Influenza epidemiology-past, present, and future

Critical Care Medicine

Volumn 38, Issue SUPPL. 4, 2010, Pages

  Lagacé Wiens, Philippe R S ^a   Rubinstein, Ethan ^a   Gumel, Abba ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA   (Canada)

Author keywords

Epidemiology; H1N1; Hospitalization; Influenza; Mortality; Pandemic; Severity

Indexed keywords

ADAMANTANE DERIVATIVE; HEMAGGLUTININ; SIALIDASE INHIBITOR; VIRUS RNA; VIRUS SIALIDASE;

ANTIGENICITY; ANTIVIRAL SUSCEPTIBILITY; DEMOGRAPHY; DISEASE PREDISPOSITION; DISEASE SEVERITY; ECOLOGY; EVOLUTION; HOSPITAL ADMISSION; HOSPITALIZATION; HUMAN; IMMUNOMODULATION; INCIDENCE; INFLUENZA; INFLUENZA VIRUS; INFLUENZA VIRUS A H1N1; INFLUENZA VIRUS A H2N2; INFLUENZA VIRUS A H3N2; INTENSIVE CARE; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; NONHUMAN; PANDEMIC; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RESPIRATORY TRACT INFECTION; REVIEW; RISK FACTOR; SEASONAL VARIATION; VACCINATION; VIROLOGY; VIRUS GENE; VIRUS IMMUNITY; VIRUS RESISTANCE; VIRUS STRAIN; VIRUS TRANSMISSION;

