Ocean Model 5: 91-127. doi: 10. 1016/S1463-5003(02)00015-X.
11. Nakicenovic N, et al. (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A special report of working group III of the Intergouvernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. Available online at www. grida. no/climate/ipcc/emission/index. htm.
12. Roeckner E, Bäuml G, Bonaventura L, Brokopf R, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Hagemann S, Kirchner I, Kornblueh L, Manzini E, Rhodin A, Schlese U, Schulzweida U, Tompkins A (2003) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM 5. Part I: model description. Tech. Rep. 349. Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg.
13. st century assessed by observations. Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2005GL024368.
14. Sterl A, Severijns C, Dijkstra H, Hazeleger W, van Oldenborgh GJ, van den Broeke M, Burgers G, van den Hurk B, van Leeuwen PJ, van Velthoven P (2008) When can we expect extremely high surface temperature? Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2008GL034071.
15. Stone PH, Carlson JH (1979) Atmospheric lapse rate regimes and their parameterization. J Atmos Sci 36(3): 415-423.
16. Stouffer RJ, Yin J, Gregory JM, Dixon KW, Spelman MJ, Hurlin W, Weaver AJ, Eby M, Flato GM, Hasumi H, Hu A, Jungclaus JH, Kamenkovich IV, Levermann A, Montoya M, Murakami S, Nawrath S, Oka A, Peltier WR, Robitaille DY, Sokolov A, Vettoretti G, Weber SL (2006) Investigating the causes of the response of the thermohaline circulation to past and future climate changes. J Clim 1365-1387. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI3689. 1.
17. Sutton RT, Dong B, Gregory JM (2007) Land/sea warming ratio in response to climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations. Geophys Res Lett. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL028164.
18. Vellinga M, Wood RA (2002) Global climatic impacts of a collapse of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Clim Change 251-267. doi: 10. 1023/A: 1016168827653.
19. Vellinga M, Wood RA (2006) Impacts of thermohaline circulation shutdown in the twenty-first century. Clim Change. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-006-9146-y.
20. Yin J, Stouffer RJ (2007) Comparison of the stability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in two coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models. J Clim 20(17): 4293-4315.