EID: 77950254540     PISSN: 00903493     EISSN: 15300293     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1097/CCM.0b013e3181cbaf34     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Cox NJ, Subbarao K: Global epidemiology of influenza: Past and present. Annu Rev Med 2000; 51:407-421
2. Treanor JJ: Influenza virus. In: Principles and Practice of Infectious Diseases. Vol.2. Mandell GL, Bennett JE, Dolin R (Eds). Philadelphia, PA. Elsevier, 2005, pp 2060-2085
3. LaForce FM, Nichol KL, Cox NJ: Influenza: Virology, epidemiology, disease, and prevention. Am J Prev Med 1994; 10(Suppl):31-44
4. Taubenberger JK: The origin and virulence of the 1918 "Spanish" influenza virus. Proc Am Philos Soc 2006; 150:86-112
5. Macroepidemiology of Influenza Vaccination (MIV) Study Group: The macro-epidemiology of influenza vaccination in 56 countries, 1997-2003. Vaccine 2005; 23:5133-5143
6. Monto AS: Epidemiology of influenza. Vaccine 2008; 26(Suppl 4):D45-D48
7. Stephenson I, Zambon M: The epidemiology of influenza. Occup Med (Land) 2002; 52: 241-247
8. Cannell JJ, Zasloff M, Garland CF, et al: On the epidemiology of influenza. Virol J 2008; 5:29
9. Garten RJ, Davis CT, Russell CA, et al: Antigenic and genetic characteristics of swineorigin 2009 A(H1N1) influenza viruses circulating in humans. Science 2009; 325: 197-201
10. Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Hampson AW: The epidemiology and clinical impact of pandemic influenza. Vaccine 2003; 21:1762-1768
11. Monto AS, Comanor L, Shay DK, et al: Epidemiology of pandemic influenza: Use of surveillance and modeling for pandemic preparedness. J Infect Dis 2006; 194(Suppl 2): S92-S97
12. Barker WH, Mullooly JP: Impact of epidemic type A influenza in a defined adult population. Am J Epidemiol 1980; 112:798-811
13. Sabin AB: Mortality from pneumonia and risk conditions during influenza epidemics. High influenza morbidity during nonepidemic years. JAMA 1977; 237:2823-2828
14. Reid AH, Taubenberger JK: The origin of the 1918 pandemic influenza virus: A continuing enigma. J Gen Virol 2003; 84(Pt 9): 2285-2292
15. Olson DR, Simonsen L, Edelson PJ, Morse SS: Epidemiological evidence of an early wave of the 1918 influenza pandemic in New York City. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2005; 102:11059-11063
16. Dos Reis M, Hay AJ, Goldstein RA: Using nonhomogeneous models of nucleotide substitution to identify host shift events: Application to the origin of the 1918 "Spanish" influenza pandemic virus. J Mol Evol, in press
17. Frost WH: The epidemiology of influenza. 1919. Public Health Rep 2006; 121(Suppl 1):149-159
18. Pappas C, Aguilar PV, Basler CF, et al: Single gene reassortants identify a critical role for PB1, HA, and NA in the high virulence of the 1918 pandemic influenza virus. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2008; 105:3064-3069
19. McAuley JL, Hornung F, Boyd KL, et al: Expression of the 1918 influenza A virus PB1-F2 enhances the pathogenesis of viral and secondary bacterial pneumonia. Cell Host Microbe 2007; 2:240-249
20. Brundage JF, Shanks GD: Deaths from bacterial pneumonia during 1918-1919 influenza pandemic. Emerg Infect Dis 2008; 14: 1193-1199
21. Update: swine influenza A (H1N1) infections-California and Texas, April 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009; 58: 435-437
22. Trifonov V, Khiabanian H, Rabadan R: Geographic dependence, surveillance, and origins of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus. N Engl J Med 2009; 361:115-119
23. Smith GJ, Vijakrishna D, Bahl J, et al. Origins and evolutionary genomics of the 2009 swine-origin H1N1 influenza A epidemic. Nature 2009; 459:1122-1125
24. Schnitzler SU, Schnitzler P: An update on swine-origin influenza virus A/H1N1: A review. Virus Genes, in press
25. Itoh Y, Shinya K, Kiso M, et al: In vitro and in vivo characterization of new swine-origin H1N1 influenza viruses. Nature 2009; 460: 1021-1025
26. Dawood FS, Jain S, Finelli L, et al: Emergence of a novel swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus in humans. N Engl J Med 2009; 360:2605-2615
27. Lopez-Cervantes M, Venado A, Moreno A, et al: On the spread of the novel influenza A (H1N1) virus in Mexico. J Infect Dev Ctries 2009; 3:327-330
28. Dominguez-Cherit G, Lapinsky SE, Macias AE, et al: Critically ill patients with 2009 influenza A (H1N1) in Mexico. JAMA 2009; 302:1880-1887
29. Centers for disease Prevention and Control: Update: Novel influenza A (H1N1) virus infection-Mexico, March-May, 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009; 58:585-589
30. Flu Watch Weekly Reports: Available at: http://www.phacaspc.gc.ca/ fluwatch/08-09/ index-eng.php. Accessed October 14, 2009
31. Flu activity and surveillance: Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/ weekly/fluactivity.htm. Accessed October 14, 2009
32. Pandemic H1N1 2009: Available at: http:// www.who.int/csr/disease/ swineflu/en/. Accessed October 14, 2009
33. Health Protection Agency, Health Protection Scotland, National Public Health Service for Wales, et al: Epidemiology of new influenza A (H1N1) virus infection, United Kingdom, April-June 2009. Euro Surveill 2009; 22:6-8
34. Centers for disease Prevention and Control: Swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) virus infections in a school-New York City, April 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009; 58: 470-472
35. Centers for disease Prevention and Control: Update: infections with a swine-origin influenza A (H1N1l) virus-United States and other countries, April 28, 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009; 58:431-433
36. Surveillance-H1N1 influenza virus. Available at: http://www.phac-aspc.gc. ca/alertalerte/h1n1/surveillance-eng.php. Accessed October 15, 2009
37. National Institute for Communicable Diseases Communiqué: Available at: http:// www.nicd.ac.za/pubs/ communique/2009/ NICDCommSept09Vol08-09.pdf. Accessed October 15, 2009
38. Lopez L: New Zealand Weekly Influenza Report. Available at: http:/Avww.surv.esr.cri.nz/ PDF-surveillance/Virology/FluWeekRpt/ 2009/FluWeekRpt200941.pdf. Accessed October 15, 2009
39. Baker MG, Wilson N, Huang QS, et al: Pandemic influenza A (H1N1)v in New Zealand: The experience from April to August 2009. Euro Surveill 2009; 14:6-11
40. Australian influenza surveillance summary report Available at http:/Avww.healthemergency. gov.au/internet/healthemergency/publishing.nsf/ Content/ozflu2009.htm/$File/ozflu-no212009.pdf. Accessed October 15, 2009
41. Peiris JS, Poon LL, Guan Y: Emergence of a novel swine-origin influenza A virus (S-OIV) H1N1 virus in humans. J Clin Virol 2009; 45:169-173
42. Kelly H, Grant K: Interim analysis of pandemic influenza (H1N1) 2009 in Australia: surveillance trends, age of infection and effectiveness of seasonal vaccination. Euro Surveill 2009; 14:6-10
43. Human infection with new influenza A (H1N1) virus: Mexico, update, March-May 2009. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 2009; 84:213-219
44. Shimada T, Gu Y, Kamiya H, et al: Epidemiology of influenza A (H1N1)v virus infection in Japan, May-June 2009. Euro Surveill 2009; 14: 13-15
45. Kelly HA, Grant KA, Williams S, et al: Epidemiological characteristics of pandemic influenza H1N1 2009 and seasonal influenza infection. Med J Aust 2009; 191: 146-149
46. Mott J: Novel influenza A (H1N1) epidemiology update-International. Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices Meeting. Centers for Diseases Control and Prevention; 2009. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/ vaccines/recs/acip/slides-july09-flu.htm. Accessed December 17, 2009
47. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Surveillance for the 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus and seasonal influenza viruses-New Zealand, 2009. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2009; 58:918-921
48. National Institute of Communicable Diseases. Available at: http://www.nicd.ac.za. Accessed October 15, 2009
49. Wang MZ, Tai CY, Mendel DB: Mechanism by which mutations at his274 alter sensitivity of influenza a virus nl neuraminidase to oseltamivir carboxylate and zanamivir. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2002; 46:3809-3816
50. Rello J, Rodriguez A, Ibanez P, et al: Intensive care adult patients with severe respiratory failure caused by Influenza A (H1N1)v in Spain. Crit Care 2009; 13:R148
51. Perez-Padilla R, de la Rosa-Zamboni D, Ponce de Leon S, et al: Pneumonia and respiratory failure from swine-origin influenza A (H1N1) in Mexico. N Engl J Med 2009; 361:680-689
52. Kumar A, Zarychanski R, Pinto R, et al: Critically ill patients with 2009 influenza A (H1N1) infection in Canada. JAMA 2009; 302: 1872-1879
53. Jain S, Kamimoto L, Bramley AM, et al: Hospitalized Patients with 2009 H1N1 Influenza in the United States, April-June 2009. N Engl J Med 2009; 361:1935-1944
54. Nuno M, Reichert TA, Chowell G, et al: Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2008; 105:10625-10630
55. Nuno M, Chowell G, Gumel AB: Assessing the role of basic control measures, antiviral and vaccine in curtailing pandemic influenza: Scenarios for the US, UK and the Netherlands. J R Soc Interface 2007; 4:505-521
56. Gumel AB, Nuno M, Chowell G: Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan. Can J Infect Dis Med Microbiol 2008; 19:185-192
57. Gurevich KG: Formal kinetics of H1N1 epidemic. Theor Biol Med Model 2009; 6:23
58. Boelle PY, Bernillon P, Desenclos JC: A preliminary estimation of the reproduction ratio for new influenza A(H1N1) from the outbreak in Mexico, March-April 2009. Euro Surveill 2009; 19:10-13
59. Balean D, Hu H, Goncalves B, et al: Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A (H1N1): A Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility. BMC Med 2009; 7:45
60. World Health Organization: Mathematical modelling of the pandemic H1N1 2009. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 2009; 84:341-348